Exbookie wants to help the players week 15

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EX BOOKIE
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Investment plays 14-12 + $2990.00
Action plays 30-26-1 +$1155.00
Total 44-38-1 +$4145.00

The key to a great year is family and friends....for me i'm rich in that area!!

In my betting world....we start with other win in MLB...that makes 3 years in a row that I have won 234 units up....

In cfb....break even going into the bowl games....have about 15 bowl games that I have found with some good edge...it will make or break this season


NFL up for the year 4 years in a row now...all posted on the forum....forum record 7 years out of 8....and 14 out of 17 years I have won.

CBB 3 0ut of 4 season I have won...this year on a 33-18 run to start the season.

NBA starts on xmas day....have won the last two years +123 units...this year I started a power rate base on who they sign on each team,how much they have played...+24 to -20....bashing my capping on that alone for the 1st 2 weeks to get my feet wet....this will be a hard few weeks...no preseason...just small edges and low units.

so all in all...its been a great year....puff_>>


linemovement over 15 WEEKS
lines on week1 for this week games

ATL -8.5
TB-1
TEX -8
NYG-7
BUF-1
CHI-7.5
NO-3
STL-4.5
IND-7
GB -3
OAK -1
NE-7
PHI-3
ARZ -3
SD-2.5
PIT-3.5
 

EX BOOKIE
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If you took the biggest line movement top 3 you would be 2-1 last week

this week
dal
gb
cin

not counting ind
 

EX BOOKIE
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ATS this year

home 102
away 106

dog 101
fav 105

ov 103
un 104

as you see avg out to even over time....I have done this for the past 20 year
dont get hang up on away vs home...dogs vs fav...ov vs un.... find a edge and bet it


points that matter in a games 34 games out of 208 16%...avg over the last 20 years!!!
 

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Ace, since you are in the business and has many connections. Do you know how the Vegas sports book do this last week? Seems like many of the favorites won. Also, do you know of a site that will give me this information? And thanks again for the 411 plays.
 

EX BOOKIE
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Ace, since you are in the business and has many connections. Do you know how the Vegas sports book do this last week? Seems like many of the favorites won. Also, do you know of a site that will give me this information? And thanks again for the 411 plays.

unless you know a book you will not know if they won or lost
10 dogs won and 6 fav...so that by itself tells you the books won last week

public plays will tell what teams most of the bettor are on
check it out at http://www.thespread.com/nfl-football-public-betting-chart

did call my guy in chicgo that has 300 players and about 8 sharps....they won on sat/day and sunday....but lost some back to the players on monday night game....but still up for the week
 

