A few years ago I read a spiel that said over the last 20yrs Wrigley Field is only good for a 1/2 run more a game over the ML average with the wind blowing out (that is of course with the wind blowing out in the other parks).
Assuming that many think it's a much higher discrepancy (and thus inflated totals) I began making small under plays on any 10+ line at Wrigley.
And although I lost exact track (did it near then end of the year and forgot about it, honestly), I know I nailed 13 of the first 17.
This is a one-off make up game too, so the chances are decent that they'll try to get it in.
Taking 11 today, actually.
James