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Pittsburgh Pirates Open MLB Odds Set In St. Louis

The Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals will meet for the fourth time in 11 days on Thursday when they square off in the series opener of a four-game set at Busch Stadium. The teams will face each other three more times in the middle of September at Pittsburgh, and both are considered long shots to catch the Milwaukee Brewers for the lead in the National League Central.

Thursday's series opener in St. Louis is scheduled to start at 5:15 p.m. (PT).

The Cardinals lost two of three at PNC Park early last week to start a negative trend of three consecutive series losses that pushed them 10 games behind the division-leading Brewers heading into Wednesday’s action.

Meanwhile, Pittsburgh had dropped 14 of the previous 15 meetings with Milwaukee going into Wednesday’s series finale at home. The Bucs have won just two series over the past month, including the one against St. Louis.

Pittsburgh’s Charlie Morton (9-6, 3.42 ERA) has pitched great over his last four starts but does not have much to show for it. Morton has given up a combined three runs in 28 1/3 innings with the Pirates splitting those four games. They scored five runs in each of the wins and totaled one in the two losses.

Morton has been a much better pitcher on the road this season with a 6-2 mark and 3.07 ERA. He has been an underdog in five of his past six outings, cashing at +170 on the road against San Francisco on August 8 and +120 at home against the Cardinals on July 24.

The ‘under’ is 4-0 in his last four starts.

St. Louis will turn to Edwin Jackson (9-9, 4.03) in hopes of winning a series opener for the first time since August 12. The Cardinals have lost three of Jackson’s last four outings and are 2-3 since he joined the team after coming over in a trade from the Chicago White Sox.

Jackson has allowed three runs or less in his past three starts but has not received much run support in the two losses during that stretch. St. Louis was blanked 3-0 by the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field in his last outing on Saturday as a small -105 favorite.

He has been favored in all five of his starts with the Cardinals, facing just three teams, including the Cubs and Brewers twice apiece.

The ‘under’ is 2-0-1 in his last three outings.

The weather forecast for St. Louis on Thursday calls for a high temperature of 87 degrees under sunny skies after a heat wave featuring isolated thunderstorms rolls through the area on Wednesday.

The series will continue Friday with a matchup of right-handers, Jake Westbrook for the Cards and James McDonald for the Pirates.
 

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Detroit Tigers, Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers have built a comfortable lead in the American League Central and hope to deliver a knockout blow to the Tampa Bay Rays' chances of making a playoff run in the process Thursday.

The two teams are set to close out a four-game series with the first pitch scheduled for 10:10 a.m. (PT) at Tropicana Field.

Detroit captured the first two games of the series by outscoring Tampa Bay by a 7-3 margin, as the team has performed brilliantly away from Comerica Park. The Tigers have won 15 of their last 23 road games.

Tigers manager Jim Leyland has seen his lineup catch fire recently, especially catcher Alex Avila and shortstop Jhonny Peralta. Avila is hitting .429 with five home runs and 15 RBIs over his last 19 games, while Peralta has hit safely in seven straight games and is a .319 career hitter against the Rays.

Doug Fister (5-13, 3.49 ERA) will make his 26th overall start of the season and fifth in a Tigers uniform. He has tallied a 2-1 record and 4.57 ERA since being acquired from the Seattle Mariners. The right-hander is coming off an impressive 10-1 home win over the Cleveland Indians, allowing just a single run and six hits over seven strong innings.

It was certainly a bounce back performance after suffering a 8-5 loss on the road against the Baltimore Orioles in his previous outing (5 2/3 IP, 8 R).

Fister will be matching up with the Rays for the fifth time (fourth start) of his career, bringing in a 1-2 mark and 3.79 ERA, including a 3-2 home loss while pitching for Seattle at Safeco Field on June 4 (7 IP, 3 ER).

Bettors will be interested in knowing that the Tigers are 21-49 in their last 70 games played on artificial turf.

Tampa Bay has dropped the first five meetings with Detroit this season and is 19-22 all-time in the series under manager Joe Maddon. The Rays have scored just 13 runs against Tigers pitching thus far.

It’s now or never for the club in terms of making a run at the playoffs, as just 35 games remain and sitting 8 ½-games behind the first-place New York Yankees in the AL East standings.

Jeremy Hellickson (11-8, 3.04 ERA) has led the team to four consecutive wins at Tropicana Field, including a sterling 8-0 home victory over the Seattle Mariners in his last appearance. The rookie right-hander tossed eight shutout innings in that effort, scattering six hits and registering five strikeouts.

Hellickson has tallied an even 1-1 mark and 1.35 ERA in two career starts versus the Tigers. He has done a great job in limiting Detroit slugger Miguel Cabrera, holding him to a single hit in six at bats.

Total bettors will find that the ‘under’ is 11-1 in his last 12 home starts.

