MistaFlava's 2011 CFL Football Record: 1-3 ATS (-23.00 Units)
I started the CFL season late but there is still tons of time left and tons of money to make. I don't usually extend my CFL season past September and the start of CFB or NFL but I'll try to keep it going as much as possible this year and see how it goes. All my plays are posted and thoughts posted with the intention of helping those in need of a quick read or a quick play on a game. Hope you enjoy.
2011 Season
Week 1: NO PLAYS
Week 2: NO PLAYS
Week 3: NO PLAYS
Week 4: NO PLAYS
Week 5: 1-3 ATS (-23.00 Units)
Week 6: Pending
Good Luck to everyone!
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Thursday, July 28
Toronto Argonauts +4 (10 Units)
Not an easy thing to do. Go against the Montreal Alouettes that is but until they can show a lot more than they did in their game in Hamilton last week (34-26 road loss as a -3 in the game), I refuse to put money on these guys. Up until that Hamilton game the Als had been one of the best teams in the CFL when coming off a loss but now they have dropped two straight, they have been outyarded on the ground in both games and it seems that when they have troubled running the ball, the rest of the offense and the league's best passing game just can't get going. The Argonauts have a short memory, or they better hope they do, because the Alouettes destroyed them 40-17 at home a few weeks ago and the Argos have not won since losing against both Winnipeg and Edmonton. Having said that, the Argos pretty much had the upset win in Edmonton but blew the game late and lost 26-25. To put the game in perspective, the Argos would have beat the best team in the CFL on the road. Despite being 1-4 SU on the season, this is the Argos second home game of the season. Expect things to change.
Do not count out the Argonauts offense in this game. I don't know about the total and I'm not sure how this is going to play out but I talked about the Alouettes offense struggling when they can't run the ball and looking at how they have run the ball on the road this season, don't expect things to change. Montreal is averaging only 50.0 rushing yards per road game in 2011 and average only 3.3 yards per carry. IN their only home game of the season, the Argos allowed 131.0 rushing yards but on only 4.7 yards per carry. That puts the pressure on the Alouettes passing game and for some reason QB Anthony Calvillo has struggled on the road completing only 59.1% of his passes and his team has taken 11.5 penalties per road game. I think the backfield duo of RB Chad Kackert and RB Corey Boyd is going to have a ton of success for the Argos. These two have combined for 5 of the team's 8 touchdowns in 2011 and they have combined for an average of 5.3 yards per carry this season. Not many teams run on the Als but why the heck not when they have allowed a crazy 7.6 yards per carry on the road this season? Not only does it keep the ball out of their offense's hands but it also is effective and sets up the passing game. This Montreal defense has 0 interceptions away from home and have recovered only 1 fumble.
I really think the Argos can be effective running the ball in this game. Like I said before, not too many teams have the actual balls to try it because you are down early against the Alouettes in most case scenarios but this is a home game for Toronto, they are going to have a decent Thursday Night crowd and this is a real chance to repeat what they did last year at this time and shock one of the best teams in the league. Last August the Argos beat Montreal at home 37-22 as a +7 point underdog in that game. In that game they ran for 126.0 yards on 6.3 yards per carry and the Als have already allowed some big plays on the ground this season. Montreal comes into this game 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus a team with a losing record on the season and this is usually the time of the season where they struggle a little bit before turning it on when the cold hits. Believe it or not the Argonauts usually play well the first week of August, 6-1 ATS in their last seven Week 6 games and despite all their problems, they have a great backfield and that's how you hurt the Als.
Trend of the Game: Montreal is 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus teams with a losing record.
Toronto 24, Montreal 22
more to come...
I started the CFL season late but there is still tons of time left and tons of money to make. I don't usually extend my CFL season past September and the start of CFB or NFL but I'll try to keep it going as much as possible this year and see how it goes. All my plays are posted and thoughts posted with the intention of helping those in need of a quick read or a quick play on a game. Hope you enjoy.
2011 Season
Week 1: NO PLAYS
Week 2: NO PLAYS
Week 3: NO PLAYS
Week 4: NO PLAYS
Week 5: 1-3 ATS (-23.00 Units)
Week 6: Pending
Good Luck to everyone!
-----------------------------------------
Thursday, July 28
Toronto Argonauts +4 (10 Units)
Not an easy thing to do. Go against the Montreal Alouettes that is but until they can show a lot more than they did in their game in Hamilton last week (34-26 road loss as a -3 in the game), I refuse to put money on these guys. Up until that Hamilton game the Als had been one of the best teams in the CFL when coming off a loss but now they have dropped two straight, they have been outyarded on the ground in both games and it seems that when they have troubled running the ball, the rest of the offense and the league's best passing game just can't get going. The Argonauts have a short memory, or they better hope they do, because the Alouettes destroyed them 40-17 at home a few weeks ago and the Argos have not won since losing against both Winnipeg and Edmonton. Having said that, the Argos pretty much had the upset win in Edmonton but blew the game late and lost 26-25. To put the game in perspective, the Argos would have beat the best team in the CFL on the road. Despite being 1-4 SU on the season, this is the Argos second home game of the season. Expect things to change.
Do not count out the Argonauts offense in this game. I don't know about the total and I'm not sure how this is going to play out but I talked about the Alouettes offense struggling when they can't run the ball and looking at how they have run the ball on the road this season, don't expect things to change. Montreal is averaging only 50.0 rushing yards per road game in 2011 and average only 3.3 yards per carry. IN their only home game of the season, the Argos allowed 131.0 rushing yards but on only 4.7 yards per carry. That puts the pressure on the Alouettes passing game and for some reason QB Anthony Calvillo has struggled on the road completing only 59.1% of his passes and his team has taken 11.5 penalties per road game. I think the backfield duo of RB Chad Kackert and RB Corey Boyd is going to have a ton of success for the Argos. These two have combined for 5 of the team's 8 touchdowns in 2011 and they have combined for an average of 5.3 yards per carry this season. Not many teams run on the Als but why the heck not when they have allowed a crazy 7.6 yards per carry on the road this season? Not only does it keep the ball out of their offense's hands but it also is effective and sets up the passing game. This Montreal defense has 0 interceptions away from home and have recovered only 1 fumble.
I really think the Argos can be effective running the ball in this game. Like I said before, not too many teams have the actual balls to try it because you are down early against the Alouettes in most case scenarios but this is a home game for Toronto, they are going to have a decent Thursday Night crowd and this is a real chance to repeat what they did last year at this time and shock one of the best teams in the league. Last August the Argos beat Montreal at home 37-22 as a +7 point underdog in that game. In that game they ran for 126.0 yards on 6.3 yards per carry and the Als have already allowed some big plays on the ground this season. Montreal comes into this game 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus a team with a losing record on the season and this is usually the time of the season where they struggle a little bit before turning it on when the cold hits. Believe it or not the Argonauts usually play well the first week of August, 6-1 ATS in their last seven Week 6 games and despite all their problems, they have a great backfield and that's how you hurt the Als.
Trend of the Game: Montreal is 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus teams with a losing record.
Toronto 24, Montreal 22
more to come...
