Exbookie week 13 thread

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EX BOOKIE
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Oct 20, 2003
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Investment plays 12-10 + $3740.00
Action plays 27-23-1 +$1035.00
Total 39-33 +$4775.00
last 3 week the 411 system is 5-1-1...83%

It was just a matter of time that the system kick in!!
the sister system that cose did 6-2 this week 34-11 75.5% posted. I think this is a hard clip to maintain. Going 6-3 will bring win% down. Good problem to have
New spreadsheet is in the works to put both together!!!

other system or view that help me cap

DPR 25-18 ......58%
MYLINE 14-10.. 58%
RANK 13-16
YPPT 24-18......57%
OUTPLAYS 23-9...71%
WP.........11-10
ACCSCORE 11-8...57%

ALL VIEW AND SYSTEM...THE GOAL IS TO HAVE THE SAME TEAM PICK IN MORE THAN 3-4...THAN ITS A PICK....MOST TIME ITS A INVESTMENT PLAY

THIS WAS THE LINE ON WEEK 1...BEFORE THE SEASON STARTED....WHAT YOU WILL SEE IS BIG LINEMOVEMENT

PHI-5.5
TB -7.5
PIT -11
ATL -1
NYJ -4
NO -4
MIA-4
BUF -2.5
CHI -5.5
BAL-4
MIN -5.5
DAL-2.5
GB-1.5
SF-3
NE-6

BIG LINE MOVE FROM NE AND SF

USE THIS AS A TOOL


MORE TO COME

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EX BOOKIE
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HILTON

pagermager needs to slow down. he got 44 points...

purple sage...% of the money is in 3rd place at 40 points
we have a great change to stay in the top 10

queen of heart....1/2 owner is at 34.5 points
to be real...4-1 for the next 5 week will put us in the money
last week we were 4-1

I feel you will need 52 points to be in the money!!!!

pagermager has a shoot of getting $10k more if he gets 58 points
all he has to do is 3-2 for the next 5 weeks


thats all for now

Ace
 

EX BOOKIE
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Oct 20, 2003
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Stats vs ATS

HOME 89
AWAY 91

DOGS 83
FAV 91

OV 85
UN 90

POINTS THAT MATTER 28 GAMES OUT OF 176 16%
 

EX BOOKIE
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Never to early to see week 14

pitt -11.5
bal -17
atl -2.5
cin -3.5
det -9
gb -11.5
jax pk
mia -1
nyj -9.5
no-5.5
ne -8
sf -4
den -2
sd-5
dal-6
sea-4
 

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"the sister system that cose did 6-2 this week 34-11 75.5% posted. "


posted where?
 

New member
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Messages
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Stats vs ATS

HOME 89
AWAY 91

DOGS 83
FAV 91

OV 85
UN 90

POINTS THAT MATTER 28 GAMES OUT OF 176 16%

Not quite accurate with 176 total games
Against The Spread Trends (ATS)

Category Record Percent

Away Teams 87-81-8 51.79%
Home Teams 81-87-8 48.21%
Favorites 85-83-8 50.60%
Dogs 83-85-8 49.40%
Away Favorites 29-25-2 53.70%
Away Dogs 58-56-6 50.88%
Home Favorites 56-58-6 49.12%
Home Dogs 25-29-2 46.30%
 

EX BOOKIE
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Not quite accurate with 176 total games
Against The Spread Trends (ATS)

Category Record Percent

Away Teams 87-81-8 51.79%
Home Teams 81-87-8 48.21%
Favorites 85-83-8 50.60%
Dogs 83-85-8 49.40%
Away Favorites 29-25-2 53.70%
Away Dogs 58-56-6 50.88%
Home Favorites 56-58-6 49.12%
Home Dogs 25-29-2 46.30%

base on what line you use
you got away at 87 and home at 81 that = to 168 games...we have played 178 not 168!! did fix home its 87 and away 91...line you mark down early in the week...mid of the week or the end kick off could make the diff////
 
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Ace, I know your focusing on week 13 right now. but the time is upon us and I am preparing my trip to Vegas for the 1st and 2nd rd of the playoffs. I was wondering if you had any numbers on the playoffs(key trends).. maybe if you could PM me or something. For example, I am looking for when the spread comes into play. I know for a fact it is an extremely low number. If you relate, I would like to talk about this with you.

