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Garcia, Cardinals Battle Toronto Blue Jays

St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Jaime Garcia (6-2, 3.19 ERA) was the ace of the staff for the first seven weeks of the season until a rough trip to Colorado made his ERA jump more than a full run. Regardless, Garcia remains unbeatable at Busch Stadium and will look to stay that way when his Cardinals host the Toronto Blue Jays in the second game of a three-game interleague series on Saturday.

First pitch from the Gateway City is scheduled for 4:15 p.m. (PT).

Garcia appeared to be following up a fantastic second year in the big leagues with an even better third before surrendering a season-high 12 runs and 11 hits in just 3 1/3 innings of a 15-4 loss to the Rockies on May 28. His ERA went from 1.93 to 3.28 and has not shrunk much since then as St. Louis has gone 2-2 in his past four starts.

He was 13-8 last year with a 2.70 ERA in 28 starts covering 163 1/3 innings.

Still, the Cardinals have not lost a home game with Garcia on the mound this season, going 6-0 with the southpaw earning four of those wins while posting an outstanding 0.81 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting only .169 against him at Busch, and he earned a victory at Toronto a year ago after allowing three runs and six hits with no walks and four strikeouts in six innings of a 9-4 win.

St. Louis won two of three meetings with the Blue Jays last season and is 6-3 against them dating back to 2003. Toronto pitcher Carlos Villanueva (4-1, 3.17) was not involved in any of those games because he was with Milwaukee in his first two seasons, but he has improved dramatically in his third year. He is 4-3 lifetime against the Cardinals with a 3.11 ERA in 24 games.

Villanueva has evolved into a very solid starter after making his first 13 appearances out of the bullpen. The Blue Jays are 5-1 in his starts, and he has allowed three runs or less three times over his past four outings.

He is also 3-1 on the road this season with an impressive 2.52 ERA.

Toronto suffered its first setback with Villanueva starting last time out at Cincinnati on Sunday. The right-hander allowed only two runs and seven hits in seven innings with no walks and three strikeouts. The Blue Jays lost that game 2-1 as +125 underdogs, which also resulted in one of eight consecutive ‘unders’ for them heading into Friday’s series opener against St. Louis.

Villanueva had seen the ‘over’ cash in his previous nine trips to the mound along with a remarkable 16 of 18, including his relief appearances. The ‘over’ was also 7-1-1 in the previous nine games for the Cardinals going into Friday. However, the ‘under’ is 5-1 in the past six meetings between the teams.

There is a 40 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms in St. Louis on Saturday night with the game-time temperature projected to be around 80 degrees.
 

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Detroit Tigers Send Ace To Mound Against Arizona

Justin Verlander aims for his sixth consecutive win Saturday when the Detroit Tigers continue their set at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The contest is scheduled to get started at 4:05 p.m. (PT) from Comerica Park with the D-Backs sending rookie Josh Collmenter to the mound.

The clubs entered the weekend interleague series battling for the lead in their respective division standings. Arizona held a slim half-game advantage over the Giants in the NL West while Detroit was a game behind the Indians in the AL Central.

Friday's matchup was still in progress with the Tigers listed at -150 on the Don Best odds screen behind Phil Coke with the Snakes countering with Zach Duke. Game 1's total was 9½-runs.

The two squads are meeting in Detroit for a second consecutive season and squaring off for the third time in the last four years. The Tigers won two of three last June, the 'over' also going 2-1. It's the ninth series between the teams with Arizona owning a 14-10 edge before Friday's clash.

Arizona started the weekend 20-17 on the road after completing a 3-game sweep in Kansas City on Thursday. Detroit was coming home following a 2-4 interleague road trip through Colorado and Los Angeles. The Tigers were 22-14 at Comerica heading into the series opener.

Few if any starting hurlers have been as tough as Verlander (10-6, 2.54) this season with all but one of his 16 assignments going in the books as a quality start. Detroit has won eight of his last nine trips to the mound, including his only outing that didn't go down as a quality start.

The right-hander is coming off consecutive complete-game efforts, including a beauty in Colorado this past Sunday. Verlander allowed just four hits and one run as 135 chalk, a Ty Wiggington solo shot keeping him from a second straight shutout.

Detroit is up a bit more than two units with Verlander on the hill this season, the 'over' 8-6 with a pair of 'pushes' in his matchups. The Tigers were down about four units while winning just four of the former Old Dominion star's first 10 starts, but have since cashed in each of his last six.

Collmenter (5-3, 2.09) enters the tilt having dropped his last two assignments. A 15th-round pick in 2007 out of Central Michigan, the righty will be making his second successive interleague appearance in Saturday's contest.

A couple of solo homers plus a leaky bullpen did him and the Diamondbacks in at home last Sunday as 130 favorites against the White Sox. Collmenter worked seven and allowed just three runs in the 8-2 loss, the second straight 'over' after five of his first six assignments stayed below the MLB betting totals.

Arizona is 3-1 in his four road starts with Collmenter sporting a 1.93 ERA away from Chase Field.

Saturday's Motown weather looks great after a possibly damp Friday. Afternoon highs are expected to only climb into the upper-70s under sunny skies. A WNW wind of 12-16 mph is on tap (out to LF).

Sunday's finale is a matchup of veterans with the D-Backs slated to start left-hander Joe Saunders opposite Detroit's Brad Penny. The Tigers welcome the Blue Jays to town on Monday while Arizona heads home to begin a 3-game set with the Indians.
 

