Cnotes Friday's MLB Best Bets !

MLB
Dunkel


Arizona at St. Louis
The Cardinals look to bounce back from last night's loss and build on their 6-0 record in Kyle Lohse's last 6 starts against NL West teams. St. Louis is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 8

Game 951-952: Atlanta at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Beachy) 16.181; Philadelphia (Halladay) 15.360
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+155); Over

Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lopez) 14.842; Pittsburgh (McDonald) 15.380
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-130); Under

Game 955-956: Colorado at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 14.988; Washington (Lannan) 13.787
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+110); Over

Game 957-958: Houston at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Lyles) 14.111; Florida (Vazquez) 15.182
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-140); Under

Game 959-960: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 14.748; Milwaukee (Greinke) 14.361
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+110); Over

Game 961-962: Arizona at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 13.944; St. Louis (Lohse) 15.593
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); Under

Game 963-964: San Diego at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 15.452; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.856
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+105); Under

Game 965-966: NY Mets at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Dickey) 15.074; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 16.465
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-135); Over

Game 967-968: Toronto at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Reyes) 16.202; Cleveland (Talbot) 15.418
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-105); Under

Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.105; NY Yankees (Garcia) 17.023
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145); Over

Game 971-972: Baltimore at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Britton) 12.743; Boston (Beckett) 15.970
Dunkel Line: Boston by 3; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-210); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-210); Over

Game 973-974: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.450; Texas (Wilson) 14.739
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+135); Under

Game 975-976: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Blackburn) 14.358; White Sox (Floyd) 15.105
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-165); Over

Game 977-978: Detroit at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 14.636; Kansas City (Davies) 16.095
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+105); Under

Game 979-980: Seattle at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Beavan) 15.866; LA Angels (Santana) 15.147
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+145); Over
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Friday's six-pack

Some more college knowledge, from philsteele.com

-- Ohio State is 39-20-1 as a home favorite since 2002.

-- Last three years, UL-Lafayette is 14-6 in game following a loss.

-- Colorado is 7-17 as a road underdog since 2005.
-- Last three years, Oregon State is 15-6 in game following a win.

-- Since 2004, Maryland is 15-25 in game following a win.

-- Baylor is 10-5 vs spread on road under Art Briles.


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Friday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind............

13) RIP Dick Williams. Thanks.

If you read this website, you know I love the A's; became a fan when I was 5, back in 1965, because they spelled Catfish Hunter's name wrong on the back of his rookie baseball card (Tim Hunter, not Jim). There was no ESPN back then, no Internet, so when the A's moved to Oakland in 1968, it became a challenge to get boxscores-- usually got them when the afternoon paper came the next day (at 4:00 or so). .

12) The A's were terrible in the mid-60's, but started to get better later in the decade; they contended for a while in '69, then had a horrible 1970, as nice guy manager John McNamara wasn't strong enough to act as a buffer between owner Charlie Finley and the players, especially Reggie Jackson. They needed a tough manager. Enter Dick Williams.

Williams had ended years of ineptitude in Boston in 1967, getting them in the World Series (they've only had six losing seasons since). He later led San Diego to the 1984 Series, so those are three teams with sorry pasts that he led to the World Series. But his best work was done in Oakland.

11) Williams was a great manager, but not a nice person. "If you want me to be a prick, I can be a prick." was one of his first speeches to the team in 1972. He made 55 trips to the mound in the '72 World Series, after they had waived the two visit-to-mound rule for a year. A great strategist.

He turned a team that had been underachieving into a champion, making a certain 12-year old living in upstate New York very happy. For that I'll always be grateful; I'm so happy he got inducted into Cooperstown while he was alive. Very deserving. RIP Dick Williams. Thanks again.

10) If I was Jose Reyes' agent, I'd have my eye on those crafty Mets, as the team stands to gain (in the long run) by keeping Reyes on the DL and reducing the pricetag for the free agent-to-be this winter. At some point this summer, Mets have to become sellers, since they get nothing should Carlos Beltran walk- they're not paying K-Rod $17M next season, so he has to go too. So they might as well sit Reyes and drive his price down.

9) If I were choosing the eight guys from Home Run Derby, I'd go with these two teams of players (not necessarily All-Stars):
AL: David Ortiz-Adam Dunn-Travis Hafner-Josh Hamilton
NL: Ryan Howard-Mike Stanton-Wily Mo Pena-Prince Fielder

8) Not sure what MLB plans to do with the A’s stadium issues, but the Oakland franchise is rotting on the vine; they drew 15,566 for a July 4 games with division rival Seattle, 11,537 less than any other July 4 game. Moving to San Jose would be good for the A’s, but the Giants, who already have their new stadium, are blocking the move due to antiquated territorial rules.