Home plate umpire Ed Hickox offers little in terms of handicapping this matchup, as the home team is 14-14 in his 28 contests this year, while the total is evenly split at 14-14 'over/under.'
 

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Luke Donald Betting Favorite At The Barclays

Keegan Bradley is a long shot to duplicate his PGA Championship magic when he starts play at The Barclays golf tournament beginning Thursday.

The event will be held at the Plainfield Country Club in Edison, New Jersey. It’s the first time this tournament has been held at this venue and the third different location in the last four years.

The Barclays is the start of the PGA Tour playoffs, with the four events culminating with The Tour Championship and the $10 Million FedEx Cup top prize. Tiger Woods is not among the top-125 players eligible to play this week after missing so much time with injuries.

Bradley is the nephew of LPGA Hall-of-Famer Pat Bradley. He made history by becoming just the third golfer in over 100 years to win a major tournament on his first try. He won that PGA Championship in a playoff over Jason Dufner.

The 25-year-old Bradley also won in a playoff at the Byron Nelson Championship in May, but has finished 25th or worse in 16 of his 24 events this year. He has moved up to fifth in the FedEx Cup point standings, but is listed as a 50/1 long shot to win this week, with 18 golfers ahead of him.

Luke Donald (8/1) is the favorite this week. The world’s No. 1 player finished in the top-10 his last two tourneys, WGC-Bridgestone (tied for second) and the PGA Championship (tied for eighth). He’s fourth in the FedEx Cup standings with one PGA Tour win this year (three worldwide).

Steve Stricker (12/1) was in contention for his first major win at the PGA Championship, but a 73 on the final day ended in a tie for 12th. He does have two tour wins this year since June, the Memorial Tournament and John Deere Classic. He’s second in the FedEx Cup and won this tournament in 2007.

Adam Scott (15/1) has been in the news a lot lately after winning the WGC-Bridgestone with former Tiger Woods’ caddie Steve Williams by his side. Scott also finished seventh at the PGA Championship. He’s ranked 13th in the FedEx Cup.

Nick Watney (15/1) is ranked first for the FedEx Cup and will tee off the first two rounds with Stricker and No. 3 Webb Simpson. Watney has two PGA Tour wins this year and eight, top-10 finishes. He ended up just outside that range for the PGA Championship (tied for 12th).

Jason Day (18/1) is paired with Scott and Bill Haas for the first two rounds. Day is a fellow Australian like Scott and he’s still looking for his first win of the year, although he did finish second at both the Masters (a tie) and U.S. Open. He’s ranked 14th in the FedEx Cup.

Phil Mickelson (18/1) will tee off with Donald and the upstart Bradley. He’s the biggest name at any U.S. tourney he enters, as long as Woods is on the sidelines. The unpredictable lefty hasn’t done much in his three tournaments since a tie for second at the British Open. His one win this year was at the Shell Houston Open in April.

Matt Kuchar (25/1) is the defending champion of this event (-12), ending with a playoff win over Martin Laird. He’s still looking for his first win of the year, although he does have eight top-10 finishes. He’s 12th in the FedEx Cup.

Dustin Johnson is also 25/1, followed by Charles Howell III, David Toms, Rickie Fowler and Webb Simpson (all 30/1). There are six more golfers at 40/1 with the biggest names Jim Furyk and Sergio Garcia.

Simpson won last week at the Wyndham Championship with a -18 score. That was his first PGA Tour win ever and while it wasn’t a great field, he still needs to be watched at these odds. The relative unknown from North Carolina has seven top-10 finishes to go along with that No. 3 FedEx Cup ranking.
 

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Around the Horn - Thursday

August 24, 2011


NATIONAL LEAGUE


Atlanta at Chicago - 2:20 PM EST (Game 4/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Beachy (6-2, 3.32 ERA) 7-1 L8 7-3 L10 away during day
Garza (6-9, 3.62 ERA) 7-5 L12 8-1 L9 home during day


Braves beat Cubs, 3-0 on Monday
Braves beat Cubs, 5-4 on Tuesday

Arizona at Washington - 7:05 PM EST (Game 4/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Miley (0-1, 11.25 ERA) 1-6 L7 10-5 on Thursdays
Lannan (8-9, 3.61 ERA) 5-5 L10 UNDER 5-1 L6 on Thursdays


Nationals beat Diamondbacks, 4-1 on Monday
Diamondbacks beat Nationals, 2-0 on Tuesday

Pittsburgh at St. Louis - 8:15 PM EST (Game 1/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Morton (9-6, 3.42 ERA) 5-5 L10 UNDER 14-5 away Game 1's
Jackson (9-9, 4.03 ERA) 1-5 L6 13-6 L19 home vs division




