Goodys 500 @ Martinsville

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Sep 3, 2005
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CUP YTD

12-11 +1.35 units (Match-Ups)
06-11 - 3.58 units (Props)
01-04 - 2.68 units (Outrights)

TOTAL: -4.91 units

All lines from dimes/sportsbook

MATCH-UPS

2.50 units Martin Truex (-115) over Jamie McMurray
Head to head Truex has beaten JMac 4 out of 5 so far this year, was better this weekend in practice and quals including having the 4th fastest 10 lap avg in Happy Hour on Friday, high once again on the MWR teams this weekend all look like Top 10 with potential to be better

1.50 units Brad Keselowski (-125) over Kasey Kahne
Kez won last time out on a short track, Kahne has been fast pretty much all year but has been unable to close the deal with no finish better than 14th and 3 of the 5 races 29th or worse, and this is not exactly his best track

1.50 units Kevin Harvick (+105) over Kyle Busch
Love Harvick in this spot, 3 straight Top 5's at Martinsville, fastest 10 lap avg. in Happy Hour. Kyle has potential to be Top 3 or better but will take Harvick's consistency over the 18

PROPS

3.00 units Jeff Gordon (-125) Top 5
Really putting a lot on the line with Gordon today. Its still early but its almost desperate mode for the 24 team. Outside of Hamlin no one gets around here better.
Was fastest in both practices, has fastest 10 lap avg. in practice 1 and 2nd in Happy Hour

2.00 units Denny Hamlin (+150) Top 3
As long as there is no funny business or mechanical issues this should be good, 3.7 avg finish here the last 6 races

1.50 units Kevin Harvick (-105) Top 5
3 straight Top 5's here

1.00 unit Dale Jr (-105) under 8.5
Off to a good start this year and has been 7th, 2nd, and 7th last 3 starts at Martinsville

1.00 unit Jimmie Johnson (-115) Top 5
Based on past history, 5th place avg. last 6 maybe even better than that if you go back further

OUTRIGHTS

1.50 units Denny Hamlin (+450)
1.50 units Jeff Gordon (+500)
Think the favorites are the way to go on this one

Good luck!
 

New member
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Sep 3, 2005
Messages
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well, that hurt....thanks Reutimann. what should have a +13 unit day wound up losing almost 4
 

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