Yesterday 1 3 0 -4.06 Units
Last 30 Days 28 48 2 -30.34 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2011) 165 206 4 -33.54 Units
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
KANSAS CITY +122 over Boston
Again, the Red Sox are just not the same without Ortiz and Youkilis. Yeah, they scored seven times last night but that was against an erratic Jeff Francis and it was no surprise. The surprise was that Andrew Miller pitched well. Fact is, the Red Sox are just 11-9 over its past 20 games and winning isn’t coming as easy anymore. There's no other way to put it — Tim Wakefield's 4.90 ERA is terrible, and it's not likely to get better. As a knuckleball pitcher, he won't get you strikeouts. His generally low hit rate and his control help keep his WHIP reasonable, but that doesn't translate to improved ERA. He pitches for the #1 offense in baseball, and yet has just six wins. It was a easily-overlooked May trade -- Felipe Paulino to the Royals for "cash considerations." Given the way Paulino has pitched since the deal (3.76 ERA) there could be some late-season "cash considerations" for bettors. Paulino, 27, had yo-yoed from starter to reliever in with both HOU and COL, but has realized his potential in KC's rotation. Paulino suffered from a nasty hit%/strand% history prior to 2011 that pointed to better results. And a sub-4.00 xERA ups the ante. Increased groundball% in 2011 is another positive step in trying to ascertain how bettable he is. Still largely an unknown, Paulino is a player that has quietly come into his own. He's already a solid mid-to-upper tier starter on skills alone and he has the offense to support him. Play: Kansas City +122 (Risking 2 units).
Toronto +136 over OAKLAND
Henderson Alvarez is a short and athletic pitcher and owns a dazzling display of pitches. He generally focuses on efficiency and pitching to contact with his solid 87-95 mph fastball that features outstanding late movement. He’s already made two starts and didn’t look a bit out of place in either one. He’s so poised and he’s a guy to keep on your radar. Alvarez will absolutely love pitching at Oakland Coliseum and while his first two pitching lines don’t look great, a lot of his upcoming lines will. The guy can pitch and he has all the tools to do well at this level for a long time. Gio Gonzalez is running out of gas. His walks are way up over the past month (18 in 27 IP) and so too is his ERA over that same span (7.90). Gonzalez is 0-5 over his past five starts and pitching for the A’s, this combo does not warrant being a –145 favorite over the Jays. Play: Toronto +145 (Risking 2 units).
Last 30 Days 28 48 2 -30.34 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2011) 165 206 4 -33.54 Units
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
KANSAS CITY +122 over Boston
Again, the Red Sox are just not the same without Ortiz and Youkilis. Yeah, they scored seven times last night but that was against an erratic Jeff Francis and it was no surprise. The surprise was that Andrew Miller pitched well. Fact is, the Red Sox are just 11-9 over its past 20 games and winning isn’t coming as easy anymore. There's no other way to put it — Tim Wakefield's 4.90 ERA is terrible, and it's not likely to get better. As a knuckleball pitcher, he won't get you strikeouts. His generally low hit rate and his control help keep his WHIP reasonable, but that doesn't translate to improved ERA. He pitches for the #1 offense in baseball, and yet has just six wins. It was a easily-overlooked May trade -- Felipe Paulino to the Royals for "cash considerations." Given the way Paulino has pitched since the deal (3.76 ERA) there could be some late-season "cash considerations" for bettors. Paulino, 27, had yo-yoed from starter to reliever in with both HOU and COL, but has realized his potential in KC's rotation. Paulino suffered from a nasty hit%/strand% history prior to 2011 that pointed to better results. And a sub-4.00 xERA ups the ante. Increased groundball% in 2011 is another positive step in trying to ascertain how bettable he is. Still largely an unknown, Paulino is a player that has quietly come into his own. He's already a solid mid-to-upper tier starter on skills alone and he has the offense to support him. Play: Kansas City +122 (Risking 2 units).
Toronto +136 over OAKLAND
Henderson Alvarez is a short and athletic pitcher and owns a dazzling display of pitches. He generally focuses on efficiency and pitching to contact with his solid 87-95 mph fastball that features outstanding late movement. He’s already made two starts and didn’t look a bit out of place in either one. He’s so poised and he’s a guy to keep on your radar. Alvarez will absolutely love pitching at Oakland Coliseum and while his first two pitching lines don’t look great, a lot of his upcoming lines will. The guy can pitch and he has all the tools to do well at this level for a long time. Gio Gonzalez is running out of gas. His walks are way up over the past month (18 in 27 IP) and so too is his ERA over that same span (7.90). Gonzalez is 0-5 over his past five starts and pitching for the A’s, this combo does not warrant being a –145 favorite over the Jays. Play: Toronto +145 (Risking 2 units).
