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Cliff Lee, Phillies At Milwaukee Brewers

The Philadelphia Phillies are hoping to show the Milwaukee Brewers that they have a long way to go in supplanting them as the best team in the National League this weekend. Both teams are set to play the third contest of a four-game set Saturday night with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 (ET) inside Miller Park.

Philadelphia opened the highly-anticipated series between two of the three NL division leaders with a 7-2 win Thursday night. The victory evened the season series at two games apiece.

The Phillies are a club-record 44 games over .500 and have won 18 of their last 23 road contests, including wins in nine of the last 11 series away from Citizens Bank Park.

Much of the team’s success has been attributed to the pitching staff that leads the majors with a 3.05 ERA. The unit is led by a starting rotation that paces the league with 69 wins and a 2.90 ERA.

Cliff Lee (16-7, 2.47 ERA) has been one of the top pitchers in the league since the All-Star break, posting a 7-1 record and 1.76 ERA in nine starts, issuing just 11 walks and registering 67 strikeouts in 66 1/3 innings. Lee is coming off a dominant performance in his first September start, tossing a complete game 9-0 home shutout over the Atlanta Braves.

It was a continuation of his tremendous month of August when he tallied a 5-0 mark and 0.45 ERA in five starts.

The left-hander has made just two career starts versus the Brewers, going 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA. He led the club to a 4-3 home win in a no-decision effort against Milwaukee in his fourth outing of the year, allowing three runs (two earned) and eight hits over six frames.

Bettors will find that the Phillies are 6-0 in Lee’s last six tries against teams from the NL Central division.

Milwaukee is just 4-6 in its last 10 games, but still lead the St. Louis Cardinals by eight games. The Brewers are among baseball’s elite teams due to their 50-20 home record. It’s important to point out that this squad has absolutely dominated opponents during weekend games, posting a 33-13 combined record on Saturday and Sunday this season.

Randy Wolf (12-9, 3.47) is scheduled to make his 30th start of the season and will be facing someone other than the Cardinals for the first time since August 26. The left-hander picked up a 4-1 road win over the division rivals last time out (8 IP, ER).

The 35-year-old has enjoyed pitching in front of the home fans, coming in with a 7-3 record and 3.46 ERA, surrendering 12 home runs in 14 starts. Wolf spent some time in Philadelphia during his MLB career and is 3-2 with a 4.25 ERA in six starts against his former team. He has dominated Phillies first baseman Ryan Howard, limiting him to a .118 batting average in 17 career at-bats against him.

Total players will find that the Brewers have gone 'over' the total in his last four starts versus NL East teams.

Home plate umpire Todd Tichenor has a 19-12 record in favor of the home teams with the ‘under’ is 17-13-1 in his 31 games behind the mask this season.

Weather forecasts suggest mostly sunny skies and game-time temperatures in the upper-60s. It’s likely such conditions will keep Miller Park’s roof open for the entire game.
 

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NY Yankees Travel West To Face LA Angels

The New York Yankees are winning games at a fast pace right now and beginning to put some space between themselves and second-place Boston in the American League East. The Los Angeles Angels are just trying to stay within reach of the first-place Texas Rangers in the AL West with less than a month to go in the regular season.

Game 2 of the series between the Yankees and Angels will take place Saturday night at 9:05 p.m. (ET) from Angel Stadium of Anaheim.

The series started Friday night with the Angels laying -135 on the money line, the run total opening at 7 ½ and the outcome still pending.

The Angels just finished a 3-game set at home versus the Seattle Mariners where they took two out of three games and managed to save the best of their rotation for the weekend series against New York.

Starting for the Yankees on Friday will be their perennial ace C.C. Sabathia (19-7, 2.97), who has struck out at least six batters in his last 14 starts. Pitching for the Angels will be one of their two aces, Dan Haren (14-8, 3.20). Haren has only walked four men in his last 46 2/3-innings pitched and has been a huge key for the Angels down the stretch of the season.

Sabathia is statistically having one of the best seasons of his career, posting a career-low in ERA and a career-high in strikeouts. The southpaw is currently two wins shy of tying his best mark of 21 set last season.

Since C.C. joined New York in 2009, he has won 59 games and helped the Yankees to a 27th World Championship.

The Yankees have historically struggled in Anaheim, going 10-22 in their last 32 trips to play the Angels. Sabathia faced the Angels once this season back in June when he came up one out short of a complete game in defeating the Angels, 3-2.

