Phi/Cubs O/U 11.5 Trap or Free Money ????

asklaw · Jul 20, 2011

Worley last 3 starts against quality opponents at Nym, at Flr , vs Bos gave up 3 runs and only 2 earned.

Dempster last 3 starts against vs Flr, at Pit, vs Sf gave up 5 runs 4 earned.

Even though Ryan usually give up alot of runs against Philly this line should be around 9.

Any thought ????

varkeyboy · Jul 20, 2011

This is always a question when the line is this high at Wrigley. I'd check WIND conditions....

BAMARED · Jul 20, 2011

[SIZE=+3]Weather Dashboard for Wed, Jul 20[/SIZE]Have you checked out today’s blurb?
Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates – 12:35 PM EDT - PNC Park Wind:
From SSW
4 mph

Time:11 am12 pm1 pm2 pm3 pm4 pm5 pm6 pm7 pmTemp:83° F86° F87° F89° F90° F90°F90°F90°F89°FCondition

artly CloudySunnyMostly SunnyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly SunnyPrecip%:0%0%0%0%0%10%10%10%10%Washington Nationals at Houston Astros – 1:05 PM CDT - Minute Maid Park (Note: retractable roof may neutralize some weather conditions.) Wind:
From SSE
6 mph

Time:10 am11 am12 pm1 pm2 pm3 pm4 pm5 pm6 pmTemp:85° F86° F87° F78° F90° F93°F93°F92°F91°FCondition

artly CloudyPartly CloudyScattered ThunderstormsThunderstormsScattered ThunderstormsIsolated T-StormsIsolated T-StormsIsolated T-StormsIsolated T-StormsPrecip%:0%20%45%60%45%30%30%30%30%Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs – 1:20 PM CDT - Wrigley Field Wind:
From SSW
13 mph

DrewZ · Jul 20, 2011

Mostly sunny, wind out to right center 8-13. Game temp 95,rh 50% heat index 107

asklaw · Jul 20, 2011

Its hot and humid ass hell in Chi today. Especially a day game but that still doesnt mean 11 which is where its at right now. Phillies offense not all in gear aince ASG and Cubs O is just plain in shitty. All you have to do is throw off-speed away pitches to them and they' ll chase like a dog looking for their tail. Maybe Ill see Phillies scoring 6 runs but dont see Cubs score more then 3.

Mobdeeper7239 · Jul 20, 2011

this looks easier than U.S. vs the Japs.... is Blang on this under? I'm prolly staying away from this game. Both pitchers have been hot..but if Philly's and the Under hits....then I am confused.

AcesandFaces · Jul 20, 2011

There were 19 hits and only 6 runs in last nights game; the Phillies got the majority of their hits in the 8th and 9th inning; Cubbies left several on last night; should be a carryover effect today. Both teams have the day off tomorrow so they won't be in a hurry to finish this one; I see both teams knocking it around pretty good today...imho. Would certainly lean to OVER 10.5 Worley has been over his head and Dempsters hook shouldn't break as much in the thick air.....I'm liking the OVER more and more.

sdf · Jul 20, 2011

Wrigley totals are all about the wind. You'll see 7s and 11s in back to back days.
Philly offense is struggling so the under might be worthwhile

AcesandFaces · Jul 20, 2011

sdf said:
Wrigley totals are all about the wind. You'll see 7s and 11s in back to back days.
Philly offense is struggling so the under might be worthwhile

I'm not so sure Philly's offense is struggling anymore; they racked up 8 hits in the 8th and 9th inning alone last night and scored 2 runs in each of those frames; I expect hot bats out of the chute today.