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Athletics Open MLB Odds Series At Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox return home from an eight-game road trip on Friday and will host the Oakland Athletics in the series opener of a three-game set. The Red Sox guaranteed themselves of a winning trip with a 13-2 rout of the Texas Rangers on Wednesday.

Friday's contest in Boston is slated for a 4:10 p.m. (PT) first pitch.

Boston will be playing for the 11th day in a row, and will finally get a day off for the first time in two weeks on Monday before hosting the New York Yankees in a crucial three-game series starting Tuesday. The Red Sox moved two games ahead of the Yankees in the win column heading into Thursday’s action after New York lost to Oakland in 10 innings on Wednesday, 6-4.

The A’s won their first two games to begin a 10-game road trip that will wrap up with four games against the Cleveland Indians following this visit to Boston. However, they have struggled this season against the Red Sox with a 1-4 record, losing the last four meetings.

Oakland was swept in three games at Fenway Park at the beginning of June but will get to face Tim Wakefield for the first time since last July. The A’s were 2-0 in games Wakefield started against them a year ago, winning each game by one run.

Wakefield (6-5, 4.97 ERA) has been a better pitcher record-wise at Fenway this season with a 4-1 mark, although his ERA is higher there at 5.15 compared to 4.83 on the road. He has made his last three starts away from home along with four of his past five, losing two straight as a favorite at Kansas City and Seattle.

Boston has won each of his last four home starts since losing to the Chicago White Sox on June 1. The Red Sox have, however, dropped each of his last two starts during which Wakefield allowed eight earned runs in 13 1/3 innings. This will be his sixth attempt to pick up career victory No. 200.

Lefty Gio Gonzalez (10-11, 3.24) will get the call for Oakland, and he has made his last two starts at home. Gonzalez is coming off a victory against Toronto on Saturday that broke a personal five-game losing streak. He allowed only one run to the Blue Jays in eight strong innings, walking one and striking out nine.

Gonzalez has struggled on the road this season with a 2-7 record and 4.50 ERA in 11 starts. The A’s have lost his last eight road starts with Gonzalez going 0-6 and walking away with two no-decisions in a pair of one-run defeats.

The ‘over’ is 8-1 in his past nine outings overall and 3-0-1 in Oakland’s last four meetings with the Red Sox.

The weather forecast for Friday in Boston calls for a high temperature of 83 degrees under mostly sunny skies, cooling down to around 79 for first pitch.

Saturday's middle game of the set finds rain chances increasing in advance of Hurricane Irene that is threatening the entire Atlantic Coast this weekend. Guillermo Moscoso is in the rotation for Oakland with Jon Lester the listed starter for the Sox.
 

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Mercury In Tough Test At Connecticut Sun

The Phoenix Mercury start a 4-game road trip on Friday at one of the toughest home teams in the WNBA, the Connecticut Sun. Things will get much tougher for Phoenix if superstar Diana Taurasi can’t play.

The Don Best odds screen will release odds shortly, with the tip from Mohegan Sun Arena coming at 4:30 p.m. (PT).

Both teams are currently in second place in their conference. Connecticut (17-10 straight-up) is two games back of Indiana (19-8) in the East, while Phoenix (15-11) is trying to hold off Seattle (15-12) for second in the West, with Minnesota (21-6) having already clinched.

Taurasi missed the last two games with back spasms and is questionable for Friday. She’s the leading scorer (21 PPG) in the league and the shooting guard also contributes 4.0 APG and 3.3 RPG.

Phoenix was able to survive the first game without Taurasi, an 87-81 home win over struggling San Antonio. Forwards Penny Taylor (28 points) and Candice Dupree (20 points) took advantage of their increased scoring opportunities. However, the team did just fail to ‘cover’ as 6 ½-point favorites.

The Taurasi loss was felt more in Tuesday's 74-70 home loss to New York as 5 ½-point favorites. Taylor and Dupree were held to a combined 31 points and former teammate Cappie Pondexter had 25 for the visitors. That broke a 4-game home winning streak.

The Mercury are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.

Phoenix (90 PPG) is easily the highest scoring team in the league and gives up the most points (86.7 PPG). However, both scoring (86.8 PPG) and points allowed (85.8 PPG) are down over the last nine games, with the ‘under’ going 6-3.

The ‘under’ would have been 8-1 if not for two games going into overtime.

The Mercury have played just one road game since August 2, a 93-90 overtime loss at Los Angeles as 5 ½-point favorites on August 12. Their road record for the year is 6-6 SU and against the spread.

The Sun have been a great home team the past few years and this season is no exception (12-2 SU, 9-5 ATS). They’re 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall, including 6-3 ATS at home.

Connecticut’s last game was Sunday at home against Atlanta, a 96-87 win as three-point favorites. Point guard Renee Montgomery led the way with 21 points, but team depth was shown with five players in double-digits.

The 183 combined points scored went way ‘over’ the 165-point total. The ‘over’ is 3-0 in the Sun’s last three home games, turning up the offense at 95.3 PPG.

The 5-foot-7 Montgomery (15.5 PPG) is the team’s second-leading scorer behind 6-foot-4 center Tina Charles (17.7 PPG, 10.9 RPG) and 6-foot-3 forward Asjha Jones (13.5 PPG, 5.7 RPG). All three played college ball at UConn, which certainly helps at the box office and to breed the home success.

Phoenix and Connecticut last met August 7 in the desert. The Sun survived 96-95 in overtime as 6 ½-point underdogs. Montgomery (28 points), Jones (27) and Charles (23) combined for 78 of the 96 points. That offset 29 from Taurasi.

The last meeting back East was last year with the Sun winning 82-79, failing to ‘cover’ as 5 ½-point favorites. Phoenix is 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in the last three games there overall.

The ‘under’ is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Connecticut, with no combined score going above 175 points.
 

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Around the Horn - Friday

August 25, 2011


NATIONAL LEAGUE


Florida at Philadelphia - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Hensley (1-5, 5.47 ERA) 2-8 L10 0-6 L6 away on Fridays
Oswalt (6-7, 3.51 ERA) 5-3 L8 12-3 L15 home Game 1's


Marlins lost to Reds, 3-2 on Wednesday
Phillies lost to Mets, 7-4 on Wednesday

Atlanta at N.Y. Mets - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Hudson (13-7, 3.01 ERA) 7-3 L10 6-3 away on Fridays
Capuano (9-11, 4.71 ERA) 5-5 L10 2-5 L7 home off win


Braves beat Cubs, 8-3 on Thursday
Mets beat Phillies, 7-4 on Wednesday

Washington at Cincinnati - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Wang (2-2, 4.33 ERA) 5-3 L8 4-10 away vs LHP
Willis (0-3, 4.14 ERA) 2-4 L6 OVER 5-1 L6 home off win


Nationals lost to Diamondbacks, 8-1 on Thursday
Reds beat Marlins, 3-2 on Wednesday

Chicago at Milwaukee - 8:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Lopez (4-4, 4.97 ERA) 3-6 L9 OVER 7-2 L9 away Game 1's
Wolf (10-8, 3.45 ERA) 7-3 L10 18-4 home off loss