Haren last faced the Yankees on August 9, tossing 6 2/3-innings while allowing six hits and four earned runs in a no-decision. The Angels eventually won the game, 6-4.

Saturday’s contest will be the third game of a 10-game road trip for New York that will take them from Baltimore to Los Angeles to Seattle, then finally to Toronto before returning home for an 8-game homestand against the Twins, Rays and Red Sox.

The American League East and American League West divisions are the only two in Major League Baseball right now that have a fight for first place within seven games. That is why this weekend series between the Angels and Yankees will go a long way in deciding who will play in October for the American League.

The weather for Saturday is scheduled to be partly cloudy but otherwise a beautiful night for September baseball on the West Coast.
 

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Phillies, Red Sox Still Top MLB Futures Odds

Philadelphia is a 2/1 favorite to win a second Series title in four years.
Three weeks are all that remain on the 2011 MLB regular season schedule, and the one question on everyone's mind is can the Philadelphia Phillies be stopped once the postseason arrives?

Forget about stopping Charlie Manuel's troops from reaching the playoffs. The Phillies hit the 91-win mark Wednesday night (Sept. 7) and opened a 10.5-game lead in the NL East after sweeping three from the Atlanta Braves, the team many consider could be Philadelphia's stiffest challenger in the National League playoffs.

Manuel's toughest decision right now appears to be which of his top-flight starting pitchers will be relegated to the bullpen once October arrives. It's a problem 29 other clubs would love to have.

The Phillies lead the World Series futures odds as a +200 choice to take home their second championship in four years. American League East rivals Boston (+350) and New York (+500) are next in line followed by Philadelphia's closest NL competitor on the MLB betting board, Milwaukee (+650).

Philadelphia is -130 to capture a third National League pennant in four seasons. Milwaukee (+350) and Atlanta (+500) trail the Phils, followed by the surprising Arizona Diamondbacks (+650).

The San Francisco Giants, last year's NL and World Series champs, are a distant fifth right now at +2200 with the St. Louis Cardinals +8000.

The closest thing to a division race in the NL presently is out West where the Diamondbacks hold a 7-game advantage over the Giants entering play on Sept. 8. Kirk Gibson has done a fabulous job in his first full season as manager, the biggest improvement for the club coming on the mound where the staff has pared almost a full run off its 4.81 ERA from a season ago.

If the playoffs started today, the D-Backs would match up in the NLDS with the Phillies while the Braves and Brewers would battle in the other division series. One can't help but think FOX Sports execs are at least a little nervous about an Arizona, Milwaukee NLCS.

Boston leads the AL futures as +140 favorites over the New York Yankees (+220). Defending AL Champion Texas (+500) and current Central Division leader Detroit (+550) run 3-4 on the odds chart.

The Red Sox own the favorites tag in the Junior Circuit despite presently trailing the Yanks in the AL East by 2.5 games. It remains a race, with the winner most likely drawing home-field advantage throughout the American League playoffs. But the runner-up in the division should still make the postseason.

Boston currently has a 7-game lead over the Tampa Bay Rays (+8000 to win AL) for the wild card with the Angels 7.5 back.

Detroit has opened up a 9-game lead over the White Sox in the AL Central, with the Indians a half-game behind the ChiSox in third. Chicago and Cleveland are both +5000, which seems a very generous number given that neither has shown much in the way of being interested in catching the Tigers.

That means the only real race going these days is out in the AL West where the Rangers have a 2-5-game edge over the Angels who are +1500 to take the American League Pennant.

A Phillies, Red Sox World Series matchup was the consensus before the 2011 campaign got underway. It wouldn't surprise me a bit if both teams oblige the early-season predictions and meet this October.

But then, just as we learned last season, Goliath's don't always get their way on the diamond
 

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Saturday's betting tips: Vols go over at home

Who’s hot

MLB: The over is 9-1 in Atlanta pitcher Derek Lowe’s last 10 road starts.

NCAAF: Stanford is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight road games.

NCAAF: The over is 8-1 in Tennessee’s last nine home games.

CFL: Toronto is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 road games.

WNBA: The under is 8-1 in Chicago’s last nine road games.

Who’s not

MLB: The White Sox are 1-6 in Philip Humber’s last seven starts.

NCAAF: Wake Forest is 0-5 ATS in its last five ACC games.

NCAAF: East Carolina is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games.