Houston at San Francisco - 10:15 PM EST (Game 1/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Sosa (0-2, 6.35 ERA) 6-1 L7 1-8 L9 away Game 1's
Vogelsong (10-3, 2.47 ERA) 2-6 L8 UNDER 6-0 home on Thursdays




AMERICAN LEAGUE


Oakland at N.Y. Yankees - 1:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Harden (4-2, 3.91 ERA) 5-2 L7 2-9 L11 away Game 3's
Hughes (4-4, 5.75 ERA) 6-3 L9 14-3 home Game 3's


Athletics beat Yankees, 6-5 on Tuesday

Detroit at Tampa Bay - 1:10 PM EST (Game 4/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Fister (5-13, 3.49 ERA) 9-3 L12 1-4 L5 away during day
Hellickson (11-8, 3.04 ERA) 9-4 L13 OVER 5-1 L6 home during day


Tigers beat Rays, 5-2 on Monday
Tigers beat Rays, 2-1 on Tuesday

Baltimore at Minnesota - 1:10 PM EST (Game 4/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Reyes (6-10, 5.44 ERA) 4-8 L12 1-6 L7 away during day
Liriano (9-9, 4.85 ERA) 3-8 L11 UNDER 8-0 Game 4's


Orioles beat Twins, 4-1 on Monday
Orioles beat Twins, 8-1 on Tuesday

Kansas City at Toronto - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Francis (4-14, 4.89 ERA) 3-7 L10 5-10 away Game 3's
Cecil (4-6, 4.24 ERA) 6-4 L10 OVER 6-1 L7 home Game 3's


Royals beat Blue Jays, 6-4 on Tuesday

Boston at Texas - 8:05 PM EST (Game 4/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Miller (5-1, 4.99 ERA) 5-5 L10 UNDER 4-0 away Game 4's
Ogando (12-5, 3.30 ERA) 8-4 L12 UNDER 7-1 Game 4's


Rangers beat Red Sox, 4-0 on Monday
Red Sox beat Rangers, 11-
 

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Thursday, August 25

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Oakland - 1:05 PM ET Oakland +185 500
NY Yankees - Under 9.5 500

Baltimore - 1:10 PM ET Baltimore +150 500
Minnesota - Over 9 500

Detroit - 1:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -145 500
Tampa Bay - Over 8 500

Atlanta - 2:20 PM ET Atlanta -114 500
Chi. Cubs -
 

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Diamond Trends - Thursday

August 25, 2011


SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Yankees are 10-0 since April 28, 2010 as a 200+ favorite when they are off a loss in which they held the lead for a net profit of $1000.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Orioles are 0-10-1 OU since May 02, 2010 as a dog vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1000 when playing the under.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Twins are 0-8 since July 28, 2006 when Francisco Liriano starts as a favorite when he is off a start in which he needed more than 4 pitches per batter for a net profit of $1217 when playing against.


MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


The Royals are 0-20 (-4.0 rpg) since 2004 as a dog in the last game of a series when they are off a loss in which they allowed six or fewer hits and at least two runs.


TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Twins are 6-0 since May 21, 2010 as a 140+ favorite after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $600.

The Yankees are 7-0 OU since May 30, 2010 when they are off a loss in which they scored in at least four separate innings and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $700 when playing the over.

The Pirates are 0-8-1 OU since May 26, 2010 as a 140+ dog after scoring 3 runs or less and winning for a net profit of $800 when playing the under.
 

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Ogando tries to silence Boston's loud bats

BOSTON RED SOX (79-50, +6.4 Units)

at TEXAS RANGERS (74-57, +1.6 Units)


First pitch: Thursday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Texas -160, Boston +150, Total: 10

The Boston Red Sox regained sole possession of first place in the AL East with their victory Wednesday night and look to make it three straight wins in Texas on Thursday. After getting shut out in the series opener Monday, Boston has scored 24 runs on 30 hits in winning the past two. This has shrunk the Rangers lead in the AL West to only 2½ games over the surging Angels who have won six straight games.

Going for the Red Sox is left-hander Andrew Miller, who is coming off a decent outing Friday, allowing one run and three hits in 5.1 innings in a 7-1 victory. Despite a 2-0 record in August, Rangers starter Alexi Ogando has had a rough month, posting a 5.64 ERA and .333 opponents’ BA in four starts. Boston has been terrific against teams with a winning record this year, going 38-16 (+18.5 Units). Texas has not bounced back well after bad pitching performances, going 3-10 (-9.9 Units) after allowing 9+ runs in the previous game. The pick here is for underdog BOSTON to win Thursday night.

The FoxSheets provide two more trends backing the Red Sox:

BOSTON is 25-10 (71.4%, +13.6 Units) against the money line in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. The average score was BOSTON 5.4, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 2*).

