Canadian bacon: CFL Week 2 betting preview and picks

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Canadian bacon: CFL Week 2 betting preview and picks


Toronto Argonauts at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+1, 48)

Winnipeg quarterback Buck Pierce was hit hard on the blind side in the third quarter of the Bombers’ 24-16 win over the Tiger-Cats. But the injury-prone Pierce got back up, finished the game and will play Friday.

The Bombers, however, weren’t able to avoid the injury bug altogether. Receiver Kito Poblah (knee), SB Terrence Edwards (arm), WR Greg Carr (hamstring) are all hurt, although only Poblah is expected to miss Friday’s game. Defensive end Odell Willis (groin) and DB Jovon Johnson (hip) will play despite injuries, while LB Henoc Muamba (knee) and S Brady Browne (biceps) will miss at least a few weeks.

Toronto’s top offensive weapons Corey Boyd and Chad Owens picked up where they left off last year, helping the Argos steal a 23-21 win in Calgary last week. But unfortunately for Toronto bettors, the Argos still must rely on Cleo Lemon at pivot. He only completed 16-of-30 passes with 186 yards, one TD and one pick.

To keep things in perspective, if Calgary hadn’t miss three of four field goal opportunities, it would have won against the Argos.

Pick: Winnipeg

Calgary Stampeders at B.C. Lions (-2.5, 53.5)

The Stampeders are coming to Vancouver with the firm intent to rebound from a loss to the Argos. Calgary has its share of injuries after one week. Defensive tackle Justin Phillips (toe), K Rob Maver (leg), G Dimitri Tsoumpas (hamstring) and S Malik Jackson (concussion) are probably all out against the Lions. Receivers Ken-Yon Rambo and Jabari Arthur are questionable.

British Columbia lost its first game of the season, 30-26 in Montreal, and dropped both home games against Calgary last year. The Lions will have DB Stanley Franks and of S J.R. LaRose back in action for Week 2. Slot back Nick Moore, who dropped three passes, two of them possibly for TDs, is out with an elbow injury. Rookie Steven Black will replace him and showed great potential during training camp.

In any case, with Geroy Simon, Paris Jackson and youngsters Shawn Gore and Akeem Foster, QB Travis Lulay has many options when it comes to throwing the ball. In the loss against the Alouettes, Lulay completed 26-of-45 attempts with 366 yards and a TD.

The Stampeders secondary still must prove itself and that could play in the favor of B.C. The Lions have also shown some pop on special teams, especially with newcomer Tim Brown (191 yards on nine returns, one of them being a 97 yard TD).

Pick: B.C.

Montreal Alouettes at Saskatchewan Roughriders (+3, 54.5)

Turnovers and a soft defense cost the Riders a loss against the surprising Edmonton Eskimos in their first game. Darian Durant proved once again he can help the team as much as hurt it. He was picked off three times, although gained 339 passing yards with two TDs. But to be honest, he will need better protection from his offensive line.

On the other side of the ball, DB John Eubanks, who replaced the injured Chris McKenzie, got burned for two touchdowns while the pass defense was almost non-existent. Safety James Patrick was caught off balance more than once.

None of this is good news with the Montreal Alouettes visiting. Anthony Calvillo completed 22-of-30 passes for 312 yards, three TDs and no interceptions, while Brendan Whitaker ran 17 times for 117 yards, in a 30-26 win over the Lions.

The Alouettes did lose excellent DB Jerald Brown early in that game (ankle) but they reactivated De Audra Dix and do have depth in the secondary starting with the resilient Jeff Hecht.

Pick: Montreal

Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Edmonton Eskimos (-1, 52)

The Tiger-Cats played poorly and deserved to lose against Winnipeg at home last week. Quarterback Kevin Glenn completed only 18-of-31 attempts for 187 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Head coach Marcel Bellefeuille pulled him out of the game and Glenn felt disrespected.

Another possible crisis to manage involves talkative RB Avon Cobourne, who was seen speaking his mind to Arland Bruce after the latter took a stupid penalty.

The only positive note coming out of the opener is that the Tiger-Cats defense is once again a force to be reckoned with. It recorded five sacks and allowed fewer first downs and total yards than any other team in Week 1.

The Tiger-Cats probably have more talent but these Eskimos seemed to have better unity, despite the fact that they have 21 newcomers on the 42-player active roster.

