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All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise

Game 2
Tampa Bay +110 over TEXAS
The Rangers are definitely more comfortable playing at night by so what. They have the second best pitcher on the mound here, they’re an eye-opening 3-10 at home in the playoffs over the past few years and Ron Washington will never out-manage Joe Maddon. James Shields posted a 2.23 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP when it counted most, over his last six starts. All year Shields was consistently hurling quality start after quality start with an elite strikeout rate and a high groundball rate. Derek Holland also had a tremendous year with 16 wins and just five losses. The difference is that Holland had far more implosions than Shields and one could even argue it was all feast or famine for Holland. In 32 starts, he was hit hard in 13 of them, while 19 were considered pure quality starts. Holland also showed a tendency of losing command and falling behind hitters with runners on base. Holland has made great strides this year by utilizing his other pitches more frequently. Prior to this season he had a lifetime ERA of 5.25 and that’s because he threw his fastball 74% of the time. He’s down to 64% of the time this year but this is a big playoff game and he could easily revert back to some bad habits of the past. Regardless, Shields is the superior pitcher, the Rays are rolling along and all of a sudden a whole lot of pressure is on these Rangers bats. Play: Tampa Bay +110 (Risking 2 units).
 

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I liked the Rays yesterday, but I think Shields gets hit on the road tonight. His career post-season numbers aren't great and last year he gave up 4 ER in 4 innings at home against an almost identical Rangers line-up.

I always hate being on the opposing side of you, but tonight my money is on the Rangers.

BOL and looking forward to some playoff winners.
 

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