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MLB Series Outlook: Texas at L.A. Angels


TEXAS RANGERS (55-41, +5.2 Units)

at LOS ANGELES ANGELS (51-45, +1.3 Units)


Sportsbook.com Series Line: Los Angeles -120, Texas -110

Texas has won 11 straight, and they can put even more room between themselves and the rest of the AL West when they visit the Angels for a three-game set starting Tuesday night.

But with a significant pitching advantage in two of the three games, along with a fighting chance in the other, plus home-field advantage, the money line is looking good for LOS ANGELES to win the series. The Rangers have dropped the past four series in Anaheim, with their last series win coming in August of 2009. The FoxSheets provide another trend siding with the Angels to win the series.

L.A. ANGELS are 56-39 (58.9%, +21.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. The average score was L.A. ANGELS 4.8, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 1*).

Pitching Probables for Wednesday, July 20 - 10:05 ET
Wednesday line: TBD
TEX: 10-9 (-0.80 Units) when Derek Holland starts
LAA: 11-9 (-1.40 Units) when Dan Haren starts
Holland (8-4, 4.32 ERA) has been maddeningly inconsistent over his short big-league career, but not over his past two starts. He threw back-to-back shutouts against the division’s weaker sisters (home against Oakland, then at Seattle). And that was after a disastrous outing against Florida where he didn’t get out of the first, and a start against the Mets where he gave up 12 hits without striking out a batter. The lefty has been much better on the road this season, going 4-2 with a 3.20 ERA. Texas has lost four of his six career starts against the Angels.
Haren (10-6, 2.75 ERA) is having a great bounce-back season, but he’s coming off an ugly outing in Oakland. He allowed 10 hits and struck out only two over 6.1 innings in a loss to the A’s. He hasn’t received a lot of run support at home, but he’s been lights out at Angels Stadium, with a 1.86 ERA on the year. He shut down the Rangers in Arlington back in May (7.2 innings, one earned run), a no-decision for him, but an Angels win.

Pitching Probables for Thursday, July 21 - 3:35 ET
Thursday line: TBD
TEX: 13-7 (+4.15 Units) when C.J. Wilson starts
LAA: 13-7 (+3.65 Units) when Jered Weaver starts
Wilson (10-3, 3.11 ERA) has pitched well of late, with the Rangers winning four of his past five starts while he has posted a 3.34 ERA. The lefty has been particularly sharp on the road this season, going 5-2 with a 2.59 ERA. In his past five starts against the Angels, Wilson has posted a 1.74 ERA while the Rangers won each of those games.
Weaver (12-4, 1.90 ERA) has regained his Cy Young form. He hasn’t given up more than two runs in a start since June 8, and he’s 5-0 with a 1.16 ERA over his past six starts. L.A. has won six of his eight home starts this year. He split his two starts in Arlington this year, giving up five runs over 15 innings against the Rangers.
 
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MLB Series Outlook: L.A. Dodgers at San Francisco


LOS ANGELES DODGERS (42-53, -14.7 Units)

at SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (55-41, +9.5 Units)


Sportsbook.com Series Line: San Francisco -170, Los Angeles +135

National League West rivals Los Angeles and San Francisco look to continue their rivalry when they begin a three-game series on Monday night at AT&T Park.After winning five straight games, Los Angeles has dropped two straight, losing its series to Arizona, 2-1, during the weekend. The Giants have won seven of their past nine games, including three of four at San Diego over the weekend. San Francisco is 5-4 versus the Dodgers this season, including a 2-1 mark at home.

Despite a lack of hitting in their home stadium (.236 BA, 2.9 runs per game), the Giants are 28-16 (.636) at AT&T Park. San Francisco should be favored in all three games of this series, which is a great thing for the Giants. They are 39-22 (.639) as a favorite, while L.A. is 16-28 (.364) as an underdog this year. San Francisco is also 40-22 (.645) in night games, while the Dodgers are 28-37 (.431) under the lights. All signs points to a big SAN FRANCISCO series win.

These two FoxSheets trends also like the Giants to win at least two out of three games.

SAN FRANCISCO is 29-13 (69.0%, +17.1 Units) against the money line vs. a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.4, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 2*).

SAN FRANCISCO is 71-42 (62.8%, +27.5 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.3, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 2*).

Pitching Probables for Tuesday, July 19 - 10:15 ET
Tuesday line: TBD
LAD: 3-4 (+0.02 Units) when Rubby De La Rosa starts
SF: 8-11 (-3.85 Units) when Madison Bumgarner starts
Rubby De La Rosa (3-4, 3.74, 45.2 IP) has dropped his past four decisions, but he's surrendered just four total runs in his past three trips to the mound. De La Rosa got a no-decision in a 1-0 Dodgers win over San Diego on July 9, giving up just one hit in six shutout innings with four walks and eight strikeouts. He is 2-1 with a 2.50 ERA in four road games in 2011 (three starts).
Madison Bumgarner (4-9, 3.74, 110.2 IP) has picked up three straight no-decisions, but he gave up one earned run in six innings of a 6-2 victory over the Padres on July 14. The left-hander has surrendered one run in three of his past four starts, but gave up five earned runs to San Diego on July 6. Bumgarner is 1-1 versus L.A. this season, allowing six runs in 13.2 IP. He earned the win against the Dodgers on May 19, pitching 8.2 innings and giving up one earned run. He is 2-1 in four career games (three starts) against L.A. with a 3.10 ERA, but is only 1-5 with a 5.36 ERA in nine home starts this season.

Pitching Probables for Wednesday, July 20 - 3:45 ET
Wednesday line: TBD
LAD: 12-8 (+2.25 Units) when Clayton Kershaw starts
SF: 12-8 (+0.45 Units) when Tim Lincecum starts
Clayton Kershaw (10-4, 2.88 ERA, 137.2 IP) will look to win his third straight start, and is coming off another solid effort on July 15 at Arizona. In that game, he allowed five hits and four runs (zero earned) in seven innings with eight strikeouts. Kershaw hasn't surrendered an earned run in his past two starts, spanning 15 innings. The left-hander has faced the Giants three times this season. He gave up four earned runs and seven hits in five innings in a no-decision on May 18. But in an April 11 start, he pitched 6.2 shutout innings in a 6-1 win. He also beat the Giants, 2-1, on March 31, throwing seven shutout innings and giving up just four hits. He is 3-1 with a 1.62 ERA in nine career appearances against San Francisco (eight starts).
Tim Lincecum (8-7, 2.99 ERA, 129.1 IP) has won two straight outings, and has allowed one earned run in each of those starts (12 IP). He defeated San Diego 6-1 on July 15, pitching six innings and surrendering one run and three hits with seven strikeouts. He's pitched against the Dodgers twice this season, and picked up a loss and a no-decision. Lincecum gave up three earned runs in 5.1 innings on April 12, and he lost to Kershaw on March 31 despite allowing one run (zero earned) in seven innings. He is 5-2 with a 3.22 ERA in 12 career games (11 starts) against L.A., and is 3-3 with a 3.72 ERA in nine home starts this season.
 