CFL: The over is 3-12 in the last 15 Toronto-B.C. meetings.

WNBA: Washington is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games.

Injury not to be overlooked

Already decimated by injuries, the New York Giants defense might not have its captain, end Justin Tuck, at full strength for Sunday's opener at Washington. Tuck has lingering neck pain after suffering a stinger in an Aug. 29 preseason game. He returned to practice Friday after missing Thursday. DE Osi Umenyiora won’t be available for another week or two, so Dave Tollefson likely would play if Tuck can't go. New York already has lost six defensive players to season-ending injuries, including top CB Terrell Thomas. Still, the Giants are favored by 3 over the Redskins.

Key stat

10 – That’s how many passes Notre Dame WR Michael Floyd caught from QB Tommy Rees in the second half last week after coach Brian Kelly benched QB Dane Crist. Rees will start Saturday night’s game in Michigan, with the Irish favored by 3. Floyd had 12 catches for 154 yards and 2 TDs in Notre Dame’s 23-20 home loss to South Florida.

Game of the day

No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide at No. 20 Penn State (10, 42)

Notable quotable

"You can't mail days in in this league. And I definitely found I was doing that last year." -- Cowboys LB Anthony Spencer, who had 63 tackles and five sacks last year on a horrific Dallas defense. The Cowboys are 5-point underdogs at the N.Y. Jets on Sunday night.

Notes and tips

No. 10 Nebraska, a 27.5-point favorite against Fresno State, should get a boost from the return of MLB Will Compton. The starter missed all but one series in the opener with a foot bruise. “Will brings an air of confidence to everyone around him, and he’s going to make things run a lot more smoothly,” coach Bo Pelini told CBSSports.com. Freshman Trevor Roach did make seven tackles in Compton’s absence last week.

No. 15 Ohio State will still be missing three players for its game against Toledo. The Buckeyes are favored by 18 points. RB Jordan Hall, CB Travis Howard and S Corey Brown were suspended for the opener for accepting $200 at what they believed was a university-approved charity event in Cleveland earlier this year. The Rockets, meanwhile, also got bad news when it was announced that LB Dan Molls won’t play due to injury. The junior led Toledo with 143 tackles last year.

Umpire Ed Hickox will be behind the plate when the Indians visit the White Sox on Saturday. The road team is 5-0 in Hickox’s last five games calling balls and strikes, and the Indians are 4-0 in his last four games behind the plate.
 

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Saturday's six-pack

According to Forbes Magazine, the six NFL franchises that are worth the most money......

6) Houston Texans, $1.2B

5) New Jersey Jets, $1.223B

4) New Jersey Giants, $1.3B

3) New England Patriots, $1.4B

2) Washington Redskins, $1.55B

1) Dallas Cowboys, $1.85B


*********************


Saturday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud........

13) If these BCS college football teams try to break away from NCAA and form their own little group to take advantage of the pot of gold a football playoff would bring, expect Congress to get nvolved, because the non-football schools who will be hurt by the damage done to the NCAA basketball tournament will get into the act and start suing everything that moves. In the end, the lawyers will all get rich, but hopefully the current framework of college sports will stay pretty much the same.

12) The first domino in this newest wave of defections is Texas A&M to the SEC, but because the SEC thinks Baylor, Iowa State or some other Big 12 school will sue the SEC, the Aggies’ move is on hold. It does look like its going to happen though, just not this week.

11) When the Week 1 NFL pointspreads first came out this spring, the Colts opened as a 1-point favorite at Houston. Now with Kerry Collins starting at QB and Peyton Manning out, Indy is an 8.5-point underdog, and it could go higher. A pointspread is used as a tool to get bookmakers equal action on both sides in a game, but how high would this spread have to be before you wagered on the Colts? Over 14?

10) When I was a kid, the term “Irish temper” was heard every now and then, since my mother was Irish. Well it seems as if Notre Dame football coach Brian Kelly has an Irish temper too, but he took heat this week for verbally thrashing a couple players during the loss to South Florida last week. Get over it people, he’s a football coach and a darned good one. Yelling is what most football coaches do.

9) A’s got a minor league pitcher from the Red Sox for Conor Jackson last week; not sure how good this kid is, but the A’s put him on waivers and lost him to the Indians, so now all they have to show for trading CoJack is some cash. Terrific.

8) Next week on Tru TV; Hulk Hogan presents Micro Championship Wrestling, otherwise known as midget wrestling. There are no words to accurately describe midget wrestling; you just have to see it for yourself.