GL this weekend.
 

EX BOOKIE
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Ace, I know your focusing on week 13 right now. but the time is upon us and I am preparing my trip to Vegas for the 1st and 2nd rd of the playoffs. I was wondering if you had any numbers on the playoffs(key trends).. maybe if you could PM me or something. For example, I am looking for when the spread comes into play. I know for a fact it is an extremely low number. If you relate, I would like to talk about this with you.

GL this weekend.

last year 10 playoff games and one superbowl

ov 7
un 4
Away 6
home 4.....super bowl dont count
dogs 5
fav 6

points did not matter in any of the games

playoff in 2009-10
un 3
ov 7

home 6
away 4

dogs 6
fav 4

points matter in 2 of the 10 games


Ace
 

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base on what line you use
you got away at 87 and home at 81 that = to 168 games...we have played 178 not 168!! did fix home its 87 and away 91...line you mark down early in the week...mid of the week or the end kick off could make the diff////

Sorry Ace
I didn’t want to start an argument. Your right, which line? I use closing line from Pinny.
Games played per team 11x32 /2=176 games 176-87-81= 8 pushes as shown.
Back to capping games.

[FONT=&quot]Regarding the Super contest; remember, a lot of those guys will come back to the field in the next couple of weeks including, PurpleSage we see this every year. Most will start taking favorites and not taking any risk. 3-2 or 60% is always good. The guys in the top twenty at 36 for 60 are only 60%. The leader is going crazy at 73%, but he will come back to the field, they always do. Usually 62% to 65% wins this thing.[/FONT]
 
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Yeah, I am aware of the previous couple seasons. but I was wondering if you had anything stronger than that. Going back to the early 90's say. I found it interesting that just about one game every playoffs there is a controversial outcome which allows the points to come into play. Oakland/Patriots tuck rule. also found it interesting, #1 seeds with a bye, facing a dog who won the previous wild card are games to stay away from. I am looking to win at least 5 grand in the first two rounds of the playoffs. I know there is damage that can be done.
 

EX BOOKIE
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Sorry Ace
I didn’t want to start an argument. Your right, which line? I use closing line from Pinny.
Games played per team 11x32 /2=176 games 176-87-81= 8 pushes as shown.
Back to capping games.

[FONT=&quot]Regarding the Super contest; remember, a lot of those guys will come back to the field in the next couple of weeks including, PurpleSage we see this every year. Most will start taking favorites and not taking any risk. 3-2 or 60% is always good. The guys in the top twenty at 36 for 60 are only 60%. The leader is going crazy at 73%, but he will come back to the field, they always do. Usually 62% to 65% wins this thing.[/FONT]


hope your right...thanks
 

EX BOOKIE
Joined
Oct 20, 2003
Messages
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Yeah, I am aware of the previous couple seasons. but I was wondering if you had anything stronger than that. Going back to the early 90's say. I found it interesting that just about one game every playoffs there is a controversial outcome which allows the points to come into play. Oakland/Patriots tuck rule. also found it interesting, #1 seeds with a bye, facing a dog who won the previous wild card are games to stay away from. I am looking to win at least 5 grand in the first two rounds of the playoffs. I know there is damage that can be done.

pm me your e-mail address...I have a big file that goes back to every game vs the spread...and its will take some work to do...but if you share what you find out...I will send you a copy
 
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pm me your e-mail address...I have a big file that goes back to every game vs the spread...and its will take some work to do...but if you share what you find out...I will send you a copy

you've got mail
 

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