1 Strong Play Wednesday

MrRodgers12 · Sep 21, 2011

ytd: Strong Plays 36-18 +73.80 units // Juice Plays 30-11 +42.21 units // Action Plays 21-11 +12.66 units

Small profit yesterday, finally liking the card today!

Strong Plays

Texas -155 -- CJ Wilson has been dominate lately, the score should be about the same as last night, expecting a blowout. (to win 5 units)

Juice Plays

San Francisco -110 -- Vogelsong is the way better pitcher, Eveland had that one great game when the Dodgers were hot, and hasnt been near as good since. (to win 3 units)

Action Plays

Atlanta +120 -- Hate having Derek Lowe, but Atlanta needs to continue to win, and I do think he is better than Vazquez, and Atlanta has the better sticks (risking 1 unit)

Arizona/Pitt over 9.5 -115 -- 2 really bad pitchers here, with 2 teams that have been scoring, this one should be more than 10 runs. (to win 1 unit)

GL All! puff_>>

BookDoctor · Sep 21, 2011

on the strong and juice, probably going to parlay all 4 just for some fun

good luck rodgers.

MrRodgers12 · Sep 21, 2011

good luck, off to bed. later fellas.

T-CANE · Sep 21, 2011

tex is strong, sf is solid as well, looking at both

BettingFoodStamps · Sep 21, 2011

i kind of screwed up maybe you can help me. I was gonna follow your over on the astros and reds for tues and i parlayed it with giants +1.5 and under 5.5. Obviously i hit the giants but didnt realize i accidentally selected the over for weds game between rodriguez and arroyo at over 8. Should i middle the bet its a 4 to 1 parlay or should i ride it out? How does that over look to you.

DNZ2411 · Sep 21, 2011

Wandy- for houston- has a 4.70 era in his last 30 days, and has a 4.24 era in day games vs. a 3.16 at night....for what thats worth...Bronson has a 5.64 era over the last 30 days and a 7+ era in September, he also has a mid 4 era in day games...for what thats worth...In my opinion I think it goes over...some where in the 9 range, but hedging may not be a bad idea.... for a smaller amount.

It kind of depends on how much the initial bet was for, if it was a smaller amount I prob. wouldn't hedge and just ride it out, but if it is for a larger amount I would hedge a little...just my opinion, hope this helps

BettingFoodStamps · Sep 21, 2011

it was small. $50 to win a little over $200. I will ride it out. I like the numbers you posted.

jacksonjohn · Sep 21, 2011

MrRodgers12 said:
ytd: Strong Plays 36-18 +73.80 units // Juice Plays 30-11 +42.21 units // Action Plays 21-11 +12.66 units

Small profit yesterday, finally liking the card today!

Strong Plays

Texas -155 -- CJ Wilson has been dominate lately, the score should be about the same as last night, expecting a blowout. (to win 5 units)

Juice Plays

San Francisco -110 -- Vogelsong is the way better pitcher, Eveland had that one great game when the Dodgers were hot, and hasnt been near as good since. (to win 3 units)

Action Plays

Atlanta +120 -- Hate having Derek Lowe, but Atlanta needs to continue to win, and I do think he is better than Vazquez, and Atlanta has the better sticks (risking 1 unit)

Arizona/Pitt over 9.5 -115 -- 2 really bad pitchers here, with 2 teams that have been scoring, this one should be more than 10 runs. (to win 1 unit)

GL All! puff_>>

Looks like you're consistently hitting over 65% on all three levels. So if this has been consistent I'm wondering why you give up the additional units you would gain by playing the Juice and Action plays for the same amount as your Strong Plays. If you didn't want to go 5 units on everything, you would still come out ahead playing 3 or 4 units across the board. I really appreciate your sharing and wish you the best

varkeyboy · Sep 21, 2011

Texas is playing hard to clinch their division, right?

MrRodgers12 · Sep 21, 2011

jacksonjohn said:
Looks like you're consistently hitting over 65% on all three levels. So if this has been consistent I'm wondering why you give up the additional units you would gain by playing the Juice and Action plays for the same amount as your Strong Plays. If you didn't want to go 5 units on everything, you would still come out ahead playing 3 or 4 units across the board. I really appreciate your sharing and wish you the best

I bet on how comforatble I feel about the game, Like if i get a bad pitcher against a good pitcher and the good pitcher has better batters on his team, thats a 5 unit play, Now If i get alittle better pitcher and not as great sticks against a pretty bad pitcher and better sticks, thats not worth as much to me.

the way I bet units is all on my comfort zone of the bet.

MrRodgers12 · Sep 21, 2011

varkeyboy said:
Texas is playing hard to clinch their division, right?

yeah, they arent dogging it.

MrRodgers12 · Sep 21, 2011

adding:

Action Play

Tampa Bay -137 -- (Game 1) James Sheilds is head and shoulders better than Hector Neosi (who is a reliever), Sheilds makes it tough on the Yanks when CC is pitching. Taking the better pitcher for some early afternoon action. (to win 1 unit)

5teamparlay · Sep 21, 2011

Over is 4-1-1 in Mileys last 6 starts overall.

Good luck on the Pitt / Ari over

Bourn · Sep 21, 2011

That Ari/Pit Over is GOLD. Love that over this afternoon!! I always pick my plays then come in here to see where you are at. I thnk TB gets it done today also, but just took the TB TT OVer. Good Luck with your card.

moocow · Sep 21, 2011

On TB over and ML. I wish books allowed parlaying of both lol. GL to us all today

RandomGamers · Sep 21, 2011

On TB aswell so lets cash this one guys.

rnaude241 · Sep 21, 2011

MrRodgers12 said:
adding:

Action Play

Tampa Bay -137 -- (Game 1) James Sheilds is head and shoulders better than Hector Neosi (who is a reliever), Sheilds makes it tough on the Yanks when CC is pitching. Taking the better pitcher for some early afternoon action. (to win 1 unit)

On it with yah... let's cash this early contest. Rays need it bad after last nights change to pull within a game.

BookDoctor · Sep 21, 2011

i took tampa bay -160 1st 5. in the early game, glad to see you got on them full game aswell.

rnaude241 · Sep 21, 2011

Let's get James some runs.

finite · Sep 21, 2011

lowe is better than Vasquez-------------
Atlanta is better than Florida that is true

1 Strong Play Wednesday

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