12/19/11 NFL Playoff Scenarios: AFC Wild Card Is Jets' for the Taking

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http://bleacherreport.com/articles/988359-nfl-playoff-scenarios-afc-wild-card-is-jets-for-the-taking

NFL Playoff Scenarios: AFC Wild Card Is Jets' for the Taking

By
Richard Langford
(Featured Columnist) on December 18, 2011


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Despite their own efforts to derail their playoff hopes, the Jets are still in firm control of the AFC wild-card race.
Things may feel bleak for Jets fans after a 45-19 drubbing to the Eagles, but through the dust spread by the falling pieces of their destruction there is the bright light of a promising playoff picture.
That is due to the fact that the Titans became the first team to lose to the Colts this season, and the Raiders blew a 13-point lead with less than five minutes to play. Of teams in serious contention to push the Jets for the final AFC playoff spot, only the Bengals won.
Check out the updated standings.

AFC Wild-Card Playoff Standings
Pittsburgh Steelers 10-3
New York Jets 8-6
Cincinnati Bengals 8-6
Oakland Raiders 7-7
Tennessee Titans 7-7

The only realistic scenario that would have the Steelers not taking the first wild-card spot is if they pass the Ravens for the AFC North division crown. In that case, the Ravens would be the first wild-card team.
So, we will safely excuse them from this conversation, and move onto the rest. Here are the schedules for those four teams.

Remaining Schedules
Jets Schedule





Week 16: vs. Giants
Week 17: Dolphins
These are not gimme games for the Jets by any stretch of the imagination. However, the Giants' poor defense and reliance on the passing game on offense is a good matchup for the Jets.
And while the Dolphins have had a late season resurgence, there is still no reason they shouldn't win that game. The Dolphins can't score on a stiff defense, and the Jets will be able to wear them out.
If the Jets go 2-0, they are in. They hold the tiebreaker scenario over the Bengals.

Bengals Schedule
  • The Bengals will win __ of their last two games?
  • 0

    22.2%

  • 1

    43.5%

  • 2

    34.3%


    Total votes: 108

Week 16: vs. Cardinals
Week 17: at Ravens
These are two very challenging games for the slumping Bengals. Cincinnati squeaked by the awful Rams on Sunday, but that was just their second win in their last two games.
There is no way they finish 2-0 with this schedule, and they'll be lucky to win one. The Cardinals have been playing inspired as of late, and the Ravens have already beaten the Bengals once.

Titans Schedule
Week 16: vs. Jaguars
Week 17: at Texans
If the Titans were Plaxico Burress, they'd be going to jail for life because they didn't just shoot themselves in the foot, they completely blew it off by losing to the Colts.
There is no reason to expect that team to win their last two. They will finish the season against a Texans team that beat them 41-7 earlier in the season.
If the Titans split, the Jets would have to lose their last two for the Titans to have a chance to beat them with a tiebreaker.

Raiders Schedule
Week 16: at Chiefs
Week 17: Chargers
The Raiders have lost three straight games. They were blown out in two, and then crumbled at the end of this week.
They have a chance to win out, but it is very unlikely. They play a Chiefs team next week that just shocked the world and beat the Packers, and destroyed the Raiders earlier in the season. They will then play the December surging Chargers.
And at this point, the Raiders can't be trusted to win any game.

Green Tinted Conclusion
As long as the Jets can win one of their remaining two games they will make the playoffs. The teams chasing them are crumbling, and will not be able to pass them.
The way things are going, the Jets may have a chance even if they lose both games, but at that point does it really matter? They'd simply be winning the right to limp into the playoffs and get embarrassed.
 

J-Man Rx NFL Pick 4 Champion for 2005
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As of right now, the wild card team is Baltimore, not the Steelers pending the results of tonight's game.
 

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To say that there is no way the Bengals win out is just stupid. It is the bleacher report so that does make sense. Both the Bengals games are at home. The Cardinals are playing better, but will be traveling 2 time zones and playing in 30 degree weather. The Ravens game on 1/1 may not mean anything to the Birds, so that is also winnable. I wouldn't count out the Bengals getting to 10-6.
 

J-Man Rx NFL Pick 4 Champion for 2005
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Pittsburgh wins out and they're the #1 seed.

Patriots have 2 easy home games left. Do Steelers hold the tie breaker if they both finish 13-3 ? It looks to me like the Patriots will have the better conf. record.
 

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Steelers will the hold the tie breaker. Head to Head is first. Steelers beat Patriots earlier in the season.
 

J-Man Rx NFL Pick 4 Champion for 2005
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Steelers will the hold the tie breaker. Head to Head is first. Steelers beat Patriots earlier in the season.

You are correct. I forgot about that. Steelers better get their act together against the 49'ers tonight however or that victory wouldn't matter. Big Ben has already thrown 2 INT's.
 

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So much for that one.
The AFC is just not very good this season. Very well could be a 80's style Super Bowl where the NFC just crushes the AFC.
 

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So much for that one.
The AFC is just not very good this season. Very well could be a 80's style Super Bowl where the NFC just crushes the AFC.


Steelers were not the team they could be as obviously Big Ben was not himself and Harrison being out made a difference also. I expect the Steelers to be a factor come playoff time. They are still in the running for the Number 2 spot. Patriots most likely have the 1 seed within their grasp. I remember last year the AFC was a favorite early on and then of course the Pack came on strong. This year the NFC has been a 4 1/2 point favorite over the AFC. Of course the Packers strong season has been the main factor there.
 

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Steelers were not the team they could be as obviously Big Ben was not himself and Harrison being out made a difference also. I expect the Steelers to be a factor come playoff time. They are still in the running for the Number 2 spot. Patriots most likely have the 1 seed within their grasp. I remember last year the AFC was a favorite early on and then of course the Pack came on strong. This year the NFC has been a 4 1/2 point favorite over the AFC. Of course the Packers strong season has been the main factor there.

I agree
 

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Steelers were not the team they could be as obviously Big Ben was not himself and Harrison being out made a difference also. I expect the Steelers to be a factor come playoff time. They are still in the running for the Number 2 spot. Patriots most likely have the 1 seed within their grasp. I remember last year the AFC was a favorite early on and then of course the Pack came on strong. This year the NFC has been a 4 1/2 point favorite over the AFC. Of course the Packers strong season has been the main factor there.

I agree!
Steelers will be a force, but Ben could use that extra week off.
Out of all the AFC teams they are the most complete. Now if Shaub comes back for the Texans they could be a factor.
 

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I agree!
Steelers will be a force, but Ben could use that extra week off.
Out of all the AFC teams they are the most complete. Now if Shaub comes back for the Texans they could be a factor.

A call that didn't really come into play but just seemed ridiculous was when the 49'ers kicked a field goal and they called a penalty on the Steelers for using the opposition as a launching pad which then allowed them to score a TD. Replays showed nothing at all. After that play I thought " something is fishy in Denmark '
 

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Schaub is on the IR, his season is done and can't come back.
 

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looks like the ravens are in the drivers seat again for home field thanks to pitt losing last night
 

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looks like the ravens are in the drivers seat again for home field thanks to pitt losing last night

Very true and that's huge with either a first round bye and home field verses a wild card and 2 road games. However I don't think it's a done deal because Pitt's remaining 2 games are easier than the Ravens who have to play Cincy at Cincy. Bengals will perhaps be needing a victory there for a possible playoff spot. The fat Lady is not ready to sing yet !
 

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