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MLB Series Outlook: Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs


PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (59-35, +11.8 Units)

at CHICAGO CUBS (38-58, -19.5 Units)


Sportsbook.com Series Line: Philadelphia -220, Chicago +170

A year ago the Philadelphia Phillies began the post All-Star break portion of the second half with a four-game series in Chicago. The Phils trailed the Atlanta Braves by 5½ games in the NL East. They lost three out of four in Wrigley, en route to dropping six of their first seven out of the break. What a difference a year makes. This season the Phils entered the break with a 3½-game lead, a cushion that remains the same size after taking a weekend series from the Mets. At 59-35 they own the best record in all of baseball, and when they take the field at the friendly confines on Monday evening, it will be with the knowledge that they are a superb second-half team. Over the last six seasons under Charlie Manuel, the team is 270-172 (.611) after the break. That is the best among all NL teams during that span. With Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee taking the hill this week against the 20-games-below-.500 Cubs, Philly stands a pretty good chance of building on that mark.

The pick here is for PHILADELPHIA to win the series, despite the steep 5-to-11 price tag. The Phillies have taken the past seven series they have played, and will make it eight straight series by outlasting the Cubs this week.

This three-star FoxSheets team trend also sides with the Phils.

PHILADELPHIA is 49-16 (75.4%, +31.1 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.6, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 3*).

Pitching Probables for Tuesday, July 19 – 8:05 EDT
Tuesday line: TBD
PHI: 11-8 (-1.15 Units) when Cliff Lee starts
CHC: 6-11 (-6.05 Units) when Matt Garza starts
When Cliff Lee takes the field in the second game of this series, it will be interesting to see if he can stay hot…with his bat! Lee is hitting .220 on the year with nine hits, six RBI, and in his last outing versus Atlanta, it was his solo HR (the first of his career) that accounted for the only scoring of the day for the Phillies. He’s not too shabby when he’s pitching either. Lee is 9-6 with a 2.82 ERA and a 4.7 K/BB ratio (137 K, 29 BB). Lee could be vulnerable on the road though, where he is 2-5 with a 4.73 ERA, a stark contrast to his gaudy home stats (7-1, 1.61 ERA). In his last road outing on July 3, Lee thought he was headed for his 10th win of the year, before being tattooed for three home runs in the eighth inning as he lost to the Blue Jays 7-4.
Matt Garza will be making his second start of the season against the Phils, and is looking for a better outcome than he had on June 11 when he and his Cubs lost to Lee and the Phils 7-1. Garza went six innings, allowing five hits, two runs (one earned) while walking three. Garza has been stingy at home, sporting a 2.88 ERA in nine home starts this year.

Pitching Probables for Wednesday, July 20 - 2:20 EDT
Wednesday line: TBD
PHI: 7-2 (+5.10 Units) when Vance Worley starts
CHC: 13-7 (+5.80 Units) when Ryan Dempster starts
While he’s not about to earn a permanent starring role in the Big Four, 23-year-old Vance Worley is doing a pretty good job as stunt double for the recuperating Roy Oswalt. After a May 29 hiccup against the Mets in which he allowed 12 hits and eight runs in three innings, Worley (5-1, 2.15 ERA) has spent the past six weeks slamming the door on opposing offenses. He has allowed just three earned runs in his past five starts, a stretch which has seen him go 3-0, and his team winning all five of those games.
Worley will be opposed by the Cubs winningest pitcher this season (small consolation when your team is 38-58) Ryan Dempster. Dempster (7-6, 4.68 ERA) will be facing the Phillies for the first time this season. His home ERA of 3.42 is nearly half his 6.70 road ERA. If Worley continues to befuddle batters the way he has since the beginning of June, Dempster will need to be a lot stingier if he is to keep his team in the game. The Cubs are 13-7 (.650) when Dempster starts, and 25-51 (.329) when anybody else takes the hill this season.
 
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MLB Series Outlook: N.Y. Yankees at Tampa Bay


NEW YORK YANKEES (55-37, +5.9 Units)

at TAMPA BAY RAYS (50-43, +1.1 Units)


Sportsbook.com Series Line: Tampa Bay -120, New York -110

Two teams trying to stay close in the tough AL East meet in Tampa Bay for a key four-game series when the Rays host the Yankees. Tampa Bay hasn’t won a series versus an AL opponent in over a month, dropping 2-of-3 games in four straight AL series. One of those series losses was leading up to the All-Star break when they dropped the final two contests of a three-game set against the Yankees.

This is a tight series to call with each team holding the pitching advantage in two of the four games, and these teams splitting the past 20 meetings at Tropicana Field 10-10. The Rays are just 22-23 at home this year, while New York has the third-best road record in the majors at 25-18. The winner of this series will come down to who hits better, and the Yankees are the superior offensive team. Tampa Bay also enters this series with a brutal 1-0 loss in 16 innings in Boston Sunday night, as the Rays mustered three hits (all singles), one walk and struck out 13 times in 50 at-bats before the game ended at 1:54 a.m. ET. Tampa also used eight relief pitchers in the loss to the Red Sox. The pick here is for NEW YORK to win the series.

The FoxSheets provide two more reasons to side with the Pinstripes.

JOE GIRARDI is 85-54 (61.2%, +22.0 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.2 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of NY YANKEES. The average score was NY YANKEES 4.9, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*).

TAMPA BAY is 19-27 (41.3%, -12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was TAMPA BAY 3.9, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*).


Pitching Probables for Wednesday, July 20 - 7:10 EDT
Wednesday line: TBD
NYY: 8-8 (-2.10 Units) when Freddy Garcia starts
TB: 12-8 (+1.65 Units) when David Price starts
Garcia (7-7, 3.43 ERA) had thrown five straight quality starts (1.87 ERA, 1.04 WHIP) before Toronto torched him for six runs (5 ER), seven hits and four walks in five innings his last time out. Although he has only faced Tampa Bay once since 2006 (7 IP, 2 ER in a win last year), he is 8-2 with a 3.56 ERA against the Rays in 15 career starts.
Price (9-7, 3.73 ERA) is the lone lefty for Tampa Bay this series, which isn’t necessarily a good thing based on New York’s 19-9 record (.679) against left-handed starters this year. Price’s ERA is more than a run higher than last year’s 2.72, but his strikeout rate has increased from 8.1 K/9 in 2010 to 8.8 this year. He pitched pretty well his last time out versus Boston (6 IP, 3 ER, 7 K), but in his last outing before the All-Star break, the Yankees touched him up for four runs and 10 base-runners (7 H, 3 BB) in just five innings. Price is 3-1 in nine career starts versus New York, but has allowed 12 runs on 21 hits in the past 16 innings against the Yankees.