7) Always wondered about this, and now I know-- turns out a little over 60% of the purse for a pro golf tournament comes from the network televising the event; rest comes from the title sponsor.

6) Tuesday night’s Baltimore-Bronx game ended at 2:14am; their game Wednesday started at 1:05pm, little less than 11 hours later. Only one Bronx Bomber (Nick Swisher) started both games, but all four umpires worked both games. They had to be dragging by Wednesday night.

5) If you look at TV Guide and see listings for a talk show, and a guest is listed as “a TV personality” it means they have no discernable skills— they’re not an actor-musician-writer-director-producer-athlete. Chances are also, their last name is Kardashian.

4) Chase Utley didn’t fly to Milwaukee with the Phillies Wednesday night because he got drilled in the top of his batting helmet with a pitch against the Braves Wednesday.

3) Phillies still haven't scored more than four runs in any of Cliff Lee's 12 road starts; they scored 5+ runs in eight of his 16 home starts.

2) Strangest non-conference home/home series this college hoops season might be one between Canisius and South Dakota; wonder which airlines has flights that go between Buffalo and Vermillion, South Dakota?

1) If Peyton Manning were to miss this entire season and Colts finished with the worst record in the NFL, would they draft Andrew Luck with the first pick in next April’s draft? That would be a tough decision.
 

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CFL
Dunkel


Week 11


Toronto at BC
The Argonauts look to take advantage of a BC team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 Saturday games. Toronto is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has BC favored by only 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+7 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 10

Game 493-494: Toronto at BC (4:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 107.625; BC 112.263
Dunkel Line: BC by 4 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: BC by 7 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+7 1/2); Over

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 11

Game 495-496: Hamilton at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 116.372; Montreal 113.426
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 3; 59
Vegas Line: Montreal by 5; 57
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+5); Over

Game 497-498: Saskatchewan at Winnipeg (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 109.199; Winnipeg 115.821
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 6 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Winnipeg by 5 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-5 1/2); Under




CFL
Long Sheet


Week 11


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Saturday, September 10

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TORONTO (2 - 7) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (3 - 6) - 9/10/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home lined games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 11

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HAMILTON (5 - 4) at MONTREAL (5 - 4) - 9/11/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 5-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-3 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 7) at WINNIPEG (7 - 2) - 9/11/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
WINNIPEG is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 101-64 ATS (+30.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL


Week 11


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Trend Report
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Saturday, September 10

4:00 PM
TORONTO vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Toronto is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Toronto's last 17 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home
British Columbia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Toronto


Sunday, September 11

1:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing at home against Hamilton

4:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games
Winnipeg is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan


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CFL


Week 11


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Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 11 odds and picks
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Toronto Argonauts at B.C. Lions (-7.5, 49)

Steven Jyles takes over at QB after the predictable dismissal of Cleo Lemon, but is it already too late for the Argonauts?

Lemon’s departure, after he threw a fit in the Argos' dressing room at halftime of Friday’s game, could be a source of tension on a team not known for unity and harmony.

Jim Barker won the coach of the year award last season for the job he did in Toronto, but he’s got to be wondering if he’ll even end the season as the Argos’ head coach.

Pick: Lions


Hamilton Tiger Cats at Montreal Alouettes (-5, 57)


The Alouettes are still plagued with injuries; it’s obvious that the chemistry that made this team so tough to beat over the last three seasons has been seriously put to the test by each loss.

But if this team still has a bit of pride, it will bounce back this week in front of the fans at Percival-Molson Stadium.

It is the second time this year that the Alouettes are on a two-game losing streak. Anthony Calvillo, although shut down by Hamilton’s defense, remains one of the most efficient QBs in the CFL with a TD-INT ratio of 17-4.

You have to think that coach Marc Trestman will run the ball more often with Brandon Whitaker, who leads all rushers. The attack becomes somewhat predictable, despite all of his tricky patterns on offense.

The return of DT Eric Wilson should slow down former Alouette Avon Cobourne, who rushed for 102 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 19 carries in the Tiger Cats' win.

Pick: Alouettes


Saskatchewan Roughriders at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-5.5, 47.5)


The Roughriders are better than their 1-7 records indicates. Although it will be tough in Winnipeg, they should prevail again against a Blue Bombers team that is starting to show some weaknesses and vulnerability.