BOSTON is 51-25 (67.1%, +17.6 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season. The average score was BOSTON 5.5, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 2*).

Miller (5-1, 4.99 ERA) has never started against Texas before. Miller has pitched well in his past three road starts, going 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA. Although Boston is 8-1 when Miller starts this year, he’s really hurt himself with his poor control (30 BB in 48.2 IP). 1B Adrian Gonzalez is heating up for the Sox, hitting .435 (10-for-23) with three homers and seven RBI in his past six games.

Ogando (12-5, 3.30 ERA) will get the ball for Texas on Thursday and make his first career start versus Boston. In four relief appearances spanning 4.1 innings, Ogando has allowed one run and two hits while striking out five. Despite the bad August, Ogando pitched well on Saturday in Chicago, giving up two runs and six hits over seven innings, receiving a no-decision in a 3-2 loss.
 

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Arizona aims for 3rd straight win in Washington

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (71-59, +15.0 Units)

at WASHINGTON NATIONALS (62-66, +5.2 Units)


First pitch: Thursday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Washington -135, Arizona +125, Total: 8.5

After a rough 1-6 start to their East Coast road swing, the Diamondbacks can finish up with a third straight win over the Nats when they finish their trip in Washington Thursday night.

The Nats have the pitching edge on paper, but John Lannan is coming off a couple of rough starts. Facing the Phillies both times, he gave up 12 runs (four earned) over eight innings, walking nine and striking out just two. The Diamondbacks counter with rookie left-hander Wade Miley. He was overmatched in his first start, but faces a Nationals offense that’s 27th in the majors in OPS versus lefties (.665). The superior payout makes ARIZONA the pick.

The FoxSheets have another trend siding with the D-backs:

ARIZONA is 19-10 (65.5%, +10.2 Units) against the money line after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. The average score was ARIZONA 4.8, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*).

Lannan (8-9, 3.61 ERA) has posted a 1.04 ERA in four career starts against the Diamondbacks, but it’s been a bit of a smoke-and-mirrors situation. He struck out only eight and walked 12 over 26 innings in those starts. However, Arizona is just 13-for-84 (.155 BA) against Lannan. He’s been better at home all year, where he has a 3.03 ERA. But Lannan is just 1-3 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.60 WHIP over his past four home starts.

Filling in for the injured Jason Marquis, Miley made his big league debut Saturday in Atlanta, giving up five runs and seven hits over four innings and taking a loss. On a more encouraging note, he struck out five while walking only two. He was 4-1 with a 3.64 ERA in eight starts for Triple-A Reno this season.
 

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Thursday’s betting tips: ‘Skins mum on starting QB

Who’s hot

MLB: The under is 11-4 in Washington’s last 15 games overall.

WNBA: The under is 6-1 in Seattle’s last seven games.

NFL: Baltimore is 4-1 against the spread in its last five preseason meetings with Washington.

Who’s not

MLB: Pittsburgh is just 8-21 in its last 29 overall.

WNBA: Tulsa has lost a WNBA-record 19 straight games outright.

NFL: Philadelphia is 1-10 against the spread in its last 11 final preseason home games since 2000.

Key stat

65 – Home underdogs have covered in 65 percent (13-7-2) of WNBA games over the last month.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Vladimir Guerrero, Baltimore Orioles – Guerrero is banged up again and sat out Wednesday’s game with a left wrist contusion after he was hit with a ball during batting practice. X-rays came back negative and he’s currently listed as day-to-day. He’s hitting .276 with 10 homers and 44 RBIs this season.

Game of the day

Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles (-7, 39.5)

Notable quotable

"I mean, it's kind of expected. I've played so many matches this year. I've been winning a lot and reaching the final stages of each event that I've participated on. You know, considering the schedule that is very busy in tennis, it's kind of normal to expect that at some stage you are exhausted." – Novak Djokovic earlier this week after retiring at Cincinnati last week after citing shoulder soreness. Despite that, Djokovic was listed as the U.S. Open’s top seed Tuesday and is currently the tournament’s favorite at +130.

Notes and tips

Washington Redskins head coach Mike Shanahan won’t name his starting quarterback for Thursday’s game in Baltimore and doesn’t expect to name a regular season starter until shortly before Week 1. If familiarity with Baltimore’s defense means anything, John Beck would have the advantage over Rex Grossman Thursday after playing the 2009 season with the Ravens. Right now, Beck was 14 for 17 for 140 yards last week against Indy, while Grossman is 19 for 26 for 207 yards and a touchdown in two appearances so far. Washington is a 5.5-point underdog on the road.

Houston Astros starter Henry Sosa will be back on the mound pitching on just three days’ rest Thursday against the San Francisco Giants. Sosa pitched five innings Sunday against the Giants and was hammered for four runs in a 6-4 loss. San Francisco batted around and scored three of those runs in the second inning.
 