Pitching Probables for Thursday, July 21 - 7:10 EDT
Thursday line: TBD
NYY: 16-5 (+8.20 Units) when CC Sabathia starts
TB: 12-8 (+1.35 Units) when James Shields starts
Sabathia (14-4, 2.64 ERA) has been unbelievable during a seven-start winning streak. In these seven victories, Sabathia has a 1.68 ERA and 0.95 WHIP with 59 K and 10 BB in 53.2 innings. Two outings ago, on July 10, he tossed a four-hit shutout against the Rays, striking out nine and walking only one. He is 9-5 with a 3.04 ERA in 21 career starts versus Tampa Bay, allowing a mere .233 batting average to the Rays.
Shields (8-8, 2.60 ERA) has also been excellent this season, especially with seven complete games. But largely due to a lack of run support, he is currently suffering through a four-game losing streak. He was hit hard against Boston his last time out (6 IP, 6 ER), but he only allowed a total of six earned runs (2.57 ERA) in his previous three outings. The losing streak is likely to continue against the Yankees and Sabathia, as Shields is just 3-10 (team is 4-13) with a 4.47 ERA in 17 career starts versus New York.
 
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Twins And Indians Finish Series At Target Field

The Cleveland Indians are the surprise leader in the AL Central, while the Minnesota Twins are just fighting to stay alive. The teams meet on Wednesday afternoon to end a 4-game set.

The early start from Minnesota’s Target Field will be at 10:10 a.m. (PT). The pitching matchup is Josh Tomlin (11-4, 4.03 ERA) against Nick Blackburn (7-6, 3.99 ERA).

The Indians (51-44) opened the series Monday by sweeping (5-2, 6-3) a doubleheader. The extra game was due to an April postponement. They’re 4-2 since the All-Star break and lead Detroit by one game in the mediocre division.

Tuesday’s night game was still pending with Minnesota a 120 favorite in a good pitching duel between Justin Masterson and Francisco Liriano. The total was just 7 ½-runs.

Tomlin has three more wins than any other Indians starter despite an ERA north of 4.00 and allowing 18 homers, second most in the AL. His below average strikeout rate (5.07) is immensely helped by pinpoint control, 15 walks in 120 2/3 innings.

Tomlin’s long ball troubles showed up last Friday in Baltimore, surrendering three. He still got a win in the 6-5 victory despite being charged all the runs over five innings.

The 26-year-old right-hander has struggled more on the road all year. He’s 4-3 with a 4.76 ERA, with Cleveland going 4-5 in his starts. Batters are hitting .261 off him away, compared to .219 at home.

Tomlin got roughed up in his only career start versus Minnesota on June 6. He allowed six earned runs over six innings in a 6-4 loss. That’s his only home loss this year, going 7-1 with a 3.38 ERA.

Minnesota (44-51) is seven games out in the division, still trying to fight back from a 17-37 start. It went 24-11 before the break and 3-3 so far after despite losing the last two. The ‘under’ is 4-0-1 in its last five games.

Blackburn is a consistent pitcher who usually ends up around .500 with an ERA close to 4.00. His ERA was significantly higher last year (5.42), although he still ended up 10-12.

The 29-year-old right-hander threw seven shutout innings against Kansas City last Friday, but Minnesota still lost 2-1. Blackburn needed a good start after a 12.15 ERA in his prior three outings, never lasting more than five innings.

This is Blackburn’s first start against the Indians this year. He’s 6-3 with a 2.51 ERA lifetime against them, including a .60 ERA in two great starts last year. Minnesota won both contests.

The ‘under’ is 7-2 in Blackburn’s last nine starts against Cleveland.

This start is extra important with Scott Baker (elbow) put on the DL Monday. Cleveland placed outfielder Grady Sizemore (knee) on the DL the same day.

Minnesota is 4-3 against the Indians this year with the ‘under’ 3-0-1 in the last four. Minny had beat them six straight at home before Monday.

The Twins are 23-22 at home for the year (-0.1 unit), but much better recently at 16-6 in their last 22. The Indians are just 24-26 on the road this year (+3.0 units), compared to 27-18 at home (+9.0 units). However, they’re 7-3 in their last 10 away.

Alan Porter will call balls and strikes. The ‘under’ is 13-3 in his last 16 games behind the plate.

Weather will be hot in the 90s, with strong winds blowing out from the first base dugout to left-center.

Minnesota hosts Detroit on Thursday to start another important 4-game series. Cleveland is off Thursday, welcoming the White Sox on Friday for a weekend set.
 
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St. Louis Cardinals, New York Mets MLB Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals will look to stay in the hunt for the National League Central Division crown on Wednesday when they visit the New York Mets in the second game of a three-game series at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. (PT) on ESPN.

St. Louis dropped two of three games at Cincinnati following the All-Star break and close out a nine-game road trip at Pittsburgh this weekend against the Pirates, one of the surprise contenders in the NL Central this year.

Meanwhile, the Mets are simply trying to stay out of the cellar in the NL East standings where Philadelphia holds a double-digit lead over three of the other four teams in the division. They have already unloaded closer Francisco Rodriguez to Milwaukee, and a fire sale may be coming if the team continues to slide.

There are a couple positives for New York, though. St. Louis could be flat with Pittsburgh on deck, playing the Mets in between a pair of divisional opponents. The Cardinals are also sending a struggling Kyle McClellan to the mound, as he looks to break a personal five-game losing streak. He has been favored in three of those games.

McClellan (6-6, 4.24 ERA) has not pitched well during his skid, but he also has not received much run support either. He is 0-5 in his past six starts with a 5.03 ERA, and St. Louis has scored more than two runs only once over that stretch.

Even worse, the Cardinals have totaled just four runs in his last five outings combined. The ‘under’ has cashed each of the last three times he has gone to the mound.

New York starting pitcher R.A. Dickey (4-8, 3.70) has seen his team win four of his last five starts – all as an underdog – although he has just a 1-1 record to show for it. Two of those wins came at home, where Dickey is only 1-6 in 10 starts this season with a 4.10 ERA.

The veteran knuckleballer is nine years older than McClellan and has had a difficult time for the most part vs. St. Louis during his career with a 7.36 ERA in four games. Dickey has seen the ‘over’ go 3-1 in his past four outings overall.

These teams had not faced each other this season before Tuesday’s series opener. They split six meetings last year, with Dickey and the Mets blanking the Cardinals 4-0 in the final matchup between them. He pitched 8 1/3 strong innings, allowing four hits with two walks and two strikeouts.

The ‘over’ had cashed in the previous three meetings between the two clubs.

Wednesday’s high temperature in Flushing is expected to reach 89 degrees with a 20 percent chance of rain under partly cloudy skies.
 
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Phoenix Mercury Host Rematch With Minnesota Lynx

Last week’s game between these two in Minnesota produced 217 points.
A week ago these two teams combined to score 217 points in a thrilling game at Target Center. The scene shifts to US Airways Center, as the Phoenix Mercury host the Minnesota Lynx Wednesday afternoon with the opening tip set for 12:30 PT.