The acquisition of Dallas Baker and the return of Adam Fantuz (released by the Chicago Bears last week) will give QB Darian Durant two prime targets.

Defensively, the Blue Bombers have become more predictable after dominating the league in sacks. They only have one in their last two games.

Pick: Roughriders
 

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Washington at San Antonio
The Silver Stars look to take advantage of a Washington team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 road games. San Antonio is the pick (-9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Silver Stars favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-9 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 10

Game 651-652: Washington at San Antonio (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 100.777; San Antonio 115.741
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 15; 141 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 9 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-9 1/2); Under

Game 653-654: Chicago at Los Angeles (10:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 109.867; Los Angeles 108.834
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 149 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 4; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+4); Over




WNBA


Saturday, September 10


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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Washington is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games
San Antonio is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
San Antonio is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

10:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. LOS ANGELES
Chicago is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
 

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MLB
Dunkel



NY Yankees at LA Angels
The Yankees look to bounce back from last night's 2-1 loss and build on their 14-2 record in C.C. Sabathia's last 16 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in the previous game. New York is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 10

Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 14.723; NY Mets (Capuano) 14.468
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+115); Under

Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 14.938; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.788
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115); Over

Game 905-906: Cincinnati at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.093; Colorado (White) 14.455
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+110); Under

Game 907-908: Florida at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Sanchez) 15.602; Pittsburgh (Locke) 13.442
Dunkel Line: Florida by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-120); Over

Game 909-910: Houston at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 13.924; Washington (Lannan) 15.173
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-135); Under

Game 911-912: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 15.620; Milwaukee (Wolf) 16.134
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+130); Over

Game 913-914: Atlanta at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 15.440; St. Louis (Garcia) 16.003
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-150); Under

Game 915-916: San Diego at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stauffer) 16.187; Arizona (Miley) 15.784
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+130); Over

Game 917-918: Baltimore at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (VandenHurk) 14.748; Toronto (Alvarez) 16.216
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-175); Under

Game 991-920: Minnesota at Detroit (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Swarzak) 15.727; Detroit (Scherzer) 15.601
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+170); Over

Game 921-922: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Weiland) 15.786; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 15.417
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+130); Under

Game 923-924: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carmona) 13.844; White Sox (Humber) 15.429
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-140); Over

Game 925-926: Oakland at Texas (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 15.127; Texas (Ogando) 17.172
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-175); Over

Game 927-928: NY Yankees at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.841; LA Angels (Haren) 15.502
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130); Under

Game 929-930: Kansas City at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Paulino) 14.195; Seattle (Pineda) 15.197
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-140); Under
 

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Wriite-Up


Saturday, September 10


Hot pitchers
-- Wells is 3-0, 0.83 in his last three starts.
-- Kuroda is 4-1, 3.94 in his last five starts.
-- Arroyo has a 2.05 RA in his last three road starts.
-- Lannan has a 2.95 RA in his last three starts.
-- Lee is 7-0, 0.96 in his last seven starts. Wolf is 6-1, 3.27 in his last eight starts.
-- Miley is 3-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.

-- Alvarez is 1-0, 0.00 (14 IP) in his last two starts).
-- Scherzer is 2-1, 4.09 in his last four starts.
-- Hellickson is 2-2, 1.50 in his last four starts.
-- Sabathia is 3-0, 3.58 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Capuano is 1-1, 5.70 in his last four starts.
-- Vogelsong is 0-4, 4.39 in his last four starts.
-- White is 1-1, 7.41 in his first three big league starts.
-- Sanchez is 1-4, 5.07 in his last seven starts.
-- Rodriguez is 1-1, 5.68 in his last three starts.
-- Rookie Locke was 1-2, 2.22 in five AAA starts after being 8-10, 4.03 in 22 AA starts.
-- JGarcia is 1-2, 6.85 in his last four starts. Lowe is 2-3, 4.97 in his last five starts.
-- Stauffer is 0-3, 8.56 in his last three starts.