Cubs lost to Braves, 8-3 on Thursday
Brewers lost to Pirates, 2-0 on Wednesday

Pittsburgh at St. Louis - 8:15 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
McDonald (8-6, 4.21 ERA) 5-5 L10 UNDER 7-3 away on Fridays
Westbrook (10-7, 4.70 ERA) 2-5 L7 3-6 L9 home Game 2's


Cardinals beat Pirates, 8-4 on Thursday

San Diego at Arizona - 9:40 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
LeBlanc (2-2, 4.62 ERA) 5-5 L10 OVER 7-0 L7 away off loss
Collmenter (7-8, 3.34 ERA) 3-7 L10 3-7 L10 home Game 1's


Padres lost to Giants, 2-1 on Wednesday
Diamondbacks beat Nationals, 8-1 on Thursday

Colorado at Los Angeles - 10:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Rogers (6-2, 6.00 ERA) 4-0 L4 UNDER 7-3 away on Fridays
Lilly (7-13, 4.58 ERA) 4-0 L4 7-4 home on Fridays


Rockies beat Astros, 7-6 on Wednesday
Dodgers beat Cardinals, 9-4 on Wednesday

Houston at San Francisco - 10:15 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Happ (4-14, 6.26 ERA) 3-10 L13 1-5 L6 away on Fridays
Bumgarner (7-12, 3.68 ERA) 3-7 L10 8-3 L11 home Game 2's


Astros beat Giants, 3-1 on Thursday

AMERICAN LEAGUE


Kansas City at Cleveland - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Paulino (2-9, 4.40 ERA) 3-7 L10 6-1 L7 away on Fridays
Jimenez (7-10, 4.88 ERA) 1-6 L7 UNDER 9-4 L13 home off loss


Royals beat Blue Jays, 9-6 on Thursday
Indians lost to Mariners, 9-2 on Wednesday

N.Y. Yankees at Baltimore - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Burnett (9-10, 4.96 ERA) 6-4 L10 UNDER 5-0 L5 away on Fridays
Hunter (2-2, 4.95 ERA) 4-0 L4 1-8 L9 home off win


Yankees beat Athletics, 22-9 on Thursday
Orioles beat Twins, 6-1 on Thursday

Tampa Bay at Toronto - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Shields (11-10, 3.05 ERA) 6-3 L9 5-2 L7 off home loss
Alvarez (0-1, 4.32 ERA) 5-3 L8 UNDER 6-1 L7 home Game 1's


Rays lost to Tigers, 2-0 on Thursday
Blue Jays lost to Royals, 9-6 on Thursday

Oakland at Boston - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Gonzalez (10-11, 3.24 ERA) 6-3 L9 1-8 away on Fridays
Wakefield (6-5, 4.97 ERA) 6-2 L8 17-6 home vs LHP


Athletics lost to Yankees, 22-9 on Thursday
Red Sox beat Rangers, 6-0 on Thursday

Los Angeles at Texas - 8:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Haren (13-6, 2.98 ERA) 6-0 L6 9-3 L12 away Game 1's
Holland (11-5, 4.42 ERA) 2-6 L8 10-0 L10 home Game 1's


Angels beat White Sox, 8-0 on Wednesday
Rangers lost to Red Sox, 6-0 on Thursday

Detroit at Minnesota - 8:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Porcello (11-8, 5.17 ERA) 6-1 L7 5-2 L7 away Game 1's
Diamond (0-1, 4.26 ERA) 1-7 L8 3-7 home on Fridays


Tigers beat Rays, 2-0 on Thursday
Twins lost to Orioles, 6-1 on Thursday

Chicago at Seattle - 10:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Peavy (5-6, 5.06 ERA) 2-5 L7 UNDER 5-0 L5 away vs LHP
Furbush (3-5, 4.64 ERA) 3-6 L9 OVER 5-2 L7 home off win


White Sox lost to Angels, 8-0 on Wednesday
Mariners beat Indians, 9-2 on Wednesday
 

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MLB Series Outlook: Detroit at Minnesota

DETROIT TIGERS (71-59, +6.2 Units)

at MINNESOTA TWINS (55-75, -11.5 Units)


Sportsbook.com Series Line: Detroit -155, Minnesota +125

The Tigers can move closer to sewing up an A.L. Central crown if they beat up on the Twins in Minnesota again in a three-game set that starts Friday night.

Detroit has won five of six at Target Field, and they’ve won six of seven overall since an upset series loss at home to the Twins (August 15-17). Since that series, Minnesota is 1-7 on its current homestand, and an American League-worst 28-37 at home this year. Detroit also has the edge in pitching matchups for all three games. The FoxSheets provide another highly-rated reason DETROIT is the pick to win the series.

MINNESOTA is 13-28 (31.7%, -18.2 Units) against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season. The average score was MINNESOTA 2.9, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 3*).

Pitching Probables for Friday, August 26 - 8:10 ET
Friday line: Minnesota -115, Detroit +105, Total: 9
DET: 15-9 (+5.1 Units) when Rick Porcello starts
MIN: 0-1 (-1.0 Units) when Scott Diamond starts
Since going on a five-game winning streak to start July, Porcello (11-8, 5.17 ERA) has been torched. He’s 0-2 with a 9.15 ERA over his past four starts (Detroit won the two no-decisions thanks to some big offense). The Tigers have won nine of Porcello’s 13 road starts despite his 4.46 ERA in those outings. He’s 3-1 with a 3.42 ERA against the Twins this year, though Minnesota got to him for six runs (four earned) over six innings in Detroit on August 15.
Diamond (0-1, 4.26 ERA) made his big league debut last month, giving up four runs (three earned) over 6.1 innings against Cleveland. The 25-year-old lefty did not pitch well at Triple-A Rochester this year, going 4-14 with a 5.56 ERA.

Pitching Probables for Saturday, August 27 - 4:10 ET
Saturday line: TBD
DET: 20-8 (+8.9 Units) when Justin Verlander starts
MIN: 11-15 (-1.1 Units) when Carl Pavano starts
Verlander (19-5 2.28 ERA) has won seven straight starts, posting a 2.22 ERA while holding opponents to a .166 batting average. The Tigers are 10-4 in Verlander’s road starts this year, including six in a row. He’s dominated the Twins over the past two seasons (4-1, 1.51 ERA), as the Tigers won five of those six starts.
Pavano (6-10, 4.54 ERA) continues to struggle, as the Twins have dropped four of his past five starts, though he hasn’t pitched too atrociously (4.32 ERA in those outings). Pavano has also pitched far better at home this season, where he has a 3.26 ERA. He held the Tigers to three runs over seven innings in a win at Detroit on August 17, but allowed five runs over six innings to them in a July 21 loss at home.

Pitching Probables for Sunday, August 28 - 2:10 ET
Sunday line: TBD
DET: 12-13 (-0.4 Units) when Brad Penny starts
MIN: 10-15 (-2.8 Units) when Brian Duensing starts
Penny (9-9, 4.82 ERA) has had a rough go of it since the All-Star break, posting a 5.66 ERA while striking out just 13 batters over 41.1 innings. He did have a more encouraging start in Tampa on Tuesday, when he held the Rays to one run over 6.1 innings (though he still only struck out two). Penny has a 5.91 ERA on the road this year, and has not fared well in his three outings against the Twins (5.68 ERA, 1.53 WHIP), two of which were Detroit losses.
Duensing (8-13, 5.12 ERA) has essentially been throwing batting practice in August: 0-5 with an 8.65 ERA and a .388 opponent’s BA. He’s allowed a whopping nine home runs in those five starts. Shockingly, he’s performed better on the road than in pitcher-friendly Target Field, where he has a 6.43 ERA this year. The Tigers got to him for seven runs (all earned) on nine hits and two homers over 4.2 innings on July 22, and the Twins are 5-10 against Detroit with Duensing on the mound during his career.
 