Phoenix (10-4) was lucky enough to come away with a 112-105 victory just seven days ago and has covered three straight games. The Mercury are currently 4½-point favorites and bettors should take note of their 5-0 ATS run at home.

Guard Diana Taurasi has led the squad to the top of the Western Conference standings despite averaging 19.3 points a game, which is off by more than three points from her scoring title mark of 22.6 last year. The former collegiate star at Connecticut scored a game-high 27 points in last week’s meeting and will likely produce a similar effort Tuesday, as the Mercury have scored over the century mark in three consecutive meetings.

She hasn’t had to carry the offensive load all by herself, as forward Penny Taylor is on pace to become the first player in league history to average at least 15.0 points, 5.0 rebounds, 5.0 assists and shoot at least 50 percent from the field.

The Mercury hold a 26-18 all-time advantage in the series, including a dominating 16-6 mark at home. Phoenix is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings overall and the ‘over’ is on a sizzling 7-0 run when playing in the desert.

Low-scoring games are never expected when these two squads matchup, especially when playing in the highest scoring game in WNBA history, a 127-124 double-overtime win by Phoenix on July 24 of last year.

Minnesota (9-4) enters its final game before the All-Star break on a two-game winning streak, including a 69-62 home win over the defending-WNBA champion Seattle Storm on Saturday. The Lynx used a 26-5 run that started late in the second quarter and carried over after halftime to take control of that particular contest.

Guard Seimone Augustus finished the game with a game-high 19 points in 31 minutes, knocking down nine of 17 shots from the floor.

Head coach Cheryl Reeve will need to rally the team for a major defensive effort, which hasn’t been a problem for most of the season away from home. Minnesota has limited opponents to 39.3 percent shooting on the road, including 27.7 percent from beyond the arc.

Easier said than done when facing the WNBA’s top offense that averages 92.3 points a game overall and 95 a night on its home floor. The average margin of victory for Phoenix when hosting Minnesota in this series has been 8.9 points, which is a few ticks higher than the home team’s 5.1-advantage overall.
 
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Around the Horn - Wednesday

July 19, 2011


NATIONAL LEAGUE


Cincinnati at Pittsburgh - 12:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Cueto (5-3, 2.01 ERA) 4-7 L11 OVER 5-2 L7 away during day
Karstens (8-4, 2.34 ERA) 8-3 L11 3-11 home Game 3's

Pirates beat Reds, 2-0 on Monday
Pirates beat Reds, 1-0 on Tuesday

Washington at Houston - 2:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Hernandez (5-9, 4.09 ERA) 3-6 L9 2-9 L11 away Game 3's
Myers (3-10, 4.86 ERA) 3-8 L11 0-6 L6 home during day

Nationals beat Astros, 5-2 on Monday
Astros beat Nationals, 7-6 on Tuesday

Philadelphia at Chicago - 2:20 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Worley (5-1, 2.15 ERA) 7-4 L11 OVER 5-0 L5 away during day
Dempster (7-6, 4.68 ERA) 4-8 L12 UNDER 10-3 L13 home vs RHP

Cubs beat Phillies, 6-1 on Monday
Phillies beat Cubs, 4-2 on Tuesday

Los Angeles at San Francisco - 3:45 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Kershaw (10-4, 2.88 ERA) 5-3 L8 2-6 L8 away Game 3's
Lincecum (8-7, 2.99 ERA) 8-2 L10 10-2 home vs LHP

Giants beat Dodgers, 5-0 on Monday
Giants beat Dodgers, 5-3 on Tuesday

St. Louis at N.Y. Mets - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
McClellan (6-6, 4.24 ERA) 3-6 L9 2-8 L10 on Wednesdays
Dickey (4-8, 3.70 ERA) 3-6 L9 4-1 L5 home Game 2's

Mets beat Cardinals, 4-2 on Tuesday

San Diego at Florida - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Harang (7-2, 3.19 ERA) 2-8 L10 5-3 L8 away Game 2's
Nolasco (6-6, 3.51 ERA) 9-2 L11 OVER 12-3 on Wednesdays

Padres beat Marlins, 4-0 on Tuesday

Atlanta at Colorado - 8:40 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Hudson (9-6, 3.44 ERA) 7-3 L10 6-1 L7 on Wednesdays
Nicasio (4-2, 4.24 ERA) 4-7 L11 OVER 10-1 home Game 3's

Braves beat Rockies, 7-4 on Monday

Milwaukee at Arizona - 9:40 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Narveson (6-6, 4.74 ERA) 6-3 L9 2-8 away vs LHP
Saunders (6-8, 3.89 ERA) 6-4 L10 2-5 home on Wednesdays

Diamondbacks beat Brewers, 3-0 on Monday

AMERICAN LEAGUE


Boston at Baltimore - 12:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Miller (3-1, 5.68 ERA) 9-2 L11 OVER 7-1 away on Wednesdays
Arrieta (9-6, 5.10 ERA) 3-10 L13 6-3 L9 home vs LHP

Red Sox beat Orioles, 15-10 on Monday
Orioles beat Red Sox, 6-2 on Tuesday

Cleveland at Minnesota - 1:10 PM EST (Game 4/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Tomlin (11-4, 4.03 ERA) 2-3 L5 5-1 L6 on Wednesdays
Blackburn (7-6, 3.99 ERA) 7-4 L11 8-2 L10 home during day

Indians beat Twins, 5-2 on Monday (G1/DH)
Indians beat Twins, 6-3 on Monday (G2/DH)
Twins beat Indians, 2-1 on Tuesday

Seattle at Toronto - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Vargas (6-7, 3.68 ERA) 0-10 L10 UNDER 9-1 L8 away vs RHP
Morrow (6-4, 4.37 ERA) 6-2 L8 8-4 home vs LHP

Blue Jays beat Mariners, 6-5 on Tuesday

Oakland at Detroit - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
McCarthy (2-5, 3.64 ERA) 3-6 L9 5-10 away Game 2's
Below (ML debut) 6-3 L9 1-5 L6 home Game 2's

Tigers beat Athletics, 8-3 on Tuesday

N.Y. Yankees at Tampa Bay - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Garcia (7-7, 3.43 ERA) 5-3 L8 9-4 away vs LHP
Price (9-7, 3.73 ERA) 4-7 L11 UNDER 6-1 L7 home Game 3's

Yankees beat Rays, 5-4 on Monday
Rays beat Yankees, 3-2 on Tuesday

Chicago at Kansas City - 8:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Danks (3-8, 4.21 ERA) 4-7 L11 8-2 L10 vs LHP
Chen (5-3, 3.56 ERA) 3-7 L10 UNDER 5-1 L6 home vs LHP

White Sox beat Royals, 5-2 on Monday
Royals beat White Sox, 4-2 on Tuesday


Texas at Los Angeles - 10:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Holland (8-4, 4.32 ERA) 11-0 L11 5-1 L6 away Game 2's
Haren (10-6, 2.75 ERA) 5-3 L8 5-2 L7 vs LHP
 
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Long Sheet


Wednesday, July 20

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ATLANTA (4 - 9) at WASHINGTON (3 - 10) - 7/20/2011, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 201-250 ATS (-74.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 122-165 ATS (-59.5 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (9 - 4) at PHOENIX (10 - 4) - 7/20/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 54-78 ATS (-31.8 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1997.
PHOENIX is 141-108 ATS (+22.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
PHOENIX is 140-106 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home games since 1997.
PHOENIX is 89-64 ATS (+18.6 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA


Wednesday, July 20

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Trend Report
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11:30 AM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PHOENIX
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


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WNBA


Wednesday, July 20

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Lady luck: Wednesday's best WNBA bets
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Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics (-1.5, 155.5)

If you find yourself glued to the television Tuesday at 11:30 a.m. ET, you either really love the WNBA or are in desperate need of a new summer hobby.

