Hookem's Big Play for July 27

HookEmHorns · Jul 27, 2011

Big Play Overall Record: 26-7

Big Play Tracking:
April 25: DBacks +130 (W)
April 26: Orioles +118 (W)
April 28: Yankees -1 [even] (W)
April 29: Tigers -110 (L)
May 5: Brewers +122 (L)
May 8: Marlins -160 (W)
May 8: Dodgers -120 (W)
May 14: DBacks +120 (W)
May 17: Yanks TT over -120 (W)
May 21: Tigers -125 (L)
May 22: Tigers -110 (W)
May 22: Athletics +105 (L)
May 25: Padres +105 (W)
May 26: Royals +130 (L)
May 29: Yankees -159 (W)
June 2: Twins +110 (W)
June 3: Red Sox -1 [-145] (W)
June 6: Royals +110 (W)
June 8: Rangers -172 (W)
June 11: Angels -140 (W)
June 16: Orioles [even] (W)
June 16: Braves -120 (W)
June 17: Indians -140 (W)
June 19: Reds -125 (W)
June 24: Blue Jays -105 (W)
June 28: DBacks -155 (W)
July 5: Astros +105 (L)
July 6: Giants -150 (W)
July 7: Dodgers -150 (W)
July 9: White Sox -145 (W)
July 17: Tigers -120 (W)
July 19: Twins -120 (W)
July 21: Marlins -120 (L)

Lost the last big play back on July 21st, but hoping to bounce back today.

Today's big play:

*Toronto Blue Jays -165

Kind of high juice, but I believe it's a very solid play. If you want to lessen the juice, you can make a -1 RL and get it at about -125 or so

Hookem

MemphisMonroe · Jul 27, 2011

I agree and will be on this bol

THEDIRTYHUSTLER · Jul 27, 2011

GL Hookem!

DrewZ · Jul 27, 2011

GL & keep up the good work. Thx again

varkeyboy · Jul 27, 2011

I agree as well! Let's do this.

HookEmHorns · Jul 27, 2011

Responses

Thanks and GL to you all as well!

HookEmHorns · Jul 27, 2011

After much consideration, I've decided to add the Reds as a big play:

*Toronto Blue Jays -165
*Cincinnati Reds -140

That's definitely all for today

varkeyboy · Jul 27, 2011

Oh wow! 2 MONSTER plays. I'm joining you!

Brief explanation on both games if you have some time? Thanks HookEm! Let's get this shit done...

Gritsn'Gravy · Jul 27, 2011

Really like Reds today. Will likely play them ml and rl. Was looking at Jays as well. Best of luck to you on a 2-0 day.

HookEmHorns · Jul 27, 2011

I'm busy at work right now so no time for write-ups for the moment. However, I'll try to get back with at least a brief analysis sometime before 4:30 pm CST

varkeyboy · Jul 27, 2011

HookEmHorns said:
I'm busy at work right now so no time for write-ups for the moment. However, I'll try to get back with at least a brief analysis sometime before 4:30 pm CST

Not a problem!

Smitty35 · Jul 27, 2011

Been following you for a while now, pumped about your 2 Monsters today, GL!!

SlapNutz · Jul 27, 2011

Hey hook..good luck 2 day...
Just wondering...what's your reasoning behind these pics?

Thanks brother.

MemphisMonroe · Jul 27, 2011

still a play with the trade today?

Will rasmus be in the lineup today? If so i like even more.

HookEmHorns · Jul 27, 2011

Memphis Monroe said:
still a play with the trade today?

Will rasmus be in the lineup today? If so i like even more.

The trade does not effect my picks.

Looks like Rasmus is not in the lineup

Escobar SS, Thames RF, Bautista 3B, Lind 1B, Encarnacion DH, Snider LF, Hill 2B, Davis CF, Arencibia C, (Romero P)

I don't know if he will be available for substitution or pinch hit???

MemphisMonroe · Jul 27, 2011

Im betting he prolly don't get up to toronto until tonight but sometimes im amazed with mlb at how they join diff teams so quick

HookEmHorns · Jul 27, 2011

Running short on time so sorry it's a mess - kind of my short-hand.

Toronto Blue Jays

Simon: 2-8 team record last 10 games (in relief and starting). Low ERA and decent results in 3 start but look at who he faced. LAA and Cle - decent but not exactly stellar offense. Faced Bos and gave up 3 ERs in 4 innings of work. In 7 relief appearances gave up at least a run or more. Teams he faced that I consider good offenses: Tex - gave up 5 ERs in 4 innings, Bos 3 ERs in 4 innings, StL 1 ER in 2.2 innings. Experience vs. Tor is minimal - sample size too small to make a determination - each batter only faced 2-3 times. By judging Simon's overall performance this season, Tor should be able to get to him.
Romero vs. Os: out of 200 ABs a .265 BA with only 5 HRs. 44 SO - not a bad SO ratio to ABs. Faced Bal twice this year and last game went 8 innings giving up 1 ER, game before 7.2 innings giving up 5 ERs. 4-1 vs. Os with 2.44 ERA in last 6 games, 3-0 with 2.12 ERA vs. Os at home in 4 games (4-0 team record). Lately, high ERA but faced Bos and NYY two of last three. Season-wise, only given up more than 3 runs in 5 out of 20 starts. Ace on the mound who has pitched well and is due for a win.

Cincinnati Reds

Pelfrey: 0-2 with 5.29 ERA last three starts. 2-8 5.79 ERA in 13 road starts. Against Cin, .294 BA in 68 ABs with only 6 SOs. Last faced them July 2010 and gave up 6 ERs in 5 innings.
Arroyo: Overall, ERA would be better but for 4 terrible outings. 8 of last 10 games he has pitched more than 6 innings per start, and 8 of 10 last home games pitched more than 6 innings per start = less bullpen effort. Vs. Mets, .279 BA in 165 ABs, only given up 4 HR and only 16 RBIs. He is 7-2 vs. NYM with 3.31 ERA in 11 starts. 5-1 in last 6 starts with 2.54 ERA and only given up 3 HRs.
Looking for Arroyo's dominance of the Mets to continue and Pelfrey to continue to give up runs.

edpit · Jul 27, 2011

HookEmHorns said:
After much consideration, I've decided to add the Reds as a big play:

*Toronto Blue Jays -165
*Cincinnati Reds -140

That's definitely all for today

I've parlayed these two(+168) for 2U's! Let's bring this home!

Stunna · Jul 27, 2011

Definitely tagging along on these today. go reds and jays

kidman232 · Jul 27, 2011

hookem- sent you a pm

Hookem's Big Play for July 27

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3 Team Parlays... Love 'em!!

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