Need help with my suicide pick this week!

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Rx. Senior
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[COLOR=#000000 !important]First of all, I am actually in 2 leagues. One is a $25 league and the other is a $100 league. Both are rebuy leagues which allow one to rebuy for $25 or $100 if your team within the first first 6 weeks.


Because of the rebuy feature, this creates even more strategy is involved. The $100 league had 110 entries and I believe that around 40 people have rebought at least once. The $25 league had 220 entries and about 60 of those rebought and some just dropped out.


My thoughts were to try and save easy teams such as Patriots, Baltimore, Green Bay and the Saints until the end if possible. Apparently others are doing the same though. I also am planning on using ALL 2 of my rebuys in the $25 league if needed and I have already used 1 rebuy in the $100 league. I dont actually want to spend another $100, but I will if needed. I actually already paid $75 for the $25 league since i plan on taking some dogs in week 5 or 6 or possibly this week.


So here is who I have taken in the $25 league thus farr and these teams are of course off limits (Not sure that I would want these teams again anyway, hence why I took them before)

Week 1 San Francisco
Week 2 Detroit
Week 3 Tennessee


These are my picks from the $100 league

Week 1 Denver
Week 2 Detroit
Week 3 Tennessee

By the way, I was shocked that NO ONE in the $100 league took NE as a pick last week. I was hoping that the pool would increase a few thousand with guys losing with NE. But most players are saving the big teams for last.




Now I have mapped out the entire season. Keep in mind that we can rebuy up until week 7. So really I need to take teams in at least the $25 league that I would NEVER take again after week 6. I have 2 rebuys in my pocket for that league and one more rebuy for the $100 league.

So who should I take this week? Here are my thoughts. ,

1. I am saving Dallas until later in the season.
2. Saints and Eagles should be saved as well.
3. Washington could easily be a pick.
4. I could waste a pick on Cleveland since I could probably never use them again.
5. Buffalo could be a good pick since I couldnt use them the next 2 weeks and probably not again until at least week 15.
6. Minnesota- May save until next week at Arizona if win this week, otherwise cant really use the rest of the year
7. Bears-Might save until week 6 if used up other rebuys. Otherwise they could be taken in week 13
8. Saving Texans for later
9. Saving Atlanta until week 6 possibly
10. Tampa Bay- probably best pick of the week. But I am betting BIG MONEY on Indy this week. One of the only times to take them all season except maybe next week which is what I was sort of planning on doing.

So who should I take this week. I dont have to take the same teams in both leagues. If I wanted to take a chance, then I would go ahead and use up Cleveland, KC or Arizona or Seattle.
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i would take minnesota. i think minnesota will have a field day. kcs secondary is a mess. they will get burned badly one way or another.
 

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Bears are the lock of the week IMO.
 

Rx. Senior
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I should probably save the Bears for week 15 when they are at home against Seattle. In week 13 they play at home against KC. Or it would be better to take them in week 6 against Minnesota.

I am really thinking about Minnesota or Cleveland since I really cant take them for the rest of the season
 

Rx. Senior
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Did you read that I have 2 rebuys left in one league?


There is NO WAY that I can use Green Bay or San Diego this week, because of the rebuys. I can use normal strategy from week 7 onward
 

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With 220 entries pick for each week, just adding to losses no expects to win a 220 entry of anything, why throw mOre money away. Even GB or SD may lose this week, so you still get to that rebuy you want to use so badly. We see this every year, and yes I have won survivor pools. my only rule is only pick home teams.

As your pick 8 teams football thread suggests no one can figure the NFL out year over year....
 

Rx. Senior
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Well I need to save those teams until later in the season. I dont want to lose, but I would like to use up teams in the next few weeks that I would never get to use later in the season.

I dont expect to win, but at least want to have some easy weeks later in the season when guys have to choose teams like Tennessee, Carolina, Detroit and so forth. I dont want to use those rebuys, but at least in the $25 league it is peanuts. Hell I sent in the extra money anyway
 

Rx. Senior
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I am thinking about taking an easy pick next in the Giants anyway. So I wont be using that week as a underdog pick
 

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I see what your saying with saving teams but I personally i agree with DH and 5team. You never know where teams may be toward the end of the season. I take it week to week and pick home teams, I have GB this week. From your angle i would go with TB instead of NYG, Indy could still cover and lose the game.
 

Rx. Senior
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Ok, I have made up mind.

I am taking Washington this week in the $100 league. I am taking Cleveland in the $25 league.


I really like the Minnesota pick, but I see 2 other weeks later in the contest where they may be needed
 

Rx. Senior
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Of course Green Bay wins. But remember that I dont even need to win this week. I just need to use a shitty team that I wont need after week 6. I can use Green Bay from week 7 on at some point.
 

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looks like i had a wrong read on which secondary would suck worse. minnesota is in a bad way
 

Rx. Senior
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minnesotat is about to score a TD. I hope that they win to be honest, more people took KC this week than took Minnesota.

I will be using my first rebuy in the $25 league this week. I took Cleveland, but I did take Washington in the $100 league
 

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Of course Green Bay wins. But remember that I dont even need to win this week. I just need to use a shitty team that I wont need after week 6. I can use Green Bay from week 7 on at some point.


You are making the mistake that so many people make, which is to save your best teams for later.

I have won 2 suicide pools. The key is to get through every week. Don't worry about which team you have used. I go through all 17 weeks and look at who I might use, but at the end survive and advance.
 

Rx. Senior
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But what you still have not read is that this is a rebuy league up until week 7. That is why I went ahead and used up Cleveland and Washington this week. You are thinking about the traditional league strategy. It is TOTALLY different with rebuys
 

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But what you still have not read is that this is a rebuy league up until week 7. That is why I went ahead and used up Cleveland and Washington this week. You are thinking about the traditional league strategy. It is TOTALLY different with rebuys
Is there a tiebreaker in these leagues? Seems pointless to plan on using rebuys when someone will likely get through the season without using one.
 

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