5 of the last 8 have been decided by 1 run. (btw, 2 of the others were decided by 2 runs , so +1.5 was still sweatable all the way to the end) +1.5 looks like a strong play.
... problem (for me) though , is i cant justify laying -200 on a recreational bet , and as strong as recent results look , i cant justify the all star game being a serious bet.
But +1.5 does look good. @)
...oh , to answer the ? 37.5% chance AL loses by more than 1 run. (margin of error +/- 50% haha)