behind the bets with chad millman, interviews jay kornegay, he claims 50-60% of his handle on the super bowl will be prop bets.
http://espn.go.com/espnradio/play?id=7529835
http://espn.go.com/espnradio/play?id=7529835
it's 35mins long.... so here's so cliff notes.. Chad Millman or whatever, he is hard to listen to... actually half way through it, I HATE this Chad guy.. fake laugh.. annoying questions..
ere's what I found interesting....
ere's what I found interesting....
- Nevada sportsbooks cannot have a prop that doesn't have a official stat or boxscore... thats why no national athem prop in Vegas....
- First cross over Prop: Who Scores More Micheal Jordan or the 49ers in 1995?
- Props represent 50-60% of all handle (assuming total money) on Super Bowl
- Claims that 40 sharps were waiting for props to come out, many betting $2k each
- 4 out of 6 times that teams score 3 or straight times in NFL Game.. Public Always on No
- Will a quarter scoreless? 80-85% on yes because of big price +200s
- Worst Mistake: Cordell Stewart, will have passing attempt, rushing attempt, and catch a pass. Went from No -400, to Yes -400... still ended up book still won
- Most cases they need premier players NOT to score a touchdowns...
- Most people bet Yes and Over bc beto things to happen becasue they want for them to happen
- Saftey or OT they are going to lose big money
- At Hilton 62% on Giants... But big tickets early were on Patriots (at least at Hilton) ....
- Expecting the Super Bowl line to bet down from 3 to 2.5 by Saturday Afternoon
