Cnotes Friday's MLB Best Bets !

MLB

Friday, June 17

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Baltimore - 7:05 PM ET Washington -128 500
Washington - Over 8.5 500

Pittsburgh 0 Bot 0 Pittsburgh +136 500
Cleveland 0 Over 8 500

Milwaukee - 7:10 PM ET Boston -132 500
Boston - Over 9.5 500

Florida - 7:10 PM ET Florida +137 500
Tampa Bay - Under 9.5 500

Toronto - 7:10 PM ET Toronto +147 500
Cincinnati - Over 9.5 500

LA Angels - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets -122 500
NY Mets - Over 7.5 500

Texas - 7:35 PM ET Atlanta +107 500
Atlanta - Under 8.5 500

San Diego - 8:10 PM ET San Diego +123 500
Minnesota - Over 8 500

Kansas City - 8:15 PM ET Kansas City +154 500
St. Louis - Over 8 500

Detroit - 8:40 PM ET Detroit +108 500
Colorado - Over 10.5 500

Chi. White Sox - 9:40 PM ET Chi. White Sox +126 500
Arizona - Over 9.5 500

San Francisco - 10:05 PM ET San Francisco -149 500
Oakland - Under 7 500

Philadelphia - 10:10 PM ET Seattle -111 500
Seattle - Under 6.5 500

Houston - 10:10 PM ET LA Dodgers -152 500
LA Dodgers - Over 7.5 500

Hammel hopes to end 8-game winless skid vs. Detroit

DETROIT TIGERS (38-31)

at COLORADO ROCKIES (33-35)


First Pitch: Friday, 8:40 p.m. EDT
Line: Colorado -120, Detroit +110, Total: 9

Detroit has lost 14 of its past 21 road games against NL opponents, but should do well against Colorado’s Jason Hammel, who is winless in his past eight starts. Look for the Tigers to continue their solid offensive play, which has seen them hit .316 with 27 runs in their past six games. Behind the recent success of young Rick Porcello, expect Detroit to win on Friday.

The FoxSheets give two more reasons to side with the Tigers.

JIM LEYLAND is 65-33 (66.3%, +26.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game as the manager of DETROIT. The average score was DETROIT 5.2, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*).

COLORADO is 8-17 (32.0%, -14.9 Units) against the money line after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 2 seasons. The average score was COLORADO 4.8, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 2*).

The Tigers will make their first visit to Coors Field since 2007 when they travel to Colorado for the opener of a three-game series on Friday. Detroit has not fared well in the Mile High city, losing seven of their past eight games there, while posting a team ERA of 7.64 with a 1.76 WHIP in the thin air.

Rick Porcello (6-4, 3.61 ERA) will get the start for the Tigers. The 22-year-old right-hander has been excellent since losing his first two starts of the season when he surrendered 18 hits and 10 ER in 10 IP. Since then, Porcello is 6-2 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, leading the Tigers to a 7-3 record in these 10 starts. Porcello has been very good on the road this season, going 4-1 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in his seven starts. He faced the Rockies one previous time, allowing just six hits and one run over six innings on May 22, 2009, while earning the victory in the Tigers 4-3 win at Comerica Park.

Jason Hammel (3-6, 3.65 ERA) will start for the Rockies. After beginning the season 3-1 with a 3.23 ERA and the Rockies winning four of his first five starts, Hammel is 0-5 with a 3.91 ERA in his past eight starts with the Rockies losing all eight of those games. This will be Hammel’s third career start against the Tigers. He was roughed up while allowing 10 hits and five runs in getting a no-decision while with the Rays in 2007, then allowed six hits and just one run in defeating them while with Colorado in 2009.

Rangers try to snap 5-game skid visiting Atlanta

TEXAS RANGERS (36-34)

at ATLANTA BRAVES (39-31)


First Pitch: Friday, 7:35 p.m. EDT
Line: Texas -115, Atlanta +105, Total: 8.5

The Braves will have their hands full with Josh Hamilton who has totally destroyed NL pitching in interleague play. The reigning AL MVP has hit safely in 23 straight interleague games and is batting .528 with four homers and 14 RBI in his past 12 games versus the National League. However, the Rangers are really struggling offensively of late, hitting just .198 with 1 HR and 12 runs during their five-game losing streak. Expect stud prospect Randall Delgado to continue these woes in his major-league debut as the Rangers have never seen him before and he could really give them problems.

This pair of three-star FoxSheets trends also side with Atlanta.

Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - with a team batting average of .250 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts. (46-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.8%, +27.6 units. Rating = 3*).

COLBY LEWIS is 0-7 (-10.4 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record). The average score was LEWIS 3.4, OPPONENT 8.9 - (Rating = 3*).

The Rangers travel to Turner Field for just the second time in team history on Friday for the start of a three-game series against the Braves. Texas was swept in a three-game series in its only other appearance at this ballpark in 2003.