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Brewers look to stay hot at home

CHICAGO CUBS (57-74, -13.7 Units)

at MILWAUKEE BREWERS (78-54, +18.5 Units)


First pitch: Friday, 8:10 p.m. EDT
Line: Milwaukee -180, Chicago +170, Total: 8.5

The Brewers have a great chance to add to their MLB-best home (47-16) and August (18-5) records when the Cubs come to town for a three-game series starting Friday night.

The Brewers are an absurd 14-2 at home since the All-Star break, and they’re 5-1 against the Cubs at Miller Park this year. With a hot Randy Wolf taking the mound for Milwaukee and the Cubs countering with Rodrigo Lopez, who has been shelled of late, there’s little reason to let Chicago’s potential payout draw you in. The pick is MILWAUKEE, and the FoxSheets have a four-star trend that emphasizes the fact that the Brewers don’t slip up at home when heavily favored:

MILWAUKEE is 25-3 (89.3%, +19.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more this season. The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.3, OPPONENT 3.0 - (Rating = 4*).

The Brewers have won the past five times Wolf (10-8, 3.45 ERA) has been on the mound, as the lefty has posted a 2.80 ERA in those outings. Milwaukee is 9-3 in Wolf’s home starts this year, winning eight of his last nine outings at Miller Park.

It’s not all good news for Wolf and the Brewers, though. He did slip up against the Mets at Citifield in his last start though, allowing five runs over 6.1 innings in a no-decision on Saturday. And in two seasons with the Brewers, the lefty is 0-3 with a 3.86 ERA over four starts against the Cubs, all Milwaukee losses (though Wolf did shut them out for seven innings in a no-decision at Wrigley Field in June).

Aramis Ramirez has gone on another tear, hitting .537 (29-for-54) during his current 14-game hitting streak. But he’s also just 5-for-30 career against Wolf.

Lopez (4-4, 4.97 ERA) is 4-3 with a 4.59 ERA over nine starts since joining the rotation permanently back in June. His past five starts haven’t gone well, as he failed to make it out of the sixth inning in any of them. He allowed 22 runs (20 earned) over 24.2 innings in those outings, equating to a 7.30 ERA. Lopez has been hit hard on the road all year, with a 7.78 ERA in four road starts. This will be his first start of the year against the Brewers, who knocked Lopez around for seven runs in five innings when he was with the Diamondbacks last year.
 

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MLB Series Outlook: L.A. Angels at Texas

LOS ANGELES ANGELS (71-59, +6.4 Units)

at TEXAS RANGERS (74-58, +0.1 Units)


Sportsbook.com Series Line: Texas -150, L.A. Angels +120

Just when it looked like the Rangers had sealed up the A.L. West, the Angels have surged back into contention with six straight wins. The teams meet up for a huge three-game set in Texas starting Friday night.

Since losing three straight to the Rangers at home (August 15-17), the Angels have outscored opponents 39-17 during their six-game run, while Texas has lost six of eight, to trim its division lead to two games. The Rangers bats are going quiet (13 runs in six games), and they’re still without 3B Adrian Beltre. They’ve been shut out twice in the past five games, by the likes of Chicago’s Gavin Floyd and Boston’s Andrew Miller. The Angels have their three best pitchers set to go this weekend, and they’re a solid 33-31 on the road this year. The FoxSheets provide another trend siding with LOS ANGELES to win the series.

TEXAS is 16-19 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was TEXAS 5.1, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*).

Pitching Probables for Friday, August 26 - 8:05 ET
Friday line: Texas -110, Los Angeles +100, Total: 9
LAA: 16-11 (+1.2 Units) when Dan Haren starts
TEX: 14-12 (-1.2 Units) when Derek Holland starts
Haren (13-6, 2.98 ERA) has not been particularly sharp since the All-Star break (3.62 ERA), but he is 4-1 while L.A. has won six of his nine starts. He’s had mixed results in two starts against the Rangers this year, both no-decisions for Haren, but both wins for the Angels. He held them to two runs (one earned) over 7.2 innings in Arlington back in May, but got touched up for seven runs (all earned) in 4.1 innings at home a month ago.
Holland (11-5, 4.42 ERA) is coming off another shaky start in an up-and-down year, allowing five runs and 10 base runners over 3.1 innings in a loss to the White Sox last Sunday. He’s 5-2 at home this season thanks to some great run support, and the Rangers have won eight of his 13 starts in Arlington. But his home ERA is 5.32. On August 16, he held the Angels to three runs over 8.2 innings in a road victory.

Pitching Probables for Saturday, August 27 - 8:05 ET
Saturday line: TBD
LAA: 15-12 (+2.2 Units) when Ervin Santana starts
TEX: 16-11 (+0.9 Units) when C.J. Wilson starts
Santana (9-9, 3.17 ERA) has been outstanding overall since the All-Star break, going 5-1 with a 1.80 ERA. But his past two starts have been a little less encouraging. He allowed four runs (three earned) and 14 base runners over 7.2 innings in a loss to Texas on August 17, and followed it up by allowing four runs over eight innings to the White Sox on Tuesday. However, Arlington has been a house of horrors for him over his career. He’s posted a 7.37 ERA there while allowing 22 home runs in just 75.2 innings. He’s lost his past three starts at Texas, including two early this season.
Wilson (13-5, 3.08 ERA) has strung together three straight wins in impressive fashion, allowing three runs (two earned) over 19.2 innings during that stretch. The Rangers have won nine of his 13 home starts this year, two of them against the Angels (in which Wilson has allowed five runs—three earned—over 12 innings). Since moving to the rotation prior to last year, Wilson has posted a 2.57 ERA in nine starts against the Angels, and the Rangers went 7-2 in those outings.

Pitching Probables for Sunday, August 28 - 8:10 ET
Sunday line: TBD
LAA: 18-9 (+6.4 Units) when Jered Weaver starts
TEX: 13-13 (-4.8 Units) when Colby Lewis starts
There was some worry about Weaver (15-6, 2.03 ERA) after he was lit up in Toronto on August 13 (eight runs in 4.2 innings), but he’s laid those to rest with two impressive outings since. He held the Rangers to one run over seven innings on August 18, then shut out the White Sox for seven innings on Wednesday. He’s been a little more beatable on the road this year—a 2.60 ERA, while the Angels are only 8-7 in his road starts—and L.A. has lost eight of his 12 career starts in Texas, where Weaver has a 4.09 ERA. He has held the Rangers in check this year, with a 1.86 ERA over four starts (three Angel wins).
He’s been schizophrenic all season, and Lewis (11-9, 4.07 ERA) is coming off another terrible start. The Red Sox got him for seven runs over six innings on Tuesday, one start after he shut out the Angels for seven innings in Anaheim. He has not pitched well in Arlington this year (4-5, 5.56 ERA), and the Rangers are just 6-7 in his home starts. And since returning to the U.S. from Japan before the 2010 season, Lewis is 0-2 against the Angels, and Texas has lost all four of his starts against Los Angeles.
 