Either way, this could turn out to be an ugly game. Atlanta has covered the number in just two of its 13 games this season while Washington has covered in only three of its last 10.

On the plus side, both clubs are coming off wins, but neither club plays much defense.

We’ll jump on the Mystics at home in this spot after they earned a huge 22-point comeback win against Los Angeles, downing the Sparks in overtime as a 12.5-point underdog.

“They have big hearts and have played through injuries, played through disappointment, played through a lot of things and have tremendous character and refused to give up. I'm very proud of them,” Mystics coach Trudi Lacey told reporters.

Pick: Mystics


Minnesota Lynx at Phoenix Mercury (-4.5, 184.5)

There’s a lot to like about the Minnesota Lynx. They play great defense, are tough inside and have been a solid bet both at home and on the road.

But when the Lynx are facing the Mercury, you can throw all that out the window.

Phoenix has won and covered each of the last four meetings between the two teams, including a 112-105 win over Minnesota.

We’re going to jump back on the Mercury, who have won 10 of their last 11 games and covered in nine of those. That said, we aren’t expected a shootout like the last time these teams hooked up and are also leaning a bit toward the under.

Both clubs have been pretty solid defensively lately.

Pick: Mercury
 
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Dunkel


Minnesota at Phoenix
The Mercury look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 home games. Phoenix is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-5). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 20

Game 601-602: Atlanta at Washington (11:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 110.421; Washington 108.694
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 154
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3 1/2); Under

Game 603-604: Minnesota at Phoenix (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 114.595; Phoenix 121.811
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5; 185
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-5); Over
​
 
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Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
The Pirates look to build on their 5-1 record in Jeff Karstens' last 6 home starts. Pittsburgh is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 20

Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.578; Pittsburgh (Karstens) 15.416
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+105); Over

Game 903-904: Washington at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Hernandez) 14.778; Houston (Myers) 14.122
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Houston (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+100); Under

Game 905-906: Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Worley) 15.807; Cubs (Dempster) 14.744
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-110); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-110); N/A

Game 907-908: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.392; San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.102
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Over

Game 909-910: San Diego at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Harang) 15.812; Florida (Nolasco) 15.446
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+125); Under

Game 911-912: St. Louis at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (McClellan) 14.611; NY Mets (Dickey) 15.433
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-120); Over

Game 913-914: Atlanta at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 15.676; Colorado (Nicasio) 14.872
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Colorado (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-110); Under

Game 915-916: Milwaukee at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Narveson) 13.968; Arizona (Saunders) 15.563
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110); Over

Game 917-918: Boston at Baltimore (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Miller) 16.229; Baltimore (Arrieta) 14.244
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-125); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-125); Over

Game 919-920: Cleveland at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Tomlin) 13.984; Minnesota (Blackburn) 15.591
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-115); Under

Game 921-922: Oakland at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (McCarthy) 15.069; Detroit (Below) 15.998
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-125); Under

Game 923-924: Seattle at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 14.953; Toronto (Morrow) 14.717
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+135); Over

Game 925-926: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Garcia) 16.940; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.297
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+120); Over

Game 927-928: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.191; Kansas City (Chen) 16.023
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+105); Under

Game 929-930: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 14.952; LA Angels (Haren) 15.670
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-135); Over
​
 
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Write-Up


Wednesday, July 20

Hot pitchers
-- Karstens is 5-0, 1.57 in his last eight starts. Cueto is 3-1, 2.21 in his last eight starts.
-- Worley is 4-0, 0.89 in his last five starts. Cubs won last four Dempster starts (2-0, 2.67).
-- Kershaw is 4-1, 2.74 in his last six starts. Lincecum is 3-1, 1.74 in his last five starts.
-- Nolasco has a 1.13 RA in his last four starts. Harang is 2-0, 1.54 in his last eight starts.
-- Dickey has a 2.25 RA in his last four home starts.
-- Hudson is 4-0, 1.84 in his last five starts. Colorado is 5-0 at home if Nicasio (4-0, 1.91) starts.
-- Saunders is 3-1, 2.53 in his last five starts.

-- Tomlin is 4-0, 4.03 in his last six starts.
-- Vargas has a 2.61 RA in his last five starts, but Mariners got blanked in his last two outings.
-- Toronto won Morrow's last six starts (4-0, 2.90).
-- FGarcia is 3-2, 2.49 in his last six starts.
-- White Sox won Danks' last four starts (3-0, 1.90) before he went on the DL, after losing 10 of his first 11 starts.
-- Holland threw CG shutouts in his last two starts (allowed nine hits, three walks). Haren is 4-1, 2.17 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Astros lost Myers' last eight home starts (0-6, 5.80). Hernandez has a 6.59 RA in his last five starts.
-- Cardinals lost last six McClellan starts (0-5, 7.15).
-- Narveson is 2-2, 5.40 in his last five starts.

-- Arrieta is 1-3, 7.27 in his last five starts. Miller is 3-1, 6.04 in his five starts; Boston scored 44 runs in the five games.
-- Blackburn is 1-2, 7.52 in his last five starts.
-- McCarthy is 1-4, 5.40 in his last eight starts.
-- Below is 9-4, 3.13 in 18 AAA starts this year; this is his MLB debut.
-- Price is 1-1, 5.82 in his last three starts.
-- Chen is 1-2, 5.09 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Eight of last nine Karstens starts stayed under total. Over is 3-1-1 in Cueto's last five starts.
-- Four of last five Myers starts stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Dempster starts stayed under the total.
-- Kershaw's last four road starts went over the total. Four of last five Lincecum starts stayed under the total.
-- Last five Nolasco starts stayed under the total.
-- Last three McClellan starts stayed under the total.
-- 10 of last 15 Hudson starts went over the total.
-- Four of Narveson's last five road starts went over the total.

