2011: Here's how Boise State can make it to the national title game

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Here's how Boise State can make it to the national title game
PUBLISHED 1 hour and 58 minutes ago
LAST UPDATED 1 hour and 18 minutes ago
It’s routine now. The season arrives and from the first moment, Boise State isn’t good enough.

Isn’t good enough to beat any BCS school that has decided to chance it and play the team with the best record in FBS over the last decade. Isn’t good enough to deserve a spot in a BCS bowl.
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Kellen Moore and Boise State are playing in the Mountain West Conference this year, but they'll get as much respect there as they did in the Western Athletic Conference, Matt Hayes writes. (AP Photo)
Isn’t good enough to deserve a high BCS series ranking because it doesn’t play in a conference that includes the letters S, E and C.

“New year, same stuff,” says Boise State quarterback Kellen Moore.

Same stuff, all right. With one big caveat: This is the year the Broncos could make it all the way to the BCS National Championship Game.

It’s the last great frontier for Boise State, the little program that could—the program that started as a humble little junior college juggernaut, moved to Division I-AA and eventually jumped into the big boy pool, becoming one of the greatest success stories in the sport’s history.

There’s only one step left, and here’s how the Broncos get there:

All hell breaks loose. Every team in every BCS conference has at least one loss. Don’t think it can’t happen.

There’s too much parity in college football—and no clearly dominant team. There is a dominant league, but the SEC is so deep and so talented, it’s going to be difficult for its league champion to escape unscathed.

So Boise State needs to beat Georgia convincingly in Week 1, and then hope the Bulldogs win nine or 10 games (have you seen UGA’s schedule?). And if everyone in every BCS conference loses a game—and Boise State is unbeaten at the end of the season—the road will be paved for a team that has proven time and again it can play with any team, any week (see: Oklahoma, Oregon, Oregon State, Virginia Tech). No matter what Nick Saban thinks.

No room for error. A missed chip-shot field goal against Nevada kept Boise State from playing in the Rose Bowl last year, and taking another big swing at a BCS heavyweight.

The Broncos’ new league (the Mountain West) is essentially a carbon copy of its previous league (the WAC). In other words, playing poorly in any conference victory only brings out more of the Sabans of the world—more of those who believe Boise State’s road is easier than that taken by BCS programs because it plays in a subpar conference.

That TCU will spend one more season in the MWC before moving to the Big East helps Boise State’s argument, even though a victory over the Horned Frogs—which won’t be easy—will be seen as one non-BCS heavyweight knocking off another.

The only way to truly eliminate any doubt is to roll through your conference with big victories. The Broncos were one game from that scenario last year, and it cost them dearly.

This fall, with another loaded, experienced roster, that mistake won’t happen. Boise State will be top five in total offense and defense again (Broncos were No. 2 in both in 2010), have a Heisman Trophy candidate in Moore (maybe the leader) and could be the nation’s only unbeaten team.

“When you’re in that situation as a (non-BCS team), you’re battling more than just your opponent,” said Tennessee coach Derek Dooley, who coached at Louisiana Tech before leaving for Knoxville in 2010. “You’re battling something new every day.”

The tainted offseason. After months of numerous teams in the BCS hierarchy exposing every possible wart, college football is desperate for a feel-good story.

Remember, everyone, the BCS poll is two-thirds human vote. After all the garbage of the offseason, after the two teams playing for the BCS National Championship last year (Auburn, Oregon) are both under NCAA investigation, you don’t think voters in the Harris Poll—and even the coaches poll—won’t lean toward unbeaten Boise State in our All Hell Breaks Loose scenario?

Of course they will. It’s a feel-good story that a sport on the brink needs. And if Boise State gets to the coveted BCS National Championship Game?

We’ve all seen what the Broncos can do in a one-game, winner-take-all scenario.

Let’s just say Nick Saban won’t be too happy about that, either.
 

J-Man Rx NFL Pick 4 Champion for 2005
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I bought some 25/1 on Boise State already. If they can beat Georgia, I wouldn't be surprised to see them run the table. I don't see where there will be 2 undefeated BCS teams at the end of the year like We had last year. Remember a few years back when LSU won the BCS title with 2 losses.
 

