jonohull's 2012 MLB Season

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I love baseball. This will be my first year picking games, so let's see how it goes. Most of picks will be for one unit. Big ones will be two.


I'll post my futures here first. Some of these you probably can't get the lines on anymore.

BOS Reg Season Wins Over 88 -135 I think Boston can get 90 wins again.

Reg Season RBI Leader over 127 -120 Fielder and Pujols going to the AL have a great chance to beat this.

Reg Season Saves Leader over 47 -130 Valverde had 49 last season and two guys had 46. Lots of closers' teams have the potential to come close to this number.

PHI Reg Season Wins Under 95.5 -125 Being without either Howard or Utley wouldn't be too bad, but both makes the under pretty good here. The line is down to 93 now, I don't know if I'd touch it then.

PHI To Win NL East -300 Philly is still the best team in baseball.

ARI To Win NL West +175 ARI's pitching staff is only a step below SF's and their offense is FAR better. LAD could have a breakout pitching year (besides Kershaw) and be a surprise contender, but I think ARI keeps it again.

MIL Reg Season Wins Over 85 -135 Everyone is underestimating the moves the Brewers made to fix the infield after Fielder left. The total replacement value over last year is better. McGehee and Betencourt were terrible. Anyone would be better, but Aramis Ramirez is a legitimate replacement at third and Alex Gonzalez is an upgrade at short. If Mat Gamel has average season at first, then the Brewers will be fine with their stellar SPs and Axford closing.


I cannot wait for opening day!

Rodriguez-Axford-co-closers-for-Brewers-1G7L8UV-x-large.jpg
 

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Adding another future:

Zack Greinke Regular Season Wins Over 14.5 -115 He had 16 wins last season and missed all of April. This year he is healthy and has added the cut fastball. He's been mowing down guys with it in ST so far.
 

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Adding another future:

Zack Greinke Regular Season Wins Over 14.5 -115 He had 16 wins last season and missed all of April. This year he is healthy and has added the cut fastball. He's been mowing down guys with it in ST so far.

and he's in a contract year, gl
 

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(-) Odds will be to win unit, (+) will be risking units.

SF/ARI Under 7 -105 -> 1 unit All pitchers are fresh and Lincecum and Kennedy are great. 6/7 games went under yesterday. I think this one does too.
 

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Yesterday: 1-1 -.64 units
YTD: 2-2 -.69 units

4-9-12

<read the line wrong, no way that was 9>
TOR TT Over 4.5 -105
 

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Yesterday: 0-1 -1.05 units
YTD: 2-3 -1.74 units

4-10-12

White Sox +113
 

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Yesterday: Game PPD
YTD: 2-3 -1.74 units

4-11-12

Houston +1.5 -150
San Fran -118 (Lincecum at this price against Guthrie???)
 

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Adding:
MIL 1st5 TT Under 3.5 -105 The big guns are out today for Mil, and Dempster has been solid so far this year.
 

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Yesterday: 0-1 -1 unit

YTD: 4-7 -4.68 units

4-18-12

San Diego +130
NY Mets +110
 

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I'm back. Lots of school and work last few months.

YTD: 4-9 -6.68 units

6-19-12

Miami +1.5 -160
BAL/NYM Over 8 +100
 

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