7) ESPN bought the Wimbledon rights away from NBC, which is any good; anytime NBC loses any sports programming its good, because it’ll mean more live coverage of the event. NBC likes to show taped stuff to fabricate added excitement.

6) TCU hired former Ole Miss/Arizona State coach Rob Evans as an assistant; you have to think that Evans will wind up being the head coach when the Horned Frogs move into the Big East in 2012-13. He was successful at Ole Miss and was turning things around at ASU but the program fell back when Ike Diogu left early for the NBA. Had Diogu stayed another year, Evans might well still be the coach in Tempe.

5) I don’t see Eldrick Woods winning another golf tournament; not sure if his knee is sound enough to let him walk 18 holes, or practice as much as it takes to win. You also have to wonder if Woods wants to be in the limelight anymore, or if he enjoys golf as much now that he isn’t dominant anymore- they’re all legitimate questions.

4) Alabama ain’t ducking anyone on the football field; they’re opening the 2012 season against Michigan in Dallas, and open the ’13 season against Virginia Tech in Atlanta. Lot of TV exposure right there.

3) If Shawn Kemp Jr is anything like his father as a ballplayer, Washington Huskies got themselves a hell of player; the kid had originally committed to both Alabama/Auburn, but played two years of prep school instead, and will now play college ball in Seattle, where his dad once starred for the Supersonics.

2) At 9:46 every morning, I get a text from the NFL, sending me content to watch on my cellphone. Truth is, the only thing I want from the NFL or its players right now is an announcement that I can sit in Graney’s at 1pm on September 11 and watch NFL games while eating chicken wings. That’s all I want from them.

1) Speaking of the lockout, rumor has it that some team(s) are violating the no-contact rules with their players. If I was investigating which team violated those rules, I’d start my search in Foxboro, since they already shown to have little regard for the league's rules.

Friday’s betting tips: Rookie SP debuts for Tribe

Who’s hot

MLB: The over is 13-3 in Florida’s last 16 meetings with Houston.

MLB: The New York Mets are 17-7 in their last 24 games as an underdog.

Who’s not

MLB: Baltimore had won only one of its eight heading into Wednesday’s action.

MLB: Kansas City has won four of its last 14 home games.

Key stat

.178 – Atlanta Braves second baseman Dan Uggla went into Wednesday’s game with a .178 batting average after going 2-for-2 with a homer the night before. Uggla, who signed a $62 million contract with the Braves, hit .287 with 33 homers and 105 RBIs with Florida last season. The Braves are hitting only .237 (26th in the bigs).

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Placido Polanco, Philadelphia Phillies – Polanco will meet with a spinal cord specialist Thursday in Philadelphia after sitting out Tuesday and Wednesday with a pinched nerve in his back. The team hopes he’ll return to action by the weekend, but that will all depend on how Thursday’s meeting goes.

Game of the day

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (-180, 9.5)

Notable quotable

"We have to win this game. We're going to work 30 percent on defense and 70 percent on attack." – Costa Rica coach Ricardo La Volpe about Thursday’s matchup with Bolivia following the side’s opening loss to Columbia at Copa America. Costa Rico is set as a +260 underdog with the draw at +215 and Bolivia at -105.

Notes and tips

Zach McAllister will make his MLB debut Thursday against the Toronto Blue Jays after being called up from Triple-A Columbus. The 6-foot-6 righty gets his shot with Fausto Carmona hitting the DL and his numbers looked pretty good in the minors. He was 8-3 with a 2.97 ERA and had 71 strikeouts and 21 walks in 97 innings of work with Columbus.

Oddsmakers have the hometown German side listed as a -125 favorite to win the Women’s World Cup after the group stage finished up with Wednesday’s action. The U.S., which suffered a disappointing 2-1 loss to Sweden on Wednesday to drop them to second place in their group are listed at +450, as is Brazil. The U.S. and Brazil will square off in the quarterfinals.

MLB


Friday, July 8

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Friday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Gio Gonzalez (8-5, 2.31 ERA), Oakland Athletics

Not long after being named to the AL All-Star team, Gonzalez put out another ho-hum seven-inning shutout of the Arizona Diamondbacks, striking out seven and walking three. That effort dropped his ERA to 2.31 on the year and to just 0.82 over his last four starts.

Oakland catcher Kurt Suzuki says the lefty is controlling his emotions better this season.

"Emotions aren't bad," Suzuki told MLB.com. "If you can control them and use them the right way, the way he does, it works. His emotions are because he cares so much. He wants to do so well and be so successful that sometimes they get the best of him. But now he's learning how to control them and express them in the right way."

Javier Vazquez (4-8, 5.64 ERA), Florida Marlins

The bad news is Vazquez gave up a couple of homers in his last outing. The good news is those are the only two runs he’s allowed over his last three starts.