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Yankees try to keep bats warm in Baltimore

NEW YORK YANKEES (78-50, +9.2 Units)

at BALTIMORE ORIOLES (51-77, -19.9 Units)


First pitch: Friday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: New York -155, Baltimore +145, Total: 10

The Yankees look to build on their record-setting offensive night when they open a four-game series in Baltimore on Friday. New York slugged a major-league record three grand slams in Thursday’s 22-9 win over Oakland. Baltimore is suddenly red-hot, finishing off a four-game sweep in Minnesota, outscoring the Twins 24-4 in the series.

The Yankees love playing at Camden Yards, going 16-6 in Baltimore over the past three seasons, including 4-0 this year. However, New York is a sub-.500 team (12-14) with A.J. Burnett on the mound, and Burnett has a dreadful 10.70 ERA and 2.38 WHIP in his past four starts. His mound opponent Friday, Tommy Hunter, also has been terrible since his trade to the Orioles, carting a 6.20 ERA and .349 opponents’ BA in 24.2 innings. Although the red-hot O’s are an enticing pick at +145, the smart play here is heavily-favored NEW YORK.

The FoxSheets provide this four-star trend showing that the Orioles rarely beat good teams:

BALTIMORE is 17-50 (25.4%, -31.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was BALTIMORE 3.7, OPPONENT 6.2 - (Rating = 4*).

With two bad pitchers and New York’s offensive explosion Thursday night, oddsmakers have set the total at a hefty 10 runs. The FoxSheets provide a three-star reason to bet the UNDER.

N.Y. YANKEES are 21-4 UNDER (84.0%, +16.3 Units) after a game where they had 6 or more extra base hits over the last 3 seasons. The average score was N.Y. YANKEES 3.2, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 3*).

Burnett (9-10, 4.96 ERA) has not thrown a quality start in nine consecutive outings, carrying a 6.93 ERA and 1.74 WHIP over this span. He has also struggled against Baltimore recently, going 1-3 with a 4.89 ERA in his past five starts, but he did strike out 10 Orioles when he faced them July 29.

Like most pitchers, Hunter (2-2, 4.95 ERA) has not enjoyed facing New York. In two regular-season starts against the Yankees, he has allowed seven runs and 14 hits (.341 BA) in 9.1 innings. Hunter also faced the Bombers (and Burnett) in last year’s ALCS, but lasted just 3.1 innings and allowed three runs on five hits in a no-decision. Hunter has a 5.30 ERA in 18.2 career innings at Camden Yards, and he’s kept the ball in play with zero walks, but also just three strikeouts.
 

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Friday’s betting tips: Packers to pull starters early

Who’s hot

MLB: Detroit has won 13 of its last 16 meetings with Minnesota.

CFL: Winnipeg is riding a 16-5-1 run against the spread.

WNBA: Washington has covered in eight of its last 11.

Who’s not

NFL: The Chiefs are 0-9-1 against the spread in the preseason under Todd Haley.

MLB: Pittsburgh is 3-9 in its last 12 games in St. Louis.

CFL: The under is 0-4 in Hamilton’s last four games overall.

WNBA: Los Angeles is 7-16 against the spread in its last 23 contests.

Key stat

8.5 – According to the Elias Sports Bureau, MLB games were averaging 8.5 runs per game heading into Tuesday’s action this season. That’s down from a 8.8 average last year and a 9.2 number in 2009. Along that line, the league’s average ERA was 3.91 and will likely finish under 4.00 for the first time since 1992.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Diana Taurasi, Phoenix Mercury – Taurasi has missed the last two games with back spasms and is currently questionable for Friday’s game against Connecticut. Taurasi leads the WNBA with 21 points per game for the Mercury, who are set as 5-point road underdogs at the Sun.

Game of the day

St. Louis Rams at Kansas City Chiefs (1.5, 35.5)

Notable quotable

“He’s better than he has shown. He’s having his typical, terrible August and I wish I could wave a magic wand and change that, but I can’t. We’ll make a decision when we have to make one.” – New York Yankees GM Brian Cashman on the struggling A.J. Burnett. He gets the call Friday as a -175 favorite at Baltimore.

Notes and tips

Most NFL teams usually play their starters about three quarters in the third week of preseason, but the Green Bay Packers won’t be one of them Friday against Indianapolis Colts. Packers coach Mike McCarthy wants to get a better look at his backups, so he’ll give his first-stringers the hook early. "It's a little different than prior years as far as dress rehearsal, but we'll play our starters close to a half," McCarthy told reporters. The Packers are set as 8.5-point road favorites.

The Cleveland Indians acquired veteran slugger Jim Thome from the Minnesota Twins Thursday for a player to be named later. Thome has 12 homers and 40 RBIs in 206 at-bats this season and should provide some pop from the DH position. The Indians hope he’ll be able to suit up Friday when they host the Royals as a -165 favorite.

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers’ “Swaggerville” defense, which leads the league in fewest points allowed (130), interceptions (11) and sacks (29), faces a test against Hamilton’s offense Friday night. The Tiger Cats have scored at least 30 points in four of their last five games. Winnipeg is currently set as a 3.5-point favorite.
 

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Friday's six-pack

-- Astros beat the Giants, who now trail Arizona by three games out in the NL West. Not good to lose to the Astros at home.

-- Defending champ Giants did have their 63rd straight sellout though.

-- Quietly, Tim McClelland umpired with Joe West's crew in a critical Cleveland-Detroit series last week. Now he's back with his own crew.

-- Jim Thome got traded back to Cleveland, as he tries to win his first World Series ring. Thome is already Tribe's all-time HR leader.

-- Every player in every sport should have Ray Lewis' enthusiasm for the game he plays.

-- The roughing-the-passer call that nullified a Michael Vick INT was a really, really terrible call. Very hard to be a passrusher these days.


*******************


Friday's List of 13: Looking deep into some AFC trends........

All statistics are against the spread, unless otherwise noted
Ravens:
-- Since 2004, are an amazing 27-6-2 vs spread as a non-divisional home favorite.
-- Since ’03, they’re 20-10-2 vs NFC teams.
-- Finished in top five in rushing defense five years in a row.
-- Are just 5-11 as a road favorite since ’05.

Bills:
-- Have finished 25th or lower in total offense the last eight years.
-- Since 2008, they’re 2-7-1 as a home dog.
-- Bills lost their last seven home games vs New England by average score of 31-6.
-- They are 15-8-1 vs spread on road the last three years.

Bengals:
-- They're 60-67-1 SU since ’03, despite being +32 in turnovers during that time
-- Underdogs are 18-4-1 vs spread in their home games the last three years, with Cincy 2-10 in last dozen as home favorite.
-- Bengals are 4-17-1 in last 22 games as non-divisional home favorite.
-- They're 11-2-1 in last 14 games as a dog of 3 or less points.

