Base Penn State-Nebraska bets on football facts, not emotions-- how do you guys cap this one??

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http://www.drf.com/news/base-penn-state-nebraska-bets-football-facts-not-emotions

Seems like any one I talk to is taking Nebraska, I'll stay away..^<<^

11/10/2011 3:55PM
Base Penn State-Nebraska bets on football facts, not emotions
By Dave Tuley
◗ Even with everything else that has been going on, the Penn State scandal has overshadowed all else. We won’t touch the details of that case, but the ViewFromVegas always looks at the betting on the games. PSU is scheduled to host Nebraska at noon Pacific on Saturday in Not-So-Happy Valley. Nebraska opened as a 3-point road favorite at the Wynn Las Vegas on Sunday afternoon (offshore giant CRIS made it -2). Per usual, early betting brought the two together and the consensus around Vegas was Nebraska -2.5 on Monday. As the scandal escalated early in the week, the line was bet to Nebraska -3.5. Many offshore books took the game off the board, but most Vegas books kept booking it. A lot of people have made the assumption that Penn State must be distracted by everything that is going on, including the firing of coach Joe Paterno on Wednesday night, and say that Nebraska is the play (and, according to the VegasInsider.com Live Odds screen, 77 percent of bets have been on the Cornhuskers). However, a lot of people expect the Penn State players to try even harder to win for their fired coach, so the line has stayed pretty steady at 3.5. After the game, we’re sure to hear “See, you should have known the Penn State players wouldn’t be focused” or “See, you should have known they would win for JoePa” depending on the outcome, and those who espoused those beliefs before the game will feel vindicated by the result. However, in my opinion, it’s faulty to assume a cause/effect on something like this. It’s a game. The players will play, and the result will be determined by how they perform on the field during the 60-minute escape from the real world.
 

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I'd believe that this at least affects the preparation...maybe not so many effects on the players, but since the coaching staff was distracted and had to spend time because of the scandal reporting/doing interviews with several instances etc. that should/might somehow affect their ability (and time) to watch game tapes and other stuff to come up with a game plan. Kind of like some handicappers giving a slight edge to teams coming off bye weeks because of the extra preparation time.
 

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speaking of byes. Psu is coming off of one, so they might have had the strategy work in place already. their bodies are rested....

its a crapshoot to try to break down how young boys/men will respond at kickoff time to all this mess

I did read somwhere that tickets are going for like 4x as much as usually, so I guess there will be a big crowd
 

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