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Saturday's Fox Tip Sheet

June 24, 2011


Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers (-140 & 7.5) - 4:10 pm (EDT)

The Dodgers and Angels are both struggling at the plate but have each been getting decent pitching to help them be competitive near the .500 mark over the last two weeks. However, all the stats go out the window when these two teams meet in the Freeway series. It may not have the luster on a national level like the Mets and Yankees squaring up, but there is animosity here that makes it attractive for any baseball fan to watch.

The Angels have always been kind of the second city team to the Dodgers, but when they had the audacity to begin calling themselves the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim in 2005, it struck a nerve with the Dodgers and their fans. Since winning the World Series in 2002, something that has eluded the Dodgers since 1988, the Orange county Angels have been a much better brand of baseball making the playoffs six times to the Dodgers four appearances.

Since interleague play began in 1997, the Angels have gotten the best of the Dodgers in the series with a 46-34 record, including going 5-1 last year and they posted a sweep at Dodger Stadium for the first time. In all, the Angels have gone 7-3-4 in the series with the Dodgers last winning a series against them in 2006.

In Saturday’s game the Dodgers will rely on Hiroki Kuroda (5-8) with hopes that he can recreate his last outing, a no-decision 1-0 win over the Astros. It was another game in a long line of Kuroda starts that the bats never helped him out. In his three previous starts he took the loss in all of them, yet never gave up more than two runs. He’s been a tough luck pitcher, but he still keeps his head up and pitches well.

Tyler Chatwood (4-4) has been brilliant at times this season, but on the same note, has had other games where he implodes. In his last two road starts he went seven strong innings and didn’t allow a run. In between those two games, he gave up five runs at home to the Rays and Royals.

If looking for a total angle, Chatwood has gone OVER the total in four of his five road starts while Kuroda has gone OVER the number in five of his home starts with one push.

Washington Nationals at Chicago White Sox (-147 & 8.5) - 4:10 pm (EDT)

Who can say that they don’t have Nationals fever right now? Winning 11 of 12 games and being over .500 won’t get a contract extension for a manager as Jim Riggleman found out, but it sure has a lot of baseball fans every where rooting for the upstart team to continue their run waving the flag for small-money teams everywhere.

It’ll be interesting to see how big of an impact that Riggleman really had over this team in the next few weeks. The Nats have the talent and the pitching has been terrific making this look like a prime job for the next few seasons, not to mention the loads of prospects ready for next year and beyond. What was Riggleman thinking? Not only was a dumb move for his career, but to bail on his team during this stretch says a lot about his character.

The one pitcher on the Nationals who can say he’s had nothing to do with the team’s recent success in Tom Gorzelanny (2-5), who was out for most of June with a sore left elbow until last week against the Orioles. His start against Baltimore was much of the same as his previous three before taking the injury and got hit hard for 10 hits and five runs in a loss, the Nats fourth in a row with him starting.

John Danks (3-8), meanwhile, is pitching better than ever having won his last three decisions in a row after his team had lost his first 10 of 11 starts. He didn’t pitch poorly in many of those losses, but his perseverance has paid off.

Between the Gorzelanny’s woes and Danks streak, taking the Nationals -- despite their great June run -- is a tough sell Saturday.

New York Mets at Texas Rangers (-165 & 9) - 4:10 pm (EDT)

The Mets are visiting Arlington for the first time since 2003 and will have a tough task ahead of them as they try to stop one of the best interleague teams over the last two seasons. After losing the series to Philadelphia last month, the Rangers have come back to take the last two series against the Braves and Astros.

Josh Hamilton has been the biggest reason for the Rangers success as he has hit safely in 17 straight interleague games including hitting .375 with two homers and eight RBI’s in six games this season.

Trying to stop Hamilton and the Rangers will be Jonathan Niese (6-6). He comes off a rocky start against the Angels where he lasted only four innings, giving up eight hits and five runs. However, there’s a silver lining that comes with Niese. He was outstanding in his previous four starts before the Angels game where he gave up only five runs combined in the 27.2 innings that resulted in him getting three of the wins.

Alexi Ogando (7-2) takes the mound for Texas having lost his last two starts, one of which was a thrashing from the Yankees where he lasted only 1.2 innings giving up six runs. However, both of those losses came on the road. At home, Ogando has been amazing with a 5-0 record and sparkling 1.91 ERA. The Rangers are 6-1 behind Ogando at home.

The major question you have to ask yourself is whether the Texas rookie is tiring now or is just a matter of being more comfortable at home. And then, where does Niese fit into that equation because he’s been pretty good himself. Betting the total OVER could be a nice option just because of their last starts and the uncertainty of each coming in.

Cleveland Indians at San Francisco Giants (-135 & 7) - 4:10 pm (EDT)

This matchups brings up memories from the 1954 World Series with Willie Mays making his famous catch of Vic Wertz’ drive in the Polo Grounds. The memories are of course from television, but that's the best thing about interleague play matchups because it allows us to relive and reflect on baseball’s glorious past.

The Indians last visited San Francisco in 2005 and swept the Giants, but things may be a little different this time around considering how stingy the Giants are at home. If we throw out the eight-run inning the Twins had Monday, the Giants have allowed only eight runs in 56 innings of interleague play this season.

What’s even worse for the Indians is that they’ll have to play without designated hitter Travis Hafner because of NL park rules. Hafner hasn’t played in the field since 2007, but he’s been smoking the ball all season when healthy and the Indians have been a drastically different team with him in the lineup.

Taking the mound for Cleveland will be Justin Masterson (5--5) who last won April 26, which at the time made him 5-0. He’s currently on a stretch that has seen the Indians lose seven of his last nine starts, but the good news is that they won his last start, a 5-2 win against the Pirates. Perhaps that’s a good sign. And if looking at his recent performances during his slump, he’s really only been bad in two starts. He just didn’t get any run support, part of which was the time when Hafner was out of the lineup.