Browns:
-- Finished 27th or less in rush defense the last seven years; that’ll improve if they can get ahead in more games.
-- Browns lost last four games vs Baltimore by average score of 21-8.
-- They covered five of last six as road favorite, 14 of last 22 following a win.

Broncos:
-- They're a ridiculously poor 5-21-1 vs spread in last 27 games as home favorite, 1-9-1 in last 11 divisional games.
-- Total offense has gotten worse the last three years, from 9th-12-17-26th.
-- Denver is minus-26 in turnovers last three years.
-- Broncos have been 26th or worse in rushing defense the last four years.

Texans:
-- They're 23-25 the last three years, despite ranking 3-4-3 in yards gained.
-- Texans are 2-16 against the Colts, so the Week 1 game vs Manning-less Indy is vital to Kubiak’s program.
-- Houston is 21-29-3 as a non-divisional underdog since ’03, 10-16-2 vs NFC teams since ’04.

Colts:
-- 10-6 finish LY was first time in eight years they won less than 12 games, but they’re still 16-7-1 vs spread on road last three years.
-- Indy is 20-7-1 vs spread vs NFC teams the last seven years.
-- They covered 15 of last 18 games as an underdog.

Jaguars:
-- Were 8-8 LY despite being minus-15 in turnovers/
-- Jaguars covered just four of last 15 as a home favorite, nine of last 25 after a loss.
-- In last nine games where spread is double digits, whether Jags are favorite or underdog, Jax is 2-7 vs spread.

Chiefs:
-- They were 10-6 LY, after being combined 10-38 the three years before that.
-- Underdog is 18-6 vs spread in their divisional games the last four years. -- KC is 3-11 as a divisional home fave since ’03, 8-3 as divisional road dog since ’07.
-- Chiefs are 3-9-1 in last 13 games as home favorite, 10-2 in last dozen games as a double digit dog.

Miami:
-- Somehow, they’re 5-29 vs spread as a home favorite since 2003, 0-10 in non-divisional games the last four years.
-- Dolphins are minus-20 in turnovers last two years.
-- Fish are 2-9 vs spread in last 11 divisional games, 7-16 in divisional home games, but are 22-9-1 as non-divisional road underdog since 2004.

Patriots:
-- Are +59 in turnovers the last five years.
-- Since 2005, Pats are 14-5-1 vs spread as divisional road favorite.
-- Since ’02, they’re 48-21-4 as a single digit favorite.
-- NE covered 25 of last 36 as an underdog, eight of 11 in division play.

Jets:
-- In two years under Rex Ryan, they ranked 1-3 in rushing yardage, 1-4 in total defense, both of which take lot of heat off young QB.
-- Jets covered nine of last 13 as single digit dog.
-- Jets are 1-7-1 in last nine games as home fave vs divisional foes.
-- Gang Green is 8-16 as non-divisional road dog since ’03.

Raiders:
-- 8-8 mark LY was first non-losing season since their last Super Bowl season in ’02.
-- Silver and Black are minus-69 in turnovers the last seven years.
-- Raiders did improve LY from 31st to 10th in total offense.
-- Oakland is 18-28 SU at home the last seven years, covering twice in last 12 tries as a favorite- since ’03, they’re 6-17-1 as a home fave.

Steelers:
-- Have finished in top 3 in rushing defense seven years in a row.
-- They’ve covered 11 of last 13 games when an underdog of 3 or less points.
-- Since 2001, Pitt is 24-11-1 as a single digit underdog.
-- They’ve covered only five of last 18 when laying double digits.
-- AFC North dominance: Steelers are 9-1 in last 10 visits to Cincinnati, 8-1 in last nine at Cleveland.

Chargers:
-- LY, they were 1st in total offense, 1st in total defense and didn’t make playoffs, which is why they’ve got new special teams coach this year.
-- Are just 4-10 vs spread on carpet the last five years.
-- Covered just four of last 12 when laying double digits.
-- Bolts are 25-13-4 vs spread in divisional games since ’08.

Titans:
-- Finished 26-27 in total defense last two years.
-- Titans are 23-8-1 vs spread vs NFC teams the last eight years.
-- They’re 11-4 in home divisional games since ’06, 7-1 in last eight games where spread was 10+, either way.
-- Tennessee covered eight of last 13 as a road favorite.
 

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NY YANKEES (77 - 50) at BALTIMORE (50 - 77) - 7:05 PM
A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. TOMMY HUNTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 43-42 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BURNETT is 25-35 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 65-95 (-37.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 0-6 (-8.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 9-15 (-12.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 23-31 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 6-12 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
HUNTER is 30-14 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 37-24 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY YANKEES are 31-18 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 50-78 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 14-31 (-13.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 43-73 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 34-57 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-50 (-31.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 7-23 (-14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 9-1 (+7.2 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BURNETT is 12-5 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.53 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 14-6 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-10. (-0.5 units)

TOMMY HUNTER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HUNTER is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 7.11 and a WHIP of 1.738.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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TAMPA BAY (70 - 58) at TORONTO (66 - 63) - 7:07 PM
JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. HENDERSON ALVAREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 17-24 (-13.4 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 27-34 (-11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 66-63 (+3.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 59-53 (+27.0 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
TORONTO is 21-10 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 47-35 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 120-104 (+19.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 77-77 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 41-37 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-23 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 35-28 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 14-7 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-4 (+2.6 Units) against TORONTO this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. TORONTO since 1997
SHIELDS is 8-5 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.129.
His team's record is 11-6 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-7. (+2.8 units)

HENDERSON ALVAREZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

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KANSAS CITY (53 - 77) at CLEVELAND (63 - 64) - 7:05 PM
FELIPE PAULINO (R) vs. UBALDO JIMENEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 53-77 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 31-67 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PAULINO is 13-32 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PAULINO is 13-31 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 64-64 (+5.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 61-61 (+4.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 50-42 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 47-44 (+7.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 30-28 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
JIMENEZ is 9-16 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
JIMENEZ is 9-16 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 8-4 (+3.4 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.8 Units)

FELIPE PAULINO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
PAULINO is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

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OAKLAND (59 - 70) at BOSTON (79 - 50) - 7:10 PM
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. TIM WAKEFIELD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 59-70 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 54-66 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 14-29 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 37-50 (-15.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 128-114 (+30.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
GONZALEZ is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.64 and a WHIP of 1.702.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-4. (-4.8 units)

TIM WAKEFIELD vs. OAKLAND since 1997
WAKEFIELD is 8-7 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.355.
His team's record is 15-10 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-13. (-1.9 units)

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LA ANGELS (71 - 59) at TEXAS (74 - 57) - 8:05 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 71-78 (-18.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HAREN is 44-53 (-22.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 18-24 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 26-13 (+10.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA ANGELS are 71-59 (+6.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 52-38 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 38-19 (+16.4 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 119-112 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 30-19 (+14.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 508-496 (+68.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 598-587 (+48.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 7-6 (+0.2 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.3 Units)

DAN HAREN vs. TEXAS since 1997
HAREN is 4-6 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.206.
His team's record is 7-8 (-3.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-4. (+4.3 units)

DEREK HOLLAND vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
HOLLAND is 3-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.22 and a WHIP of 1.360.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.2 units)

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DETROIT (70 - 59) at MINNESOTA (55 - 74) - 8:10 PM
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. ANTHONY SWARZAK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 109-175 (-53.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 3-15 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 38-63 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 71-48 (+17.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PORCELLO is 46-31 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 10-2 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 3-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 36-54 (-13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 9-3 (+5.4 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.0 Units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PORCELLO is 5-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.273.
His team's record is 5-6 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.8 units)

ANTHONY SWARZAK vs. DETROIT since 1997
SWARZAK is 0-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 63.00 and a WHIP of 8.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (63 - 65) at SEATTLE (56 - 73) - 10:10 PM
JAKE PEAVY (R) vs. CHARLIE FURBUSH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 40-31 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-29 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 32-23 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 118-173 (-48.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 115-161 (-41.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 85-117 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 46-64 (-21.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 277-264 (-77.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 4-2 (+1.8 Units) against SEATTLE this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.1 Units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
PEAVY is 4-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.99 and a WHIP of 0.934.
His team's record is 5-1 (+5.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

CHARLIE FURBUSH vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.
 

