Here is the idea, it's late so I will need to fine tune the parameters tomorrow . . .
This system would be based on betting the over in the 1st 5 innings for lets say the top 10 offensive teams.
Reason I am thinking this is that how many times do we see pitchers come out and just not have their stuff? The manager leaves them in there because he can't go to the bullpen that early or they are just settling in. We see it everyday - 3, 4, 6 runs in an inning. Even if it's not that much, lets just say 2-3 runs and the other team only needs to score 2 to push it over.
- I would want to start it on the 4th game of the 1st 5 innings going under, I would venture to guess that if we back tracked this thing we would find that it would be very rare that 7 games go under in a row for the highest offensive teams.
- The other idea would be the under 5 innings, maybe should back track both as one could say that quite often the pitchers come out on top of their game and bats are sluggish or just have a hard time getting the pitcher figured out in the early innings leading to an under 1st 5.
I am going to be working on this over the weekend. If anyone would like to help me out with this, ideas, parameters, tracking, it would be much appreciated. I know there is a lot of chase systems out there, but I think that there is definite money to be made in them. I am actually looking for something that is less about capping the games out and more about just following guidelines.
This system would be based on betting the over in the 1st 5 innings for lets say the top 10 offensive teams.
Reason I am thinking this is that how many times do we see pitchers come out and just not have their stuff? The manager leaves them in there because he can't go to the bullpen that early or they are just settling in. We see it everyday - 3, 4, 6 runs in an inning. Even if it's not that much, lets just say 2-3 runs and the other team only needs to score 2 to push it over.
- I would want to start it on the 4th game of the 1st 5 innings going under, I would venture to guess that if we back tracked this thing we would find that it would be very rare that 7 games go under in a row for the highest offensive teams.
- The other idea would be the under 5 innings, maybe should back track both as one could say that quite often the pitchers come out on top of their game and bats are sluggish or just have a hard time getting the pitcher figured out in the early innings leading to an under 1st 5.
I am going to be working on this over the weekend. If anyone would like to help me out with this, ideas, parameters, tracking, it would be much appreciated. I know there is a lot of chase systems out there, but I think that there is definite money to be made in them. I am actually looking for something that is less about capping the games out and more about just following guidelines.
