Cubs/Rockies Under 12.........

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This is a joke of a total. Don't give a shit what way the wind is blowing. 2 good pitchers. Won't come close to 12 runs. Get it.
 
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Good chance they won't finish this one. It looks like heavy T-storms are supposed to arrive around 4:00.
 

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Smell a bloodbath. Over or no play last time it went over easily when total was this high.
 

snappin necks & cashin checks
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Smell a bloodbath. Over or no play last time it went over easily when total was this high.
That's what tends to happen when the total gets north of 10. The game SHOULD go crazy high and are hoping to get enough square money to bet against the inflated number.
 

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First 5 Under seems like a good idea.
If there are storms coming in, they'll want to get the game through 5 innings as quick as they can.
 
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Cubs!!!
 

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Not saying this will go under, but Chacin had 13Ks in 14.2IP vs the Cubs and the rest of his outs were mainly groundouts (3.25 and 1.2 G/F ratio). Same with Garza in his 2011 starts vs COL: 12Ks in 12IP and a 4.5 and 2.5 G/F ratio...so MAYBE those two won't be that much affected by the winds like other pitchers...
 
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I like the Cubs and the OVER...I see a 7-6 type of game here.

everybody sucking Chacin's dick now...even though last week, public was hammmmmmmmering Rockies/Indians total with him and Talbot pitching. now he's a sure thing?

4 homers in 5 day games this year. I like the Cubs chances to add to that. this total is gonna be decided on how Garza performs. that's is why I can't side with a total...I'm betting the Cubbies.

gl
 

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I watch all of the Rockies games and Chacin's last start vs. the Indians looks like a great start with no decision. Telling factor might be the six walks he gave up as he had a major control breakdown. In one inning he walked the bases loaded. He has terrific stuff but the last start might be a signal that he could struggle in a windy environment like Wrigley.
Just my two cents worth.
 

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love joe p's thoughts about the under..wind is crucial at wf, sometimes even the biggest factor. gl boys, playing the over for a small fee.
 

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A few years ago I read a spiel that said over the last 20yrs Wrigley Field is only good for a 1/2 run more a game over the ML average with the wind blowing out (that is of course with the wind blowing out in the other parks).

Assuming that many think it's a much higher discrepancy (and thus inflated totals) I began making small under plays on any 10+ line at Wrigley.

And although I lost exact track (did it near then end of the year and forgot about it, honestly), I know I nailed 13 of the first 17.

This is a one-off make up game too, so the chances are decent that they'll try to get it in.

Taking 11 today, actually.

James
 

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Never mind that the rain shouldn't be in till ~4 CST to begin with, and according to the WC's latest, it'll be hit or miss t-storms.

James
 

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A few years ago I read a spiel that said over the last 20yrs Wrigley Field is only good for a 1/2 run more a game over the ML average with the wind blowing out (that is of course with the wind blowing out in the other parks).

Assuming that many think it's a much higher discrepancy (and thus inflated totals) I began making small under plays on any 10+ line at Wrigley.

And although I lost exact track (did it near then end of the year and forgot about it, honestly), I know I nailed 13 of the first 17.

This is a one-off make up game too, so the chances are decent that they'll try to get it in.

Taking 11 today, actually.

James

got any stats on that? FairWarning should have something interesting to say about this stuff.
 

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