EX BOOKIE
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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL NOTES - THE BEST & WORST OF THE PAST 10 YEARS
As we said above, the College Football Bowl Season swings into action this Saturday and there's plenty of teams in action that have thrived spreadwise come bowl time the past 10 years - and others that have been serious money-burners. Here's our list of Best & Worst Bowl Bets since way back in 2001 ...
THE BEST -
  • Boise State is 6-3 ATS (against the spread) in their post-season bowl games dating back the past 10 years and note the Broncos roll into the Las Vegas Bowl riding a three-bowl game spread winning streak.
  • Florida State is an electric 8-2 vig-wise in bowl games the past 10 years and - believe it or not - the Seminoles will enter their Champs Sports Bowl tilt against Notre Dame while riding a seven-game bowl spread winnin' streak.
  • Iowa is 7-2 odds-wise in all post-season bowl games the past 10 years - the Hawkeyes didn't go bowling back in 2007 - and note this Big 10 team has covered 6-of-8 bowl games when placed in the underdog role as is the case with this year's Insight Bowl against Oklahoma.
  • Iowa State is 3-1-1 versus the vig in bowl games dating back to 2001 and note that four of the five bowls have been decided by a grand total of 9 points.
  • LSU is a snazzy 7-3 against the Las Vegas price tags in its past 10 bowl tilts and - in case you were wondering - the Bayou Bengals are 5-1 ATS in its six bowls under head coach Les Miles.
  • N.C. State's covered five of its six bowl games the past 10 years and the last time the Wolfpack failed to cover at bowl time was in 2001 when State lost 34-19 to Pittsburgh in a pick 'em game in the Tangerine Bowl.
  • Northwestern is 4-1 spreadwise in its five bowl tilts dating back to 2001 and the Big 10 Wildcats have been underdogs in all five of these games (as will be the case versus Texas A&M in the Car Care Bowl).
  • Ohio State is 7-3 against the odds at bowl time the past 10 years and that includes a current three-game ATS bowl winning streak (versus Texas, Oregon and Arkansas).
  • Rutgers is 4-1 spreadwise in its five bowl games since 2001.
  • Utah's covered seven of its nine bowl games the past 10 years and note the Utes are 4-1 ATS as bowl dogs during this time.
  • Virginia is 4-1 ATS while bowling half the time these past 10 years. The Wahoos, however, have not gone bowling since 2007 (a 31-28 loss-but-cover against 6 ½-point fav Texas Tech in the Gator Bowl).
  • Wisconsin is 6-3 ATS in bowl action the past 10 years and believe it or not Wisky's been the underdog side in all nine of these bowl outings.
THE WORST -
  • Arkansas is 2-5 ATS in bowl games the past 10 years and that includes a current four-game spread losing streak in these bowls dating back to 2006.
  • Cincinnati has failed to cover six of its seven bowl games the past 10 years and that includes the lopsided 51-24 loss to 13-point fav Florida in the Sugar Bowl game two years ago.
  • Clemson is just 3-6 versus the vig in all bowl games since 2001 and that includes a shabby 1-5 spread log as bowl betting favorites since 2005.
  • Kansas State is 0-5 ATS in all bowl games the past 10 years and that includes last year's 36-34 loss in the first-ever Pinstripe Bowl against Syracuse (a pick 'em affair).
  • Nevada is just 1-5 against the odds in its bowl games the past 10 years.
  • Ohio has failed to cover all three of its bowl games the past 10 years including last year's 48-21 setback against 2-point fav Troy in the New Orleans Bowl.
  • Oklahoma is a dreary 3-7 ATS in bowls the past 10 years and how about the fact the Sooners are 2-5 vig-wise as bowl betting favorites during this time span?
  • Texas is 3-6 ATS in bowl tilts the past 10 years (no bowl for the Longhorns last year, remember).
  • Texas A&M is just 1-5 against the prices in bowl bashes the past 10 years and the Aggies have not covered at bowl time since 2001 (a 28-9 win versus 6-point pup TCU in the Galleryfurniture Bowl).
  • Finally, West Virginia is 2-7 against the prices in bowl games played the past 10 years (no bowl for WVU in 2001).
 

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Got it....how much do you pay for a month of his plays?

Lifetime Client paid $500. Been with that service for over 4 years now. First year for Sonny as a capper there. First year paid over $1000 for different plays, then was offered as a VIP client a lifetime deal, couldn't pass it up. I really doubt any other capper this year in NFL is 26-5 ats.
 

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Ace are you going to do anything special with your bowl picks or do you share them on here?
 

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Don't get me wrong Ace, I do think you are a better capper long term but in this business its all about what have you done for me lately. He reminds me of you the year you were on fire and then Doc recruited you. Happy Holidays.
 

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Vegas books did not do well. Off shore did not do well. Last minutes defense lapses
killed the teams the books needed.
 

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if my "alzheimers" doesn't get in the way i'll give it a go.
 