We’ve seen solid stretches from the veteran in the past, though it’s hard to know when it may all fall apart for him.

“The life of my fastball is back, and I feel a lot better,” he told reporters this week. “Sometimes because my velocity wasn’t there, I would try to trick people. Now that my fastball is back, I’m trying to stay more aggressive, mix it up better.”


Slumping

Jason Hammel (4-8, 4.31 ERA), Colorado Rockies

Hammel is coming off a terrible outing that saw him give up seven hits and five earned runs over just 3 2/3 innings in a 16-8 blowout loss to the Kansas City Royals. He labored through 67 pitches and gave up a pair of homers while walking a pair and striking out one.

Hammel has just a 53:39 strikeout-to-walk ratio, so when he’s missing his spots, he’s in big trouble. He has allowed at least four runs in three of his last four and is a pegged as a +115 underdog Friday.

Nick Blackburn (6-6, 4.02 ERA), Minnesota Twins

It’s hard to know what to expect from Blackburn this season. He started the year by losing four of his first five starts, then won five of six between the middle of May to the end of June and now he’s struggling again.

He has allowed 13 earned runs over his last 8 1/3 innings, giving up 19 hits over that span. The 6-foot-4, 240-pounder has struck out more than four batters just once in his last seven starts.


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MLB


Friday, July 8

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Hot lines: Friday’s best MLB bets
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Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals (-125, 8)

The Colorado Rockies couldn’t be happier to get the heck out of Atlanta after taking a four-game sweep on the chin and even though shortstop Troy Tulowitzki will likely be out for a few more days, Carlos Gonzalez may return from his wrist injury Friday.

The Rockies could certainly use the boost. They may have won eight of their last 10 in Washington, may have their work cut out for them in D.C. this time around.

The Nationals are doing a great job winning the games they’re supposed to, riding a 12-3 run in games in which they are favored. They’ve also managed to win 20 of their last 29 at home and are 8-1 in Jason Marquis’ last nine in front of the home crowd.

For now at least, it looks as though Davey Johnson is the right man for the Nats’ clubhouse.

"Davey's been wonderful for this team," F.P. Santangelo, the Nationals' TV color commentator, told ESPN recently. "The one thing he's done is make everyone feel included. I think the atmosphere in the clubhouse is different now."

Pick: Nationals


Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels (-160, 6)

Seattle Mariners rookie Blake Bevan did exactly what he was told in his first big-league start and ended up with a dominant seven-inning performance that saw him give up just a single run on three hits in a win over San Diego.

It helped that he was throwing to catcher Josh Bard, who also caught him in the minors. Word has it Bevan didn’t shake the veteran backstop off all night.

“Sometimes, you make it so complicated trying to trick guys and do all the stuff, you can throw the perfect trick pitch but if you throw it down the middle and it’s hanging, it doesn’t matter,” Bard told reporters. “We really talked to him about execution with his heater. He pitched in, he pitched out. He probably only threw 20 off speed pitches the whole game, and did a good job.”

It’s probably not going to be that easy every time he takes the hill, but with Ervin Santana sharing the mound with him, we’ll play under the tiny total.

Pick: Under

Diamond Trends - Friday

July 8, 2011


SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Yankees are 18-0 since May 30, 2010 at home with a total over eight when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start for a net profit of $1800.
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OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Orioles are 0-11 OU since July 02, 2010 as a road 135+ dog with a total under 10 when they won the last time they faced this starting pitcher for a net profit of $1100 when playing the under.



STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Red Sox are 13-0 since April 18, 2009 when Josh Beckett starts as a 200+ favorite for a net profit of $1300.



MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


Josh Beckett has produced a team record of 9-0 (+3.1 rpg) since July 27th 2009 when he faced at least 30 batters in his last start. Each of his last three wins in this spot have been as an underdog.



TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Angels are 8-0 since May 15, 2010 when Ervin Santana starts as a home favorite after facing 30 or more hitters for a net profit of $800.

The Athletics are 0-7 since April 20, 2010 when Gio Gonzalez starts as a dog when he is off a start in which he needed more than 4 pitches per batter for a net profit of $700 when playing against.

The Red Sox are 7-0 OU since August 28, 2009 when Josh Beckett starts after facing 30 or more hitters for a net profit of $700 when playing the over.

