BillHill999's Play of the day

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Toronto Blue Jays +150 over New York Yankees

Brandon Morrow v. Ivan Nova

I'm going to piss off my Yankee brethren with this selection, but I like the Blue Jays for a few reasons.

Laying 60 cents to Morrow backed by a good Toronto line up is much to much lumber.

Morrow is a solid starter, not quite an ace, but as good as as a #2-3 starter there is in the league.
Numbers are OK, but he's better than his 2011 numbers suggest (9-9 4.79 1.30)
Very impressed with the strike out total (169)

Cano can't hit him 5-22 .227
Jeter cant hit him 3-19 .158
Granderson can't hit him 2-14 .143
Gardner can't hit him 3-14 .214

Tex is out of the line up

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28734/brandon-morrow

I put some credence in the let down theory as well.

Don't kid yourself, that 9th inning last night against Boston sucked all the life out of the Yankees last night, even though they won, there will be a let down down tonight.

I like Nova (NY starter) kid goes about his business right, consumate professional, but Toronto's middle of the line up with Bautista and Lind, will ding him this evening.

Overall, Blue Jays are 15-47 .319 versus Nova, Lind and Bautista hit him, and the catcher JP Arencibia hurts Nova too, JP can flat out rake.

What you got is two pretty equal, solid #3 type starters, but the Yankee line up is watered down without Tex and Rodriguez tonight, Swisher is at first, Cano is DH'ing.

-160/+150 is too much, put this game on a neutral field, with these lineups, with these starters, the game is -110 pick 'em.

Blue Jays at +150 is a solid value play tonight.

Gardner LF
Jeter SS
Granderson CF
Cano DH
Swisher 1B
Chavez 3B
Jones RF
Martin C
Nunez 2B



Escobar SS
Thames LF
Bautista RF
Lind 1B
Encarnacion DH
Johnson 2B
Lawrie 3B
Arencibia C
McCoy CF
 

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On it too, the rookie Lawrie is swinging hot bat lately and pretty good on long ball.(very hight expectation for him) GL!
 

Dain Bramaged
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I agree :toast:

Jays :103631605
 

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