EX BOOKIE
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NflLogo1.jpg

NFL.gif


NFL
Long Sheet

Week 15

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Thursday, December 15

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JACKSONVILLE (4 - 9) at ATLANTA (8 - 5) - 12/15/2011, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, December 17

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DALLAS (7 - 6) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 9) - 12/17/2011, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
DALLAS is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
DALLAS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
DALLAS is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
DALLAS is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
DALLAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against NFC South division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, December 18

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WASHINGTON (4 - 9) at NY GIANTS (7 - 6) - 12/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (13 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (5 - 8) - 12/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (10 - 3) at MINNESOTA (2 - 11) - 12/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in dome games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (6 - 7) at CHICAGO (7 - 6) - 12/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (4 - 9) at BUFFALO (5 - 8) - 12/18/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (4 - 9) at HOUSTON (10 - 3) - 12/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CAROLINA is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TENNESSEE (7 - 6) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 13) - 12/18/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (7 - 6) at ST LOUIS (2 - 11) - 12/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 93-123 ATS (-42.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
ST LOUIS is 41-66 ATS (-31.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
ST LOUIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (8 - 5) at OAKLAND (7 - 6) - 12/18/2011, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 33-63 ATS (-36.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
OAKLAND is 22-43 ATS (-25.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
OAKLAND is 23-46 ATS (-27.6 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (10 - 3) at DENVER (8 - 5) - 12/18/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 61-38 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 142-107 ATS (+24.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (8 - 5) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 8) - 12/18/2011, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (4 - 9) at ARIZONA (6 - 7) - 12/18/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALTIMORE (10 - 3) at SAN DIEGO (6 - 7) - 12/18/2011, 8:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, December 19

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PITTSBURGH (10 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (10 - 3) - 12/19/2011, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Short Sheet

Week 15

Thursday, 12/15/2011

JACKSONVILLE at ATLANTA, 8:20 PM ET
NFL Network
JACKSONVILLE: 6-0 Under in road games
ATLANTA: 7-0 Under off SU win


Saturday, 12/17/2011

DALLAS at TAMPA BAY, 8:20 PM ET

DALLAS: 3-15 ATS as favorite
TAMPA BAY: 14-3 ATS off SU loss as road favorite


Sunday, 12/18/2011

WASHINGTON at NY GIANTS, 1:00 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 33-15 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
NY GIANTS: 6-0 Over off road win

GREEN BAY at KANSAS CITY, 1:00 PM ET
GREEN BAY: 6-0 ATS vs. "bad team" (win pct of .250 to .400)
KANSAS CITY: 9-0 Under after being outrushed by 75+ yards

NEW ORLEANS at MINNESOTA, 1:00 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 7-1 ATS in dome games
MINNESOTA: 5-1 Over at home vs. New Orleans

SEATTLE at CHICAGO, 1:00 PM ET
SEATTLE: 5-15 ATS as road underdog
CHICAGO: 6-0 Under off loss by 6 pts or less

MIAMI at BUFFALO, 1:00 PM ET
MIAMI: 10-0 Under playing with 6 days or less rest
BUFFALO: 9-1 Under in December

CAROLINA at HOUSTON, 1:00 PM ET
CAROLINA: 1-9 ATS as road underdog of 7 pts or less
HOUSTON: 6-0 Under in home games

TENNESSEE at INDIANAPOLIS, 1:00 PM ET
TENNESSEE: 10-2 Under at Indianapolis
INDIANAPOLIS: 0-6 ATS off double digit loss

CINCINNATI at ST LOUIS, 1:00 PM ET
CINCINNATI: 6-1 Over on turf
ST LOUIS: 1-6 ATS in dome games

DETROIT at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
DETROIT: 4-14 ATS as road favorite
OAKLAND: 6-0 Over off non-conf game

NEW ENGLAND at DENVER, 4:15 PM ET
NEW ENGLAND: 22-8 Over in all games
DENVER: 9-2 Over off an Under

NY JETS at PHILADELPHIA, 4:15 PM ET
NY JETS: 14-3 Over in road games
PHILADELPHIA: 1-5 ATS in home games

CLEVELAND at ARIZONA, 4:15 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 6-0 ATS Away off division game
ARIZONA: 4-14 ATS at home off BB wins