-- Last four Arrieta starts went over the total.
-- Tomlin's last four starts all went over the total.
-- Three of last four Oakland road games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Vargas starts.
-- Four of last five Garcia starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of Danks' last seven starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in Haren's last five home starts.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won nine of their last ten games.
-- Phillies won 11 of their last 17 games.
-- Braves won 13 of their last 17 games.
-- Pirates won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Giants won eight of their last ten games.

-- Toronto won six of its last eight games.
-- Cleveland won seven of its last 11 road games. Twins won 13 of their last 19 games.
-- Bronx won three of its last four games.
-- Red Sox won 13 of their last 16 games.
-- Texas won its last 12 games, allowing two runs in their last six.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost ten of their last fifteen games.
-- San Diego lost eight of its last ten games.
-- Reds lost 10 of their last 15 games.
-- Mets lost six of their last nine games. Cardinals lost five of their last six road games.
-- Astros lost 18 of their last 22 games. Washington lost six of its last eight road games.
-- Brewers lost eight of their last twelve road games. Arizona is 4-6 in its last ten home games.
-- Colorado lost nine of its last fourteen games.
-- Dodgers lost their last four games, scoring six runs.

-- Seattle has been outscored 23-7 in losing its five games since All-Star break; they've lost ten games in a row overall.
-- Detroit lost six of its last ten home games. A's lost nine of their last ten road games.
-- Orioles lost 15 of their last 19 games.
-- Tampa Bay is just 6-9 in its last fifteen games.
-- Royals lost seven of their last ten games. White Sox are 4-7 in their last eleven games.
-- Angels lost four of their last five games.

Umpires
-- Cin-Pitt-- Favorites won six of last seven Bellino games.
-- Phil-Chi-- Road team won eight of last ten Dimuro games, with three of last four going over the total.
-- Wsh-Hst-- Underdogs won 12 of last 14 Carapazza games.
-- Atl-Col-- Six of last seven Campos games stayed under the total.
-- SD-Fla-- Underdogs won five of last seven Carlson games; in his last ten games, over is 6-3-1.
-- StL-NY-- Seven of last nine Tichenor games stayed under the total.
-- Mil-Az-- Five of last six Runge games went over the total.
-- LA-SF-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Cederstrom games.

-- Bos-Balt-- Favorites won last five Winters games.
-- A's-Det-- Over is 12-5-2 in Barry games this year, 3-1 in last four.
-- NY-TB-- Four of last five Iassogna games stayed under total.
-- Sea-Tor-- Total of 27 runs (6.75/game) scored in LBarrett's four tilts.
-- Cle-Min-- Road team won six of last eight Drake games.
-- Chi-KC-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Meals games.
-- Tex-LAA-- Eight of last nine Wolf games went over the total.
​
 
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Wednesday, July 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:35 PM
CINCINNATI vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

12:35 PM
BOSTON vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Baltimore is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home

1:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Minnesota is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Cleveland

2:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. HOUSTON
Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Washington is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

2:20 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. CHI CUBS
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 11 games
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

3:45 PM
LA DODGERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

7:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. DETROIT
Oakland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 10 games on the road
Detroit is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home

7:07 PM
SEATTLE vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle's last 13 games on the road
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle

7:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. NY METS
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games on the road
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis

7:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Diego's last 19 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games when playing San Diego
Florida is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Diego

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees

8:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Chi White Sox are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 10-5 SU in their last 15 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

8:40 PM
ATLANTA vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta

9:40 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 16 games
Milwaukee is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Arizona is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee

10:05 PM
TEXAS vs. LA ANGELS
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
LA Angels are 15-7 SU in their last 22 games

 
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Wednesday, July 20

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Wednesday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Jeff Karstens (8-4, 2.34 ERA), Pittsburgh Pirates

Karstens is burning up with a 3-0 record and a 1.17 ERA over his last three starts and was just named the NL’s Player of the Week. His last outing was a doozy as he went the distance in blanking the Houston Astros with just 83 pitches.

"They swung at a lot of early pitches, and that helped me out," Karstens told reporters. "It's just one of those things, going out and having fun, sticking with the game plan and letting the defense work behind me."

Brandon Morrow (6-4, 4.37), Toronto Blue Jays

The turning point in Brandon Morrow’s season may have come when he was hammered for nine earned runs against the Red Sox back on June 11. Since then, he has pitched the Jays to six straight victories.

He has allowed more than three earned runs only once during that stretch and is coming off a 7-1 over the Yankees. Morrow gave up one run on four hits over 6 2/3 innings while striking out six.


Slumping

Jake Arrieta (9-6, 5.10 ERA), Baltimore Orioles

Arrieta has just one win in his last five starts and was touched for five runs and two homers in taking a no-decision against Cleveland.

“When you only put up two zeroes and you only get through five, it’s kind of an indication things didn’t go very well,” Arrieta told reporters.

Arrieta has now served up two home runs in three of his last five starts and is working on 7.90 ERA and a 2.12 WHIP over his last three outings.

Brett Myers (3-10, 4.86 ERA), Houston Astros

Myers seems to find his way into the Slumping section every time he climbs the hill, which shouldn’t be overly surprising with a measly three wins on his resume.

However, while he owns a fat 6.61 ERA over his last three starts – all losses – Myers deserved better in his last outing. He struck out a season-high 11 batters in a solid six-inning performance against Pittsburgh. Myers picked up another loss despite allowing just three runs on five hits.

 
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Wednesday, July 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hot lines: Wednesday's best MLB bets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays (-140, 7.5)

Heading into Tuesday night’s action the Yankees and Rays had played over the total in 17 of their last 25 meetings. Wednesday’s game looks like it might continue that trend.

The Yankees send Freddy Garcia to the mound and he had some problems in his last start, allowing five runs on seven hits over five innings of work in a blowout loss to the Blue Jays. He struck out five batters, but also walked four.

What’s more troublesome than the numbers is the fact that his split-finger fastball didn’t have any bite at all and Garcia got out of his rhythm, which usually runs at break-neck speed.

“They hit the ball. There’s no excuse,” Garcia told reporters. “I don’t like excuses. I have to be ready, that’s all.”

David Price hasn’t been his normal self lately either. He gave up three homers in his last outing and owns a 5.82 ERA over his last three.

Pick: Over


Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates (+115, 7)

Johnny Cueto has been pretty good recently, leading Cincinnati to wins in five of his last seven starts and maybe he’s putting it all together.

He hasn’t allowed a homer in three starts and gave up only six runs over that span.

Then again, he isn’t the shutdown, dominant pitcher he has shown flashes of in the past. Cueto has struck out just 52 batters so far this season and still has problems with control at times so it figures to reason that he still isn’t all the way back from his stint on the DL.

Cincinnati has played over in seven of the last nine times Cueto has taken on the Pittsburgh Pirates, but we see that trend coming to an end with Jeff Karstens taking the ball for the Bucs.

Karstens has allowed more than two runs just once since May 3.

