Yesterday 2 1 0 +2.10 Units
Last 30 Days 32 45 2 -15.02 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2011) 164 201 4 -25.48 Units
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
OAKLAND +110 over Toronto
Ricky Romero is hot. He’s surrendered just four runs in 31.1 innings during his current four-game winning streak and he’s also 4-0 with a 1.98 ERA in four career starts versus the A's. Trevor Cahill is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in three games this month. Looks like an easy choice, doesn’t it? Not so fast. The books have made the Jays a very enticing small favorite (line actually opened up at –113) and that’s always a red flag. In other words, they’re looking for Jays money and they’ll get plenty of it. What we do know for sure is that Ricky Romero has always struggled after the all-star-break. Over the past three years after the break he’s posted an ERA of 4.63 and he’s also better at home than he is on the road. He’s showed better durability this season but his history is one that should not be ignored. Also note that they A’s own the second-best OPS in the league (.812) since the break and they just scored 14 more runs in their past two games. Furthermore, the Jays pen is weak and that, too, is a concern. Back to Cahill. He’s had a lot of good games this season, especially at home where he sports an ERA of 2.62. The A’s have lost seven of his past nine games but only because of a lack of run support. Over his past 11 starts, Cahill has allowed three runs or less eight times and the Jays are five games under .500 against right-handed pitchers. Blue Jays could be the “sucker” play of the day. The line says so. Play: Oakland +110 (Risking 2 units).
Texas +134 over ANAHEIM
The Rangers go for the sweep tonight and don’t think it can’t happen. They beat one of the hottest pitchers in the majors last night by a score of 4-3 but they also had 12 hits and stranded 11 runners. The score was flattering to the Angels. Anaheim has now lost five straight and seven of eight and are now seven games out. After scoring two in the first inning last night, the Halo’s didn’t get a man past second base until the ninth inning. This is a team that is pressing big time, they’re fragile and they’re mentally beat before they even take the field. Jered Weaver is solid but just like Santana last night, when your team is losing and not producing, you feel like you have to be near perfect to win and again, those are tough conditions. Colby Lewis is about as mediocre as they come when facing a strong left-handed line-up. However, the Angels possess a dominating right-hitting line-up and Lewis has been lights out against these right-side dominating line-ups. Having said that, this one has really nothing to do with the pitching match-up. This one is all about playing the red hot Rangers against an extremely fragile club. Play: Texas +134 (Risking 2 units).
Last 30 Days 32 45 2 -15.02 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2011) 164 201 4 -25.48 Units
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
OAKLAND +110 over Toronto
Ricky Romero is hot. He’s surrendered just four runs in 31.1 innings during his current four-game winning streak and he’s also 4-0 with a 1.98 ERA in four career starts versus the A's. Trevor Cahill is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in three games this month. Looks like an easy choice, doesn’t it? Not so fast. The books have made the Jays a very enticing small favorite (line actually opened up at –113) and that’s always a red flag. In other words, they’re looking for Jays money and they’ll get plenty of it. What we do know for sure is that Ricky Romero has always struggled after the all-star-break. Over the past three years after the break he’s posted an ERA of 4.63 and he’s also better at home than he is on the road. He’s showed better durability this season but his history is one that should not be ignored. Also note that they A’s own the second-best OPS in the league (.812) since the break and they just scored 14 more runs in their past two games. Furthermore, the Jays pen is weak and that, too, is a concern. Back to Cahill. He’s had a lot of good games this season, especially at home where he sports an ERA of 2.62. The A’s have lost seven of his past nine games but only because of a lack of run support. Over his past 11 starts, Cahill has allowed three runs or less eight times and the Jays are five games under .500 against right-handed pitchers. Blue Jays could be the “sucker” play of the day. The line says so. Play: Oakland +110 (Risking 2 units).
Texas +134 over ANAHEIM
The Rangers go for the sweep tonight and don’t think it can’t happen. They beat one of the hottest pitchers in the majors last night by a score of 4-3 but they also had 12 hits and stranded 11 runners. The score was flattering to the Angels. Anaheim has now lost five straight and seven of eight and are now seven games out. After scoring two in the first inning last night, the Halo’s didn’t get a man past second base until the ninth inning. This is a team that is pressing big time, they’re fragile and they’re mentally beat before they even take the field. Jered Weaver is solid but just like Santana last night, when your team is losing and not producing, you feel like you have to be near perfect to win and again, those are tough conditions. Colby Lewis is about as mediocre as they come when facing a strong left-handed line-up. However, the Angels possess a dominating right-hitting line-up and Lewis has been lights out against these right-side dominating line-ups. Having said that, this one has really nothing to do with the pitching match-up. This one is all about playing the red hot Rangers against an extremely fragile club. Play: Texas +134 (Risking 2 units).
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