Matt Cain (6-4) has been a different pitcher at home, but only has six starts there compared to his nine on the road. The Giants are 5-1 in those six home starts and he has an ERA of 2.68. That low ERA has contributed to five of his starts staying UNDER the total which could be a nice side to look at Saturday considering the Indians collectively hit .51 points lower without Hafner in the lineup.

Another angle to look at is taking the Indians with +1.5 runs because the Giants are 20-11 in one run games this season. It’s a higher price differential from the game line of any other team in baseball, but there’s good reason for it, because it almost always happens to be the winning side.

All lines used are the opening overnight lines from the South Point Casino in Las Vegas
 

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Around the Horn - Saturday

June 24, 2011




NATIONAL LEAGUE


Atlanta at San Diego - 8:35 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Jurrjens (9-3, 2.11 ERA) 5-3 L8 4-1 L5 away Game 2's
Moseley (2-6, 3.02 ERA) 3-7 L10 UNDER 7-0 L7 home Game 2's





INTERLEAGUE


Colorado at N.Y. Yankees - 1:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Cook (0-2, 4.67 ERA) 7-2 L9 UNDER 7-1 L8 away vs LHP
Sabathia (9-4, 3.39 ERA) 7-3 L10 11-1 home during day




Los Angeles (A) at Los Angeles (N) - 4:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Chatwood (4-4, 3.84 ERA) 6-3 L9 11-6 away during day
Kuroda (5-8, 3.07 ERA) 3-6 L9 3-9 home Game 2's




Washington at Chicago (A) - 4:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Gorzelanny (2-5, 4.53 ERA) 11-1 L12 2-6 L8 away during day
Danks (3-8, 4.29 ERA) 4-1 L5 OVER 4-1 L5 home during day




N.Y. Mets at Texas - 4:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Niese (6-6, 3.70 ERA) 2-5 L7 2-4 L6 away Game 2's
Ogando (7-2, 2.66 ERA) 5-2 L7 7-3 home during day




Cleveland at San Francisco - 4:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Masterson (5-5, 3.18 ERA) 1-3 L4 3-7 away during day
Cain (6-4, 3.44 ERA) 3-0 L3 6-3 L9 home during day




Cincinnati at Baltimore - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Arroyo (6-6, 4.86 ERA) 2-5 L7 UNDER 4-2 L6 away vs LHP
Matusz (1-2, 5.60 ERA) 4-7 L11 OVER 10-3 home Game 2's




Boston at Pittsburgh - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Wakefield (4-2, 4.26 ERA) 6-4 L10 6-0 L6 away Game 2's
Karstens (4-4, 2.54 ERA) 3-0 L3 9-3 home Game 2's




Oakland at Philadelphia - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Cahill (7-5, 3.24 ERA) 6-3 L9 0-6 L6 away vs LHP
Hamels (9-3, 2.51 ERA) 11-3 L14 7-1 L8 home vs RHP




Arizona at Detroit - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Collmenter (4-3, 2.09 ERA) 6-2 L8 10-2 L12 away vs RHP
Verlander (9-3, 2.54 ERA) 3-6 L9 8-3 L11 home vs RHP




Tampa Bay at Houston - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Davis (6-5, 4.57 ERA) 6-1 L7 2-5 L7 away Game 2's
Norris (4-5, 3.26 ERA) 3-7 L10 OVER 9-3 home Game 2's




Chicago (N) at Kansas City - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Zambrano (6-4, 4.50 ERA) 2-4 L6 3-6 away vs LHP
Duffy (1-2, 5.03 ERA) 1-8 L9 2-6 L8 home Game 2's




Minnesota at Milwaukee - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Liriano (4-6, 4.59 ERA) 8-3 L11 1-4 L5 away Game 2's
Gallardo (8-4, 4.11 ERA) 4-7 L11 UNDER 11-5 vs LHP




Toronto at St. Louis - 7:15 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Villanueva (4-1, 3.17 ERA) 1-4 L5 OVER 7-2 away vs LHP
Garcia (6-2, 3.19 ERA) 3-10 L13 8-3 home Game 2's




Seattle at Florida - 10:10 PM EST (Game 2/3) *Played at Safeco Field
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Vargas (5-4, 3.75 ERA) 4-6 L10 UNDER 13-2 L15 Game 2's
Volstad (2-7, 5.65 ERA) 1-13 L14 1-7 L8 vs LHP
 

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Interleague Results (1997-2011)

AMERICAN LEAGUE RESULTS (1997-2011)

AL TEAMS W-L 2008 2009 2010 2011

Baltimore Orioles 95-125 11-7 11-7 7-11 4-5

Boston Red Sox 120-100 11-7 11-7 13-5 5-4

Chicago White Sox 122-99 12-6 11-6 15-3 6-3

Cleveland Indians 113-107 6-12 5-13 5-13 7-2

Detroit Tigers 116-104 13-5 10-8 11-7 3-6

Kansas City Royals 101-119 13-5 8-10 8-10 2-7

Los Angeles Angels 120-101 10-8 14-4 11-7 6-3
Minnesota Twins 127-92 14-4 12-6 8-10 4-5

New York Yankees 128-90 10-7 10-8 11-7 6-3

Oakland Athletics 128-93 10-8 5-13 8-10 4-5

Seattle Mariners 120-101 9-9 11-7 9-9 5-4

Tampa Bay Rays 93-112 12-6 13-5 7-11 6-3

Texas Rangers 110-111 10-8 9-9 14-4 5-4

Toronto Blue Jays 103-117 8-10 7-11 7-11 3-6

AL Totals 1,851-1,691* 137-115 137-114 134-116 67-60




NATIONAL LEAGUE RESULTS (1997-2011)