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Thursday's six-pack

-- Colts signed Kerry Collins Thursday, a red flag for the chances that Peyton Manning will play in Houston September 11.

-- Reds-Marlins played twinbill Wednesday because the hurricane could be threatening Florida Thursday, so that game was moved ahead a day.

-- Mike Pelfrey wasn't pretty Wednesday, but he beat the Phillies on a day when he threw 125 pitches in six innings, 42 just in the 3rd inning.

-- You know the Giants are hurting for offense when Orlando Cabrera is their leadoff hitter.

-- Our thoughts/prayers go out to the family of Mike Flanagan, former Oriole pitcher who passed away Thursday at age 59. Too young.

-- Thursday is my annual trek to Saratoga for the horse races; say hello if you see a confused-looking guy with a hat eating a hot dog or two.


**********************


Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud........

13) Lot of enthusiasm in Motor City for the Lions this season; they’ve sold out Saturday night’s exhibition game against Michigan alum Tom Brady and the Patriots- they also have their first Monday night home game in 10 years in early October. Interesting to see if they can live up to the hype.

12) NASCAR driver Kyle Busch lost his driver’s license for 45 days after getting nailed doing 128 mph in a 45 mph zone down in North Carolina. Funny thing is, you don’t need a driver’s license to drive in NASCAR.

11) According to SI.com, Clippers star Blake Griffin is spending this week as an intern for “Comedy or Die”, Will Ferrell’s comedy website. Griffin will help write-edit-shoot-act in short comedy videos for the website.

10) Disappointed to hear that Brian Kenny is leaving ESPN after 13 years; Kenny’s shtick always seemed to be that he was the only guy on ESPN that didn’t have a shtick. Need more guys like that.

9) Hard to believe that over last five seasons, Miami Hurricanes are just 20-21 in ACC football games; now they’re headed for probation, so things should get even worse for a once-proud program.

8) Before Larry Scott was Commissioner of the Pac-12 Conference, he was CEO of the women’s pro tennis tour.

7) There is a new reality show starting Friday on Animal Planet, and I guarantee I’ll never watch it, because it is “Rat Busters NYC” about exterminators in Manhattan. No desire to see the long-tailed rodents on TV or anywhere else.

6) Former Dallas Cowboy teammates Troy Aikman/Darryl Johnston both have 10-year old daughters who were born on the same day in the same hospital and delivered by the same doctor.

5) Over last ten years, Baltimore Ravens are 27-6-2 vs spread as a home favorite vs non-divisional opponents; in divisional games, they’re 12-14.

4) Over last three seasons, the underdog is 18-4-1 against the spread when the Bengals play at home.

3) Speaking of the Bengals, how do they let Carson Palmer retire? Trade him and get a decent draft pick in return, Its how you get better, or at least stay the same. Being stubborn and letting a good player walk with no return is not only bad business, its stupid.

2) Surprised to read that Cardinals’ attendance is down over 3,000 fans a game this season. St Louis has always been a great baseball city, but when a team with high expectations disappoints, this is what happens.

1) Time-Warner called me yesterday and asked why I dropped their cable service for DirecTV. Not much they can say when I tell ‘em its strictly for the NFL Sunday Ticket and the NFL Network.

I’m watching a replay of the Arizona-Green Bay preseason game as I type this. Still think the NFL is wrong about not letting this channel on basic cable, but thats their business. Its in my house now, and thats good.
 

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MLB
Dunkel



Arizona at Washington
The Nationals look to take advantage of an Arizona team that is 1-7 in its last 8 games as a road underdog. Washington is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Nationals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-135). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 25

Game 901-902: Atlanta at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Beachy) 15.427; Cubs (Garza) 14.792
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); N/A

Game 903-904: Arizona at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 14.049; Washington (Lannan) 15.621
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-135); Under

Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.134; St. Louis (Jackson) 14.550
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140); Under

Game 909-910: Houston at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Sosa) 14.299; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.343
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-230); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-230); Over

Game 911-912: Oakland at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Harden) 15.044; NY Yankees (Hughes) 16.726
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-200); Over

Game 913-914: Detroit at Tampa Bay (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 17.255; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.142
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+125); Under

Game 915-916: Baltimore at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Reyes) 15.302; Minnesota (Liriano) 12.885
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Under

Game 917-918: Kansas City at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Francis) 14.578; Toronto (Cecil) 15.164
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-175); Over

Game 919-920: Boston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Miller) 15.590; Texas (Ogando) 15.900
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-165); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-165); Over
 

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MLB
Write-Up


Thursday, August 25


Hot pitchers
-- Garza is 2-0, 2.52 in his last four starts. Beachy is 1-0, 2.50 in his last three starts.
-- Morton is 1-0, 0.95 in his last four starts. Jackson is 2-0, 2.95 in his three home starts for St Louis.