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i bought some 25/1 on boise state already. If they can beat georgia, i wouldn't be surprised to see them run the table. I don't see where there will be 2 undefeated bcs teams at the end of the year like we had last year. Remember a few years back when lsu won the bcs title with 2 losses.

wooottttttttttttttttttttttttttttttt
 

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Boise St will not beat UGA....End of story, nothing left to talk about after week one. Maybe Moore contends for the Heisman and they have a good year, but thats as far as it will go.
 

Nirvana Shill
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I think Boise does beat GA and will be a threat to get into BCS game all year. They will need help but it can be done. I bet the over 10 1/2 so a win against GA just about does it .
 

Where Taconite Is Just A Low Grade Ore
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They won't get in past a 1 loss, OU, FSU, Bama, etc. They CAN get in if the better schools are on probation!!:):)
 

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I've got to start paying attention more , i had no idea college football was a sport on the brink.

What is it on the brink of ?
 

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This doofy looking asshole might be the best QB in the nation....

KELLENMOORENIKE150.JPG
 

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Chalk me up as one of those kooky believers that Boisie St. wins the whole damn sham dam ba bam.
 

J-Man Rx NFL Pick 4 Champion for 2005
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Boise St will not beat UGA....End of story, nothing left to talk about after week one. Maybe Moore contends for the Heisman and they have a good year, but thats as far as it will go.
Well, it's time for your next prediction.
 

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They won't get in past a 1 loss, OU, FSU, Bama, etc. They CAN get in if the better schools are on probation!!:):)
That would be a very interesting problem for the BCS voters as they are already under a lot of pressure politically and could face some legal challenges if an undefeated Boise State team should be passed over by a 1 loss BCS team. In view of Boise State's sound whipping of Georgia and their high ranking from the get go, I think Boise State would not be passed over by any 1 loss team. I'm not arguing the right or wrong of it...... I'm simply saying that there would be quite a stink if it happened this year.
 

Nirvana Shill
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LSU, OKLA, BAMA would alll get in with 1 loss over Boise. Other possible 1 loss teams would be Stanford, Oregon, Wisky, Nebraska,Florida St. All of these teams would have alot bigger wins then what Boise could produce. Might even be another 1 or 2 teams out there. 4 of these teams would play each other and would help and hurt Boise.
 

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LSU would win 55-0
 

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Boise needs to figure out a way to play a quality team late in the season non conference.
They always play a big team early and by the time it gets down to the end everyone forgets about the big win in September.

They really need to find a way to play a top 20 team out of conference in November if they ever want to win a title.
 

J-Man Rx NFL Pick 4 Champion for 2005
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LSU, OKLA, BAMA would alll get in with 1 loss over Boise. Other possible 1 loss teams would be Stanford, Oregon, Wisky, Nebraska,Florida St. All of these teams would have alot bigger wins then what Boise could produce. Might even be another 1 or 2 teams out there. 4 of these teams would play each other and would help and hurt Boise.
You're once again into the right or wrong of the BCS. However what you are not taking into consideration is that 2/3 of the BCS formula has absolutedly nothing to do with quality wins etc. 2/3 of the formula is simply rankings in the 2 national rankings. Last year I'm pretty sure that TCU would have gone to the championship game if either Oregon or Auburn had lost in their final game. Your list of 1 loss teams may indeed deserve to go but I doubt any 1 loss team will jump Boise State unless it's a SEC 1 loss team. Why a SEC 1 loss team ? DUH ! They have dominated the National Championship in recent years. My gut feeling is that Boise State will be the only undefeated team this year and that they will face a 1 loss SEC team like Bama or an undefeated Stanford team in the Championship game. If the season ends with a 1 loss Bama and a 12-0 Stanford and 12-0 Boise State, then it will get interesting. Huge controversy if Boise State gets jumped !
 

Nirvana Shill
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Boise needs to figure out a way to play a quality team late in the season non conference.
They always play a big team early and by the time it gets down to the end everyone forgets about the big win in September.

They really need to find a way to play a top 20 team out of conference in November if they ever want to win a title.

Probably not that easy to schedule a game like that later in the season. There is a decent chance even the GA win will not look good at the end of the year. GA easily could fold the tent after getting hammered again.
 

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