Have Key Numbers and Home Field Advantage Changed?

Defying · Jan 20, 2012

Have Key Numbers and Home Field Advantage Changed?

I know that totals have dramatically changed in the NFL. I remember reading in early 2000s the importance of 42 as an NFL total. I changed my NFL Handicapping a bit around that and saw great results. Now I have noidea what that key number is.

It seems that the highest total we would have in a given week was 48, now that seems like average.

It's been a while since I studied key numbers, but I also feel 3 isn't the standard for home field any more...

Any other thoughts or opinions of this subject? :think2:

CujoLatte · Jan 20, 2012

Good question here! I am interested in the answers also.......

YourAllAmerican · Jan 20, 2012

Key numbers since 2000:
http://cleanuphitter.com/nfl/stats/nfl_common_scores.php

Since the 2002 season, when the current system of bye weeks kicked in, home teams still win by approximately 3 point on average. (About 2.6 points, actually, but 3 is close enough.)

Defying · Jan 20, 2012

YourAllAmerican said:
Key numbers since 2000:
http://cleanuphitter.com/nfl/stats/nfl_common_scores.php

Since the 2002 season, when the current system of bye weeks kicked in, home teams still win by approximately 3 point on average. (About 2.6 points, actually, but 3 is close enough.)

that's a great article... but I feel like its old data. NFL has changed greatly in the last 3 years IMO.. I think the number would be drastically different, if you took last 2-3 out from this chart, and compared the two...

Anyone up for some work =)

I am willing to do some

YourAllAmerican · Jan 20, 2012

Here is the chart limited to 2009-2011. There's very littlle change:
http://cleanuphitter.com/nfl/stats/nfl_common_scores.php?start=2009

In that same time period home field advantage remains about the same, down just a hair to 2.4 instead of 2.6.

Defying · Jan 20, 2012

YourAllAmerican said:
Here is the chart limited to 2009-2011. There's very littlle change:
http://cleanuphitter.com/nfl/stats/nfl_common_scores.php?start=2009

In that same time period home field advantage remains about the same, down just a hair to 2.4 instead of 2.6.

This is awesome stuff... thanks.. I am going to go through it over next couple days...