VP's Diamond picks : 4/8/12 (YTD:4-4-1; -1.8 units)

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Rough day yesterday, but it was a base hit away from being a winning day. Oh well, time to pick it up today.

Marlins/Reds Marlins +115 (2 units)
Zambrano's debut as a Marlin, and his career numbers are pretty good against the Reds. A 3.28 ERA, and the only player in the Reds lineup with an average over .300 against him is Votto. Arroyo on the other hand has lost a bit of his velocity over the last few years, and his numbers have shown it. He's posted a 3.96 ERA against the Marlins and their newest SS Reyes has feasted on Arroyo in his career.
 

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Twins/Orioles over 9 @-115 (2 units)
Swarzak gets the nod today with the absence of Hendriks. Swarzak has had one start against the O's in which he went 3.1 inning and gave up 6 runs, 5 earned. He finished the season with a 4.32 ERA. Jason Hammel is making the move from NL to the AL, and I don't expect it to go so easily for him. Last season Hammel went 7-13, 4.76 ERA. The only two batters on the Twins lineup that he's seen more than 10 times are Willingham (4-10, 1 HR) and Carroll (6-12, 2 RBI). I expect each team to put up at least 4 runs.
 

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White Sox/Rangers Rangers - 160 (2 units)
Harrison 2-0, 3.54 ERA against the Sox, while Floyd is 2-3, 4.73 ERA against the Rangers.
The White Sox will show to be a pretty terrible squad once this season reaches it's end. Floyd has gotten steadily worse over the course of the last 3 years, with an average ERA of over 4. Harrison pitches pretty well at home, though he will give up a few runs. The price is a bit steep, but I think there is still value.
 

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A bit of bad luck in the Marlins game, and I couldn't have been more wrong about Hammel's first start with the O's...

I might take a few days off and only post if I really really like a line. These totals are killing me early.
 

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