BALTIMORE at SAN DIEGO, 8:20 PM ET NBC
BALTIMORE: 6-0 ATS Away off ATS loss
SAN DIEGO: 9-2 Under at home vs. AFC


Monday, 12/19/2011

PITTSBURGH at SAN FRANCISCO, 8:30 PM ET
ESPN
PITTSBURGH: 5-1 ATS off ATS loss
SAN FRANCISCO: 24-9 ATS on Monday Night Football

Trend Report
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Thursday, December 15

8:20 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Jacksonville's last 13 games
Atlanta is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
Atlanta is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games


Saturday, December 17

8:20 PM
DALLAS vs. TAMPA BAY
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Dallas
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas


Sunday, December 18

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games on the road
Indianapolis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. MINNESOTA
New Orleans is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Minnesota is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. HOUSTON
Carolina is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. BUFFALO
Miami is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Buffalo
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 11 games when playing Miami

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. KANSAS CITY
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Green Bay's last 18 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games

1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NY GIANTS
Washington is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
Washington is 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games when playing NY Giants
NY Giants are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games

4:05 PM
DETROIT vs. OAKLAND
Detroit is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit

4:15 PM
NY JETS vs. PHILADELPHIA
NY Jets are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games on the road
NY Jets are 15-8 SU in their last 23 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing NY Jets

4:15 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against New England
Denver is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

4:15 PM
CLEVELAND vs. ARIZONA
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 6-13-2 ATS in its last 21 games
Arizona is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games

8:20 PM
BALTIMORE vs. SAN DIEGO
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
San Diego is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games


Monday, December 19

8:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
San Francisco is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
 

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New Orleans (-6.5) at Minnesota

Why Saints cover: They are hotter than a supermodel on the sun, winning and covering five in a row and six of their last seven. Minnesota, meanwhile, has lost five in a row straight up (1-3-1 ATS) and seems to have a QB quandary – rookie Christian Ponder was yanked after a dismal two-plus quarters against Detroit, and Joe Webb nearly pulled off a stunning comeback.

Why Vikings cover: They are 5-1 ATS in the last six of this rivalry and the Saints tend to play down to the level of competition, at 3-11 ATS in their last 14 against losing teams.

Total (50.5): Total has gone low in four of the last five for New Orleans, but the Saints average 31.9 ppg (second in NFL), and the over is 6-1 in Minny’s last seven at home. The over is also 5-1 in the last six Saints-Vikes matchups.

Carolina at Houston (-6.5)

Why Panthers cover: This team is better than its 4-9 SU record suggests. They’ve lost six games this season in which they’ve led or been tied in the fourth quarter. Once Cam Newton figures out how to stop throwing more INTs (16) than TDs (15), they’ll be the real deal. Carolina’s 15-6 ATS in its last 21 December outings.

Why Texans cover: Even with rookie T.J. Yates at QB, they’re still winning and covering, going 6-0-1 ATS during their current seven-game SU run. This team is contending for the No. 1 seed in the AFC, so it has plenty of incentive. The Panthers are on pointspread dives of 4-12 when catching points and 3-9 against winning teams.

Total (45.5): Something’s got to give here. Carolina’s on over runs of 5-0-1 against winning teams, 6-1-1 as an underdog and 7-3-1 on the highway. Houston is on under surges of 5-1 at home and 6-2 as a chalk.

Green Bay (-14) at Kansas City

Why Packers cover: During their eye-popping 19-game SU win streak, they’ve cashed 14 times. That includes four covers as double-digit favorites this season. The Chiefs are in disarray after firing coach Todd Haley on Monday while the Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 roadies and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 in December.

Why Chiefs cover: Bad as they are, they’re still a good underdog. They are riding ATS streaks of 7-2 overall, 5-1 as a home pup, and 12-4 when getting more than 10 points. The Packers are 1-5 ATS in the last six as a road chalk of more than 10 points.