-- Hughes is 3-0, 1.37 in his last three starts. Harden is 2-0, 2.50 in his last three outings.
-- Hellickson is 2-1, 2.02 in his last four starts.
-- Liriano is 1-0, 2.77 in his last couple home starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Lannan is 1-3, 6.84 in his last five starts. Miley allowed five runs in four IP in his first MLB start.
-- Sosa is 0-2, 6.35 in three starts for the Astros. Vogelsong is 1-2, 5.49 in his last three starts.

-- Fister is 1-1, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Reyes is 1-2, 6.00 in three starts for the Orioles.
-- Francis is 0-3, 7.89 in his last four starts. Cecilis 0-2, 3.67 in his last four starts.
-- Ogando is 2-2, 5.19 in his last six starts. Miller has a 6.75 RA in his last three starts.

Totals
-- Three of last four Beachy starts went over the total. Three of Garza's last four starts stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Washington home games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight St Louis home games stayed under the total.
-- Five of Giants' last seven home games stayed under total.

-- Over is 7-1-1 in Oakland's last nine road games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten games at Tropicana Field.
-- Under is 10-4-2 in Minnesota's last 16 home games.
-- Five of last seven Toronto home games went over the total.
-- Over is 10-3 in Rangers' last thirteen games.

Hot Teams
-- Braves won 15 of their last 20 games.

-- Tampa Bay won 11 of its last 15 games. Detroit won five of six.
-- Blue Jays won three of their last four home games.
-- Oakland won five of its last seven games.
-- Orioles won their last three games, allowing three runs.
-- Red Sox won 10 of their last 15 road games.

Cold Teams
-- Arizona lost six of its last eight games. Washington is 2-3 in its last five games, scoring 11 runs.
-- Cubs lost three of their last four games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last nine games. Pirates lost 14 of their last 21 home games.
-- Astros lost 21 of their last 24 road games. Giants lost six of their last nine games.

-- Royals lost 12 of their last 16 games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost three of last four games.
-- Twins lost 14 of their last 17 home games.
-- Rangers lost four of their last five games.
 

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Thursday, August 25


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Trend Report
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1:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. NY YANKEES
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 4-14 SU in their last 18 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 17-8 SU in their last 25 games at home
NY Yankees are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games when playing Oakland

1:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Baltimore's last 21 games when playing Minnesota
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games at home

1:10 PM
DETROIT vs. TAMPA BAY
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit

2:20 PM
ATLANTA vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 15-8 SU in their last 23 games

7:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. WASHINGTON
Arizona is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

7:07 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TORONTO
Kansas City is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Kansas City is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Toronto is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Kansas City

7:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. FLORIDA
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Cincinnati's last 17 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati

8:05 PM
BOSTON vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas
Boston is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games at home
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston

8:15 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ST. LOUIS
Pittsburgh is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
St. Louis is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

10:15 PM
HOUSTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
San Francisco is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
 

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Thursday, August 25


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Thursday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Charlie Morton, Pittsburgh Pirates (9-6, 3.42 ERA)


Charlie Morton has just one win on his record over the last four starts, despite the fact that he’s allowed only three runs over that span. He hasn’t allowed a homer and all four of those games played under during that. This season has been a huge improvement from last year when he went 2-12 with a 7.57 ERA.

“The approach was pretty much to change my style of pitching to be just a power, four-seam guy with a good curveball and a decent change-up,” Morton told reporters.

Phil Hughes, New York Yankees (4-4, 5.75 ERA)

Hughes got off to a rocky start this season, but he’s making a big push down the stretch. The 25-year-old who won 18 games last year is 3-1 with a 1.75 ERA in his last four starts and looks to be gaining velocity on his fastball after his shoulder injury earlier this season.

"I can't look back at the beginning of the year," Hughes told reporters. "That's over and done with. I have to make the most of what I have left."


Slumping

Jeff Francis, Kansas City Royals (4-14, 4.89 ERA)


So far, August has been awfully tough on Jeff Francis. He’s 0-3 this month and has allowed at least four runs in each of those four starts. Francis now sits sixth from the basement in Covers.com’s starter money standings, having lost 9.64 units for his supporters.

Francis has allowed a homer in each of his last four starts and has served up 16 taters on the year, five more than last season.

Jo-Jo Reyes, Baltimore Orioles (6-10, 5.44 ERA)

A change of scenery hasn’t done much to help out Reyes, who came over from the Blue Jays late last month. In three starts with Baltimore, the lefty is 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA and has served up five homers.

He allowed five runs on eight hits while walking three in an 8-3 loss to the Angels in his last outing.
 

