I agree.... This Houston team is better than people know...
Yates may be young.... but he has a strong arm... and can scramble... I really do love his arm.. Only thing I see is he has a tendenacy to throw a little high early in the game... he needs to calm down sooner..
This Offensive line of houston is dominating....
Houston also has the linebackers to help stuff the holes at the line of scrimmage....
I love Houston +7.5, and I think they have should have a legitimate shot to win this game...
Yates may be young.... but he has a strong arm... and can scramble... I really do love his arm.. Only thing I see is he has a tendenacy to throw a little high early in the game... he needs to calm down sooner..
This Offensive line of houston is dominating....
Houston also has the linebackers to help stuff the holes at the line of scrimmage....
I love Houston +7.5, and I think they have should have a legitimate shot to win this game...
Fans are excited about Texans-Ravens, snatching up tickets
The Texans-Ravens this weekend are a hot ticket. The hottest in the NFL playoffs, according to Ticketmaster.
Its NFL Ticket Exchange system shows the following average resale prices on playoff tickets:
Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens = $451
New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers = $345
New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers = $290
Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots = $113
Super Bowl XLVI = $4,120
Even more interesting is how excited Houston fans are about the Texans. A whopping 17.6 percent of tickets bought in resale have gone to buyers in Texas. That doesn’t mean that Texans fans will occupy 17 percent of the stadium, but that points to Texans being all over Houston advancing in the playoffs for the first time.
By comparison, less than one percent (0.5) of tickets resold last week for the Texans-Bengals were to people from Ohio.
The Texans-Ravens this weekend are a hot ticket. The hottest in the NFL playoffs, according to Ticketmaster.
Its NFL Ticket Exchange system shows the following average resale prices on playoff tickets:
Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens = $451
New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers = $345
New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers = $290
Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots = $113
Super Bowl XLVI = $4,120
Even more interesting is how excited Houston fans are about the Texans. A whopping 17.6 percent of tickets bought in resale have gone to buyers in Texas. That doesn’t mean that Texans fans will occupy 17 percent of the stadium, but that points to Texans being all over Houston advancing in the playoffs for the first time.
By comparison, less than one percent (0.5) of tickets resold last week for the Texans-Bengals were to people from Ohio.
Here are the game probabilities for this weekend’s division round:
Pwin GAME Pwin
0.63 New Orleans at San Francisco 0.37
0.16 Denver at New England 0.84
0.57 Houston at Baltimore 0.43
0.42 NY Giants at Green Bay 0.58
(For information on the prediction model and its accuracy, see this post.)
Brian Burke, a former Navy pilot who has taken up the less dangerous hobby of N.F.L. statistical analysis, operates Advanced NFL Stats, a blog about football, math and human behavior
Great read
http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/01/12/n-f-l-divisional-round-probabilities/
Pwin GAME Pwin
0.63 New Orleans at San Francisco 0.37
0.16 Denver at New England 0.84
0.57 Houston at Baltimore 0.43
0.42 NY Giants at Green Bay 0.58
(For information on the prediction model and its accuracy, see this post.)
Brian Burke, a former Navy pilot who has taken up the less dangerous hobby of N.F.L. statistical analysis, operates Advanced NFL Stats, a blog about football, math and human behavior
Great read
http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/01/12/n-f-l-divisional-round-probabilities/
Jan 11, 2012
Postseason Projections: Divisional Round
The results of the ever-so-wild Wild Card Weekend shifted the postseason probabilities around somewhat. Without lifting a finger, New England's probability of a Super Bowl appearance increased from 32 to 47%, while Green Bay's probability declined slightly, from 40 to 36%. The model still considers both #1 seeds to be the most likely teams to emerge from their respective conferences.
The Texans and the Tebows
Now that the Steelers are out, the Houston Texans, led by the inimitable TJ Yates, are the highest-ranked team remaining in the playoff field. The difficulty of their path to the Super Bowl—Baltimore and then (most likely) New England, both on the road—makes them only the fourth most likely team to come away with a Super Bowl win, however. Meanwhile, the game probability model stubbornly refuses to accept the fact that All Tebow Does Is Win, giving Denver Super Bowl odds of slightly worse than two hundred to one.
The Battle of the Conferences Revisited
Last weekend's games tipped the balance slightly in the NFC's favor, with that conference now given a 51% probability of winning the Super Bowl.
Now, without further ado, the full postseason projections, with the tables below listing each team's percent probability of advancing to each successive round of the postseason. Enjoy.
AFC Percent Probability to AdvanceTeamConference GameSuper BowlSup Bowl Champion
NE844723
BAL43188
HOU573218
DEN1620
NFC Percent Probability to AdvanceTeamConference GameSuper BowlSup Bowl Champion
GB583619
SF37124
NO633318
NYG421910
By Josh Katz
http://www.advancednflstats.com/2012/01/postseason-projections-divisional-round.html#more
Postseason Projections: Divisional Round
The Texans and the Tebows
Now that the Steelers are out, the Houston Texans, led by the inimitable TJ Yates, are the highest-ranked team remaining in the playoff field. The difficulty of their path to the Super Bowl—Baltimore and then (most likely) New England, both on the road—makes them only the fourth most likely team to come away with a Super Bowl win, however. Meanwhile, the game probability model stubbornly refuses to accept the fact that All Tebow Does Is Win, giving Denver Super Bowl odds of slightly worse than two hundred to one.
The Battle of the Conferences Revisited
Last weekend's games tipped the balance slightly in the NFC's favor, with that conference now given a 51% probability of winning the Super Bowl.
Now, without further ado, the full postseason projections, with the tables below listing each team's percent probability of advancing to each successive round of the postseason. Enjoy.
AFC Percent Probability to AdvanceTeamConference GameSuper BowlSup Bowl Champion
NFC Percent Probability to AdvanceTeamConference GameSuper BowlSup Bowl Champion
By Josh Katz
http://www.advancednflstats.com/2012/01/postseason-projections-divisional-round.html#more
