Want opinions on these Win total future plays

Im really liking these 4 let me know your insight incase im way off

My favorite play is the cards over 84.5 -115 thinking pretty large (cubs fan to)
top 2-3 offense and even if beltran,berk, freese dont stay healthy they have depth and i think Allen Craig is a monster. Bullpen is very good same with the rotation even if carp isnt healthy. Westbrook & Lohse always solid, but still like them over a lot of others. I think this division is weak and theres a lot of motivation here to.

Braves under 87 -115 On paper there offense looks good but im not buying it and i think there rotation and bullpen way over achieved last year not to mention nats and miami can take a big leap forward ( to reach this number they will have to stay real healthy and i dont see that either)

Cubs over 73.5 even (7 deep rotation all average little above but looking for contracts) Lineup is real tough to gauge speed, some power, youth and the fact i think houston, pitt will be horrendous and cincy and milw wont be nearly as good this team should be around .500

Royals under 80 -115 Dont think there gonna hit like everyone else does there real young could take a step back but the rotation is terrible and the bullpen lost Soria even though broxton could be a good filler. The AL is just so stacked and theres really only 2 other bad teams in the league. I think the white sox could be better same with Indians but this is still the Royals were talking about just dont see nearly a .500 team

You're underestimating the loss of larussa..not to mention pujols and Carpenter's uncertainy

like the braves under

(cardinals fan talking)

Larussa's loss is potentially bigger than Pujols

Pujols last year (steady three year decline)
.299 .366 .541 .907

Plus

Jon Jay
.297 .344 .424 .768

is less than


Beltran
.300 .385 .525 .910

plus

Craig
.315 .362 .555 .917

lol on Craig's sample size, but in this case, adding Beltran instead of Pujols, even with the injury risk, actually made sense because it opens a spot for Allen Craig.

Also, Wainwright>Carpenter even coming off of injury, and that doesn't account for any starts Carpenter makes. Furcal for a full year defensively>>>>Theriot. Bullpen's a lot better too. Will take some long term injuries for this team to win 7 games less than last year.

Braves under is one of the better wagers.

man baseball futures seem almost impossible to handicap compared to other sports. They play so many games. Every year around this time I look at the Win total future plays and my face drops and I have this bewildered look on my face. The same look I would have if I had 10 seconds left to cut the red, black, green or yellow wire before the bomb goes off.

Braves over if I had to choose. Larry Jones' last season and all.