Total (46): The Chiefs have scored 10 points or fewer in six straight games and the under has cashed in six of the last seven for K.C. Conversely, the Packers average a league-best 35.8 ppg, with over hitting in six of their last seven games. An average Green Bay outing wouldn’t leave much work for K.C. to reach the over.

Seattle at Chicago (-3.5)

Why Seahawks cover: They’re hot, and Chicago’s not. The Seahawks have won four of last five SU and five of last six ATS. Running back Marshawn Lynch has 109 yards or more in five of last six games, along with six TDs in that stretch. The Bears have lost three straight without QB Jay Cutler.

Why Bears cover: They’re dying for a win to stay in the NFC playoff hunt and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five when laying points. The Seahawks are riding ATS skids of 16-34-2 on the highway and 8-20-1 as road pups.

Total (35.5): Lots of over trends for both teams. Plus, the over has cashed in six overall and the last four in Windy City.

Tennessee (-6.5) at Indianapolis

Why Titans cover: They’d covered five of six before Sunday’s 22-17 loss to New Orleans and they nearly got the outright upset. Winless Indy (4-9 ATS) has failed to cash in its last four at home and the last four inside AFC South. The Titans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 in this rivalry.

Why Colts cover: Tennessee QB Matt Hasselbeck’s status is uncertain due to calf injury. Plus, Indy has covered two in a row, following seven consecutive pointspread setbacks. The Colts are also 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 vs. winning teams.

Total (41): Under has been big for both teams lately, hitting seven straight for Tennessee and five of six for Indianapolis. This division rivalry is littered with unders – 11-2 in the last 13 overall and 6-0 in the last six in Indy.

Washington at N.Y. Giants (-6.5)

Why Redskins cover: As bad as Mike Shanahan’s troops are, losing eight of last nine SU, they’ve at least been a little better lately against the spread by covering three of the last four. They fell just short of pushing Patriots to overtime last weekend. The Redskins also like division play, cashing five of the last six in the NFC East.

Why Giants cover: After knocking off Dallas on the road last week, they are due for a good game at home, where they are just 1-3-1 ATS in the last five. Tom Coughlin’s squad will also be looking for some payback after getting ripped 28-14 at Washington in the season opener.

Total (46.5): The score has played under in seven of the last eight ‘Skins-Giants meetings at the Meadowlands. The over is on runs of 4-0 for Washington and 4-1 for New York.

Miami at Buffalo

Why Dolphins cover: They’ll be inspired by firing of coach Tony Sparano. They covered six in a row before falling to Philadelphia last week. They were due for a little letdown.

Why Bills cover: The Bills have dumped six in a row SU (1-5 ATS) and are due for a decent game at some point.

Total: The under has been the big play for Miami all season, going 10-2-1. The under has also cashed in 10 of Buffalo’s last 11 in December and 8-3 in the team’s last 11 at Orchard Park.

Cincinnati (-6) at St. Louis

Why Bengals cover: Their playoff hopes are dangling by a thread, but this is a good team well overdue for some good luck. They’ve lost four of their last five, but those losses were all by one score or less against playoff-bound teams. St. Louis is the league’s worst team ATS (2-11).

Why Rams cover: Seriously, all the Rams can hope for is that Cincy’s current 0-4-1 ATS funk continues.

Total (38.5): St. Louis averages a league-low 11.8 ppg and the under has cashed in seven of the last 10. However, Cincy’s on several over runs including 8-2 overall and 5-0 as a chalk.

Detroit (-1) at Oakland

Why Lions cover: Defensive stalwart Ndamukong Suh returns from two-game suspension and Detroit needs him to continue its push for a NFC wild-card spot. The Raiders were pummeled over the last two weeks (at Miami and at Green Bay) by a combined score of 80-30. The Raiders are 20-43 ATS in the last 63 in December.