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Thursday, August 25


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Hot lines: Thursday's best MLB bets
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Oakland Athletics at New York Yankees (-200, 9.5)

Heading into Wednesday’s matchup between these two teams, oddsmakers had the Yankees listed around -240 favorites. They were soon bet up to as high as -360 at one online shop and were north of -300 at a handful of others.

Thursday you’ll be able to put down a Yanks bet at a more reasonable price, but it’s still fat enough to give the underdog A’s a long look.

Oakland sends out Rich Harden against the resurgent Phil Hughes and you have to like what the Canadian kid has been up to lately on the hill. He has won two of his last three starts, striking out 23 batters along the way.

After loading the bases in the first, he blanked the Blue Jays over seven innings in his last outing, allowing just two hits while punching out 11 batters.

"This might have been the best feeling I've had (this year) as far as command," Harden said. "After that first inning, it came together. I had my command, and I located well. It was a good feeling."

The Yanks reportedly had interest in acquiring Harden earlier this year and we think he could give them a taste of what they missed out on.

Pick: Athletics


Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals (-135, 8.5)


The big leagues can often be very cruel to rookie pitchers in their first few outings. Arizona starter Wade Miley found that out in a hurry when he took the ball in his first MLB game last week.

Miley was drilled for five runs on seven hits in four innings during a 8-1 blowout loss at Atlanta.

"It went well other than the fact that a couple of pitches didn't go where I wanted, and guys don't miss mistakes up here," Miley told reporters. "I learned that very quick. I felt like I made some quality pitches, but they hit quality pitches, so you have to make great pitches to get these guys."

It certainly wasn’t all bad. He did strike out five batters and looks like he definitely has big-league stuff. Whether he can put it all together is another question, of course.

We’ll take a shot with the under.

Pick: Under
 

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Long Sheet


Thursday, August 25


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (78 - 53) at CHICAGO CUBS (57 - 73) - 2:20 PM
BRANDON BEACHY (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 22-32 (-15.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 78-53 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 58-36 (+12.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 78-53 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 37-28 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-36 (-14.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 123-155 (-51.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 133-160 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 68-82 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 638-641 (-120.5 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 133-160 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 46-58 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
GARZA is 20-33 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-3 (+1.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

BRANDON BEACHY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
BEACHY is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.126.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MATT GARZA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GARZA is 0-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (71 - 59) at WASHINGTON (62 - 66) - 7:05 PM
WADE MILEY (R) vs. JOHN LANNAN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 54-81 (-29.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 62-66 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 43-41 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 31-28 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 62-66 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 37-27 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LANNAN is 29-22 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LANNAN is 29-22 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LANNAN is 20-15 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LANNAN is 14-10 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 35-33 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 71-60 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 54-42 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 41-30 (+13.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 71-60 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-3 (+0.3 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.9 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

JOHN LANNAN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LANNAN is 3-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.04 and a WHIP of 0.962.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (61 - 68) at ST LOUIS (67 - 63) - 8:15 PM
CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 79-133 (-28.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 195-404 (-97.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 87-207 (-66.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 17-55 (-27.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 17-46 (-17.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 28-67 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 61-68 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 30-31 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 30-28 (+8.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 59-67 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 84-82 (-33.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 30-43 (-34.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 68-63 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 68-67 (-31.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 67-61 (-7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
JACKSON is 10-19 (-12.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JACKSON is 14-25 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JACKSON is 9-16 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-4 (+2.7 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

CHARLIE MORTON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MORTON is 2-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.21 and a WHIP of 1.920.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.7 units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
JACKSON is 2-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.474.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (42 - 88) at SAN FRANCISCO (69 - 61) - 10:15 PM
HENRY SOSA (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 29-58 (-21.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HOUSTON is 19-46 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 42-88 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 19-46 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 40-87 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 31-59 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 25-67 (-35.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 171-134 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 120-87 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 172-136 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 142-89 (+29.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+2.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

HENRY SOSA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
SOSA is 0-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. HOUSTON since 1997
VOGELSONG is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.89 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)
 

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OAKLAND (59 - 70) at NY YANKEES (77 - 50) - 1:05 PM
RICH HARDEN (R) vs. PHIL HUGHES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 54-66 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 37-50 (-15.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 59-70 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 34-8 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
OAKLAND is 58-45 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 34-32 (+30.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-5 (+0.5 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

RICH HARDEN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HARDEN is 2-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.644.
His team's record is 4-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.5 units)

PHIL HUGHES vs. OAKLAND since 1997
HUGHES is 2-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.501.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (70 - 59) at TAMPA BAY (70 - 58) - 1:10 PM
DOUG FISTER (R) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 38-63 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FISTER is 16-37 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FISTER is 2-16 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FISTER is 1-11 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
FISTER is 10-28 (-17.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 37-23 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 25-26 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 47-41 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 27-34 (-11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-1 (+4.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

