Exbookie wants to help the players week 5.....

ACE-ACE · Oct 3, 2011

Bankroll starting $75,000
Investment plays 2-5 -$7135.00
action plays 9-8 +$1025.00

ten's of billions dollars wagered on Sports each year....only 2% of the action is legal.

the remaining 98% is offshore books and bookie working out of his car to keep his overhead down.

Back in the days I had over 100 players...and only 5% would win every year...you lose 10 players each season...you gain a few more every year...still works out to over 100 players.

as a small book...sat/day 100 calls before the early games to get the line....100 more calls to place the bets....more would come in every hours...so my cut off (so I could have a life) was 7pm...all CFB bets must be in by that time....by that time I had over 350 calls
and that was just sat/day....sunday was the same and monday it was about 150

850 calls for 3 day....anyone that said this was easy money did not is the time spend!!!...tuesday it was picking up money...wed/day was paying some and picking up more money...thursday was my day of rest....friday getting the lines ready....and the phone calls started all over again.

now its alot easyer...online makes it easy....no calls...and settle up with paypal....you bookie have it made@)

Stats for the week will be added on Tuesday AM......this week only one 411 play and two plays that jump out at me.

more to come

if you got something to ask....put it in this weeks thread

best to all

Ace-Ace

TimesYours · Oct 3, 2011

Eagles are banged up on the defensive side, their biggest D lineman and run stopper, Antonio Dixon, done for the season with torn tricep and Trent Cole out next week with a calf strain. On the O line All Pro OT Jason Peters is out with a fairly significant hamstring injury and is being replaced by King Dunlop. (We all know how badly that went last year......yikes!)
I'll have more later.

ACE-ACE · Oct 3, 2011

TimesYours said:
Eagles are banged up on the defensive side, their biggest D lineman and run stopper, Antonio Dixon, done for the season with torn tricep and Trent Cole out next week with a calf strain. On the O line All Pro OT Jason Peters is out with a fairly significant hamstring injury and is being replaced by King Dunlop. (We all know how badly that went last year......yikes!)
I'll have more later.

all that's in my note on this game already....

bad spot for Phi

Primetime27 · Oct 3, 2011

I remember from last season you had a formula for game totals, but you also said you had a few other factors that you looked at, i was wondering if you would shed some light on to the other factors. Another question pertaining to that formula, it tends to calculate many more overs than unders. Is there a reason for this? I am aware that this formula is used after 6 games have been played by each team, just trying to get a jump on it and work out some kinks.

stephen602 · Oct 3, 2011

looking for your system for pros and college football picks. Thanks alot, Stephen602.

SaintsFan1977 · Oct 4, 2011

Primetime27 said:
I remember from last season you had a formula for game totals, but you also said you had a few other factors that you looked at, i was wondering if you would shed some light on to the other factors. Another question pertaining to that formula, it tends to calculate many more overs than unders. Is there a reason for this? I am aware that this formula is used after 6 games have been played by each team, just trying to get a jump on it and work out some kinks.

How do you use the formula and I am also interested in the other factors as well.

ACE-ACE · Oct 4, 2011

Primetime27 said:
I remember from last season you had a formula for game totals, but you also said you had a few other factors that you looked at, i was wondering if you would shed some light on to the other factors. Another question pertaining to that formula, it tends to calculate many more overs than unders. Is there a reason for this? I am aware that this formula is used after 6 games have been played by each team, just trying to get a jump on it and work out some kinks.

you must know to use total yards avg by both teams -325 = ### div by 7 = the total
I do myline on totals also...this way I see if a team is plus for the year or minus...I did that on on Pitt under 39.5 last week....I like the fact that it does overs more...that makes the under better!!!!

ACE-ACE · Oct 4, 2011

lets take KC vs IND....do the formula and you get 28.6 total points...the line at the hilton is 38...this game is a value of +10.... I dont stop there

myline totals running + or minus
if the line is 45 and a team the game did 38 it would be a minus -7...do this every week

on this game I have KC +7
and
Ind +9

books avg is 41...so one shows under (more wt) and the other shows a little over...now I would add two points to the 28.6 and I get 30.6...still under

now you your head
Bad quarterbacks and good edge
pass rushers are the right recipe for a low-scoring matchup.

see what I mean....

Primetime27 · Oct 4, 2011

ACE-ACE said:
lets take KC vs IND....do the formula and you get 28.6 total points...the line at the hilton is 38...this game is a value of +10.... I dont stop there

myline totals running + or minus
if the line is 45 and a team the game did 38 it would be a minus -7...do this every week

on this game I have KC +7
and
Ind +9( i do not understand what you are trying to say here)

books avg is 41...so one shows under (more wt) and the other shows a little over...now I would add two points to the 28.6 and I get 30.6...still under

now you your head
Bad quarterbacks and good edge
pass rushers are the right recipe for a low-scoring matchup.

see what I mean....