Around the Horn - Friday

July 7, 2011

NATIONAL LEAGUE


Atlanta at Philadelphia - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Beachy (3-1, 3.23 ERA) 9-1 L10 5-1 L6 away Game 1's
Halladay (11-3, 2.44 ERA) 7-1 L8 7-1 L8 home Game 1's

Braves beat Rockies, 6-3 on Thursday
Phillies lost to Marlins, 7-6 on Wednesday

Chicago at Pittsburgh - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Lopez (1-2, 3.91 ERA) 1-4 L5 2-5 L7 on Fridays
McDonald (5-4, 4.40 ERA) 4-2 L6 9-2 L11 vs division

Cubs beat Nationals, 10-9 on Thursday
Pirates lost to Astros, 8-2 on Wednesday

Colorado at Washington - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Hammel (4-8, 4.31 ERA) 1-4 L5 2-6 L8 away vs LHP
Lannan (5-5, 3.50 ERA) 4-2 L6 9-2 L11 home vs RHP

Rockies lost to Braves, 9-6 on Thursday
Nationals lost to Cubs, 10-9 on Thursday

Houston at Florida - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Lyles (0-3, 4.17 ERA) 1-5 L6 2-7 L9 away Game 2's
Vazquez (4-8, 5.64 ERA) 5-5 L10 2-13 L15 home vs RHP

Marlins beat Astros, 5-0 on Thursday

Cincinnati at Milwaukee - 8:10 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Leake (8-4, 4.03 ERA) 1-4 L5 6-3 L9 away vs RHP
Greinke (7-3, 5.66 ERA) 1-7 L8 12-2 home Game 2's

Brewers beat Reds, 5-4 on Thursday

Arizona at St. Louis - 8:15 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Kennedy (8-3, 3.38 ERA) 3-1 L4 OVER 6-2 L8 on Fridays
Lohse (8-5, 2.97 ERA) 6-2 L8 9-4 home Game 2's

Diamondbacks beat Cardinals, 4-1 on Thursday

San Diego at Los Angeles - 10:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Latos (5-9, 4.26 ERA) 7-3 L10 3-6 L9 away off loss
Billingsley (7-7, 4.15 ERA) 2-6 L8 1-4 L5 home Game 1's

Padres lost to Giants, 2-1 on Thursday
Dodgers beat Mets, 6-0 on Thursday

N.Y. Mets at San Francisco - 10:15 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Dickey (4-7, 3.68 ERA) 7-2 L9 1-5 L6 on Fridays
Vogelsong (6-1, 2.13 ERA) 2-5 L7 7-2 L9 on Fridays

Mets lost to Dodgers, 6-0 Thursday
Giants beat Padres, 2-1 on Thursday

AMERICAN LEAGUE


Tampa Bay at N.Y. Yankees - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Hellickson (8-7, 3.21 ERA) 3-5 L8 UNDER 6-0 L6 on Fridays
Garcia (7-6, 3.13 ERA) 8-2 L10 1-5 home on Fridays

Rays beat Yankees, 5-1 on Thursday

Toronto at Cleveland - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Reyes (3-7, 4.85 ERA) 3-6 L9 11-3 on Fridays
Talbot (2-5, 5.60 ERA) 5-3 L8 UNDER 4-1 L5 home vs LHP

Indians beat Blue Jays, 5-4 on Thursday

Baltimore at Boston - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Britton (6-6, 3.47 ERA) 1-7 L8 2-8 L10 away vs RHP
Beckett (7-3, 2.12 ERA) 5-1 L6 OVER 6-0-1 home on Fridays

Red Sox beat Orioles, 10-4 on Thursday

Oakland at Texas - 8:05 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Gonzalez (8-5, 2.31 ERA) 2-5 L7 1-5 away on Fridays
Wilson (8-3, 3.02 ERA) 5-3 L8 OVER 12-1 home vs LHP

Rangers beat Athletics, 6-0 on Thursday

Minnesota at Chicago - 8:10 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Blackburn (6-6, 4.02 ERA) 6-2 L8 1-5 L6 away Game 2's
Floyd (6-8, 4.17 ERA) 5-3 L8 UNDER 5-1 L6 home Game 2's

Twins beat White Sox, 6-2 on Thursday

Detroit at Kansas City - 8:10 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Porcello (7-6, 4.96 ERA) 2-7 L9 2-6 L8 away vs RHP
Davies (1-7, 7.77 ERA) 3-6 L9 3-6 L9 home Game 2's

Tigers beat Royals, 3-1 on Thursday

Seattle at L.A. Angels - 10:05 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Beavan (1-0, 1.29 ERA) 4-1 L5 UNDER 9-0 L9 away Game 2's
Santana (4-8, 3.89 ERA) 8-1 L9 UNDER 1-5 home on Fridays

Angels beat Mariners, 5-1 on Thursday

Cleveland Indians Battle Blue Jays, MLB Odds

Cleveland starting pitcher Mitch Talbot will look to break a personal four-game losing streak and earn his first win at Progressive Field this season when the Indians host the Toronto Blue Jays in the second game of a four-game series on Friday. Game time is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. (PT).

Talbot (2-5, 5.60 ERA) has gone winless in his last six outings with an 0-4 record and two no-decisions. He is 0-2 in four home starts with a 6.86 ERA but has only pitched there once over the last month.