Jason Barnes, whose career seemed in jeopardy because of serious injuries last year, caught five passes for 104 yards and two touchdowns in the 42-28 win against the Riders. Ricky Ray also showcased his skills with 294 yards passing with three TDs.

The Eskimos, who finished dead last in the West last year, showed great poise and lot of opportunism in Week 1. They actually dominated and all aspects of the game against Saskatchewan and CFL bettors should see them in a new light.

Pick: Edmonton
 

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CFL
Dunkel





Toronto at Winnipeg
The Argonauts look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 road games. Toronto is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Argonauts favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+1 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 8

Game 491-492: Toronto at Winnipeg (7:30 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 112.418; Winnipeg 110.895
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+1 1/2); Under

Game 493-494: Calgary at BC (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 112.452; BC 115.472
Dunkel Line: BC by 3; 57
Vegas Line: BC by 1 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: BC (-1 1/2); Over


SATURDAY, JULY 9

Game 495-496: Montreal at Saskatchewan (4:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 117.406; Saskatchewan 113.504
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 4; 58
Vegas Line: Montreal by 2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-2); Over

Game 497-498: Hamilton at Edmonton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 113.420; Edmonton 110.106
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 3 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+1 1/2); Under




CFL
Long Sheet


Week 2

Friday, July 8


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TORONTO (1 - 0) at WINNIPEG (1 - 0) - 7/8/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (0 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (0 - 1) - 7/8/2011, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 63-89 ATS (-34.9 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, July 9

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MONTREAL (1 - 0) at SASKATCHEWAN (0 - 1) - 7/9/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 148-115 ATS (+21.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 148-115 ATS (+21.5 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 135-103 ATS (+21.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAMILTON (0 - 1) at EDMONTON (1 - 0) - 7/9/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 2-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL


Week 2


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, July 8

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. WINNIPEG
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games

10:30 PM
CALGARY vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Calgary is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
British Columbia is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
British Columbia is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Calgary


Saturday, July 9

4:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Saskatchewan is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Montreal

7:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. EDMONTON
Hamilton is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
 

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
07/03/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
07/01/11 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
Totals 3-*3-*0 50.00% -*150


Friday, July 8

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Toronto - 7:30 PM ET Winnipeg +1 500
Winnipeg - Under 48 500

Calgary - 10:30 PM ET Calgary +2.5 500
BC Lions - Over 53.5 500

Saturday, July 9

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Montreal - 4:00 PM ET Saskatchewan +3 500
Saskatchewan - Over 54.5 500

Hamilton - 7:00 PM ET Hamilton +1 500
Edmonton - Over 52 500
 

Active member
Joined
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Messages
104,159
Tokens
Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
07/08/11 4-­0-­0 100.00% +­2000 Detail
07/03/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
07/01/11 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
Totals 7-­3-­0 70.00% +1850

Saturday, July 9

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Montreal - 4:00 PM ET Saskatchewan +3 500
Saskatchewan - Over 54.5 500

Hamilton - 7:00 PM ET Hamilton +1 500
Edmonton - Over 52 500


Best Bets Highlighted earlier......


CFL
Dunkel


SATURDAY, JULY 9

Game 495-496: Montreal at Saskatchewan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 117.406; Saskatchewan 113.504
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 4; 58
Vegas Line: Montreal by 2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-2); Over

Game 497-498: Hamilton at Edmonton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 113.420; Edmonton 110.106
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 3 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+1 1/2); Under




CFL
Long Sheet


Week 2

Saturday, July 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTREAL (1 - 0) at SASKATCHEWAN (0 - 1) - 7/9/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 148-115 ATS (+21.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 148-115 ATS (+21.5 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 135-103 ATS (+21.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAMILTON (0 - 1) at EDMONTON (1 - 0) - 7/9/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 2-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL
Write-Up


Week 2

Saturday, July 9

Montreal (1-0) @ Saskatchewan (0-1)-- This is a rematch of Alouettes' 21-18 win in last fall's Grey Cup, after home team had won both series meetings during regular season; Als had 152 yards rushing last week, in opening 30-26 win over BC Lions, bad news for Roughrider defense that gave up 113 rushing yards in 42-28 home loss to Eskimos.

