MadPickers 2012 MLB Thread

MadPicker · Apr 13, 2012

Second week in the RX, and finally time to start posting! I am super pumped for 2012 MLB bets! Been watching the games closely so far and ready to let the units rack up in my pocket. I always wait til the 2nd week in April to bet, that way I have seen most starters and how they performed. Now that they have the opening day jitters out of their system, it is time to DOMINATE the book. This is my second season using the same system + research , and Im looking for another great year. I use to do 1 unit plays, but I completely stopepd doing that after I went and looked at my stat sheet. I use 2 unit plays ($50), 3 unit plays ($75), and 4 unit plays ($100). Dont expect any followers since I am really new and havent proved anything, but hope I can make some money and get some others some insight to games and why they should pick them.

MLB YTD (0-0) +0 units.
1 game for 4/13/12
Seattle Mariners -151 2 units
This one looks obvious with "King Felix" on the mound, but there is more to it. Hernandez has won 6 consecutive decisions over Oakland and is 12-2 with a 2.57 ERA in his last 19 match-ups.He's also won five straight home starts against the A's while posting a 1.77 ERA and is 7-2 with a 2.07 ERA in 10 all-time matchups there.
BOL

MadPicker · Apr 13, 2012

Last play of the night but I think it is the best one of the day. Bartolo was solid his first outing and Felix is always dominating at home and against Oakland. Dont expect anyone to score in the first inning.
2nd play Will either team score a run in the first inning? No. In four games between the two, they only scored in the first inning once. 25 percent chance they score in the first inning, so going with the odds.

N OAK/SEA SCORE 1ST INN -160

MadPicker · Apr 13, 2012

No score first inning winner! Ytd 1-0 +3 units. Sorry I did not post my units on the play how many units I was in a hurry but it was 3.6 units to win 3. I'm on the road but will post my bet off website for verification in stats.

MadPicker · Apr 14, 2012

Ytd (1-1) +1 units. (+$25.00) below is the second one placed to win 3 units.

Apr 13 10:10 PMSTRAIGHT BET
[6930] N OAK/SEA SC 1ST INN -160
(Y OAK/SEA SC 1ST INN vrs N OAK/SEA SC 1ST INN)
120/75
WIN
WIN
75

MadPicker · Apr 14, 2012

Buchholz is 4-2 with a 1.81 ERA in eight career starts versus Tampa Bay -- his lowest ERA against any AL club.
The right-hander had gone 42 straight starts without giving up more than five earned runs.

Hellickson went 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA in two starts at Fenway last season.

Hard to figure out who is going to win this one, with Buchholz's 16 ERA in his debut but 4-2 against Tampa Bay lifetime, a team he dominates. And Hellickson going 2-0 at Fenway. He shut the Yanks down giving up 3 hits in 8 innings, but was struck in the head by a ball in practice but insists he feels fine. If I had to choose I would take Tampa Bay, but.... I love the under 9 today. Hellickson will shut the down and Boston will score a few runs late off relief probably. Just hope Buchholz can redeem himself after the first outing, and can continue to dominate Tampa Bay. Think the final is Tampa Bay 4- Boston 2. Lets hope its lower than that!
First play 4/14/12 Over/Under 9 Boston/Tampa Bay UNDER -115. Not 10 runs here. To win 2 units (58/50) ytd 1-1

MadPicker · Apr 14, 2012

and it is over 10 in the 6th. Damn. ytd 1-2 (-1 unit) (-$25.00)

MadPicker · Apr 14, 2012

Dodgers -136 2units
The left-hander is 10-4 with a 2.68 lifetime ERA against the Padres, including 4-1 with a 1.89 ERA last season. He won all three of his home starts versus San Diego in 2011.

MadPicker · Apr 15, 2012

ytd 2-2 +1 unit (+$25.00)
{Pending bet Dodgers Listed Kershaw -200} Put this bet in 10 minutes before gametime, but posting now bc they tied it in the 6th. Not counting it since it is in my 3 game parlay. IT is the only one left in my parlay, I risked 2 units to win 6 units.

