Cnotes Sunday's MLB Best Bets !

CNOTES · Jun 19, 2011

Sunday, June 19

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Pittsburgh - 1:05 PM ET Pittsburgh +149 500
Cleveland - Over 8 500

Toronto - 1:10 PM ET Cincinnati -130 500
Cincinnati - Over 9 500

LA Angels - 1:10 PM ET NY Mets -138 500
NY Mets - Over 7.5 500

Milwaukee - 1:35 PM ET Milwaukee +106 500
Boston - Over 9 500

Baltimore - 1:35 PM ET Washington -135 500
Washington - Over 9 500

Texas - 1:35 PM ET Atlanta +100 500
Atlanta - Under 7 500

Florida - 1:40 PM ET Tampa Bay -195 500
Tampa Bay - Under 8 500

San Diego - 2:10 PM ET Minnesota -146 500
Minnesota - Over 7.5 500

Kansas City - 2:15 PM ET St. Louis -187 500
St. Louis - Over 8 500

Detroit - 3:10 PM ET Detroit -136 500
Colorado - Under 9 500

San Francisco - 4:05 PM ET San Francisco +103 500
Oakland - Over 7 500

Chi. White Sox - 4:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox +116 500
Arizona - Under 8 500

Philadelphia - 4:10 PM ET Seattle +144 500
Seattle - Under 6.5 500

Houston - 4:10 PM ET Houston +136 500
LA Dodgers - Over 7 500

NY Yankees - 8:05 PM ET Chi. Cubs +171 500
Chi. Cubs - Under 8.5 500

CNOTES · Jun 19, 2011

Around the Horn - Sunday

June 18, 2011

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Houston at Los Angeles - 4:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Norris (4-5, 3.48 ERA) 2-7 L9 3-8 on Sundays
Kuroda (5-8, 3.31 ERA) 2-7 L9 3-6 L9 Game 3's

INTERLEAGUE

Pittsburgh at Cleveland - 1:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Karstens (4-4, 2.66 ERA) 5-2 L7 2-7 L9 Game 3's
Masterson (5-5, 3.16 ERA) 3-6 L9 1-4 L5 Sundays

Toronto at Cincinnati - 1:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Villaneuva (4-0, 3.25 ERA) 3-5 L8 OVER 4-0 L4 away Game 3's
Arroyo (5-6, 5.23 ERA) 4-2 L6 OVER 17-9 home vs RHP

Los Angeles at N.Y. Mets - 1:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Chatwood (3-4, 4.20 ERA) 4-2 L6 10-6 away during day
Niese (6-5, 3.46 ERA) 5-4 L9 6-1 L7 home during day

Texas at Atlanta - 1:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Ogando (7-1, 2.71 ERA) 1-5 L6 UNDER 5-1 L6 away Game 3's
Jurrjens (8-3, 2.13 ERA) 1-4 L5 7-0 L7 home Game 3's

Baltimore at Washington - 1:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Jakubauskas (1-0, 5.09 ERA) 1-6 L7 OVER 4-1 away on Sundays
Gorzelanny (2-4, 4.25 ERA) 8-0 L8 OVER 12-5 home vs RHP

Milwaukee at Boston - 1:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Gallardo (8-3, 3.76 ERA) 1-4 L5 OVER 6-1 L7 away vs RHP
Wakefield (3-2, 4.39 ERA) 11-1 L12 9-3 home during day

Florida at Tampa Bay - 1:40 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Volstad (2-7, 6.07 ERA) 1-15 L16 3-7 away during day
Shields (6-4, 2.60 ERA) 6-3 L9 1-4 home on Sundays

San Diego at Minnesota - 2:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Moseley (2-6, 3.16 ERA) 1-6 L7 10-3 away during day
Liriano (4-6, 4.67 ERA) 7-1 L8 4-0 L4 Game 3's

Kansas City at St. Louis - 2:15 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Duffy (1-2, 5.04 ERA) 5-3 L8 0-5 L5 away vs LHP
Garcia (6-2, 3.18 ERA) 0-7 L7 4-0 home on Sundays

Detroit at Colorado - 3:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Verlander (8-3, 2.66 ERA) 5-5 L10 4-2 away on Sundays
Cook (0-1, 3.97 ERA) 6-3 L9 OVER 5-2 L7 home vs RHP

San Francisco at Oakland - 4:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Cain (6-4, 3.61 ERA) 5-5 L10 1-6 L7 away during day
Cahill (6-5, 3.42 ERA) 4-3 L7 4-1 home on Sundays