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MLB
Long Sheet


Friday, August 26


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FLORIDA (58 - 72) at PHILADELPHIA (83 - 45) - 7:05 PM
CLAY HENSLEY (R) vs. ROY OSWALT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 58-69 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 41-54 (-14.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
FLORIDA is 28-44 (-17.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
FLORIDA is 24-40 (-12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FLORIDA is 58-72 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 81-44 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 133-74 (+29.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-9 (+23.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 83-45 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-2 (+17.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -200 to -225 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 70-66 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
FLORIDA is 55-41 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 25-19 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
FLORIDA is 301-322 (+49.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
FLORIDA is 477-441 (+48.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
FLORIDA is 32-29 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
FLORIDA is 43-37 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 9-3 (+5.2 Units) against FLORIDA this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)

CLAY HENSLEY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
HENSLEY is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.380.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

ROY OSWALT vs. FLORIDA since 1997
OSWALT is 6-4 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.252.
His team's record is 9-6 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-7. (+0.8 units)

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ATLANTA (78 - 53) at NY METS (61 - 68) - 7:10 PM
TIM HUDSON (R) vs. CHRIS CAPUANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 78-53 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 37-28 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 78-53 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 25-35 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 245-248 (-69.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
NY METS are 25-35 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 16-26 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 8-18 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 23-44 (-18.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 6-6 (+1.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)

TIM HUDSON vs. NY METS since 1997
HUDSON is 14-8 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.224.
His team's record is 15-8 (+5.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-15. (-8.3 units)

CHRIS CAPUANO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
CAPUANO is 2-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.079.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

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WASHINGTON (62 - 66) at CINCINNATI (64 - 66) - 7:10 PM
CHIEN-MING WANG (R) vs. DONTRELLE WILLIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 9-30 (-18.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 64-38 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 62-66 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 11-4 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
WASHINGTON is 62-66 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 43-41 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WANG is 21-2 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 64-66 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 13-17 (-10.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
CINCINNATI is 82-79 (-43.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 62-65 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 49-51 (-9.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 25-39 (-20.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CINCINNATI is 30-32 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
WILLIS is 14-26 (-22.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CHIEN-MING WANG vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WANG is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.69 and a WHIP of 1.264.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

DONTRELLE WILLIS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
WILLIS is 10-5 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.415.
His team's record is 10-7 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-5. (+6.6 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (57 - 73) at MILWAUKEE (78 - 54) - 8:10 PM
RODRIGO LOPEZ (R) vs. RANDY WOLF (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 133-160 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 128-153 (-47.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 60-78 (-26.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 133-160 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 78-54 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 45-23 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 47-16 (+26.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 27-6 (+19.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 38-21 (+13.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 78-54 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 53-35 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 63-38 (+22.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-21 (+10.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 44-22 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 24-7 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
WOLF is 186-151 (+30.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 145-115 (+32.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-4 (+1.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)

RODRIGO LOPEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LOPEZ is 1-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.87 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

RANDY WOLF vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WOLF is 5-10 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.326.
His team's record is 7-14 (-6.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-8. (+2.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (61 - 68) at ST LOUIS (67 - 63) - 8:15 PM
JAMES MCDONALD (R) vs. JAKE WESTBROOK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 17-55 (-27.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 17-46 (-17.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 28-67 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 79-133 (-28.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 195-404 (-97.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 87-207 (-66.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 61-68 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 30-31 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 30-28 (+8.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 59-67 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 68-63 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 68-67 (-31.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 67-61 (-7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 84-82 (-33.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 30-43 (-34.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WESTBROOK is 40-56 (-25.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-4 (+2.7 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

JAMES MCDONALD vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MCDONALD is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.285.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.4 units)

JAKE WESTBROOK vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
WESTBROOK is 0-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 7.47 and a WHIP of 1.595.
His team's record is 0-3 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (60 - 71) at ARIZONA (71 - 59) - 9:40 PM
WADE LEBLANC (L) vs. JOSH COLLMENTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 32-53 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 71-60 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 71-60 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 54-42 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 150-144 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 32-33 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 32-33 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 24-20 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 75-68 (+13.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 12-9 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 54-81 (-29.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-4 (-0.1 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.7 Units)

WADE LEBLANC vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LEBLANC is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.26 and a WHIP of 1.441.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

JOSH COLLMENTER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (63 - 68) at LA DODGERS (60 - 69) - 10:10 PM
ESMIL ROGERS (R) vs. TED LILLY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 63-68 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 8-26 (-15.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 59-85 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 23-27 (-10.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 63-68 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 97-101 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 28-34 (-14.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
COLORADO is 65-68 (-26.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 60-69 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 8-14 (-10.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
LA DODGERS are 31-34 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 60-69 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 43-51 (-10.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LILLY is 73-87 (-27.6 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 7-8 (-0.3 Units) against COLORADO this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.8 Units)

ESMIL ROGERS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ROGERS is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 2.062.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

TED LILLY vs. COLORADO since 1997
LILLY is 7-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.246.
His team's record is 8-3 (+6.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+3.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (42 - 88) at SAN FRANCISCO (69 - 61) - 10:15 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 42-88 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 19-46 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 40-87 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 31-59 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 19-46 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HAPP is 4-18 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HAPP is 4-18 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
HAPP is 2-14 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
HAPP is 1-11 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 172-136 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 142-89 (+29.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 171-134 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 120-87 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 191-115 (+48.5 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters since 1997.
HOUSTON is 44-39 (+15.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+2.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
HAPP is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
BUMGARNER is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 8.10 and a WHIP of 1.799.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
 

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Write-Up


Friday, August 26


Hot pitchers
-- Oswalt is 2-1, 2.57 in his last three starts.
-- Hudson is 4-0, 1.98 in his last five starts.
-- Wang is 2-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.
-- Wolf is 4-0, 2.80 in his last five starts.
-- Collmenter is 1-1, 2.18 in his last three starts.
-- Lilly has a 2.45 RA in his last four starts, but no wins.