The last time Talbot pitched at Progressive Field came on June 21, when he went 6 1/3 innings and gave up three runs and eight hits with two walks and two strikeouts. Cleveland lost that game 4-3 as a +120 home underdog, and Talbot has not been a favorite in any of his 10 starts so far this year.

Ironically, the last win for Talbot came against the Blue Jays back on May 31. He allowed just one run and six hits in 6 2/3 innings of a 6-3 victory at Toronto.

The Blue Jays will send 26-year-old southpaw Jo-Jo Reyes (3-7, 4.85) to the mound searching for his first win in four starts. Reyes is 0-2 in his past three outings, surrendering 14 runs in 15 innings over that stretch. He has been an underdog in five of his last six starts.

A former member of the Braves, Reyes started just five games combined during his previous two seasons in Atlanta, He is five starts away from setting a career high he achieved there in 2008 when he started 23 games.

Reyes is also only one victory away from totaling a career-high four wins, which does not necessarily say much for a pitcher who owns a lifetime record of 8-22.

The one major accomplishment Reyes can hang his baseball cap on this season is the first complete-game victory of his career which he earned at home against Cleveland on May 30. He allowed just one run to the Indians on eight hits over nine innings with four walks and four strikeouts in an 11-1 rout.

The only mistake he made was serving up a solo home run to Shelley Duncan in the fourth inning.

The ‘over’ has cashed in the last two starts for Reyes – both at home – while his past two road outings have gone ‘under’ the total. Similarly, Talbot’s last two starts have gone ‘over’ though they were both on the road while his last two at home have each gone ‘under’ the total.

This series marks the second and final meeting between the two clubs this season. The Indians won two of three in Toronto (May 30-June 1), all three contests going 'over' the total. Cleveland won four of the seven played at Progressive Field a season ago, the 'under' going 4-3 in those matchups.

Friday’s weather forecast in Cleveland calls for a high temperature of 82 degrees under partly cloudy skies and a low of 65.

MLB
Write-Up


Friday, July 8

Hot pitchers
-- Halladay is 4-0, 2.20 in his last six starts. Beachy is 2-0, 2.65 in his last three starts.
-- LHernandez is 2-0, 2.70 in his last four starts.
-- Vazquez is 1-1, 1.47 in his last three starts.
-- Leake is 4-2, 2.85 in his last six starts.
-- Billingsley is 2-1, 1.86 in his last three starts.
-- Vogelsong is 3-1, 1.31 in six home starts. Dickey is 1-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.

-- FGarcia is 3-1, 2.41 in his last five starts.
-- Beckett is 3-1, 2.40 in his last four starts.
-- GGonzalez is 3-0, 1.29 in his last four starts. Wilson is 4-0, 2.72 in his last eight starts.
-- Santana has a 2.31 RA in his last four starts. Beaven allowed one run in seven IP in his first big league start, beating San Diego 3-1.

Cold pitchers
-- Lopez is 1-1, 5.51 in three starts this season. McDonald is 1-1, 4.35 in his last four home starts.
-- Hammel is 1-2, 5.55 in his last four starts.
-- Houston lost last six Lyles starts (0-3, 5.29).
-- Greinke is 1-2, 9.30 in his last four starts.
-- Lohse is 1-3, 5.14 in his last six starts. Kennedy has a 5.95 RA in his last three road starts.
-- Latos is 1-3, 4.97 in his last five starts.

-- Talbot is 0-4, 6.39 in his last six starts. Reyes is 1-3, 6.51 in his last five starts.
-- Hellickson is 1-4, 4.78 in his last five starts.
-- Britton is 1-4, 6.98 in his last seven starts.
-- Floyd is 0-3, 5.00 in his last four starts. Blackburn is 0-2, 10.68 in his last three outings.
-- Porcello is 1-2, 9.59 in his last five starts. Davies is 0-6, 9.75 in his last six starts.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Halladay starts went over the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten McDonald starts.
-- Under is 10-5-1 in Washington's last sixteen games.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Lyles starts this season.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Milwaukee games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Kennedy's last seven road starts.
-- Five of Dodgers' last six home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Giants' last eight home games.

-- Seven of last nine Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Talbot starts.
-- Over is 13-3-2 in last eighteen games at Fenway Park.
-- Six of last eight Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1-2 in White Sox' last nine home games.
-- Under is 12-4 in Seattle's last sixteen road games.
-- Nine of last thirteen Texas games went over the total.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won seven of their last ten games.
-- Pirates won three of their last four games.
-- Washington won four of its last six games.
-- Marlins won six of their last eight games.
-- Arizona won five of its last seven games.
-- Braves won 13 of their last 16 games.
-- Padres won six of their last nine games.
-- Mets won seven of their last nine road games. Giants won 10 of their last 14 games.