-- Vanden Hurk was 9-13, 4.43 in 26 AAA starts; he is 8-10, 5.79 in 33 major league starts, mostly with Florida.
-- Swarzak is 0-3, 6.87 in his last three starts.
-- Weiland is 0-1, 8.10 in two starts this season.
-- Humber is 0-3, 7.88 in his last four home starts. Carmona is 0-2, 11.19 in his last three starts.
-- Cahill is 2-4, 6.69 in his last seven starts. Ogando is 1-2, 8.34 in his last five starts.
-- Haren is 2-2, 5.12 in his last six starts.
-- Pineda is 0-2, 4.97 in his last five starts. Paulino is 1-2, 6.85 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Over is 18-7 in Pittsburgh's last 25 home games.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in Washington's last eight home games.
-- Under is 6-3 in Mets' last nine home games.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies' last eight road games.
-- Last five St Louis home games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 10-3 in last thirteen games at Coors Field.
-- Under is 8-1 in San Diego's last nine road games.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Kuroda starts.

-- Over is 6-2 in Toronto's last eight home games.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in Minnesota's last ten road games.
-- Under is 11-4-2 in Tampa Bay's last seventeen home games.
-- Five of last six Oakland road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-1 in Cleveland's last seven road games.
-- Under is 9-4 in Bronx Bombers' last thirteen games.
-- Under is 5-3-1 in Seattle's last nine home games.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won their last five games, outscoring foes 30-10.
-- Mets are 11-5 in their last 16 games.
-- Cardinals are 10-4 in their last fourteen games.
-- Diamondbacks won their last fourteen home games.
-- Dodgers won nine of their last eleven road games.

-- Blue Jays won four of their last six home games.
-- Detroit won nine of its last ten games.
-- Tampa Bay won five of its last six games.
-- Rangers are 7-4 in their last eleven games.
-- White Sox won five of their last seven home games.
-- Angels won five of their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost 18 of their last 26 home games. Florida is 3-9 in its last 12 road games.
-- Braves lost six of their last nine games.
-- Washington lost 12 of its last 16 games. Astros are 3-14 in their last 17 road games.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Milwaukee lost its last four games, scoring seven runs.
-- Rockies lost nine of their last 13 games. Cincinnati lost seven of its last eleven games.
-- San Diego lost its last nine road games.
-- Giants lost six of their last eight home games.

-- Orioles lost four of their last six road games.
-- Twins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Red Sox lost five of their last six games.
-- A's lost six of their last seven road games.
-- Indians lost five of their last seven games.
-- Bronx is 9-9 in its last 18 road games.
-- Mariners lost six of their last eight games. Royals are 6-9 in their last fifteen games.

Umpires
-- Chi-NY-- Over is 9-4-1 in last fourteen West games.
-- LA-SF-- Over is 7-3 in last ten Barry games.
-- Cin-Col-- Favorites won last eleven Timmons games.
-- Fla-Pitt-- Under is 7-3 in Scott's last 10 games behind dish.
-- Hst-Wsh-- Underdogs won five of last six Darling games.
-- Phil-Mil-- Underdogs are 9-8 in last 17 Tichenor games.
-- Atl-StL-- Four of last five Guccione games went over the total.
-- SD-Az-- Five of last six TWelke games went over the total.

-- Blt-Tor-- Favorites are 11-2 in last thirteen Wolf games.
-- Min-Det-- Underdogs are 5-4 in last nine Layne games.
-- Bos-TB-- Under is 14-4-1 in last nineteen Eddings games.
-- Clev-Chi-- Road team won eight of last nine Hickox games.
-- A's-Tex-- Over is 7-1 in last eight Miller games.
-- NY-LA-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Randazzo games.
-- KC-Sea-- Road team won eight of last nine Runge games.
 

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Saturday, September 10


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Trend Report
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1:07 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Baltimore is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Toronto's last 14 games

1:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. NY METS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Chi Cubs are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games on the road
NY Mets are 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 9 games at home

4:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. COLORADO
Cincinnati is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Colorado's last 13 games at home

4:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Chi White Sox are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland

4:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

4:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. TEXAS
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland

7:05 PM
FLORIDA vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Pittsburgh's last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games when playing Florida

7:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Washington's last 22 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing at home against Houston

7:10 PM
BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Boston

7:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

7:15 PM
ATLANTA vs. ST. LOUIS
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

8:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing San Diego
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego

9:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
LA Dodgers are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Francisco is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

9:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. LA ANGELS
NY Yankees are 7-15 SU in their last 22 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
LA Angels are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games

10:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
 

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Saturday, September 10


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Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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STREAKING

Henderson Alvarez, Toronto Blue Jays (1-2, 2.95 ERA)


The 21-year-old rookie hasn’t been scored upon in his last two starts, covering 14 innings against the Red Sox and Orioles. And he’s only given up seven hits and one walk in that span while fanning nine. Batters are hitting .230 against him.