-- Shields is 2-0, 0.55 in two starts vs Toronto this season.
-- Haren is 3-0, 2.58 in his last six starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hensley is 0-3, 7.77 in his last five starts.
-- Capuano is 0-1, 6.46 in his last four starts.
-- Willis is 0-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Lopez is 2-2, 8.03 in his last five starts.
-- McDonald is 1-2, 5.16 in his last five starts. Westbrook is 1-3, 4.41 in his last five starts.
-- Leblanc is 2-2, 4.62 in seven starts this season.
-- Rogers is 0-1, 6.55 in his last couple starts.
-- Happ is 1-6, 10.07 in his last eight starts. Bumgarner is 1-3, 4.96 in his last five starts.

-- Hunter is 1-1, 6.08 in four starts for Baltimore. Burnett is 1-4, 7.12 in his last nine starts.
-- Jimenez is 1-1, 9.00 in four starts for the Indians. Paulino is 1-3, 4.54 in his last seven starts.
-- Alvarez is 0-1, 4.86 in three starts for Toronto.
-- Gonzalez is 1-5, 6.62 in his last six starts. Wakefield is 0-3, 5.29 in five tries for his 200th win.
-- Holland is 1-1, 7.78 in his last four starts.
-- Porcello is 0-2, 9.56 in his last three starts. Diamond lost 6-4 in his first '11 start, allowing four runs in six IP vs Cleveland.
-- Peavy is 1-5, 5.58 in his last eight starts. Furbush is 1-2, 8.36 in his last three outings.

Totals
-- Over is 9-2 in Phillies' last eleven home games.
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine games at Citi Field.
-- Under is 8-2 in Washington's last ten road games.
-- Last six games at Miller Park stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-2 in Cardinals' last nine road games.
-- 12 of San Diego's last 15 road games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Dodgers' last nine home games.
-- Six of Giants' last eight home games stayed under total.

-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Bronx games.
-- Over is 6-2 in Toronto's last eight home games.
-- Five of Cleveland's last six games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in Oakland's last ten road games.
-- Five of Angels' last six road games went over the total.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in Detroit's last fourteen road games.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten games at Safeco Field.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won four of their last five home games.
-- Braves won seven of their last eight games.
-- Reds won four of their last five home games.
-- Milwaukee won 18 of its last 21 home games.
-- Padres won five of their last six games. Arizona won last three games, allowing total of three runs.
-- Colorado won its last five games, scoring 36 runs. Dodgers won five of their last seven games.

-- Bronx won 10 of its last 14 road games. Orioles won their last four games, outscoring foes 24-4.
-- Red Sox won six of their last eight games. Oakland won six of its last nine games.
-- Angels won their last six games, scoring 39 runs.
-- Tigers won six of their last seven games.
-- Mariners won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost six of their last seven road games.
-- Mets lost five of their last six games.
-- Nationals lost their last three games, outscored 14-3.
-- Cubs lost four of their last five games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last ten games. Pirates lost six of nine.
-- Giants lost seven of their last ten games. Astros lost four of five.

-- Toronto is 5-6 in its last eleven home games. Rays lost three of their last four games, scoring six runs.
-- Cleveland lost six of its last seven games. Royals lost seven of their last ten road games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last six games.
-- Twins lost their last five games, outscored 27-4.
-- White Sox lost five of their last seven games.
 

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Friday, August 26


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
NY Yankees are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 9 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

7:05 PM
FLORIDA vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games
Florida is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Florida

7:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CLEVELAND
Kansas City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Kansas City is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland's last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing Kansas City

7:07 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games

7:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Boston
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Washington's last 16 games
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. NY METS
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
NY Mets are 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta

8:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Texas is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games at home
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. MILWAUKEE
Chi Cubs are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home

8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:15 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Pittsburgh is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
St. Louis is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

9:40 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ARIZONA
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 14 of San Diego's last 19 games
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games

10:10 PM
COLORADO vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Colorado's last 22 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado
LA Dodgers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado

10:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. SEATTLE
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Chi White Sox's last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games at home
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

10:15 PM
HOUSTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Houston
San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
 

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Dunkel



Tampa Bay at Toronto
The Rays look to build on their 4-1 record in James Shields' last 5 Friday starts. Tampa Bay is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 26

Game 951-952: Florida at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Hensley) 13.299; Philadelphia (Oswalt) 16.086
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-210); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-210); Over

Game 953-954: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 15.912; NY Mets (Capuano) 14.797
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-150); Under

Game 955-956: Washington at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Wang) 15.113; Cincinnati (Willis) 13.423
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+125); Over

Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lopez) 14.307; Milwaukee (Wolf) 16.369
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-180); Under

Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (McDonald) 15.523; St. Louis (Westbrook) 14.162
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140); Under

Game 961-962: San Diego at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (LeBlanc) 14.824; Arizona (Collmenter) 15.557
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-160); Over

Game 963-964: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Rogers) 16.619; LA Dodgers (Lilly) 15.689
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+120); Under

Game 965-966: Houston at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Happ) 13.640; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.002
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-230); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-230); Over

Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Burnett) 15.395; Baltimore (Hunter) 16.589
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-160); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Over

Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.932; Toronto (Alvarez) 14.566
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-130); Under

Game 971-972: Kansas City at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Paulino) 15.176; Cleveland (Jimenez) 13.640
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+145); Over

Game 973-974: Oakland at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.375; Boston (Wakefield) 16.958
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Under

Game 975-976: LA Angels at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 16.523; Texas (Holland) 14.532
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-105); Over

Game 977-978: Detroit at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 16.464; Minnesota (Diamond) 12.598
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 4; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 979-980: Chicago White Sox at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 16.337; Seattle (Furbush) 14.716
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-140); Under
 

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Short Sheet


Friday, August 26


National League

FLORIDA at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET

HENSLEY: FLORIDA 16-29 after scoring 2 runs or less
OSWALT: PHILADELPHIA 35-9 after a loss

ATLANTA at NY METS, 7:10 PM ET
HUDSON: ATLANTA 30-15 after 3+ road games
CAPUANO: NY METS 0-10 in home games after 3+ road games

WASHINGTON at CINCINNATI, 7:10 PM ET
WANG: WASHINGTON 9-30 Away when the total is 9 to 9.5
WILLIS: CINCINNATI 38-22 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

CHICAGO CUBS at MILWAUKEE, 8:10 PM ET WGN
LOPEZ: CHICAGO CUBS 2-15 as a road underdog of +150 to +200
WOLF: MILWAUKEE 25-3 as a home favorite of -150 or more

PITTSBURGH at ST LOUIS, 8:15 PM ET MLB
MCDONALD: PITTSBURGH 14-40 as a road underdog of +150 to +175
WESTBROOK: ST LOUIS 31-10 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

SAN DIEGO at ARIZONA, 9:40 PM ET
LEBLANC: SAN DIEGO 30-21 on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10
COLLMENTER: ARIZONA 4-16 after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games

COLORADO at LA DODGERS, 10:10 PM ET
ROGERS: COLORADO 18-7 OVER after BB wins
LILLY: LA DODGERS 24-14 OVER after 2 straight games where they committed no errors

HOUSTON at SAN FRANCISCO, 10:15 PM ET
HAPP: 2-14 TSR in night games
BUMGARNER: SAN FRANCISCO 122-88 after a loss