After winning eight of nine games from May 28 to June 5, the Rangers have struggled mightily, losing five straight and eight of their past 10. Colby Lewis (5-7, 4.97 ERA) will get the start for the Rangers, looking snap his recent streak of two straight bad starts. Lewis has been roughed up for 17 hits and 15 runs in these two outings, pitching a total of 4.2 innings. He lasted just 1.1 innings in his last start Saturday against the Twins, allowing seven hits and six runs. This will be his first career start against the Braves.

The Braves were scheduled to send red-hot Tommy Hanson (8-4, 2.48 ERA) to the mound to try for his fourth straight win. However, shoulder tendinitis has forced Hanson to be scratched from Friday’s start. His replacement will be Randall Delgado, who will make his ML debut. The 21-year-old from Panama was schedule to pitch on Thursday in Double-A Mississippi, but was told about 10 minutes before he was to take the mound that he would be replacing Hanson. Delgado who is a 6-foot-3, 200-pound right-hander, is considered one of the top three prospects in the Braves system, and ranks among the top 35 prospects in all of baseball. He was 4-4 with a 3.54 ERA, 64 K and 26 BB in 73.2 IP spanning 13 Southern League starts.

The Braves are coming off losing two of three to the Mets at home, winning in extra-innings on Thursday after blowing a 6-2 lead. Brooks Conrad’s two-run HR in the ninth inning tied the game, and the Braves won it in the 10th on a balk that allowed the winning run to score.

Florida tries to snap out of 1-15 June funk in Tampa

FLORIDA MARLINS (32-37)

at TAMPA BAY RAYS (36-33)


First Pitch: Friday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
Line: Tampa Bay -135, Florida +125, Total: 8.5

A big reason for the Marlins struggles of late (2-17 record in past 19 games) has been their pitching, which has posted a 5.79 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over this stretch. Tampa Bay should capitalize on this against a rookie on the mound for Florida, and defeat the Marlins on Friday.

The FoxSheets provide this rare five-star reason to pick the Rays.

Play On - Any team (TAMPA BAY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL). (34-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.9%, +32.9 units. Rating = 5*).

The Marlins travel to Tampa Bay on Friday for the start of a three-game series with the Rays. Florida will look to get back on track as it has really struggled of late, losing seven straight and 17 of its past 19 games entering Friday, and now finds itself in last place in the NL East.

The Marlins, who are 1-15 in the month of June, will send Brad Hand (0-2, 3.27 ERA) to the mound to make his third ML start. The second-round draft choice of the Marlins in the 2008 amateur draft, was 7-1 with a 3.53 ERA at Double-A Jacksonville before being called up this season. He pitched brilliantly in his first start, allowing just one hit and one run in six innings, but got the loss as Tommy Hanson and three relievers defeated the Marlins 1-0 on June 7. In his last start on Sunday, he allowed four runs (3 ER) in five innings, getting the loss again as the Marlins fell 5-1 to Arizona.

The Rays will counter with Wade Davis (5-5, 4.81 ERA). After going 4-0 with a 2.56 ERA in his five starts from April 15-May 8, Davis has really struggled. He is 1-3 with a 7.01 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in his past seven starts, with Tampa Bay losing six of those seven games. This will be his first career start against the Marlins. The Rays have lost 12 of their past 18 games against NL opponents, which includes losing two of three to Florida earlier this season.

Sizzling Red Sox host Brewers on Friday

MILWAUKEE BREWERS (39-31)

at BOSTON RED SOX (41-27)


First Pitch: Friday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
Line: Boston -120, Milwaukee +110, Total: 9.5

Boston first baseman Adrian Gonzalez has been red-hot, batting .414 with five homers, seven doubles and 16 RBI in his past 15 games, and could be poised for another big series. In 34 career games against the Brewers, Gonzalez has 11 doubles, eight homers, 25 RBI and is batting .357 -- his highest average against any NL club. Expect the Red Sox to come out and pound Shaun Marcum, like they have done previously, and Boston to continue its winning ways with its 12th victory in its past 13 games.

The FoxSheets provide a four-star trend advising to roll with the sizzling Red Sox bats.

Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts. (53-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.5%, +37.3 units. Rating = 4*).

Two division leaders will meet up in Boston on Friday in a battle of old American League East foes when the Milwaukee Brewers travel to Fenway Park.

Shaun Marcum (7-2, 2.68 ERA) makes his return to Fenway Park on Friday as a member of the Brewers after making his previous six starts there with the Blue Jays. Marcum is 3-2 with a 3.82 in those six starts, but has allowed nine runs in 12.1 IP in losing his past two Fenway outings. Overall, he has lost three straight starts against Boston, and is 1-4 with a 6.09 ERA in his past six starts against them. Marcum has allowed 3 ER or fewer in 11 of his 14 starts this season. After going 6-0 with a 2.10 ERA and 0.95 WHIP from April 7 to May 21, Marcum has just one win in his past four starts despite just allowing 10 runs and 18 hits in 26 innings.