Chicago at Arizona - 4:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Humber (6-3, 2.95 ERA) 2-4 L6 4-7 away Game 3's
Collmenter (4-2, 1.86 ERA) 5-2 L7 5-0 L5 home Game 3's

Philadelphia at Seattle - 4:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Hamels (9-2, 2.49 ERA) 7-1 L8 6-3 away Game 3's
Vargas (4-4, 4.13 ERA) 5-5 L10 0-6 L6 home vs LHP

N.Y. Yankees at Chicago - 8:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Sabathia (8-4, 3.28 ERA) 6-2 L8 5-1 L6 away Game 3's
Wells (1-1, 5.63 ERA) 4-1 L5 6-4 home vs LHP

CNOTES · Jun 19, 2011

MLB Odds: NY Yankees close series at Chicago Cubs

The New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs finish their historic series Sunday night in the Windy City.

ESPN will have the first salvo from Wrigley Field at 5:05 p.m. (PT). The Yankees save their best for last with ace CC Sabathia (8-4, 3.28 ERA) pitching against Randy Wells (1-1, 5.63 ERA).

These iconic franchises are at the opposite ends of the spectrum with New York winning the World Series a record 27 times and the Cubs coming up short since 1908.

This is just the third series between the teams since the 1938 World Series. New York swept a 3-game set in the Bronx in 2005, while Chicago took two of three at Wrigley in 2003.

Chicago won this series opener (3-1) behind pitcher Doug Davis. It was an old school, Friday afternoon affair. Saturday’s Game 2 is still pending with A.J. Burnett and New York around a 140 favorite over Ryan Dempster and company.

New York (39-29) is still 6-2 in its last eight road games, 16-12 away on the year (+3.4 units). The ‘under’ is 5-0 in its last five road games.

Sabathia is coming off a couple of home outings. He allowed four runs over seven innings to Texas last Tuesday, working with a big lead in a 12-4 win. He surrendered six runs over 6 2/3 innings to Boston in his prior appearance (8-3 defeat).

New York is 0-3 when Sabathia has pitched against Boston this year and 10-2 against everyone else.

The 30-year-old rotund lefty has been magnificent on the road (5-2, 2.28 ERA). That includes going 4-0 with a 1.47 ERA in his last four away.

Sabathia is 1-2 with a 5.76 ERA lifetime against the Cubs. Three of the four starts were while pitching for NL Milwaukee in 2008. He got the loss in his only Wrigley appearance, allowing four runs over seven innings that year.

The Cubs (29-40) look like a team whose World Series futility will extend at least one more year. They struggled through a recent stretch at 3-13, but manager Mike Quade got a vote of confidence by chairman Tom Ricketts and they’ve started this 7-game homestand at 4-1.

Wells won his first game of the year against Arizona on April 4, but was then out several weeks with a forearm strain. He returned on May 28 against Pittsburgh and struggled (five runs) while lasting just four innings.

The 28-year-old right-hander wasn’t sharp in his next two games either, but was much better last Tuesday, allowing just two earned runs over six innings against Milwaukee (5-4 win). He didn’t allow a home run after four in his first four outings.

Wells will look to build on that win, but had just a 5.47 ERA in four interleague starts last year (team going 2-2). This is his first career appearance against the Yankees.

The Cubs are 1-4 in their last five games against a left-handed starter. The ‘over’ is 7-2 in their last nine against a lefty.

The Yankees are 2-2 in interleague play this year after going 11-7 last season. They have MLB’s best interleague record all-time at 146-104 (58.4 percent). Chicago is 2-2 this year after being 8-10 last season.

Todd Tichenor will call balls and strikes. The home team is 11-3 in his last 14 games behind home plate. The ‘under’ is 5-2-1 in his last eight games behind the dish.

New York is playing without shortstop Derek Jeter (calf), but is 3-1 since he went on the 15-day DL.

Weather should be in the 70s with thundershowers likely for at least the start of the game. Both teams continue Interleague Play on Monday with New York in Cincinnati and the Cubs at their in-town rival White Sox.

CNOTES · Jun 19, 2011

MLB Betting: White Sox end series at Arizona Diamondbacks

A pair of right-handers enjoying surprisingly good seasons finish off the series between the Chicago White Sox and Arizona Diamondbacks. Sunday's first pitch in Phoenix is set for 1:10 p.m. (PT) with Philip Humber taking his turn in Chicago's rotation against Arizona rookie Josh Collmenter.