DOUG FISTER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
FISTER is 1-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. DETROIT since 1997
HELLICKSON is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.825.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (50 - 77) at MINNESOTA (55 - 74) - 1:10 PM
JO-JO REYES (L) vs. FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 43-73 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 293-415 (-117.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 50-78 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 21-42 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
REYES is 2-12 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 27-45 (-13.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-19 (-9.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
MINNESOTA is 3-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LIRIANO is 8-16 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 5-2 (+3.4 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

JO-JO REYES vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
REYES is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.940.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LIRIANO is 2-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.242.
His team's record is 2-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (53 - 77) at TORONTO (66 - 63) - 7:07 PM
JEFF FRANCIS (L) vs. BRETT CECIL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 53-77 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 31-67 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 2-15 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 298-212 (+51.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
TORONTO is 47-35 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 66-63 (+3.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 64-53 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CECIL is 14-7 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 30-28 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-3 (+0.9 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

JEFF FRANCIS vs. TORONTO since 1997
FRANCIS is 2-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

BRETT CECIL vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
CECIL is 0-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.422.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (79 - 50) at TEXAS (74 - 57) - 8:05 PM
ANDREW MILLER (L) vs. ALEXI OGANDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 33-11 (+15.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 52-26 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 38-16 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 41-26 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 4-2 (+1.9 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

ANDREW MILLER vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

ALEXI OGANDO vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.
 

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Short Sheet


Thursday, August 25


National League

ATLANTA at CHICAGO CUBS, 2:20 PM ET

BEACHY: ATLANTA 12-18 after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs
GARZA: CHICAGO CUBS 21-14 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games

ARIZONA at WASHINGTON, 7:05 PM ET
MILEY: ARIZONA 54-81 against left-handed starters
LANNAN: WASHINGTON 19-11 after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games

PITTSBURGH at ST LOUIS, 8:15 PM ET
MORTON: 6-20 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150
JACKSON: ST LOUIS 50-37 OVER in night games

HOUSTON at SAN FRANCISCO, 10:15 PM ET
SOSA: HOUSTON 9-33 as an underdog of +150 or more
VOGELSONG: SAN FRANCISCO 42-23 after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less

American League

OAKLAND at NY YANKEES, 1:05 PM ET

HARDEN: OAKLAND 37-50 against right-handed starters
HUGHES: NY YANKEES 34-8 in day games

DETROIT at TAMPA BAY, 1:10 PM ET
FISTER: 1-11 TSR in road games
HELLICKSON: TAMPA BAY 16-7 with a rested bullpen that pitched one inning or less

BALTIMORE at MINNESOTA, 1:10 PM ET
REYES: BALTIMORE 18-11 after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games
LIRIANO: 3-12 TSR against AL East opponents

KANSAS CITY at TORONTO, 7:07 PM ET
FRANCIS: KANSAS CITY 2-15 in road games against left-handed starters
CECIL: 14-7 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5

BOSTON at TEXAS, 8:05 PM ET
MILLER: BOSTON 41-26 in road games
OGANDO: TEXAS 3-10 after allowing 9 runs or more

** (TC) Denotes Time Change
 

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Dunkel



Tulsa at Seattle
The Shock look to take advantage of a Seattle team that is coming off a 63-55 win over San Antonio and is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games following an ATS win. Tulsa is the pick (+14) according to Dunkel, which has the Storm favored by only 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+14). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 25

Game 601-602: Tulsa at Seattle (10:05 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 98.406; Seattle 109.070
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 10 1/2; 145
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 14; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+14); Over
 

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Thursday, August 25


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Trend Report
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10:00 PM
TULSA vs. SEATTLE
Tulsa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games
Seattle is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home


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WNBA


Thursday, August 25


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Lady luck: Thursday's best WNBA bets
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Tulsa Shock at Seattle Storm (-14.5, 140.5)

Up 15 points in the third quarter against the WNBA’s best team, the Tulsa Shock must have thought their moment had finally come on Tuesday.

However, after another final-frame collapse, the Shock set a league record with their 19th straight defeat – not that it mattered much to bettors.

"We thought tonight might be the night," Shock center Tina Jackson told reporters, “We just came up short, but we're getting there.''

They easily covered as 13-point unders in the 78-72 loss to Minnesota, marking the fourth time they’ve covered the spread in their last six.

However, Shock supporters have a tough call coming up with this line. Seattle looks like it is ready to make a major push up the Western Conference standings now that Lauren Jackson is back in the mix.

Jackson has been money in the fourth quarter since coming back in a pair of tough wins against New York and San Antonio. The Storm head into this one just 1 ½ games back of second-place Phoenix in the West and should be able to cut into the deficit with another win.

We’ll avoid the spread all together and jump on the under. These two teams have combined to play under 12 times in their last 13 games.

Pick: Under
 

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