American League

NY YANKEES at BALTIMORE, 7:05 PM ET

BURNETT: NY YANKEES 26-11 after a win by 4 runs or more
HUNTER: BALTIMORE 14-31 against division opponents

TAMPA BAY at TORONTO, 7:07 PM ET
SHIELDS: TAMPA BAY 14-7 in road games against division opponents
ALVAREZ: TORONTO 37-26 OVER in home games

KANSAS CITY at CLEVELAND, 7:05 PM ET
PAULINO: 6-20 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150
JIMENEZ: CLEVELAND 41-32 when the total is 8.5 to 10

OAKLAND at BOSTON, 7:10 PM ET
GONZALEZ: OAKLAND 24-41 in road games
WAKEFIELD: BOSTON 41-14 at home when the total is 10 or higher

LA ANGELS at TEXAS, 8:05 PM ET MLB
HAREN: TEXAS 34-20 OVER as a home favorite
HOLLAND: 10-3 OVER in home games

DETROIT at MINNESOTA, 8:10 PM ET
PORCELLO: DETROIT 36-65 as a road underdog of +100 to +150
SWARZAK: MINNESOTA 77-45 when the money line is -100 to -150

CHI WHITE SOX at SEATTLE, 10:10 PM ET
PEAVY: CHI WHITE SOX 17-24 as a favorite of -125 to -175
FURBUSH: SEATTLE 79-54 UNDER in home games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change
 

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Dunkel



Phoenix at Connecticut
The Mercury look to build on their 7-3 ATS record in their last 10 games versus Eastern Conference teams. Phoenix is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sun favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 26

Game 651-652: Phoenix at Connecticut (7:35 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 111.877; Connecticut 114.578
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 2 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 5 1/2; 180
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+5 1/2); Over

Game 653-654: San Antonio at Minnesota (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 108.517; Minnesota 119.654
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 11; 146
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 8; 151
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-8); Under

Game 655-656: Washington at Chicago (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 104.553; Chicago 115.612
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 11; 137
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7 1/2; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7 1/2); Under

Game 657-658: Tulsa at Los Angeles (10:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 97.772; Los Angeles 107.047
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 9 1/2; 150
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 12 1/2; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+12 1/2); Over
 

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Friday, August 26


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Lady luck: Friday's best WNBA bets
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Phoenix Mercury at Connecticut Sun (-5, 180)

While the Phoenix Mercury have dropped four straight games against the spread, they’re still in the middle of the Western Conference’s tight playoff race.

This upcoming road trip is a big one, but the Mercury could be in a tough spot if WNBA leading scorer Diana Taurasi’s back spasms don’t let up. She missed her second consecutive game Tuesday, a 74-70 loss to New York.

"We're a scared team right now, playing without Diana," guard Alexis Gray-Lawson told reporters. "Just imagine if she comes back, we'll be even better. So (we) can't wait till she gets back."

Taurasi’s currently listed as questionable, but you have to think that even if she does play, she probably won’t be 100 percent.

Connecticut is averaging 91 points per game over its last five, about 13 points more than its season average. The Sun should be able to get this done at home.

Pick: Sun


San Antonio Silver Stars at Minnesota Lynx (-8, 151.5)


The Silver Stars have dropped each of their last four games, covering just once during the slump. Snapping that slide could be a tall order against the league-leading Lynx.

San Antonio is coming off a disappointing 63-55 loss at Seattle that showcased the club’s spotty offense. The Silver Stars shot just 32 percent from the floor and managed just nine points in the opening quarter.

"We have to build from this. We came out aggressive and had a mentality that was focused and determined. This next game against Minnesota, we just have to carry that over," forward Sophia Young said. "Obviously these next couple of games are important for us to win so we have to get it in our minds that it's a must-win."

We’re not buying into the desperation routine.

Pick: Lynx
 

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Dunkel



Hamilton at Winnipeg
The Tiger-Cats look to build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 Friday games. Hamilton is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bluebombers favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 26

Game 491-492: Hamilton at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 114.051; Winnipeg 115.615
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Winnipeg by 3 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+3 1/2); Over


SATURDAY, AUGUST 27

Game 493-494: Montreal at Calgary (4:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 116.673; Calgary 118.638
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 2; 51
Vegas Line: Calgary by 1; 55
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-1); Under




CFL
Long Sheet



Friday, August 26

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HAMILTON (4 - 3) at WINNIPEG (6 - 1) - 8/26/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 5-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 5-3 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, August 27

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MONTREAL (5 - 2) at CALGARY (5 - 2) - 8/27/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
CALGARY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-1 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL
Write-Up



Week 9

Hamilton (5-2) @ Winnipeg (6-1)-- Bombers (+9) upset Hamilton back on Opening Day 24-16, blanking TiCats 15-0 in second half. Winnipeg picked off four Hamilton passes (+2 turnover ratio)- they're 7-0 against the spread this year, 2-0 as a favorite, winning home games by 6-5-12 points, with a 21-20 loss to Calgary. Hamilton is 2-2 as a road dog, with losses at Edmonton (28-10), Calgary (32-20). Hamilton's last four games went over the total. Six of seven Winnipeg games stayed under total.

Montreal (5-2) @ Calgary (5-2)-- Road team won six of seven Calgary games, with Stampeders losing two of three at home (beat Hamilton by 12 for only home win)- they're 3-3 as a favorite, covering last three tries. Four of Montreal's five wins are by 13+ points; they're 2-1 on freign soil. losing 34-26 at Hamilton, winning in Regina/Toronto. Home teams won both series meetings LY, with Als losing 46-21 here, winning 46-19 at home. Five of seven Alouette games stayed under the total




CFL

Week 9

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Trend Report
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Friday, August 26

8:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games at home


Saturday, August 27

4:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. CALGARY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Calgary
Montreal is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
Calgary is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
 

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Week 9


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 9 preview and picks
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Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-3.5, +49)

Quarterback Buck Pierce is in top form, but the Bombers’ defense is the reason the club is on a four-game winning streak. Winnipeg’s D leads the league in sacks and hasn’t shown any sign of slowing down.

The same can’t be said about the Tiger-Cats, a team that can’t seem to put real pressure on opposing quarterbacks. From a defensive point of view, Hamilton is just not on the same level as the Bombers.

Winnipeg’s stop-unit will be enhanced by the comeback of Doug Brown on the front seven.

Both these teams have plenty of talent, but right now the Blue Bombers are just better. Bet on the home side winning this one and grabbing their fifth straight win.

Pick: Winnipeg


Montreal Alouettes at Calgary Stampeders (-1, +55)


You can’t get better a coaching matchup in the CFL than the Als’ Marc Trestman trying to outwit Stamps coach John Hufnagel. And you can’t find better QB matchup than Anthony Calvillo vs. Henry Burris.

Both teams are coming off a bye week which only makes all of this more exciting. MLB Juwan Simpson is back after nursing a knee injury but DB Brandon Isaac is doubtful and could be replaced by Milt Collins.

The Alouettes are now rolling in full gear and their defense was merciless two weeks ago against the Eskimos. It won’t be any different even in the hostile environment of Calgary.

Expect Montreal RB Brandon Whitaker to challenge the Stampeders’ run defense Calgary focusing in on stopping the Als’ passing attack.

Pick: Montreal
 

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