-- Red Sox won six of their last seven games.
-- Indians won six of their last nine games.
-- Bronx won eight of its last eleven games. Rays are 6-2 in their last eight road games.
-- Twins won seven of their last nine games.
-- Rangers won six of their last nine games.
-- Mariners won four of their last six games. Angels won 11 of their last 13 games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost ten of their last thirteen road games.
-- Astros lost nine of their last thirteen road games.
-- Brewers lost seven of last ten games. Reds lost five of last seven.
-- Rockies lost 10 of last 13 games, including last seven on road.
-- Cardinals lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Dodgers lost 11 of their last 15 games.

-- Blue Jays lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Orioles lost 18 of their last 23 road games.
-- Oakland lost 10 of its last 15 games.
-- Detroit lost seven of its last eleven road games. Kansas City is 3-7 in its last ten games overall.
-- White Sox lost four of their last five games.

Umpires
-- Hst-Fla-- Over is 13-6 in Scott's games behind the plate.
-- Cin-Mil-- Five of six Conroy games went over the total.
-- Az-StL-- Overis 6-0-1 in last seven Rapuano games.

-- Tor-Clev-- Favorites won four of last five Danley games.
-- TB-NY-- Six of last seven Wolf games went over the total.
-- Balt-Bos-- Over is 7-4 in last eleven Estabrook games.
-- A's-Tex-- Nine of last ten Timmons games stayed under total.
-- Min-Chi-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Gorman games.
-- Det-KC-- Under is 10-4 in Hoye games this season.
-- Sea-LA-- Last five Hernandez games stayed under the total.

MLB


Friday, July 8

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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 16-7 SU in their last 23 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 17 games when playing at home against Atlanta

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 22 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 10 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

7:05 PM
TORONTO vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:05 PM
COLORADO vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Washington
Colorado is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Washington
Washington is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado

7:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. BOSTON
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Boston is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Baltimore

7:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. FLORIDA
Houston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games at home
Florida is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games at home

8:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. TEXAS
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games

8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home
Kansas City is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games

8:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MILWAUKEE
Cincinnati is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

8:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Minnesota

8:15 PM
ARIZONA vs. ST. LOUIS
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

10:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 9 games on the road
LA Angels are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home
LA Angels are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games

10:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. LA DODGERS
San Diego is 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Diego is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games
LA Dodgers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego

10:15 PM
NY METS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets's last 11 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets

What the hell was I doing in post #2?!?!?


Friday’s betting tips: Hamilton may sit after fan's death

Who’s hot

MLB: 21 of San Francisco’s last 30 home games have played under.

MLB: Atlanta has won 21 of its last 29.

WNBA: The over is 8-3 in the New York Liberty’s last 11 games overall.

Who’s not

MLB: Oakland is 7-20 in its last 27 road games.

MLB: Toronto is 8-20 in its last 28 games in Cleveland.

WNBA: Tulsa is just 5-12 against the spread in the team’s last 17 home games.

Key stat

20.7 – The Tulsa Shock have lost their last three games by an average of 20.7 points, all of which turned out to be losses against the spread. The Shock have just one win on the year and rank 11th in points per game (72.3) and points allowed per game (85.2).

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Johnny Damon, Tampa Bay Rays – Damon is expected to be out of the lineup until at least Saturday with a sore left hand. He has been out of the lineup since getting hit on the hand with a pitch in Wednesday’s game.

Game of the day

Tampa Bay at New York Yankees (-150, 9)

Notable quotable

“We will fight for the first place. I am glad because we showed that Peru has the attitude to play against any team. We are going to beat Mexico. We believe in what we have and in the unity of the team.” – Peru forward Paola Guerrero on his team’s Copa America match against Mexico on Friday. Peru is set as a +135 favorite with the draw at +205 and Mexico at +180.

Notes and tips

-- A fan was killed after he fell from the stands during the Texas Rangers game on Thursday, landing 20 feet on the ground below. The fan, whose identity was not released, was attempting to grab a baseball when he fell head-first behind the 14-foot wall that is home to the replay monitor and scoreboard. The accident occurred in the second inning after Oakland's Conor Jackson hit a ball that bounced into left field. Rangers outfielder Josh Hamilton then picked up the ball and tossed it to the stands. In the wake of the tragedy, Hamilton may be held out of Friday's contest with the Athletics. The Rangers are -130 home favorites while the total is at 9.5.

"We spoke to the ballclub, they understood what has happened, and we spoke to Josh," Texas president Nolan Ryan said. "I think as any of us would be, Josh is very distraught over this, as the entire team is."

