Why the significant line change on the cardinals series?

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Game 1 was 100% the Brewers game to win. There isn't another game like that in this series where the Brewers will have a big pitching advantage, if one at all.

Game 2/6 *both in Mil-Marcum gets pounded at home, and has let up 0, 3, 6, and 3 runs vs the Cards this year. Solid stats, but nothing to exactly write home about.

Jackson has been throwing very well/consistent lately. (*Note, you will see Jackson's stats vs the Brewers and go "What the fuck". Note the I believe 8 earned in 7 innings right after the Cards traded for him. He was left out their as a whipping boy because the bullpen was depleted. He threw a ton of fastballs in that start because he knew he had to throw a ton of pitches, no matter what. He threw his very next start and let up 2 earned. He threw in Milwaukee at the end of month and let up 1 earned. i'm going to say he goes 6 innings, 3 earned and 7 earned, 2 runs in his two starts).

Game 3(STL)/7(MIL). Carpenter/Galardo. Carp at home, and then in a potential game 7...you really want to bet against Carpenter in game 7??

Game 4 Lohse/Wolf. Wolf on the road. We've seen this one before (see:NLDS game 4)

Game 5:Garcia/Greinke. By now, I'm sure everyone knows of the vast difference in road/home splits for both Garcia and Greinke. Greinke let up 6 ER at home...what's going to happen in STL??

Really don't think the line switch from Cards +127 to Cards+220 is warranted considering how bad Garcia is on the road and how good Greinke is at home. Consider this-For the Brewers to win the series, they either a)have to win 1 game on the road and win both of the Jackson/Marcum starts, b) win 2 games on the road and split the Jackson/Marcum games, or c) Beat Chris Fu%^ing Carpenter in game 7. Again, don't see how the line went from +125 to +220 after todays game.
 

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