MistaFlava's MLB Saturday June 18 ***POWER SELECTIONS*** (3 Plays w/Writeups & Analysis)

Have not had time to go back and look at my record on the year, will do that after tonight but it's a winning record and I've only posted some 3-4 picks.



Saturday, June 18


Pittsburgh Pirates ML +137 (10 Units)

The Indians took the first game of this series but the Pirates have battled all season and they are 19-14 coming off a loss. Despite the five runs scored by Cleveland, the first signs of offense they show in more than a week, this is a team that is still struggling right now and still batting .208 in their last 10 games. In those games they are batting only .182 against left handed pitchers and tonight they go up against lefty Paul Maholm who is not deserving of his 3-7 record on the year considering he has an ERA of 3.12 in 14 starts this season and 1.14 WHIP in those starts. Run support (2.7 per game) is Maholm's only problem and I don't know that things get any easier for the Bucs against Carlos Carrasco who is pitching really well as well for the Indians. Having said that, the Tribe have scored only 6 totals runs in Carrasco's last three starts and I think I'm going to stick to the team with the hotter bats. The Pirates have won six straight Game 2's of a series and five of their last six losses have been followed by a win. Cleveland is still only 2-8 in their last 10 home games and the Indians are 1-6 in their last seven games versus a left handed starting pitcher. That's a problem against a pitcher like Maholm. As well as the team has played with Carrasco on the mound, most of his wins have come on the road and the Tribe are 3-8 in his last 11 starts at home. Watch out guys, Home Plate Umpire Derryl Cousins is in charge tonight and the road team has won 10 of the last 14 games he has been HPU. I think the Pirates get the job done. This is a new version of this team.





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Oakland Athletics ML -106 (10 Units)

Another one to keep an eye on. The guys in Vegas knew what they were doing with this line and they knew no matter where they put it, the majority would be on the Giants but if San Francisco couldn't win with their ace on the mound yesterday, what makes anyone believe they are going to win tonight? More than 60% of the betting public is on Oakland for this one yet the line went from -116 (Giants favored) to -106 (now the A's are favored in the game). Might not mean much but it means the smart money is on Oakland and I'm following. Jonathan Sanchez is on the mound and he's lost his last two starts in Oakland despite pitching pretty well here last May. Guillermo Moscoso is on the mound for Oakland and the converted reliever has had ups and downs in his four starts (first four of his career). Having said that, Oakland won his only home start and he's had at least four runs of support in three of his four starts. Oakland looked very good in the opener of this intense rivalry yesterday and now they get to face a pitcher (Sanchez) who's team is 1-4 in his last five starts versus AL West opponents. I've already learned my lesson a few times this season...DO NOT BET ON JONATHAN SANCHEZ AS AN UNDERDOG (won only 2 of the last 7). The Giants are only 3-7 in their last 10 inter-league games and for some reason they struggle against these AL West opponents on the road. Oakland comes into this game on a four game win streak in inter-league home games and they have destroyed left handed National League pitchers at home for years and years winning 20 of the last 27 National League lefties they have faced in this ballpark. The home team seems to dominate this series and I'll take the A's to win their fifth straight at home against the Giants who just happen to have a lefty taking the mound for them.





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Seattle Mariners ML -141 (10 Units)

The price is very expensive for the Mariners and I see it as somewhat of another trap by the guys in Vegas but I'll always back Felix Hernandez at home at anything less than -150 and I see it as a bigger deal that it's the King on the mound more so than it's the Phillies on the other side of things. If you have followed Phillies starting pitcher Vance Worley, you'll know that he struggles and you probably don't want him in there against any kind of decent hitting team. Well the Mariners are one of the worst hitting teams in MLB this season but they are finding ways to win and that's probably because of their top ranked pitching staff. What more do you need anyways? The Phillies aren't hitting much better and on the road they hit only .233 on the season. Seattle is now 5-1 in Hernandez's six home starts in 2011 while Worley is coming off a horrendous start in New York City that saw him allow 5 ER's and 12 hits in only 3.0 innings of work against the Mets a few weeks ago. Much like I said I would never touch Jonathan Sanchez of the Giants as an underdog, YOU JUST DON'T BET ON THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES AS AN UNDERDOG. There is always a reason Vegas makes them an underdog and that's to take your money. Philadelphia is actually 0-6 in their last six games as a dog and they are only 2-7 in their last nine inter-league road games. Playing against AL West opponents has never been kind to any of the hitters on the Phillies and I don't see that changing against one of the best pitchers in the game. Seattle have won 8 of their last 9 games versus right handed starters and they have beat six straight National League right handed starters at home. Impressive to say the least. SEATTLE IS 11-2 IN FELIX HERNANDEZ'S LAST 13 INTER-LEAGUE STARTS and they have won 10 of their last 11 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. This is the perfect range to back these guys and I've been making money for a while doing it from this position.





GOOD LUCK TO ALL!!!





:toast:

gl. i think in the oak write up you meant to stay more than 60% are on san fran.

Dwayne Bowe said:

gl. i think in the oak write up you meant to stay more than 60% are on san fran.

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He has no idea what he's saying.