-- The New York Mets have reportedly opened up the Carlos Beltran sweepstakes. According to a New York Post report, the Mets are now fielding offers for their star outfielder who will be a free agent at the end of the season, as well as closer Francisco Rodriguez. Beltran is hitting .285 with 13 homers and 57 RBIs while Rodriguez has 22 saves with a 3.24 ERA. Apparently , the Red Sox are among the teams interested in Beltran.

-- Oddsmaker Joey Oddessa has released odds for UFC 136, which is headlined by a bout between Chael Sonnen and Brian Stann on Oct. 8 in Houston. Sonnen, who hasn’t fought since a UFC 117 title loss to Anderson Silva is pegged as a -215 favorite with Stann at +175. Sonnen has been serving a suspension regarding testosterone-replacement treatment.

MLB
Long Sheet


Friday, July 8

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ATLANTA (53 - 36) at PHILADELPHIA (55 - 33) - 7:05 PM
BRANDON BEACHY (R) vs. ROY HALLADAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 114-68 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-28 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-8 (+13.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-13 (+23.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HALLADAY is 118-54 (+29.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HALLADAY is 20-3 (+16.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 104-69 (+16.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-4 (+1.3 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

BRANDON BEACHY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
BEACHY is 0-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.722.
His team's record is 0-4 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.7 units)

ROY HALLADAY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HALLADAY is 3-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.58 and a WHIP of 0.925.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.1 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (36 - 53) at PITTSBURGH (45 - 42) - 7:05 PM
RODRIGO LOPEZ (R) vs. JAMES MCDONALD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 36-53 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 11-22 (-13.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 36-53 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 75-97 (-21.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 9-27 (-18.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PITTSBURGH is 45-42 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 39-31 (+15.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 18-11 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 43-41 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 30-26 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 23-18 (+11.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-11 (+10.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 78-127 (-35.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 27-58 (-29.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 (+3.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

RODRIGO LOPEZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LOPEZ is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JAMES MCDONALD vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MCDONALD is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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COLORADO (41 - 47) at WASHINGTON (45 - 44) - 7:05 PM
JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. JOHN LANNAN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 41-47 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 13-28 (-13.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 50-75 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 41-47 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 78-88 (-31.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 67-142 (-53.6 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
COLORADO is 11-30 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 45-44 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 25-18 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 27-16 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 17-7 (+9.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 45-44 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 30-25 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LANNAN is 25-18 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LANNAN is 25-18 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JASON HAMMEL vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HAMMEL is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

JOHN LANNAN vs. COLORADO since 1997
LANNAN is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.48 and a WHIP of 1.846.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (30 - 59) at FLORIDA (40 - 48) - 7:10 PM
JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. JAVIER VAZQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 30-59 (-23.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 8-29 (-20.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
HOUSTON is 28-58 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 21-40 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 17-44 (-23.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 9-31 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 467-432 (+47.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
FLORIDA is 12-2 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 18-26 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
FLORIDA is 18-26 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 15-21 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
FLORIDA is 74-102 (-28.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
VAZQUEZ is 14-20 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VAZQUEZ is 14-20 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VAZQUEZ is 2-8 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

JORDAN LYLES vs. FLORIDA since 1997
No recent starts.

JAVIER VAZQUEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
VAZQUEZ is 5-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.47 and a WHIP of 1.314.
His team's record is 6-9 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-8. (-2.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (44 - 45) at MILWAUKEE (47 - 42) - 8:10 PM
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 31-13 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 31-13 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-9 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 174-166 (+31.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 550-631 (+53.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 74-47 (+20.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 487-575 (+37.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 364-409 (+40.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 74-73 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 15-8 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
LEAKE is 15-6 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 7-12 (-9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 7-3 (+4.5 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LEAKE is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GREINKE is 2-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.933.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (48 - 41) at ST LOUIS (47 - 42) - 8:15 PM
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. KYLE LOHSE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 35-16 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 18-5 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 48-42 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 25-22 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 48-42 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 36-28 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 24-17 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 133-118 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 130-115 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
KENNEDY is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 27.00 and a WHIP of 3.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LOHSE is 2-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.452.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (40 - 49) at LA DODGERS (38 - 51) - 10:10 PM
MAT LATOS (R) vs. CHAD BILLINGSLEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 20-37 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 130-122 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 20-12 (+10.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 66-59 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 48-45 (+19.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 128-121 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 17-12 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 65-56 (+13.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 38-51 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 20-27 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 38-51 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 26-36 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 27-38 (-13.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 60-59 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 18-29 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-3 (+0.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

MAT LATOS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LATOS is 1-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)

CHAD BILLINGSLEY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
BILLINGSLEY is 9-7 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.236.
His team's record is 11-8 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-13. (-8.3 units)

