UFC on FOX 2: Evans vs. Davis

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What are the leans here?

I have already had a parlay of Rockhold, Rashad, and Sonnen reduced because of Sonnen getting a new opponent.

The new Sonnen/Bisping line of -450 sucks. I loved -265 vs. Munoz as I feel Bisping and Munoz both had little shot of winning. I still might throw Sonnen in a new parlay if the line comes down a little. I see no way Bisping can win, since he has little finishing ability.

I like Rashad as well, but this one could be tricky. I basically think Rashad is a polished Phil Davis. Phil had a tough time getting Lil Nog down, so I am doubting he will be able to control Rashad. Rashad should be better on the feet and he has much more experience.

The Weidman/Maia line shocked me. Weirdman opening at -200. Has since came down to -160. Won't touch this one. Weirdman is a very good prospect with the tools to take Maia down if he wants and stay out of submissions. Not sure what to expect on the feet between these 2, Maia has got better over the years with his striking.

I also like the idea of Sonnen by dec. Line isn't out yet on my book, but that fight has decision written all over it. I may just parlay Sonnen by decision to get a better line. Bisping is good enough everywhere to survive. Sonnen could potentially pull out that arm triangle he sub'd Stann with, I think that is real tough to defend when Sonnen is on top of you. Other than that I see Bisping losing a 1-sided decision.
 

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I like Sonnen, Rashad and Maia to each win their respective matches.

Tim
 

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Here are the UFC Monster's picks on InterMatFight. He is 16-3 over his last two posted cards with a 45% ROI. Let's hope he stays hot!

http://intermatfight.com/articles/9184

Don't know anything about the guy but I'd be hesitant to follow him. He's up $100 after nearly 100 events risking over $50,000. Before he won last time out he was down. Doesn't seem like a guy to follow...
 

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I agree, people should do their own analysis and not just play others picks. This guy is a friend of mine and I just wanted to pass on his picks to people that are looking for an opinion. He has won money (as documented in the article) in 7 of his last 10 fight cards. You can see that he has had some rough stretches, but is currently riding a hot streak. I at least give him credit for having a documented record over 7 years. You have to agree that in the long run it is hard to win money gambling, so being up $100 over that timeline could be considered a victory. Whether you follow his plays or not, I just wanted to pass on his picks for people that might be interested.
 

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I agree, people should do their own analysis and not just play others picks. This guy is a friend of mine and I just wanted to pass on his picks to people that are looking for an opinion. He has won money (as documented in the article) in 7 of his last 10 fight cards. You can see that he has had some rough stretches, but is currently riding a hot streak. I at least give him credit for having a documented record over 7 years. You have to agree that in the long run it is hard to win money gambling, so being up $100 over that timeline could be considered a victory. Whether you follow his plays or not, I just wanted to pass on his picks for people that might be interested.

Was gonna add something along the lines of "good to see someone actually keep track of a real record for so long"... but then I was running late and Olive Garden was calling and I spaced it.
 

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Didn't add any of my plays tonight really but I think there is value in Davis to win by sub at 5.5-1.
 

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He has the length to keep Rashad at bay in the standup, and he has the superior wrestling on paper. He could rock Rashad and sink the choke, or use his wrestling to tire Rashad before getting the tap out. Evans really hasn't faced many fighters who can submit him, and I think he could have some holes there.
 

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