BC/Montreal w/analysis

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PICKS HISTORY


2004 11-6 + 4.12 units

2005 7-7 +1.15 units


2006 11-4 +12.12 units


2008 9-3 +13.35 units


2009 9-10 -3.41 units


2010 30-15 +27.56 units

HOME TEAM IN CAPS

B.C. Lions +6½/+215 over MONTREAL
The Alouettes are once again favored to win the Grey Cup but this year’s edition is not nearly as strong as the past two seasons. They virtually have no running game or at least no proven running game and Anthony Calvillo is not getting any younger. The Als are short on proven receivers too and in terms of offense, one really has to wonder where it’s going to come from. Defensively, Montreal was vulnerable a year ago to big plays and lots of yards and they haven’t improved much at all. This line is predicated on past pedigree but again, this year’s edition of the Alouettes are right in the middle of the pack in terms of talent and even that might be generous. Meanwhile, the Lions started the year 1-7 before going on a 7-3 run to close out the season. Two of those three losses were in OT so they could have gone 9-1 to end the year. They lost in double OT to Saskatchewan in the playoffs and this year they’re going to be better. Travis Lulay is the real deal entering his third season. All he did last year once he took over was throw for over 2600 yards on over 64% completions. The Lions defense is established and pretty much unchanged. They return 10 of 12 starters from a year ago and they kept getting better as the season wore on. The Lions might be the most complete team in the CFL with a solid defense, a solid QB and great kicking game. Not only can they cover this number, they could and likely will win this game outright against a way overvalued host. Play: B.C. Lions +6½ (Risking 1.2 units to win 1) Play B.C Lions +215 (Risking 1 unit).


 

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Lions are one of my favorite dogs in the CFL .........good luck and lets have a year !
 

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