MLB
Short Sheet


Friday, July 8

National League

ATLANTA at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET
BEACHY: ATLANTA 13-4 OVER on the road when the total is 7 or less
HALLADAY: 15-1 TSR as favorite of -150 or more

CHICAGO CUBS at PITTSBURGH, 7:05 PM ET
LOPEZ: CHICAGO CUBS 11-22 against division opponents
MCDONALD: PITTSBURGH 18-11 against division opponents

COLORADO at WASHINGTON, 7:05 PM ET
HAMMEL: COLORADO 6-18 as an underdog
LANNAN: WASHINGTON 27-16 in home games

HOUSTON at FLORIDA, 7:10 PM ET
LYLES: HOUSTON 21-40 in night games
VAZQUEZ: FLORIDA 12-2 in home games after shutting out their opponent

CINCINNATI at MILWAUKEE, 8:10 PM ET
LEAKE: CINCINNATI 20-29 after one or more consecutive overs
GREINKE: MILWAUKEE 25-9 in home games against right-handed starters

ARIZONA at ST LOUIS, 8:15 PM ET
KENNEDY: ARIZONA 9-22 after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games
LOHSE: ST LOUIS 11-2 revenging a loss as a home favorite

SAN DIEGO at LA DODGERS, 10:10 PM ET
LATOS: SAN DIEGO 21-12 OVER after BB road games
BILLINGSLEY: LA DODGERS 21-12 OVER after a win

NY METS at SAN FRANCISCO, 10:15 PM ET MLB
DICKEY: NY METS 7-0 Away after scoring 1 run or less
VOGELSONG: SAN FRANCISCO 5-11 against NL East opponents

American League

TORONTO at CLEVELAND, 7:05 PM ET
REYES: TORONTO 64-35 UNDER in road games after 4 straight games where they committed no errors
TALBOT: CLEVELAND 29-13 UNDER of -100 to -125

TAMPA BAY at NY YANKEES, 7:05 PM ET
HELLICKSON: TAMPA BAY 17-9 in road games after a win this
GARCIA: NY YANKEES 20-8 UNDER is -100 to -150

BALTIMORE at BOSTON, 7:10 PM ET
BRITTON: BALTIMORE 16-32 after a loss
BECKETT: BOSTON 36-16 after a win

OAKLAND at TEXAS, 8:05 PM ET
GONZALEZ: OAKLAND 3-13 revenging a shutout loss to opponent
WILSON: 11-1 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -175

MINNESOTA at CHI WHITE SOX, 8:10 PM ET
BLACKBURN: MINNESOTA 8-1 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog
FLOYD: CHI WHITE SOX 11-20 as a favorite of -125 to -175

DETROIT at KANSAS CITY, 8:10 PM ET
PORCELLO: DETROIT 35-58 in road games after a win
DAVIES: 30-16 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125

SEATTLE at LA ANGELS, 10:05 PM ET MLB
BEAVAN: SEATTLE 28-51 against division opponents
SANTANA: 25-7 TSR in home games against division opponents

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
07/07/11 14-­12-­2 53.85% +­270 Detail
07/06/11 16-­13-­1 55.17% +­1335 Detail
07/05/11 14-­16-­0 46.67% -­845 Detail
07/04/11 14-­14-­1 50.00% -­555 Detail
07/03/11 15-­15-­0 50.00% -­370 Detail
07/02/11 13-­12-­1 52.00% +­250 Detail
07/01/11 16-­13-­0 55.17% +­915 Detail
Totals 102-­95-­5 51.78% +1000
Friday, July 8
Game Score Status Pick Amount
Toronto - 7:05 PM ET Toronto+ 105
Cleveland - Over 9.5 500
Atlanta - 7:05 PM ET Atlanta +151 500
Philadelphia - Over 6.5 500
Chi. Cubs - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh -123 500
Pittsburgh - Over 8.5 500
Colorado - 7:05 PM ET Washington -128 500
Washington - Over 8
Baltimore - 7:10 PM ET Boston -205 500
Boston - Over 8.5 500
Houston - 7:10 PM ET Houston +139 500
Florida - Over 8 500
Oakland - 8:05 PM ET Oakland +144 500
Texas - Over 8.5 500
Minnesota - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -157 500
Chi. White Sox - Under 8.5 500
Detroit - 8:10 PM ET Detroit -110 500
Kansas City - Under 9.5 500
Cincinnati - 8:10 PM ET Milwaukee -133 500
Milwaukee - Under 8 500
Arizona - 8:15 PM ET St. Louis -120 500
St. Louis - Over 7.5 500
Seattle - 10:05 PM ET Seattle +158 500
LA Angels - Under 7 500
San Diego - 10:10 PM ET San Diego +114 500
LA Dodgers - Over 6.5 500
NY Mets - 10:15 PM ET San Francisco -140 500
San Francisco - Under 6.5 500