NL TEAMS W-L 2008 2009 2010 2011

Arizona Diamondbacks 85-96 6-9 5-10 6-9 7-2

Atlanta Braves 110-95 8-7 7-8 9-6 5-4

Chicago Cubs 86-92 6-9 7-7 8-10 3-6

Cincinnati Reds 81-100 9-6 6-9 8-7 2-7

Colorado Rockies 89-98 7-8 11-4 9-6 4-2

Florida Marlins 112-98 5-10 10-8 7-8 3-6

Houston Astros 95-96 7-11 6-9 3-12 3-3

Los Angeles Dodgers 93-104 5-10 9-9 4-11 3-3

Milwaukee Brewers 81-97 7-8 5-10 9-6 2-4

New York Mets 105-100 9-6 5-10 13-5 4-5

Philadelphia Phillies 93-112 3-15 6-12 8-7 3-3

Pittsburgh Pirates 65-109 5-9 8-7 2-13 4-5

St. Louis Cardinals 95-86 7-8 9-6 9-6 4-2

San Diego Padres 85-115 3-15 5-10 9-6 2-7

San Francisco Giants 100-103 6-12 9-6 7-8 5-4

Washington Nationals** 111-109 8-10 7-11 5-13 6-3

NL Totals 1,691-1,851 115-137 114-137 116-134 60-67
 

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Saturday's betting tips: Huge over trend in San Diego

Weather to watch

A 17 mph wind is forecast to be blowing in from right field in Arlington today, when the Rangers host the Mets.

Who’s Hot

MLB: Hiroki Kuroda hasn’t won since mid-May, but his numbers in June say he’s pitching better than the results his receiving. Batters are hitting just .211 off him this month, and he has a miniscule 1.92. ERA in June.

MLB: Astros starter Bud Norris has been deadly in his last three starts, boasting a sparkling .086 ERA. Norris takes the mound against Tampa Bay today.

PGA: Nineteen-year-old Patrick Cantlay shot a course-record 10-under 60 to take the lead into the third round of the Travelers Championship. It’s the lowest round ever by an amateur on the PGA Tour.

Who’s Not

MLB: Pirates are Pirates are 7-17 in Jeff Karstens' last 24 starts as an underdog. Pittsburgh is a +120 dog against the Red Sox today.

MLB: Dodgers are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. American League West. The Dodgers are -135 favorites at home against the Angels.

Game of the Day: Rockies at Yankees (-208, 9), 1:05 p.m.

Quote to Note

“I knew where I was. I knew I needed to make eagle on 18 for 59,” he said. “It’s tough to hole it from 152.” -- UCLA freshman Patrick Cantlay on his record-breaking round.

Betting tips

Petco Park is known as a pitchers’ park and is legendary for producing unders – just not when the Braves are in town. The Over is 26-6-3 in the last 35 meetings between the Braves and Padres in San Diego.

Pitching is dominating right now, and oddsmakers haven’t quite gotten adjusted. Heading into Friday night’s action, unders had cashed in 47 of the last 82 games (57.32%) over the last seven days.

Roger Federer is vying for his seventh Wimbledon title, which would tie Pete Sampras’ mark, but an old nemesis stands in his way today. Federer is a big favorite (-2000) over David Nalbandian, but is only 10-8 lifetime against the Argentine.
 

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Saturday's six-pack

-- Was fun to see Dirk Nowitzki throw out the first pitch Friday night at the Rangers' game; good to see someone look so happy.

-- An overflow crowd of 39,330 saw the Pirates beat Boston last night; who says interleague play isn't popular?

-- Washington Nationals are supposedly close to hiring Davey Johnson as its manager; Johnson has won wherever he's gone in the big leagues.

-- Thanks to Vanderbilt's baseball coach for having ace Sonny Gray toss 132 pitches in the College World Series Friday. Gray was the A's #1 pick in the draft earlier this month. Its a safe bet that as long as he's in the Oakland organization, he'll never throw 132 pitches in a game.

-- UCLA golfer Patrick Candlay has a four-stroke lead at the Hartford Open; kid has three years of college left- he's still an amateur.

-- Last amateur to win a PGA Tour event? Phil Mickelson, in 1991.


************************


Saturday's List of 13: College football food for thought......

13) Utah is 33-6 SU the last three years, 21-3 in Mountain West, but now they’re a Pac-10 team, a step up in class. New OC Norm Chow gets to coach against three of his former employers (USC-BYU-UCLA).

12) Phil Steele, one of America’s foremost (if not THE foremost college football expert), ranks these four as the top QB’s in America this year:
Andrew Luck (Stanford), Landry Jones (Oklahoma), Matt Barkley (USC) and Nick Foles (Arizona).

11) Speaking of Luck, his dad, former NFL QB Oliver Luck, is the AD at West Virginia, where the coaching staff is in chaos after Bill Stewart was bought out of his contract this spring. Mountaineers have only four starters back on defense- their new head coach is famous for working with wide open offenses (Houston-Texas Tech-Oklahoma State), so West Virginia figures to play lot of high scoring games this season.

10) In the last five years, TCU has played just three games east of the Mississippi (beat Army-Virginia-Clemson) but starting in 2012, for whatever bizarre reason, they’ll be a Big East team. Get a map, find Fort Worth, then find Syracuse. How can these two schools possibly be in the same league? Do colleges have Geography classes? Horned Frogs lost 14 of 22 starters from LY, by the way.

