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Even DONKS win sometimes... Right?
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Apr 4, 2008
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Okay, so here's the deal with these UFC picks.. One of my best friends who is my age and who I have been betting on sports with since we were 12 years old is now a professional poker player who lives in Las Vegas. He is my source for MMA. In my opinion, he is a legitimate MMA/Boxing sharp and I value his picks more than any and I play them much larger than I play my own picks. I have made a killing off his picks, recently suffering our first loss on a big play since last spring..

I haven't been posting the plays here since there seems to be a very limited interest in MMA/Boxing around here, but my brother started a thread with some of the picks "across the street".. The record for the plays with how he rated them is (15-6 +20.18 Units) but he hasn't been on all the plays and IMO hasn't properly rated them.. (Had 2 units on a play I had 2 dimes/20 units on..) Anyways, today is the biggest card of all time for us, and I'm unloading on 3 plays along with my buddy.. The smallest play I have is to win 10 units.. Usually we play to win 2 to 5.. Huge plays are 10+ units and hit at a very high rate. Granted they sometimes have high vig, they are extremely profitable, which is all that matters..

I will post the plays starting tonight, which is our biggest card ever. GL, all.

:toast:
 

Even DONKS win sometimes... Right?
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As I said, this is our biggest card ever. Try not to overlooks this, as we usually play to win 2-5 units.. (Last play was last Saturday.. Mayweather by TKO/KO/DQ +214, risking ~2.5 to win 5).. Here is what is on tap for tonight. 3 plays:

1) Tim Boetsch -152. I risked 15.2 units to win 10. This is a huge play, but the smallest of the night. The line has since moved to the -200 range.. Still a play.

2) Ben Rothwell. I bet the maximum on 5dimes last night on the prop for Rothwell inside the distance at -175.. I waited for them to reset my limit/move the line, and they did so, posting -195.. I then bet the max on that.. They then moved the line to -245, so I waited.. I woke up this morning and it was back to -185, so I bet the maximum again on that, and they moevd it back to -200. Anything under -200 has good value. The rest of my bet will be on the straight ML/in parlays. To win AT LEAST 10 units, will add on if/when Boetsch wins.

3) Jon "Bones" Jones. Plain and simple here. Jon "Bones" Jones is the best fighter of all time in any weight class. Few realize it right now, but many will soon enough. Any time he fights, it's a 10+ unit play no matter what the line is. This is the biggest play. If the first 2 win, they're both going on Jones. Playing at least 5-6 dimes (50-60 units) on the ML, have him in parlays, everything liquid is going down on JBJ. The line has climbed from -340 to -600 in some spots, so I'm waiting til very close to fight time to fully get down because I'm hoping recreational bettors will come and bet Rampage hoping for that "fighter's chance" with the mentality that "it only takes 1 swing for it to be all over and we cash a huge dog!".. Not gonna happen. GL.

Trying to keep it simple.. You will regret missing this card. When you see the results over the long haul, you're going to look back at this 1st post and be like "Damn! I wish I knew how strong those plays really were, when will there be another card like that!?" It won't be for a while. GL, guys.
 

Even DONKS win sometimes... Right?
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So are we betting on Rothwell to win or just the prop?

Both, mix it up..

Also just added to win 2.5 more units on Boetsch.. Now to win 12.5.. Some of that will roll to Rothwell, and almost all of that will roll to Jonny Bones. GL.
 

Even DONKS win sometimes... Right?
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I also have a parlay with those 3 and Nate Diaz that pays higher than 2-1..
 

Even DONKS win sometimes... Right?
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Well, Im all in with you man

Just make sure you have enough for Jones.. That is our biggest play ever.

Also, I'm up about 100 units in the last month and a half, so I can afford to take huge shots tonight.. If you have been struggling or don't have a sufficient bankroll, bet within your means.. I will be down, but not out, even if we get swept.
 

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Just make sure you have enough for Jones.. That is our biggest play ever.

Also, I'm up about 100 units in the last month and a half, so I can afford to take huge shots tonight.. If you have been struggling or don't have a sufficient bankroll, bet within your means.. I will be down, but not out, even if we get swept.

Dont worry man, Im as small time of a bettor as there gets. I just like to have a little action on the game and all this money is just from winning a contest on here. If i lose, ill be disappointed but it is no biggy at all. You seem confident so Im rollin with you, what time are the fights scheduled for btw?
 

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thanks for the time Donk. Have been a shadow watching you been doing real well congrats and good luck.

Just make sure you have enough for Jones.. That is our biggest play ever.

Also, I'm up about 100 units in the last month and a half, so I can afford to take huge shots tonight.. If you have been struggling or don't have a sufficient bankroll, bet within your means.. I will be down, but not out, even if we get swept.
 

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just picked up NFL and MLB this year, lol imma bank with you on MMA. let's do this
 

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Good luck Donk.......

I know absoultely nothing about MMA. Will trail for the ride.
 

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Nice fight card tonight going to really enjoy the fights I think. UFC 136 has a pretty nice card as well. GL tonight Donk
 

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