the only way we can explain why kc is favored over tampa...

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is that linemakers expect hochevar to outplay davis.

given davis' recent form (very good in last 4 starts), hochevar can outplay him only by pitching really well. and that's not impossible. in his last start he dominated minnesota with only 3 hits and 1 earned run allowed in 7 innings of work. that is a good sign going against tampa and their strugling offense that produced only 9 runs in last 5 games (1.8 rpg) including a 16 inning game against boston. tampa is also in a major flat spot here playing on the road against a losing team out of division after 10 sgtraight games against their big divisional rivals boston and new york yankees.

having said that, i'm not touching the side here as i don't trust kc offense.

my play is under 8.5
 

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Moustakas will break out of his 0-22 slump and 2-40 stretch by hitting 3 homeruns and the Royals win... oh wait. no
 
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Hoch is a much better pitcher @ home. KC is horrible on road but halfway decent @ home.. Davis is off DL.

TB also had to travel after a late game while KC had day off. Its not that hard to see why they are favored.
 

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