9) One of the wild cards still to be determined is where former NC State QB Russell Wilson will play his final season of college football this year, or will he play at all? Wisconsin/Auburn were mentioned as possibilities, but no news yet. Wilson is currently batting .234 in Class A ball with 82 strikeouts in 188 AB’s, but he is 6 for his last 17.

8) Penn State was dogged by poor QB play LY, going 7-6; electric runner Bolden is now a sophomore, but for the Lions to return to form of 2008-09 (combined 22-4), Penn State needs to play better on the road. The last five years, Penn State is 0-6 vs spread as a road underdog- they visit Ohio State/Wisconsin in consecutive weeks in late November.

7) BYU, which I guess fancies itself as being like Notre Dame, is now an independent in football (WCC in basketball); Cougars have ten starters back on offense- they open with road games at Ole Miss/Texas, then open at home with rival Utah. Cougars are going to be a fascinating study the next few years.

6) If I told you ten years ago that Temple would do so well in football that Miami Hurricanes would hire their head coach, would you have believed me? Owls are 17-8 the last two years, but now Al Golden is in Coral Gables, where ‘canes are just 16-33 vs spread as a home favorite the last nine years. Miami has a senior QB and seven starters back on both sides of the ball.

5) Turns out Oregon State played the hardest schedule LY; of the top five hardest schedules in 2010, Washington was the only team to go bowling. Teams with the eight easiest schedules all went bowling (all MAC/Sun Belt teams, except for UCF). Team with the easiest schedule that didn’t go bowling was North Texas.

4) Turnover ratio is tricky; sometimes it’s a measure of good/bad luck, other times it’s a measure of who forces mistakes. LY, Virginia Tech (+19) led country in turnover margin, followed by Tulsa (+17), Army (+16) and Ohio State/Maryland (+15).

3) Middle Tennessee (-19) lost its QB to a gambling charge for four games; they were minus-7 in the four games he missed, and wound up with the nation’s worst turnover ratio. Somehow, they still went to a bowl, losing 35-21 to Miami, O.

2) Nebraska’s move to the Big Dozen (former Big 11) is fascinating; they’re 29-12 under Bo Pelini , 17-9 in league play, and now move into a weaker league. Cornhuskers’ first Big Dozen game is October 1 at Wisconsin, a week before they host Ohio State.

1) Obviously, the Buckeyes are under the microscope this year, with both the coach/QB leaving Columbus under an NCAA cloud this spring. Ohio State is 66-11 the last six years; their Sept 17 game at Miami is going to be very telling, for both sides. Buckeyes were +4 in turnovers in LY’s 36-24 win; somehow, I think Al Golden will beat the Buckeyes this time around, his first signature win for the Hurricanes.
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MLB
Dunkel


Tampa Bay at Houston
The Rays look to build on their 10-1 record in Wade Davis' last 11 road starts against teams with a losing record. Tampa Bay is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+100) Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, JUNE 25

Game 901-902: Atlanta at San Diego (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 16.472; San Diego (Moseley) 15.549
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-130); Under

Game 903-904: Colorado at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 15.812; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.561
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+180); Over

Game 905-906: LA Angels at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Chatwood) 14.504; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 14.995
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-140); Under

Game 907-908: Washington at Chicago White Sox (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gorzelanny) 16.629; White Sox (Danks) 15.428
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+130); Over

Game 909-910: NY Mets at Texas (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 14.839; Texas (Ogando) 15.567
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-170); Over

Game 911-912: Cincinnati at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.507; Baltimore (Matusz) 15.940
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-105); Under

Game 913-914: Arizona at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Collmenter) 16.147; Detroit (Verlander) 15.119
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+155); Over

Game 915-916: Oakland at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 15.099; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.521
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-200); Under

Game 917-918: Boston at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Wakefield) 15.607; Pittsburgh (Karstens) 15.228
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-140); Under

Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Houston (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Davis) 16.189; Houston (Norris) 14.468
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+100); Over

Game 921-922: Minnesota at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 15.690; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.316
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130); Under

Game 923-924: Chicago Cubs at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 15.249; Kansas City (Duffy) 13.455
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-115); Over

Game 925-926: Toronto at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Villanueva) 14.469; St. Louis (Garcia) 14.215
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+125); Over

Game 927-928: Cleveland at San Francisco (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 15.276; San Francisco (Cain) 16.467
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-135); Under

Game 929-930: Seattle at Florida (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 15.202; Florida (Volstad) 13.661
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-140); Under
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Sep 26, 2005
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Long Sheet


Saturday, June 25

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ATLANTA (43 - 34) at SAN DIEGO (33 - 44) - 8:35 PM
JAIR JURRJENS (R) vs. DUSTIN MOSELEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 16-28 (-16.4 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 123-117 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 3-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
SAN DIEGO is 15-26 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 15-26 (-12.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN DIEGO is 15-26 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 16-33 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 10-22 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-3 (+1.9 Units) against ATLANTA this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.8 Units)

JAIR JURRJENS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
JURRJENS is 3-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.394.
His team's record is 3-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

DUSTIN MOSELEY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MOSELEY is 0-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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COLORADO (38 - 37) at NY YANKEES (43 - 31) - 1:05 PM
AARON COOK (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 59-61 (-18.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 122-117 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 50-68 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 7-18 (-13.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 122-117 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COOK is 29-44 (-23.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 20-4 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
COLORADO is 25-12 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

AARON COOK vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

C.C. SABATHIA vs. COLORADO since 1997
SABATHIA is 1-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.41 and a WHIP of 1.985.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

