wow your a genius never looked at it that way!They scored 13 runs yesterday, teams scoring big the previous game are good fade material.
As far as not understanding how they can lay like this, it happens. They are a -200 favorite, never a good idea.
For every -200+ like Texas that looks good, there is one that loses like Tampa Bay tonight. So going 1-1 loses you a unit. This is why laying huge juice is seldom a good idea.