messing around with some numbers

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Rx. Senior
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Nov 8, 2007
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one run per game average is worth about 45 cents
using baseballprospectus true average and equivalent average, each .001 is worth two cents

Colorado +161
Cubs +102
Cincinnati +106
Dodgers -1.5 +154
Yankees -1.5 +113
Detroit -120
Texas -131
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
Nov 8, 2007
Messages
5,490
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4-3 +$156

everything is based on how much the team should be expected to score based on obp and slg; how good the starting pitcher is based on k, bb and groundballs; plus homefield advantage. Last day before I leave, then I'll look into travel schedule, defense, bullpens and especially starting pitchers recent workloads

Atlanta +161
Colorado +123
Milwaukee -1.5 +170
St Louis -115
Dodgers -1.5 +186
Mets +126
Texas -1.5 +136
Angels -1.5 +135
 

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