Thinking about henge this bet, but how much?

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RX Worst CAPPER!
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PARLAY (4 TEAMS)
[954] PITTSBURGH PIRATES -159
( H SOSA -R / J MCDONALD -R )
[956] CHICAGO CUBS -138
( D WILLIS -L / M GARZA -R )
[964] PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -225
( D LOWE -R / C LEE -L )
[970] NEW YORK YANKEES -275
( B MATUSZ -L / F GARCIA -R )
risk 200.00 to win 786.11
only Philly left at -225

I can get Atl currently at +195, even thought I think Philly most likely win in blowout fashion, I am still thinking about henge 100-150, any suggestion? The alt run line is an alternative, but the run line currently at -120, I dont think it is worth it!
 

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I have this problem too..

Baseball - MLB
[954] Pittsburgh Pirates 09/05/2011 (Win)
Money Line -162 for the Game J. McDonald (R)(must start) H. Sosa (R)(must start)

Baseball - MLB
[964] Philadelphia Phillies 09/05/2011 (Pending)
Money Line -210 for the Game C. Lee (L)(must start) D. Lowe (R)(must start)
By MLB Channel -
Baseball - MLB
[967] Detroit Tigers 09/05/2011 (Win)
Money Line +105 for the Game D. Fister (R)(must start) U. Jimenez (R)(must start)

Baseball - MLB
[970] New York Yankees 09/05/2011 (Win)
Money Line -260 for the Game F. Garcia (R) (must start) B. Matusz (L)(must start)
- By MLB Channel -

Could use help.. Sorry for clustering your thread bystander..

Should we just let it ride?
 

RX Worst CAPPER!
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nice, but what is your payout, i can hedge since alt is at +195..........I will hedge a little to make sure I dont lose money
 

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i bet 50 to win about 275... Currently see ATL @ +187..

still undecided.. I like Lee a lot, 6 straight wins in 6 decisions and 10-2 at home this year. But smart thing is to hedge, just dont know if I should because its only 50.
 

RX Worst CAPPER!
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ok, this is what I just did, I have Atl at +195 and LAA at -300, I put $100 parlay on it, Risk $100 to Win $270

if both huge favorite lose, then I have nothing to complaint, just my luck, this way I can secure an extra +$75
 

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I would've played Atl +1.5

That way you would still have a chance at hitting everything

BOL!
 

RX Worst CAPPER!
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I would've played Atl +1.5

That way you would still have a chance at hitting everything

BOL!

yea, but atl +1.5 is at -120, instead of +195

think about it, for me, if I hedge $100 on Atl +195, I get either Lose $5, or Win $685

but if I play Atl +1.5 at -120, I get either Lose $100, or Win $685, of course I can win both if philly win by 1 for $885

the chance is just not good, if i hedge Atl run line, I need to hedge at least $200 to break even.

Right now, I hedge $100 parlay on Atl & LAA, that $100 will pay $270, I can either Win $70 or Win $685, unless both huge favorite phillies and angels lose...
 

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Yeah, I meant Atl +1.5 on the parlay...of course, it wouldn't pay out near as much though

Doubtful that both big favs lose...hopefully you get that $685!
 

New York Giants Fan!
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look at this ticket, lmao

Ticket ID #8036584 4 Team Parlay Bet $10 To win $426.53 (OPEN) Placed: 2011-09-05 07:21:18
Game ID #952 MLB Baseball LOS H KURODA -R (2) vs WAS J LANNAN -L (7) WAS J LANNAN -L -102 (WIN) Match Start: 2011-09-05 13:05:00
Game ID #972 MLB Baseball BOS J BECKETT -R (0) vs TOR H ALVAREZ-R (1) TOR H ALVAREZ-R +153 (WIN) Match Start: 2011-09-05 13:05:00
Game ID #964 MLB Baseball ATL D LOWE -R vs PHI C LEE -L PHI C LEE -L -1.5 (+105) (OPEN) Match Start: 2011-09-05 19:05:00
Game ID #475 NFL Football MINNESOTA vs SAN DIEGO MINNESOTA +325 (OPEN) Match Start: 2011-09-11 16:15:00
 

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Sigh.

It has been said 5,000 times before. But why bet a 4-game parlay, if you're just going to hedge the 4th game?

90% of the time, you're giving away juice.
 

New York Giants Fan!
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huh? why would I hedge the 4th game? its a free chance to win 425 bux, and MINN was my underdog play for the week in NFL so i'tl be a fun game to watch!!!
 

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:toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast:^!:^!:^!:rxb@ll:niceback::drink::aktion033:money8::money8: lol yes this is too much but these emocons are funny
 

RX Worst CAPPER!
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i only hedge enough to make sure i dont lose money, $100 parlay hedge, will be a win win situation for me, either win $70 or win $685......i know what you mean, i am not taking a medium, i only hedge enough not to lose anything in any situation......why risk losing $200 bet + $785 = $985 total, why you can buy the insurance for $100 and it pays enough to cover any potential losses with a profit, do you ever buy insurance at black jack table?
 

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