Cliff Lee, Philadelphia Phillies (16-7, 2.47 ERA)

His average fastball velocity is a career-high 91.6 mph. He has a sterling WHIP of 1.03. And he hasn’t given up a run in his last three starts, covering 24 2/3 innings. Lee is making a strong case for the Cy Young award.


SLUMPING

Alex White, Colorado Rockies (2-1, 5.63 ERA)


In three starts since being acquired from the Indians, White has yielded four homers, 19 hits, 10 walks and 14 earned runs in 17 innings. Batters are hitting .277 against the 23-year-old rookie.

Fausto Carmona, Cleveland Indians (6-14, 5.18 ERA)

Carmona has only one win since July 19, and he’s 24-40 since 2009. He lasted just 1 1/3 innings last time out against the Tigers, getting drilled for seven earned runs on eight hits. He’s given up at least three earned runs in four of his past six starts.
 

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Write-Up


Saturday, September 10


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Hot lines: Saturday's best MLB bets
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Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals (-150, 8)

The Cardinals have given Jaime Garcia extra rest lately. It seemed to help the lefty in his last outing, when he allowed seven hits and two runs, one earned, over six innings against the Reds.

In his previous three starts, however, Garcia was tagged for 15 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings.

Braves starter Derek Lowe has a poor WHIP of 1.47 and was just ripped by the Phillies for eight hits and seven runs, five earned, over five innings. He’s walked 10 batters in his last three starts.

The over is 9-1 in Lowe’s last 10 road starts, and 6-2 in Garcia’s last eight home starts.

These two pitchers have combined to post a 35-21 O/U mark.

Pick: Over


Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies (-120, 11)


Bronson Arroyo has an unsightly ERA of 5.00, but recently he’s put things together, allowing two runs or less in three of his last five starts.

He’s 2-1 with a 2.95 ERA over his last three starts.

Colorado starter Alex White is a 23-year-old rookie who has made six starts, three since the Rockies acquired him from Cleveland.

Batters are hitting .277 against White. He’s yielded 14 earned runs and 10 walks in three Colorado starts.

The Reds have been a big disappointment, but they can still hit. They ranked second in the NL with 661 runs heading into Friday night’s action.

Pick: Reds
 

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Saturday, September 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Baltimore - 1:07 PM ET Baltimore +164 500
Toronto - Over 9 500

Chi. Cubs - 1:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +123 500
NY Mets - Under 8.5 500

Cleveland - 4:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -140 500
Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500

Minnesota - 4:10 PM ET Detroit -188 500
Detroit - Under 8.5 500

Cincinnati - 4:10 PM ET Cincinnati +120 500
Colorado - Over 10.5 500

Oakland - 4:10 PM ET Oakland +161 500
Texas - Over 9 500

Florida - 7:05 PM ET Florida -120 500
Pittsburgh - Over 8 500

Houston - 7:05 PM ET Houston +125 500
Washington - Over 7.5 500

Boston - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -145 500
Tampa Bay - Under 9 500

Philadelphia - 7:10 PM ET Milwaukee +138 500
Milwaukee - Over 7 500

Atlanta - 7:15 PM ET St. Louis -150 500
St. Louis - Over 8 500

San Diego - 8:10 PM ET San Diego +139 500
Arizona - Under 8.5 500

NY Yankees - 9:05 PM ET LA Angels +122 500
LA Angels - Over 7 500

LA Dodgers - 9:05 PM ET San Francisco -115 500
San Francisco - Under 6.5 500

Kansas City - 10:10 PM ET Seattle -138 500
Seattle - Under 7 500
 

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Saturday, September 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Toronto - 4:00 PM ET Toronto +7.5 500
BC Lions - Over 49 500


Sunday, September 11Game Score Status Pick Amount

Hamilton - 1:00 PM ET Hamilton +5 500
Montreal - Over 57 500

Saskatchewan - 4:00 PM ET Saskatchewan +5.5 500 Winnipeg - Under 48 500
 

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8:00 PM ETWashington at San Antonio

Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

WAS 651 6-27 (2-14 V) - 145.5 OVER

SA 652 16-16 (8-8 H) - -9.5 SA

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



10:30 PM ETChicago at Los Angeles

Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

CHI 653 14-18 (4-11 V) - 149 UNDER

LA 654 14-19 (9-7 H) - -3.5 LA

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts
 

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