Cnotes WNBA Friday's Best Bets !

CNOTES · Jul 15, 2011

7:00 PM ETConnecticut at New York
Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds
CONN 653 6-5 (1-5 V) - 155.5 ( UNDER )
NY 654 8-5 (4-2 H) - -4.5 ( NY - 4.5 )

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts 7:00 PM ETMinnesota at Indiana
Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds
MIN 651 7-4 (3-2 V) - 152 ( OVER )
IND 652 10-3 (7-1 H) - -4.5 ( MINNY + 4.5 )

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts
8:00 PM ETLos Angeles at Tulsa
Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds
LA 655 5-6 (1-6 V) - 152.5 ( UNDER )
TUL 656 1-12 (1-5 H) - 8 ( LA + 8 )

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts 10:00 PM ETWashington at Phoenix
Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds
WAS 657 2-9 (1-5 V) - 178.5 ( OVER )
PHO 658 9-4 (4-1 H) - -11.5 ( PHX - 11.5 )

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts

CNOTES · Jul 15, 2011

Minnesota Lynx Visit Streaking Indiana Fever

Two of the top teams in WNBA betting action this season meet up at Conseco Fieldhouse on Friday, July 15 at 4:00 p.m. (PT), as the Indiana Fever play host to the Minnesota Lynx.

If you want to catch the battle of the teams in first place in their respective conferences, be sure to check out WNBA Access, which will have coverage of the game.

To say that Indiana is streaking right now is a bit of an understatement. Coming into Wednesday's clash with the Connecticut Sun, they have won six straight games (including one against this Minnesota team), and have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS to show for it as well. Indiana has played absolutely amazing defense in this stretch as well, holding three of the six teams to 70 points or fewer.

The Fever rank No. 3 in the WNBA in scoring defense at 73.5 PPG, and teams are only shooting 41.6 percent from the field against them, No. 2 in the league.

Offensively, things are revolving around the red hot Katie Douglas. She has been a sharpshooter from beyond the arc all season long, shooting 49.2 percent. Douglas might only be averaging just over 29 minutes per game, but she is the team's top scorer at 16.1 PPG.

Both Tamika Catchings and Jessica Davenport have done their share as well. Catchings is doing a little bit of everything as always for Indiana, accounting for 13.3 PPG, 7.9 RPG, and 4.0 APG, while Davenport has come up with 12.2 PPG and is averaging 2.2 BPG defensively.

On the other end of the court, Minnesota has really caught some fire offensively right now, scoring 101 against the Tulsa Shock and 90 against the aforementioned Sun in its last two games. If this team can keep the offensive firepower up, the defense is certainly good enough to carry the team the rest of the way to victories.

The Lynx rank No. 2 in the WNBA at 72.0 PPG allowed, and teams are shooting a league-worst 39.1 percent against them as well. Combine that with an offense that is putting up 81.0 PPG, and you've got the makings of a real WNBA title contender.

Rookie Maya Moore really has made the difference for this team, as expected. The former Connecticut Huskies leader is tied for the team lead in scoring at 14.5 PPG, joining veteran Seimone Augustus.

The real bulk of this squad though, comes on the inside, where Rebekkah Brunson has been as dominant as could be. She is averaging 12.1 PPG and 11.5 RPG this year, making her one of just two players that is averaging a double-double per game (the other being Connecticut's Tina Charles).

Of course, we can't forget about Lindsay Whalen either. Whalen signed with the Lynx last season and had an immediate impact, but now that she has some more help at her disposal, she is all the more dangerous. If Whalen can get that ugly 27.3 percent shooting percentage from long range up, she'll be able to average even more than the 13.1 PPG that she is putting up right now.

These two teams have been fairly level in their series history dating back to 2001. Indiana holds a 12-8 advantage SU, but Minnesota has the slender 10-9-1 ATS edge.

WNBA bettors will remember their clash back on June 26. The Lynx were 7 1/2-point favorites as hosts, but they were knocked off by the Fever 78-75.

CNOTES · Jul 15, 2011

WNBA

Friday, July 15

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Indiana is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. NEW YORK
Connecticut is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing New York
New York is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. TULSA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games
Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Tulsa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Tulsa is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games at home

10:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PHOENIX
Washington is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games

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WNBA

Friday, July 15

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Lady luck: Friday's best WNBA bets
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Minnesota Lynx at Indiana Fever (-4, 153.5)

After a slow start, the Minnesota Lynx had the Phoenix Mercury right where they wanted them down the stretch. Then they fell apart again.

The Lynx owned an 11-point lead with just over six minutes to play, but ended up dropping a 112-105 decision as 6.5-point underdogs.

"We knew from the moment we walked off the court that it was a missed opportunity," Lynx center Taj McWilliams-Franklin told reporters. "Once we sleep on it and everyone can evaluate individually, we can move forward. Everyone knows what a bad loss feels like, so that's not a new concept. It's how you respond that's important. You want to stop the bleeding."

That’ll be a tall order against the Fever, who have won and covered each of their last seven games. In the long haul, Minnesota is going to be a contending team, but this is a bad spot for them considering Indiana’s hot streak.

We also like the fact that this line has come down from -5.5 at the open.

Pick: Fever

Washington Mystics at Phoenix Mercury (-11.5, 176.5)

Sure, the Mystics have covered just three pointspreads all season, but they’re improving.

They were in it until the end but dropped a 79-71 decision to Seattle as a 10.5-point underdog and actually had the deficit to five points with a little over two minutes left in the fourth. Of course, then they missed their last five shots down the stretch, but it’s baby steps for this team.

"This team (Washington) is dangerous," Seattle’s Swim Cash told reporters after the game. "I wouldn't be surprised (if) at the end of the season they're right in the mix for the playoffs. I'm glad we're done with them, actually, so now we'll focus back on the West Coast."

Washington’s leading scorer Crystal Langhorne wasn’t herself in her first game back from a back injury, but she’ll be better Friday.

Looks like too many points to us.

Pick: Mystics

CNOTES · Jul 15, 2011

WNBA
Dunkel

Connecticut at New York
The Liberty look to build on their 9-1 ATS record in their last 10 Friday games. New York is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Liberty favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New York (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 15

Game 651-652: Minnesota at Indiana (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 116.704; Indiana 116.719
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 157
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4 1/2; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+4 1/2); Over

Game 653-654: Connecticut at New York (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 109.835; New York 118.107
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 8 1/2; 153
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 157 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-4 1/2); Under

Game 655-656: Los Angeles at Tulsa (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 105.829; Tulsa 104.111
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 151
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 7 1/2; 154 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+7 1/2); Under

Game 657-658: Washington at Phoenix (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 104.804; Phoenix 121.701
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 17; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 11 1/2; 177
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-11 1/2); Over

WNBA
Long Sheet

Friday, July 12

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MINNESOTA (7 - 4) at INDIANA (10 - 3) - 7/15/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games against Eastern conference opponents since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (6 - 5) at NEW YORK (8 - 5) - 7/15/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-4 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-4 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOS ANGELES (5 - 6) at TULSA (1 - 12) - 7/15/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 58-86 ATS (-36.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 4-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (2 - 9) at PHOENIX (9 - 4) - 7/15/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 200-249 ATS (-73.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 116-156 ATS (-55.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 35-57 ATS (-27.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1997.
PHOENIX is 140-108 ATS (+21.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
PHOENIX is 139-106 ATS (+22.4 Units) in home games since 1997.
PHOENIX is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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