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LA ANGELS (38 - 39) at LA DODGERS (34 - 43) - 4:10 PM
TYLER CHATWOOD (R) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 15-22 (-11.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 109-120 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 60-39 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 109-100 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 32-14 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 78-46 (+33.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 45-39 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 17-26 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA DODGERS are 34-43 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 34-43 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 23-33 (-11.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

TYLER CHATWOOD vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

HIROKI KURODA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
KURODA is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.422.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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WASHINGTON (39 - 37) at CHI WHITE SOX (37 - 40) - 4:10 PM
TOM GORZELANNY (L) vs. JOHN DANKS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
GORZELANNY is 5-16 (-13.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 21-7 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 60-49 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 39-37 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 22-17 (+7.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 39-37 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 26-34 (-16.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TOM GORZELANNY vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
GORZELANNY is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

JOHN DANKS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY METS (37 - 39) at TEXAS (41 - 36) - 4:10 PM
JON NIESE (L) vs. ALEXI OGANDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 62-56 (+9.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against NY METS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JON NIESE vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

ALEXI OGANDO vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

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CINCINNATI (39 - 38) at BALTIMORE (34 - 39) - 7:05 PM
BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. BRIAN MATUSZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 3-10 (-8.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
BALTIMORE is 52-50 (+17.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MATUSZ is 16-10 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MATUSZ is 17-13 (+13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 62-48 (+12.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 79-49 (+15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 546-626 (+53.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 485-571 (+38.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 361-405 (+40.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
ARROYO is 10-2 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 8-20 (-11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
ARROYO is 2-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.96 and a WHIP of 1.519.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

BRIAN MATUSZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

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ARIZONA (43 - 34) at DETROIT (40 - 36) - 7:05 PM
JOSH COLLMENTER (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 74-45 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 74-45 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 32-9 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 52-25 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 13-6 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 20-11 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 43-34 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 43-34 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 32-23 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 32-23 (+11.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.2 Units)

JOSH COLLMENTER vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

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OAKLAND (34 - 43) at PHILADELPHIA (48 - 29) - 7:05 PM
TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 34-43 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 15-27 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 33-41 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 19-29 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 110-66 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 32-32 (+26.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 since 1997.
CAHILL is 29-18 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 2-8 (-8.4 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

COLE HAMELS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.
 

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BOSTON (44 - 31) at PITTSBURGH (38 - 37) - 7:05 PM
TIM WAKEFIELD (R) vs. JEFF KARSTENS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 13-16 (-12.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 38-31 (+14.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 38-37 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 26-22 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 290-309 (+37.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 38-37 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 27-7 (+17.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 107-183 (-44.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.5 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

TIM WAKEFIELD vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
WAKEFIELD is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.429.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JEFF KARSTENS vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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TAMPA BAY (42 - 34) at HOUSTON (28 - 49) - 7:05 PM
WADE DAVIS (R) vs. BUD NORRIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 24-16 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 21-14 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TAMPA BAY is 42-25 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 28-9 (+19.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DAVIS is 10-1 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 26-48 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 8-21 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 16-38 (-18.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 28-49 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 8-22 (-13.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
HOUSTON is 13-26 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

WADE DAVIS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

BUD NORRIS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
NORRIS is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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MINNESOTA (32 - 42) at MILWAUKEE (42 - 35) - 7:10 PM
FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. YOVANI GALLARDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 13-28 (-12.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 27-11 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 27-11 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LIRIANO is 3-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.261.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
GALLARDO is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 0.933.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (31 - 44) at KANSAS CITY (31 - 45) - 7:10 PM
CARLOS ZAMBRANO (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 107-131 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 344-382 (-91.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 107-131 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 8-22 (-14.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 49-58 (-24.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ZAMBRANO is 12-2 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 14-8 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 14-8 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 19-9 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 41-24 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 33-47 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 219-330 (-99.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CARLOS ZAMBRANO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

DANNY DUFFY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

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TORONTO (37 - 39) at ST LOUIS (41 - 36) - 7:15 PM
CARLOS VILLANUEVA (R) vs. JAIME GARCIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 28-18 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 61-61 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 122-117 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 68-65 (-25.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 126-112 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 124-111 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GARCIA is 9-15 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CARLOS VILLANUEVA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
VILLANUEVA is 2-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.158.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

JAIME GARCIA vs. TORONTO since 1997
GARCIA is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (40 - 34) at SAN FRANCISCO (42 - 34) - 9:05 PM
JUSTIN MASTERSON (R) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 145-109 (+26.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 65-42 (+17.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 128-76 (+33.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-27 (+18.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 144-107 (+27.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-18 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 73-63 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CAIN is 52-32 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 31-11 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 52-31 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 40-34 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 37-31 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 29-21 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 30-24 (+8.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JUSTIN MASTERSON vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

MATT CAIN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
CAIN is 0-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (38 - 38) vs. FLORIDA (33 - 43) - 10:10 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. CHRIS VOLSTAD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 38-58 (-23.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 100-138 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 97-132 (-33.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 42-28 (+13.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 96-93 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 44-40 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 28-14 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against FLORIDA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. FLORIDA since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS VOLSTAD vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.
 

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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
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MLB
Write-Up


Saturday, June 25

Remember as interleague play starts, there are DHs used in games in the American League ballparks; pitchers bat in National League parks. Florida Marlins are home team for series with Seattle this week, even though series is at Safeco Field. Marlins will bat last, there isn't a DH in series. Marlins' ballpark isn't available this weekend.