Hamilton (0-1) @ Edmonton (1-0)-- Home side won both games in LY's series, with TiCats lost 37-35 decision here; Hamilton got blanked LW in second half of 24-16 home loss to Winnipeg- Bombers picked off four of their passes, and TiCats changed QBs late in game. Eskimos won 42-28 in Regina last week, forcing four turnovers, running ball for 113 yards.




CFL


Week 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, July 9

4:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Saskatchewan is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Montreal

7:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. EDMONTON
Hamilton is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL


Week 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Canadian bacon: CFL Week 2 betting preview and picks
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, July 9

Montreal Alouettes at Saskatchewan Roughriders (+3, 54.5)

Turnovers and a soft defense cost the Riders a loss against the surprising Edmonton Eskimos in their first game. Darian Durant proved once again he can help the team as much as hurt it. He was picked off three times, although gained 339 passing yards with two TDs. But to be honest, he will need better protection from his offensive line.

On the other side of the ball, DB John Eubanks, who replaced the injured Chris McKenzie, got burned for two touchdowns while the pass defense was almost non-existent. Safety James Patrick was caught off balance more than once.

None of this is good news with the Montreal Alouettes visiting. Anthony Calvillo completed 22-of-30 passes for 312 yards, three TDs and no interceptions, while Brendan Whitaker ran 17 times for 117 yards, in a 30-26 win over the Lions.

The Alouettes did lose excellent DB Jerald Brown early in that game (ankle) but they reactivated De Audra Dix and do have depth in the secondary starting with the resilient Jeff Hecht.

Pick: Montreal


Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Edmonton Eskimos (-1, 52)

The Tiger-Cats played poorly and deserved to lose against Winnipeg at home last week. Quarterback Kevin Glenn completed only 18-of-31 attempts for 187 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Head coach Marcel Bellefeuille pulled him out of the game and Glenn felt disrespected.

Another possible crisis to manage involves talkative RB Avon Cobourne, who was seen speaking his mind to Arland Bruce after the latter took a stupid penalty.

The only positive note coming out of the opener is that the Tiger-Cats defense is once again a force to be reckoned with. It recorded five sacks and allowed fewer first downs and total yards than any other team in Week 1.

The Tiger-Cats probably have more talent but these Eskimos seemed to have better unity, despite the fact that they have 21 newcomers on the 42-player active roster.

Jason Barnes, whose career seemed in jeopardy because of serious injuries last year, caught five passes for 104 yards and two touchdowns in the 42-28 win against the Riders. Ricky Ray also showcased his skills with 294 yards passing with three TDs.

The Eskimos, who finished dead last in the West last year, showed great poise and lot of opportunism in Week 1. They actually dominated and all aspects of the game against Saskatchewan and CFL bettors should see them in a new light.

Pick: Edmonton

Saturday's betting tips: Signficant line move in CFL tilt

Weather to watch

A 14 mph wind is forecast to be blowing in from right field at The Rangers Ballpark in Arlington today, when Texas hosts Oakland.

Who’s hot

MLB: Mariners rookie starter Michael Pineda has allowed just one earned run in his past 13 innings on the road.

CFL: The Hamilton Tiger-Cats are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 meetings against the Edmonton Oilers.

WNBA: The Dream are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.

Who’s cold

MLB: Red Sox starter John Lackey is 0-3 with a 9.45 ERA in his past three starts.

WNBA: Sparks are 5-11 ATS vs. the Storm in Seattle.

MLB: The Astros head into the weekend as the worst bet in baseball. They’re down 23.4 units, nearly five units worse than the next team, Colorado.

Injury to Note

The Rockies are expected to get shortstop Troy Tulowitzki (leg) back in the lineup Saturday at the Nationals.

Game of the Day

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees, 1:05 p.m.
David Price takes the hill for the Rays against A.J. Burnett and the host Yankees . Click link for game details, tends and umpire assignments.

Betting Tips

Inclement weather caused havoc with Friday night’s games on the East Coast. Make sure to check for today’s updated starters and odds.

Friday’s second round of The Barclay’s Scottish Open was suspended due to dangerous weather and will be resumed at 7 a.m. Scott Jamieson, Graeme McDowell and Peter Whiteford are tied for the lead at 11-under.

There was a significant line move in today’s early CFL tilt between Montreal and Saskatchewan. The Alouettes opened as 1.5-point road favorite but have been bet up all the way to 3.5 for the 4 p.m. kickoff.
 

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