Why Raiders cover: Last week’s loss to the Packers notwithstanding, Oakland’s generally a good bounce-back bet. The Raiders are 7-2 ATS in the last nine off a SU loss and 14-4 ATS in the last 18 off an ATS loss. Detroit’s 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 as a road chalk.

Total (47.5): The over is on a 7-1-1 run in the Lions’ last nine roadies, 4-0 in the Raiders’ last four overall. The over is also 7-3 at home for Oakland and 5-1 with the Raiders catching points at Coliseum.

New England (-6) at Denver

Why Patriots cover: At some point, the Broncos’ good fortune will go up in smoke. New England is the best team Denver has faced during the Tebow Mania craze, and the Pats have covered eight of their last 11 road games.

Why Broncos cover: Tim Tebow has led Denver to seven wins in eight games. The Broncos have covered in six of those – five from the underdog role. So this game sets up perfect for the Mile High Messiah. The Pats are 2-5 ATS in their last seven when laying points, 1-4 ATS in the last five vs. the Broncos, and 1-4 ATS in their last five trips to Denver.

Total (45.5): In Tebow’s eight starts, Denver has scored 18 or fewer points. But New England averages 30.5 points per game and a defense that’s allowed 20 or more points nine times this year. The over is 12-4 in the Pats’ last 16 roadies and in the Broncos’ last 16 at home.

N.Y. Jets at Philadelphia (-3)

Why Jets cover: Clinging to sixth and final playoff spot in AFC, they need this game. They’ve won their last three while cashing in their last two outings. Philly is just 1-8 ATS in its last nine at home.

Why Eagles cover: There’s no pressure here with a playoff sport out of the question, so they can play fast and loose. All the pressure is on the Jets, and Philly’s talent is far better than its 5-8 SU and ATS record indicates.

Total (44): If Jets are playing the over is in play. The Jets have played over in all three games during their current upswing. The Jets also have the over on streaks of 23-8 overall, 13-3-1 with New York set as a pup, and 9-2 with Gang Green pegged as a road underdog.

Cleveland at Arizona (-7)

Why Browns cover: They’re not very good, but they have covered in three of their last four. That’s about all I’ve got in their defense.

Why Cardinals cover: Upended 49ers last week to continue a nice roll in which they’ve won five of six SU and six of seven ATS. Cleveland’s averaging just 13.7 ppg (30th) and could be without QB Colt McCoy (concussion).

Total (37.5): Cleveland’s scoring impotence has led to under streaks of 4-1 overall and 8-3 when the Browns are catching points.

Baltimore (-1.5) at San Diego

Why Ravens cover: This team is gunning for No. 1 seed in AFC playoff chase and has won four in a row by average of more than 11 points per game. The Bolts are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games.

Why Chargers cover: They still have a sliver of chance in AFC West, but they’ve got to win outright. San Diego’s a worthy underdog, with ATS runs of 22-9-3 when getting points and 5-1 as a home pup.

Total (44.5): Qualcomm Stadium is the home of unders lately, with total staying low in 10 of the last 11. The Ravens’ defense is yielding just 15.5 ppg (third).

Pittsburgh at San Francisco

Why Steelers cover: Like Baltimore and New England, they’re battling for the No. 1 seed. So this West Coast trip is a huge one for Pittsburgh, which has cashed in the last four following an ATS loss.

Why 49ers cover: Despite upset loss at Arizona last week, they are still No. 1 in the NFL at 10-2-1 ATS and really want to beat out the Saints for the No. 2 seed and a playoff bye. It won’t hurt to be at home, where San Fran has won and cashed in five straight and six of seven this year. In fact, Jim Harbaugh’s troops are 17-6-3 ATS in the last 26 at home. Plus, Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger is hobbled, and star defender James Harrison may be serving a one-game suspension.

Total: The Niners’ defense is No. 1 in the league, yielding a meager 14.0 ppg. Pittsburgh is No. 2 allowing just 15.2 ppg.
 

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