Pick: Under
 
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Long Sheet


Wednesday, July 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (47 - 50) at PITTSBURGH (51 - 44) - 12:35 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. JEFF KARSTENS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 47-50 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 45-49 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 22-44 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 9-25 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 51-44 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 65-62 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 24-13 (+16.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 49-43 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 551-635 (+49.8 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 77-52 (+18.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 405-460 (+46.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 16-10 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 33-60 (-25.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 7-1 (+9.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
CUETO is 9-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.79 and a WHIP of 1.119.
His team's record is 9-5 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-3. (+6.8 units)

JEFF KARSTENS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
KARSTENS is 0-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.47 and a WHIP of 1.860.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

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WASHINGTON (48 - 49) at HOUSTON (32 - 65) - 2:05 PM
LIVAN HERNANDEZ (R) vs. BRETT MYERS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 7-26 (-18.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-49 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-20 (+7.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 48-49 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 32-65 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 8-32 (-23.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
HOUSTON is 2-10 (-9.0 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
HOUSTON is 16-36 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 6-21 (-15.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
HOUSTON is 30-64 (-29.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 18-50 (-28.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 8-23 (-13.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 35-52 (-20.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-1 (+0.4 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

LIVAN HERNANDEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 10-6 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.35 and a WHIP of 1.433.
His team's record is 10-7 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-7. (+2.3 units)

BRETT MYERS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MYERS is 9-8 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.338.
His team's record is 11-12 (-7.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-11. (-2.2 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (60 - 36) at CHICAGO CUBS (39 - 59) - 2:20 PM
VANCE WORLEY (R) vs. RYAN DEMPSTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 76-68 (+10.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
DEMPSTER is 24-9 (+13.7 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 13-2 (+12.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 39-25 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 37-20 (+13.8 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 117-73 (+22.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-59 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 4-11 (-8.3 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-30 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 17-28 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-59 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 78-101 (-21.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 120-151 (-51.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
DEMPSTER is 15-25 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-2 (+0.6 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

VANCE WORLEY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

RYAN DEMPSTER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
DEMPSTER is 4-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.571.
His team's record is 7-9 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-2. (+10.9 units)

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LA DODGERS (42 - 55) at SAN FRANCISCO (57 - 41) - 3:45 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. TIM LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 42-55 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 42-55 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 30-41 (-13.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 23-32 (-11.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA DODGERS are 63-80 (-21.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 26-45 (-20.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-41 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 76-47 (+21.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 84-50 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 51-26 (+16.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-14 (+11.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-41 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-7 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-22 (+10.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 117-75 (+26.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-14 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-4 (+3.3 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
KERSHAW is 3-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.65 and a WHIP of 0.933.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.5 units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LINCECUM is 4-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.194.
His team's record is 8-3 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-3. (+4.7 units)

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SAN DIEGO (42 - 55) at FLORIDA (47 - 50) - 7:10 PM
AARON HARANG (R) vs. RICKY NOLASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 30-42 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN DIEGO is 22-40 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 15-26 (-11.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN DIEGO is 23-34 (-11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
FLORIDA is 30-15 (+13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 132-128 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 67-62 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 65-61 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 18-14 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
HARANG is 30-18 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
FLORIDA is 21-27 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
FLORIDA is 21-27 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 17-22 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
FLORIDA is 79-104 (-26.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 29-39 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
NOLASCO is 7-15 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 7-15 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 6-15 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 2-9 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 (+1.5 Units) against FLORIDA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

AARON HARANG vs. FLORIDA since 1997
HARANG is 3-3 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 6.99 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-6. (-3.2 units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
NOLASCO is 3-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.112.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.1 units)

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ST LOUIS (50 - 46) at NY METS (48 - 48) - 7:10 PM
KYLE MCCLELLAN (R) vs. R.A. DICKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 136-122 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 60-72 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 133-119 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 48-48 (+5.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 48-48 (+5.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

KYLE MCCLELLAN vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

R.A. DICKEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
DICKEY is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 8.39 and a WHIP of 1.760.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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ATLANTA (57 - 40) at COLORADO (46 - 51) - 8:40 PM
TIM HUDSON (R) vs. JUAN NICASIO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 16-29 (-17.5 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 116-96 (+30.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
ATLANTA is 57-40 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 57-40 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 106-71 (+16.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 46-51 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 44-45 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 46-51 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 83-90 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 29-40 (-21.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 20-25 (-11.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-1 (+4.2 Units) against COLORADO this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.1 Units)

TIM HUDSON vs. COLORADO since 1997
HUDSON is 4-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.331.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-1. (+4.0 units)

JUAN NICASIO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
NICASIO is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 19.31 and a WHIP of 4.292.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

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MILWAUKEE (52 - 46) at ARIZONA (52 - 45) - 9:40 PM
CHRIS NARVESON (L) vs. JOE SAUNDERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 35-49 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 12-27 (-13.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 19-32 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-30 (-16.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 19-32 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 52-46 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 20-13 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 52-46 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 39-31 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 26-20 (+8.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAUNDERS is 48-27 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 33-13 (+16.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 19-33 (-18.3 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 597-523 (-70.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 51-76 (-26.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 40-60 (-36.8 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-2 (+1.4 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CHRIS NARVESON vs. ARIZONA since 1997
NARVESON is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.227.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

JOE SAUNDERS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SAUNDERS is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 9.52 and a WHIP of 1.587.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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BOSTON (58 - 37) at BALTIMORE (39 - 55) - 12:35 PM
ANDREW MILLER (L) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 53-54 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 27-12 (+12.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 39-56 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 202-282 (-85.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 33-53 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 290-408 (-115.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 13-37 (-23.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-3 (+3.3 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

ANDREW MILLER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MILLER is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.083.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. BOSTON since 1997
ARRIETA is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.715.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)

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CLEVELAND (51 - 45) at MINNESOTA (45 - 51) - 1:10 PM
JOSH TOMLIN (R) vs. NICK BLACKBURN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 139-122 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 67-39 (+22.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 133-112 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-19 (+10.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BLACKBURN is 17-3 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 52-45 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 49-42 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 39-30 (+12.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TOMLIN is 19-12 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 (+2.5 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)

JOSH TOMLIN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
TOMLIN is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

NICK BLACKBURN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BLACKBURN is 6-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.108.
His team's record is 8-3 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.7 units)

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OAKLAND (42 - 55) at DETROIT (51 - 45) - 7:05 PM
BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. DUANE BELOW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 42-55 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 16-33 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 41-53 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 24-36 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MCCARTHY is 1-8 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 132-81 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 132-81 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 27-32 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 (+1.5 Units) against OAKLAND this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. DETROIT since 1997
MCCARTHY is 0-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.337.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.7 units)

DUANE BELOW vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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SEATTLE (43 - 53) at TORONTO (48 - 49) - 7:07 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. BRANDON MORROW (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 43-53 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 45-81 (-27.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 77-103 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-18 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
SEATTLE is 5-15 (-11.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
SEATTLE is 43-62 (-23.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 274-262 (-79.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
TORONTO is 133-127 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 35-24 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. TORONTO since 1997
VARGAS is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.975.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