AL teams are 72-68 vs NL teams so far in interleague play, but 16-30 the last four nights.
Over is 27-29-4 with a DH, 34-40-5 without one, 61-69-9 overall.

Hot pitchers
-- Jurrjens is 4-2, 2.72 in his last six starts. Moseley is 1-0, 3.26 in his last five outings.
-- Kuroda has a 2.37 RA in his last three starts, no wins in his last six.
-- Danks is 3-0, 2.05 in his last three starts.
-- Niese is 3-1, 3.09 in his last five starts.
-- Arroyo is 3-1, 3.18 in his last four starts.
-- Verlander is 4-0, 1.06 in his last four starts.
-- Hamels is 5-1, 1.72 in his last seven starts.
-- Karstens is 1-0, 0.98 in his last four starts. Former Pirate Wakefield is 4-1, 3.83 in his last six.
-- Norris is 1-1, 0.86 in his last three starts.
-- Liriano is 1-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.
-- Villanueva is 3-1, 3.33 in his last four starts.
-- Cain is 3-0, 2.43 in his last four starts.
-- Vargas is 2-1, 2.23 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Cook is 0-2, 4.67 in three starts this season. Sabathia has a 6.10 RA in his last three starts, but Bronx won six of his last seven, scoring 53 runs.
-- Chatwood is 1-2, 4.06 in his last five starts.
-- Gorzelanny is 0-2, 8.10 in his last four starts.
-- Ogando is 0-2, 12.15 in his last two starts.
-- Matusz is 0-2, 10.80 in his last couple starts.
-- Collmenter is 0-2, 6.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Cahill is 1-5, 5.48 in his last eight starts.
-- WDavis is 2-3, 6.64 in his last seven starts, 2-0, 4.50 in his last two.
-- Gallardo is 0-2, 8.36 in his last three starts.
-- Zambrano is 1-2, 6.64 in his last three starts. Duffy is 1-2, 5.03 in his seven starts this season.
-- JGarcia is 1-2, 6.83 in his last five starts.
-- Masterson is 0-5, 4.67 in his last eight starts.
-- Volstad is 0-6, 5.77 in his last ten starts.

Totals
-- Under is 7-0-2 in last nine Jurrjens starts.
-- Three of Pirates' last four home games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Collmenter road starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Cincinnati games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last eleven Colorado road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 4-1-2 in Mets' last seven road games.
-- Six of last nine Houston home games went over the total.
-- Eight of last twelve Washington road games stayed under total.
-- Seven of Brewers' last ten games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine Zambrano starts went over the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Cardinals' last nine home games.
-- Over is 9-3-2 in Dodgers' last fourteen games.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in Giants' last fourteen home games.
-- Seven of last nine Florida games stayed under the total.

Hot Teams
-- Braves won six of their last eight road games. San Diego won its last three games, scoring 22 runs.
-- Pirates won four of their last five home games.
-- Detroit won nine of its last 13 home games. Arizona won eight of its last nine road games.
-- Bronx won six of its last eight home games. Rockies won seven of their last ten games.
-- Washington won 12 of its last 13 games. White Sox won four of their last six home games.
-- Phillies won ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Tampa Bay won eight of its last eleven road games.
-- Texas won four of its last five home games.
-- Angels won four of their last five road games.
-- Giants won four of their last five home games.

Cold Teams
-- Boston lost its last three games, scoring six runs.
-- Reds lost five of their last seven games. Orioles lost eight of 12.
-- Dodgers lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Mets are 3-5 in their last eight games.
-- Oakland lost its last three games, scoring three runs.
-- Kansas City lost seven of its last nine games. Cubs lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Minnesota lost its last three games, scoring five runs. Milwaukee lost seven of its last eleven games.
-- Astros lost eight of their last nine home games.
-- Toronto lost four of its last five games. Cardinals lost ten of their last thirteen games (starting Ps 1-7).
-- Indians lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Mariners lost four of their last six games. Florida lost its last nine games outside of south Florida; they're 2-21 in last 23 games overall.

Umpires
-- Atl-SD-- Underdogs are 8-5 in last 13 Danley games.
-- Col-NY-- Five of last six Rapuano games went over total.
-- LA-LA-- All three Conroy games this year went over the total.
-- Wsh-Chi-- Six of last eight Estabrook games went over the total.
-- NY-Tex-- Visitor won eight of last ten Dimuro games.
-- Cin-Balt-- Seven of last eight Johnson games went over the total.
-- Az-Det-- Four of last five Muchlinski games stayed under total.
-- A's-Phil-- Five of last seven Hernandez games stayed under total.
-- Bos-Pitt-- 12 of last 13 Davis games went over the total.
-- TB-Hst-- Last four Wolf games went over the total.
-- Min-Mil-- Five of last seven Bellino games stayed under total.
-- Chi-KC-- Six of last nine Cooper games went over the total.
-- Tor-StL-- Four of last five Hudson games went over the total.
-- Clev-SF-- Underdogs are 11-4 in last fifteen Davidson games.
-- Sea-Fla-- Under is 7-2-2 in last eleven Bell games, with underdogs 3-0 in his last three games behind the plate.
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Saturday, June 25

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Trend Report
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1:05 PM
COLORADO vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 11 games on the road
Colorado is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Colorado
NY Yankees are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games at home

4:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games

4:10 PM
NY METS vs. TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games on the road
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets

4:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. LA DODGERS
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Angels
LA Dodgers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels

4:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Cleveland is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Francisco's last 15 games at home

7:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. BALTIMORE
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
Baltimore is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games

7:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. DETROIT
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona

7:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. PHILADELPHIA
Oakland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games

7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Boston is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Boston

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. HOUSTON
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Houston's last 20 games at home

7:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games when playing Kansas City
Chi Cubs are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. MILWAUKEE
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

7:15 PM
TORONTO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home

8:35 PM
ATLANTA vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
San Diego is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Atlanta
San Diego is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games

10:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 13 games on the road
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games
Florida is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games at home
 

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Saturday, June 25

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Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Justin Verlander, Detroit Tigers (9-3, 2.54 ERA)

The Tigers’ righthander is clearing space on his mantle for the 2011 AL Cy Young Award. Verlander is the frontrunner for the American League’s top pitching honor and his recent starts have helped, winning five straight outings and remaining undefeated in his previous 10 starts. He’s been especially stingy in June, boasting a 1.06 ERA over four games.

