Cnotes Saturday's WNBA Best Bets !

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Saturday, July 16


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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Chicago is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games at home
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle's last 14 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Seattle is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games at home
Minnesota is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Seattle


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WNBA


Saturday, July 16


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Lady luck: Saturday's best WNBA bets
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Chicago Sky at Atlanta Dream (-3.5, 158)

It’s safe to say the Atlanta Dream are suffering from a severe WNBA Finals hangover. A year after getting swept by the Seattle Storm in the finals, the Dream are struggling to find last season’s form and are just 3-9 to start the 2011 campaign.

Atlanta is coming off back-to-back road losses to the Chicago Sky and New York Liberty, failing to cover in each contest and dropping to a dismal 1-10-1 against the spread this summer. Scoring has been the main issue, putting up only 69 points in both those road defeats. That output is almost 10 points below the Dream’s season average.

Against Chicago last Saturday, they shot 38.4 percent from the field, were 1 for 7 from the 3-point line and coughed the ball up 24 times. Atlanta followed that with another terrible night versus the Liberty on Wednesday, shooting 40.6 percent, going 0 for 7 from beyond the arc and turning the ball over 18 times.

Chicago, on the other hand, has won three of its last four contests, including the 81-69 victory over Atlanta, improving to 8-6 ATS on the year with a 3-1 mark against the spread in that span. The Sky have won seven of the past 10 head-to-head contests with the Dream, posting an 8-2 ATS record and have covered in each of the teams’ last three meetings.

Pick: Chicago


Seattle Storm at Minnesota Lynx (-6, 149)


For a team missing the league’s best player, the Storm have done pretty well.

Seattle, which is without center Lauren Jackson until at least the postseason, is treading water in the Western Conference, going 4-3 since the MVP opted for hip surgery earlier this month.

Even more impressive is the Storm’s fight against the spread, covering in four of those seven contests, including Thursday’s 69-66 loss to the San Antonio Silver Stars as 5-point road underdogs. Seattle fought the Silver Stars hard, with seven lead changes and five ties in the fourth quarter.

"We were in a gray area about what we should do in certain situations," Storm forward Le'coe Willingham told the Seattle Times. "A little bit of it is playing a team for the first time, but the game was right there in our grasp and we let it slip away."

Oddsmakers are once again undervaluing the fight in Seattle’s lineup Saturday. Books have pegged the reigning WNBA champs as 6-point pups in Minnesota, taking on a Lynx squad that played in Indiana Friday night.

Pick: Seattle
 

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Long Sheet


Saturday, July 16


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CHICAGO (7 - 7) at ATLANTA (3 - 9) - 7/16/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a division game this season.
ATLANTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 8-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (7 - 5) at MINNESOTA (8 - 4) - 7/16/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-3 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 7-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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7:30 PM ETChicago at Atlanta
Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds
CHI 601 7-7 (1-5 V) - 160 UNDER
ATL 602 3-9 (2-5 H) - -6.5 CHI + 6.5

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts 8:00 PM ETSeattle at Minnesota
Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds
SEA 603 7-5 (2-4 V) - 149 UNDER
MIN 604 8-4 (4-2 H) - -4 SEATTLE + 4

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
 

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