When Travis Wood was announced as the starter pinnacle moved the line 15c, it took them 15 minutes(according to sbrodds, not always the most reliable) to move the total price from over 9 -110 to over 9.5 +100, which is about a 20 cent move i'm pretty sure. According to the total it seems Wood is being handicapped to add an extra .34 runs to the game. The Yankees hit lefties about .30 OPS better and Wood's xFIP is a full point higher than Cueto. This seems like it should add more than .34 on to the total. If we assume they were to both go 6 innings, lets assume a 1 ERA difference between Cueto and Wood(this situation suggests it should be bigger)Cueto gives up 2 runs and wood gives up 2.66 runs. That's with a conservative estimate of only 1 ERA expected difference between the two.
I must be going wrong somewhere, anyone have any idea?
I must be going wrong somewhere, anyone have any idea?