Arizona kept a perfect interleague mark this season intact with a 4-1 win Friday night in the series opener. Former White Sox prospect Daniel Hudson went the distance for the D-Backs who were 130 chalk and remain the only unbeaten NL club when it comes to matchups against AL squads.

The final score never got close to the 9½-run total, the third consecutive 'under' for both clubs.

It's just the third time the ChiSox and Snakes have gone head-to-head, with each taking two of three on their home diamond in 2005 and 2003 respectively. Saturday's contest was still in progress with Chicago on a -115 line.

The Diamondbacks went into that contest just a half-game behind the Giants in the NL West standings. The bats have been the driving force for the club all year, swatting an NL-best 82 homers and third in the league in scoring through Friday (4.65 RPG).

Friday's defeat was the third straight on this road trip for the White Sox who are third in the AL Central. Offense has been an issue all season and has been just about nonexistent on this trip with the club scoring just two runs in the first three games.

Humber (7-5, 2.95) takes the mound on a 3-game personal win streak and the White Sox having won his last four outings. Chicago is 4-2 (+3.95 units) when he starts on the road, 3-0 his last three assignments away from the Windy City.

Just his 15th career start, it will be Humber's first interleague mound appearance as well as the first time ever to face the Diamondbacks.

This will also be Collmenter's first interleague appearance. A 15th-round pick by the D-Backs four years ago, Collmenter (5-2, 1.86) started the campaign at Triple-A Reno before getting called up in mid-April when Aaron Heilman went on the disabled list.

His first seven appearances came out of the Arizona 'pen before making his MLB starting debut on May 14, and he's yet to allow a home run at Chase Field in 25 1/3 innings.

Collmenter is coming off a poor effort this past Tuesday against San Francisco. Working just five innings while burning through nearly 100 pitches, the Giants touched him up for five runs and eight hits in a 6-5 loss as a small home favorite (-115).

Real hot and windy outside but cool and no wind inside Chase Field is the Phoenix forecast for Sunday. Crew chief Joe West will work the plate with a 9-5-1 'over' mark on the season, 7-4 'over' with totals of 8½ or less.

Arizona wraps up a 6-game homestand with this game, taking to the road next week with stops at Kansas City and Detroit after an off day on Monday. The White Sox head home and will host their crosstown rivals from Chicago's North Side beginning Monday.

CNOTES · Jun 19, 2011

unday's betting tips: Suspension over, Papelbon available

Weather to watch

The forecast for Sunday’s final round of the U.S. Open in Bethesda, Md., calls for temperatures in the low 80s and a 20 to 30 percent chance of isolated thunderstorms. There will be a light 4 to 7 mile-per-hour wind from the north.

Who’s hot

MLB: The Braves are 12-3 in Jair Jurrjens’ last 15 starts.

MLB: The Under is 19-7-1 in umpire Lazaro Diaz’s last 27 games behind home plate. Diaz will be calling balls and strikes in Sunday’s Giants-A’s game.

Who’s not

MLB: The Cardinals are 1-5 in their last six games against left-handed starters.

MLB: The Rockies have lost their last eight Sunday games.

Key stat

14 – That’s how many rebounds Minnesota Lynx forward Rebekkah Brunson is averaging, to go with 15.4 points. The WNBA’s leading rebounder had 18 points and 14 rebounds in Minnesota’s 96-85 home win over Atlanta on Friday. The teams complete a home-and-home Sunday in Atlanta, with the Dream laying 3.5 points in a 3 p.m. ET tipoff.

Injury not to be overlooked

Red Sox left fielder Carl Crawford strained his left hamstring Friday night while beating out an infield single against the Brewers and has been placed on the 15-day DL. It’s a significant loss for Boston. Crawford, hitting .243 with 6 homers and 31 RBIs for the first-place Sox, had turned it on after a brutal April and May in which he batted .155.

Game of the Day

Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox (-103, 9)

Notable quotable

"Time is running out, but both parties seem, at least to me, intent to make a deal by June 30." – NBA Commissioner David Stern, on negotiations to replace the labor agreement that expires at month’s end. However, the NBA has canceled its annual Las Vegas Summer League, a nine-day event in July for rookies and younger players.

Notes and tips

Rory McIlroy (-14) holds an eight-shot lead at the U.S. Open heading into Sunday's final round after setting the tournament's 54-hole scoring record. Y.E. Yang is his closest pursuer, with Lee Westwood, Jason Day and Robert Garrigus each nine strokes back.