BRANDON MORROW vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY YANKEES (56 - 38) at TAMPA BAY (51 - 44) - 7:10 PM
FREDDY GARCIA (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 28-33 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 411-518 (+14.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
PRICE is 17-5 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARCIA is 99-62 (+28.6 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GARCIA is 46-27 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
GARCIA is 15-6 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARCIA is 26-14 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 72-59 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 72-59 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 79-66 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 18-21 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 9-14 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 20-28 (-12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 4-3 (+0.5 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

FREDDY GARCIA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GARCIA is 8-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.186.
His team's record is 10-5 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-5.5 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PRICE is 3-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.283.
His team's record is 6-3 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-2. (+5.1 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (47 - 50) at KANSAS CITY (39 - 58) - 8:10 PM
JOHN DANKS (L) vs. BRUCE CHEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 11-18 (-10.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 20-28 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DANKS is 4-11 (-9.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 41-28 (+17.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 69-63 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 24-19 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 222-332 (-98.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 113-174 (-41.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 19-42 (-21.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 36-48 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-3 (+1.6 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

JOHN DANKS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
DANKS is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.196.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.3 units)

BRUCE CHEN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
CHEN is 1-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.194.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (56 - 41) at LA ANGELS (51 - 46) - 10:05 PM
DEREK HOLLAND (L) vs. DAN HAREN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 29-11 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 599-515 (+69.1 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 589-578 (+48.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TEXAS is 26-17 (+12.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 122-127 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 86-95 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HAREN is 25-30 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 43-53 (-23.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 23-30 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 14-23 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 4-3 (+0.2 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)

DEREK HOLLAND vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
HOLLAND is 2-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.7 units)

DAN HAREN vs. TEXAS since 1997
HAREN is 4-6 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.155.
His team's record is 6-8 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-3. (+5.4 units)
 
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MLB
Short Sheet


Wednesday, 7/20/2011

National League

CINCINNATI at PITTSBURGH, 12:35 PM ET
CUETO: CINCINNATI 11-2 after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games
KARSTENS: PITTSBURGH 8-25 after 3 straight games with no home runs

WASHINGTON at HOUSTON, 2:05 PM ET
HERNANDEZ: WASHINGTON 26-17 OVER as a road underdog
MYERS: HOUSTON 20-11 OVER in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

PHILADELPHIA at CHICAGO CUBS, 2:20 PM ET
WORLEY: PHILADELPHIA 37-20 on the road with a money line of -100 to -125
DEMPSTER: CHICAGO CUBS 17-28 in day games

LA DODGERS at SAN FRANCISCO, 3:45 PM ET
KERSHAW: LA DODGERS 19-30 after one or more consecutive over
LINCECUM: SAN FRANCISCO 18-7 against left-handed starters

SAN DIEGO at FLORIDA, 7:10 PM ET
HARANG: SAN DIEGO 15-26 after a win
NOLASCO: FLORIDA 24-14 after having won 2 of their last 3 games

ST LOUIS at NY METS, 7:10 PM ET
MCCLELLAN: ST LOUIS 27-14 OVER after 2 or more consecutive road games
DICKEY: 1-7 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150

ATLANTA at COLORADO, 8:40 PM ET
HUDSON: ATLANTA 81-50 after one or more consecutive overs
NICASIO: COLORADO 14-25 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

MILWAUKEE at ARIZONA, 9:40 PM ET
NARVESON: MILWAUKEE 19-32 in road games
SAUNDERS: 18-5 TSR after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing

American League

BOSTON at BALTIMORE, 12:35 PM ET
MILLER: BOSTON 10-21 in road games after a loss by 4 runs or more
ARRIETA: BALTIMORE 42-22 UNDER in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games

CLEVELAND at MINNESOTA, 1:10 PM ET
TOMLIN: CLEVELAND 4-17 after a game where their bullpen blew a save
BLACKBURN: MINNESOTA 15-4 after 3 consecutive game versus a division riva

OAKLAND at DETROIT, 7:05 PM ET
MCCARTHY: 1-8 TSR in night games
BELOW: DETROIT 26-9 in home games after scoring 8 runs or more

SEATTLE at TORONTO, 7:07 PM ET
VARGAS: SEATTLE 3-12 in road games after a loss by 2 runs or less
MORROW: TORONTO 14-7 after 4 or more consecutive home games

NY YANKEES at TAMPA BAY, 7:10 PM ET
GARCIA: NY YANKEES 57-43 OVER against division opponents
PRICE: TAMPA BAY 20-11 OVER after allowing 2 runs or less

CHI WHITE SOX at KANSAS CITY, 8:10 PM ET
DANKS: CHI WHITE SOX 11-18 against division opponents
CHEN: 41-28 TSR against division opponents

TEXAS at LA ANGELS, 10:05 PM ET
HOLLAND: TEXAS 16-40 in road games after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games
HAREN: LA ANGELS 14-6 after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival

** (TC) Denotes Time Change
 
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Wednesday, July 20

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Boston - 12:35 PM ET Baltimore +119 500
Baltimore - Over 11 500

Cincinnati - 12:35 PM ET Pittsburgh +114 500
Pittsburgh - Under 7 500

Cleveland - 1:10 PM ET Minnesota -114 500
Minnesota - Over 8.5 500

Washington - 2:05 PM ET Houston -113 500
Houston - Under 8 500

Philadelphia - 2:20 PM ET Philadelphia -107 500
Chi. Cubs - Under 11.5 500

LA Dodgers - 3:45 PM ET San Francisco -130 500
San Francisco - Under 5.5 500


Evening Games posted Later....Check BAck
 
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11:30 AM ETAtlanta at Washington
Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds
ATL 601 5-9 (1-4 V) - 155 ( OVER )
WAS 602 3-10 (1-4 H) - -1 ( ATL + 1 )

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts


3:30 PM ETMinnesota at Phoenix
Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds
MIN 603 9-4 (4-2 V) - 184.5 ( OVER )
PHO 604 10-4 (5-1 H) - -4 ( MINNY+ 4 )

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts
 
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MLB Evening Best Bets !

Oakland - 7:05 PM ET Detroit -122 500
Detroit - Over 9 500

Seattle - 7:07 PM ET Toronto -166 500
Toronto - Under 7.5 500

NY Yankees - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -145 500
Tampa Bay - Over 7.5 500

San Diego - 7:10 PM ET San Diego +157 500
Florida - Over 7 500

St. Louis - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets -117 500
NY Mets - Under 8.5 500

Chi. White Sox - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City +102 500
Kansas City - Under 8.5 500

Atlanta - 8:40 PM ET Atlanta -103 500
Colorado - Over 9 500

Milwaukee - 9:40 PM ET Arizona -117 500
Arizona - Under 9 500

Texas - 10:05 PM ET Texas +117 500
LA Angels - Over 7 500
 
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