MadPicker · Apr 16, 2012

Leans Boston, Phillies, Nats (even tho -255..wow) few others.
Boston game info
Sheilds at Fenway is 1-9 with a 6.75 ERA in 10 starts. Might take Bos 1st half since Tampa Bay is a late game team. Kinda like OKC in nba

MadPicker · Apr 16, 2012

Going to research Detroi -188 a lot in the next couple of hours. Might be a huge play on detroit here. Verlander always dominates the Royals. He should be 2-0 but has had poor offense on his side in both starts where he pitched 8 innings and had a 2-0 lead. He is 0-1, 2.20 ERA. In Verlanders last 4 starts against the Royals he has a 1.82 ERA and in his career he is 13-2 with a 2.40 ERA against them.
Verlander is 8-2 with a 1.82 ERA lifetime at Kauffman Stadium.
So of the 15 games he has won 13 (8 of which were in Kansas City). Going with 4 unit 3 team parlay and taking this one as game one. See yal tom

brumbies · Apr 16, 2012

nice lines you got! May i know what books are you using?

MadPicker · Apr 16, 2012

It is 1betvegas.com I live in Alabama and he is a local. Are you looking at the Dodgers line? That is the second game not the final with Kershaw pitching. That one was around -200. Woke up too late for the Red/sox game... O well. Time to research!

MadPicker · Apr 16, 2012

Ytd 2-2 +1 unit ($25.00)
Tonight doing a 3 game parlay 4 units to win 19 units. Team one Detroit -175 with 2 open plays. ( $100 to win $473) right now (will go down since I will take one more baseball game and then hedge it with a nbaa game) like always. Grew a pair the other night and didnt hedge, but Dodgers almost blew 4 units for me with that last comeback....
Also going to lay 7 units to win 4 (betting $175 to win 100) on Detroit -175.
Going to stop posting how many units im betting and just using the actually payment (ex 140 to win 100). Its getting to big of a hassle.

Best of luck tonight guys! I am not on this pick with Vark and Rodgers, I have done my own research and picks on it so please dont come in with bs like your following someone else so you cant count it. (Prime example Moocow in Varks thread)...

MadPicker · Apr 16, 2012

Detroit -175 pending ($175 for $100)
3 game parlay Det -175 pending

Going to add one more game. Found some neat stats that were very interesting so I jumped on this
Detroit/Kansas City NO score in the first inning -140
Neither teams pitcher has given up a run in the first inning this year, and neither team has scored in the first inning in the first game of series this year. Bol guys betting $140 for $100 on this one
YTD 2-2 +25$

MadPicker · Apr 16, 2012

3 game parlay adding Min T wolves Nba* -1.5 second half.

MadPicker · Apr 16, 2012

2-3 ytd -$115 detroit first inning no score loser :/

MadPicker · Apr 16, 2012

3 game parlay 1-0 with Det pending.

MadPicker · Apr 17, 2012

YTD (3-3) -$115 +100 =-$15 total. Butttt have 2 of my 3 parlay have hit. Cant decide if I will hedge or Go for the full $475!

MadPicker · Apr 17, 2012

Ok im 3-3 ytd -$15 total.
3 game parlay pending..
just took Arizona -18o for final pick. $100 to win $ 368.
Hedged it taking pitt +165 $60 to win $100. So I either break even or make $368-60 =$308. Need Az tonight!
Other plays $58 on Under 8.5 Arizona game to win $50
and no score in the first inning Arizona game $53 to win $50. best of Luck tonight guys!

MadPicker · Apr 18, 2012

YTD 3-5 ($15-$53-$58= -$126..)
under 8.5 Arizona loser
No score in first inning Arizona game loser

following Rodgers12 on Tampa Bay +101 and St. Lous -130 (will not count)

Looking at no score in first inning Phillies/Giants game -165. Two great pitchers, but Phillies bats seem to be on fire especially J Rollins batting 3rd.

MadPickers 2012 MLB Thread

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