Umpire Brian Runge will be behind the plate for Sunday’s Florida-Tampa Bay game. That would seem to be good news for the Rays. With Runge calling balls and strikes, home teams are on streaks of 39-19 overall, 16-5 on Sundays, and 8-1 in interleague play.

Red Sox closer Jonathan Papelbon, who’s 2-0 with 13 saves in 14 opportunities, has finished serving his two-game suspension and is available for Sunday’s home game against Milwaukee. Papelbon originally was suspended three games for making contact with plate umpire Tony Randazzo on June 4 against Oakland. He was irate with Randazzo’s calls on balls and strikes. The suspension was reduced from three games to two following Papelbon’s appeal, and he began serving it Friday.

The San Antonio Silver Stars are 4-0 for the first time in franchise history, and also are 4-0 ATS. Four players average in double figures, led by Sophia Young (17.5) and Danielle Adams (16.0). But San Antonio, which hosts Phoenix on Tuesday, doesn’t only lead the WNBA in scoring (93.2) and shooting percentage (51.1). The Silver Stars also play stifling defense, holding opponents to a league-low 39.8 percent from the field.

CNOTES · Jun 19, 2011

Sunday's six-pack

-- Washington Nationals have won their last eight games, are now only 3.5 games out of the Wild Card slot, behind Atlanta-St Louis-Arizona, all of whom are tied for that slot now.

-- Five of the six divisional leaders have a lead of less than two games, but the Phillies are floating along with a six-game cushion.

-- Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco is 3-0, 0.42 in his last three starts.

-- Rookie umpire Gonzalez had the plate for Giants-A's Saturday; the young man sure does like to call strikes. Under is 3-0 in his games.

-- AL teams are 18-10 so far this weekend, giving them a 39-31 edge in divisional play this season.

-- If I had my way, the league that won interleague play would also get home field advantage in World Series. Its better than the system now.

***********************

Sunday's List of 13: Thinking out loud on Father's Day.........

13) Minnesota Twins are 13-3 in their last 16 games, after a 17-36 start; they're still pretty far out of first place in AL Central, but the season isn't half over yet, so they could contend before its over.

12) Not sure how Cleveland Cavaliers can justify drafting Kyrie Irving in this week's NBA Draft, since he's played only 11 college games, none in the ACC, and he had foot problems last year. Derrick Williams seems to be a safer pick. But thats what those guys get paid for.

11) If you don't think NFL teams make money hand over fist, remember that the Saskatchewan Roughriders of the CFL made a $6.6M profit LY. If a football team in Regina makes money, what is a team playing in front of 70,000 fans every week, with a national TV contract making?

10) Speaking of the CFL, regular season starts June 30; just hope the hell it isn't the only pro football we see this fall.

9) Bob Melvin has the A's on a 4-game winning streak; they're 5-4 since Melvin took over for the strategically-challenged Bob Geren. Thankfully the AL West is weak, so Oakland is only six games out of first. I'd love to ask Billy Beane this question-- What took you so long????

8) A's drafted Vanderbilt P Sonny Gray in first round this month; Vandy pitchers/catchers call their own games, which is extremely rare in college baseball. Wonder if that helps them think their way through pro ball?

7) Red Sox-Tampa Bay series averaged 21,385 fans at the Trop earlier in the week; not a great sign that baseball will succeed in the Bay Area for the long-term. They need a new stadium that they're not going to get.

6) John Danks of the White Sox is 3-0, 1.22 in his last three starts, after being 0-8 in his first ten starts this year. Good comeback by him.

5) Most popular critique of interleague play is that everyone loves the regional rivalries, but not everything else. This tells us that geographic realignment would be a huge hit and make the sport more fun. Imagine if a division had the five California teams, and another had the two New York teams, the Phillies, Red Sox and Blue Jays?

4) NBC doesn't show enough live golf; they seem to script features into a broadcast, then set aside a block of time to show all the great shots that got hit while they were showing their damn features. CBS/ABC do much better job of showing a tournament, in my humble opinion.

3) So Sergio Garcia showed up less than an hour before his tee time, then chipped/putted for few minutes without ever going to the driving range for practice? Does anyone think this is a good way to play a major?

2) Chad Kelly, nephew of Bills' legend Jim Kelly, signed this week with Clemson to play QB, turning down Buffalo/Syracuse. Would've been lot of pressure on the young man had he chosen to stay in western NY.

1) Everyone has a father; not everyone has a dad. I like to think I've got the best dad. Happy Father's Day, dad. Thanks for everything.

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