John Danks, Chicago White Sox (3-8, 4.29 ERA)

After a rough start to the season, the ChiSox’s southpaw is beginning to find his form in June. Danks has won three straight outings, posting a 1.09 ERA and 17 strikeouts in those wins. Even a line drive to the head couldn’t slow down the lefty. Danks took one off the bean in Saturday’s win over Arizona, but stayed in the game to pitch seven innings and gave up only one run on seven hits.


Slumping

Tom Gorzelanny, Washington Nationals (2-5, 4.53 ERA)

These are strange days in D.C. The Nationals are winning for the first time in franchise history and yet watched their manager, Jim Riggleman, walk away this week. Gozelanny is hoping all that drama is distracting fans from his terrible work on the mound. The lefty is 0-3 in his last three outings and has just two wins in 10 starts this season. He’s lugging a 7.63 ERA during this recent skid and hasn’t pitched past the sixth inning in four straight appearances.

Yovani Gallardo, Milwaukee Brewers (8-4, 4.11 ERA)

Gallardo is coming back to earth after an incredible start to the schedule. He’s followed six straight wins with a 0-2 record and 6.43 ERA in his last three outings. He was chased after just four innings, giving up four runs on 10 hits, versus the Mets on June 9. Then, he lasted only three innings in his most recent start, allowing five runs on eight hits, including two home runs, in a 12-3 beating at the hands of the Red Sox Sunday. Control issues are the biggest problem for the Brew Crew’s righty.
 

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Saturday, June 25

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Hot lines: Saturday's best MLB bets
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Boston Red Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates (+125, 8.5)

What is with the major leagues these days? The Nationals are rolling and the Bucs are taking down American League giants like Jack chopping down that beanstalk.

The Pirates extended their winning streak to three games with a 3-1 victory over the Boston Red Sox in Friday’s interleague series opener and are slim underdogs at home for Saturday’s Game 2.

A big part of that price tag are the recent performances from Saturday’s starter, Jeff Karstens. The right hander has only one win to show for in his last four starts, but has given up just two total runs in that span, including two scoreless performances.

Karstens is one of the best under pitchers in the bigs this season, lugging a 5-11 over/under mark to the mound. Including a relief appearance on May 25, the Pirates have played below the total in all six of Karstens’ most recent showings.

Including Friday’s 3-1 finish, that stayed below the 7.5-run number, the Bucs and BoSox are 1-4 over/under in their last five meetings.

Pick: Under 8.5


Toronto Blue Jays at St. Louis Cardinals (-144, 8)

After sleeping through most of June, Jose Bautista’s bat is awake and hitting again. The reigning home run leader blasted a game-winning dinger Friday night, giving the Blue Jays a 5-4 victory over the Cardinals.

That round-tripper was Bautista’s second home run in as many nights, snapping a cold streak for the Toronto slugger. Bautista went eight games without a four-bagger and had just one home run in his last 22 games before hitting a solo blast against the Atlanta Braves Wednesday.

“I’ve been working on my timing, I got a little inconsistent over those three weeks or so,” he told the Toronto Star.

“I feel like I’m on time now with my swing, the rest is just getting a pitch to hit, which I did and I was able to put a good swing on it.”

The Jays suffer when Bautista isn’t knocking them out of the park. During that 22-game slump, Toronto posted a 10-12 record, with eight of those losses coming as the betting favorite.

With Bautista feeling like his old self again, the Jays’ high-powered offense, which ranked third in the majors before its slugger’s slump, should get back on track this weekend.

Pick: Toronto +136
 

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Saturday, June 25

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Colorado - 1:05 PM ET Colorado +226 500
NY Yankees - Over 9 500

Washington - 4:10 PM ET Washington +145 500
Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500

Cleveland - 4:10 PM ET San Francisco -136 500
San Francisco - Over 6.5 500

NY Mets - 4:10 PM ET Texas -162 500
Texas - Under 9 500

LA Angels - 4:10 PM ET LA Angels +125 500
LA Dodgers - Under 7.5 500

Boston - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh +120 500
Pittsburgh - Over 8 500

Cincinnati - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore -105 500
Baltimore - Under 9.5 500

Tampa Bay - 7:05 PM ET Houston -118 500
Houston - Over 8 500

Arizona - 7:05 PM ET Arizona +170 500
Detroit - Under 7 500

Oakland - 7:05 PM ET Oakland +174 500
Philadelphia - Under 7 500

Chi. Cubs - 7:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +104 500
Kansas City - Over 9 500

Minnesota - 7:10 PM ET Minnesota +137 500
Milwaukee - Under 7.5 500

Toronto - 7:15 PM ET Toronto +134 500
St. Louis - Over 8 500

Atlanta - 8:35 PM ET Atlanta -132 500
San Diego - Under 6.5 500

Seattle - 10:10 PM ET Seattle -130 500
Florida - Over 7 500
 

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