The Red Sox will send John Lackey (4-5, 7.41 ERA) to the mound. Lackey has been awful this season, as his 7.41 ERA is the second-highest in the majors this season amongst pitchers that have at least eight starts. He has won his past two starts, despite allowing seven runs in 11.2 innings, but that was much better than his prior two starts in which he allowed 17 ER in just 10.2 IP before landing on the DL. This will be his first ever start against the Brewers.

Around the Horn - Friday

June 16, 2011

NATIONAL LEAGUE


Houston at Los Angeles - 10:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Myers (2-6, 5.03 ERA) 2-8 L10 2-9 on Fridays
Lilly (5-5, 3.98 ERA) 2-6 L8 OVER 6-1 L7




INTERLEAGUE


N.Y. Yankees at Chicago - 2:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Garcia (5-5, 3.60 ERA) 6-1 L7 7-2 away during day
Davis (0-5, 5.90 ERA) 5-5 L10 OVER 7-4 home in Game 1's




Baltimore at Washington - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Britton (6-4, 3.18 ERA) 1-4 L5 2-7 away in Game 1's
Marquis (7-2, 3.67 ERA) 5-0 L5 7-2 on Fridays




Pittsburgh at Cleveland - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Correia (8-5, 3.73 ERA) 6-3 L9 7-3 on Fridays
Tomlin (7-4, 4.14 ERA) 1-8 L9 home 0-5 L5 home vs RHP




Los Angeles at N.Y. Mets - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Pineiro (2-3, 4.03 ERA) 3-7 L10 1-6 L7 away vs LHP
Capuano (5-6, 4.40 ERA) 5-2 L7 OVER 7-4 home in Game 1's




Florida at Tampa Bay - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Hand (0-2, 3.27 ERA) 1-15 L16 1-5 L6 Game 1's
Davis (5-5, 4.81 ERA) 6-3 L9 7-2 L9 home Game 1's




Toronto at Cincinnati - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Reyes (2-5, 4.30 ERA) 2-5 L7 9-2 on Fridays
Leake (6-2, 4.06 ERA) 5-2 L7 5-1 L6 home Game 1's




Milwaukee at Boston - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Marcum (7-2, 2.68 ERA) 5-5 L10 6-3 L9 away vs RHP
Lackey (4-5, 7.41 ERA) 10-1 L11 OVER 9-1 home Game 1's




Texas at Atlanta - 7:35 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Lewis (5-7, 4.97 ERA) 2-8 L10 4-7 L11 away during day
Delgado (NR) 6-3 L9 1-5 L6 home Game 1's




San Diego at Minnesota - 8:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Richard (2-8, 4.06 ERA) 1-5 L6 8-3 away off away loss
Duensing (3-6, 4.98 ERA) 6-1 L7 2-6 L8 home vs LHP




Kansas City at St. Louis - 8:15 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Paulino (0-4, 3.79 ERA) 4-2 L6 3-0 L3 away Game 1's
Carpenter (1-6, 4.47 ERA) 1-6 L7 6-1 L7 home vs RHP




Detroit at Colorado - 8:40 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Porcello (6-4, 3.61 ERA) 4-2 L6 OVER 16-5 away vs RHP
Hammel (3-6, 3.65 ERA) 5-3 L8 3-8 on Fridays




Chicago at Arizona - 9:40 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Jackson (4-5, 4.39 ERA) 5-5 L10 3-8 on Fridays
Hudson (7-5, 3.82 ERA) 2-4 L6 home 9-4 L13 home vs RHP




San Francisco at Oakland - 10:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Lincecum (5-5, 3.41 ERA) 5-2 L7 13-4 L17 vs OAK
Godfrey (0-0, 10.38 ERA) 2-13 L15 4-7 home in Game 1's




Philadelphia at Seattle - 10:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Oswalt (4-4, 3.14 ERA) 7-0 L7 6-2 L8 Fridays
Pineda (6-4, 2.72 ERA) 4-6 L10 4-1 home on Fridays

Diamond Trends - Friday

June 17, 2011

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Mariners are 0-10 since July 19, 2010 at home within 20 cents of pickem after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $1015 when playing against.



OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Tigers are 10-0 OU since April 22, 2010 on the road within 20 cents of pickem when they are off a win in which they came back from a deficit for a net profit of $1000 when playing the over.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Diamondbacks are 0-11 OU since August 06, 2010 when Daniel Hudson starts at home after a quality start for a net profit of $1100 when playing the under.


MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

The Twins are 15-0 (+4.1 rpg) since 2004 as a home favorite when they are off a shut out win, as long as they were not a 150+ favorite in that win.


TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Cardinals are 0-6 since August 17, 2010 when they are off a loss in which they never led and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $825 when playing against.

The Nationals are 0-6 since June 18, 2010 as a home favorite when they won the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $775 when playing against.

The Tigers are 0-7 since May 03, 2010 on the road after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $720 when playing against.

The Red Sox are 8-0-1 OU since May 10, 2010 when John Lackey starts as a favorite in the first game of a series for a net profit of $800 when playing the over.