Didn't you use 7.5 last season?

ACE-ACE · Oct 4, 2011

Primetime27 said:
Didn't you use 7.5 last season?

It is 7.5

Primetime27 · Oct 4, 2011

ACE-ACE said:
you must know to use total yards avg by both teams -325 = ### div by 7 = the total
I do myline on totals also...this way I see if a team is plus for the year or minus...I did that on on Pitt under 39.5 last week....I like the fact that it does overs more...that makes the under better!!!!

I am aware its 7.5, but in respone you have 7.

Primetime27 · Oct 4, 2011

ACE-ACE said:
lets take KC vs IND....do the formula and you get 28.6 total points...the line at the hilton is 38...this game is a value of +10.... I dont stop there

myline totals running + or minus
if the line is 45 and a team the game did 38 it would be a minus -7...do this every week

on this game I have KC +7
and
Ind +9

books avg is 41...so one shows under (more wt) and the other shows a little over...now I would add two points to the 28.6 and I get 30.6...still under

now you your head
Bad quarterbacks and good edge
pass rushers are the right recipe for a low-scoring matchup.

see what I mean....

My question for this post was referring to the bold line. I cannot decipher what it is you are trying to say. The sentence doesn't make sense to me

SaintsFan1977 · Oct 4, 2011

Primetime27 said:
My question for this post was referring to the bold line. I cannot decipher what it is you are trying to say. The sentence doesn't make sense to me

I am guessing this is correct but ACE or someone else can clarify?

If the line on a game was 45 and both teams score added up to 38 they are both -7, If they go over the number its a +
45-38 =7 so both teams get -7

He has a running total similar to Line OFF for KC it is +7, IND= +9

SaintsFan1977 · Oct 4, 2011

ACE put the details inside one of his threads from the past, but I searched and couldnt find it. If anyone can provide a link it would be appreciated.

ACE-ACE · Oct 4, 2011

SaintsFan1977 said:
ACE put the details inside one of his threads from the past, but I searched and couldnt find it. If anyone can provide a link it would be appreciated.

That's it...thanks for the help

teamfball · Oct 4, 2011

SaintsFan1977 said:
ACE put the details inside one of his threads from the past, but I searched and couldnt find it. If anyone can provide a link it would be appreciated.

May want to bookmark this..!

ACE-ACE said:
I use it more for the unders than the overs....but you got it right....a value of +8.76 is a good edge to the over

BUT

I use other tools to match up to see if this is a good number

here it is

pitt book avg last 5 games 39.5 39 35 37 37.5 = 188 div by 5 = 37.6
bal book avg last 5 games 41 44 39.5 43 41 =208.5 div by 5 =41.6
so you could say 39.5 is the avg

now what happen in those game

bal +16 +10 -10 -23 -4 = -11 div by 5 = 2 less than the Avg for Bal
Pit -16 -9 +4 -7 +13 = -15 div by 5 = 3 less than avg for pitt

so they avg -2.5...take that from the book avg 39.5 and you have 37

when I see two one is high and one is low I stay away

now lets do GB

book avg is 44
atl is 44

what did they do

atl -3 ........... .5 under 43
and GB -42 8.5 under..31.5

so this game is the avg of those two numbers 37

so the books set the line at 45.5...iwhich one would you go with under with a +8.5 edge or the total yard -325 div by 7.5 at 49 +4.5 edge

its alway good to have both on the under or the under if you know what I mean

SaintsFan1977 · Oct 5, 2011

Thanks man

ACE-ACE · Oct 5, 2011

Stats vs the ATS

HOME 32
AWAY 31

DOGS 34
FAV 29

OVER 38
UNDER 26

POINTS THAT MATTER IN A GAME 14 OUT OF 64 A HIGH 21%

ACE-ACE · Oct 5, 2011

over and under sheet in cfb

sheet record 3-4
302 oregon over 64
312 alb under 53
390 lsu over 41

match 3
record 3-1

334 w.mich under 60.5
370 okl st over 73

best to all

ace

tyme9999 · Oct 5, 2011

good luck

Exbookie wants to help the players week 5.....

EX BOOKIE

New member

EX BOOKIE

New member

New member

Member

EX BOOKIE

EX BOOKIE

New member

EX BOOKIE

New member

New member

Member

Member

EX BOOKIE

New member

Member

EX BOOKIE

EX BOOKIE

New member

Forum statistics

Share this page