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Long Sheet

Monday, April 16


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HOUSTON (4 - 5) at WASHINGTON (7 - 3) - 7:05 PM
KYLE WEILAND (R) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 61-112 (-33.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 59-111 (-35.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 38-85 (-35.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 24-55 (-20.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 87-85 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 32-26 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 87-85 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KYLE WEILAND vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. HOUSTON since 1997
STRASBURG is 0-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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NY METS (6 - 3) at ATLANTA (5 - 4) - 7:10 PM
DILLON GEE (R) vs. TOMMY HANSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 45-39 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 45-39 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 31-27 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 36-28 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 22-17 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 3-0 (+3.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

DILLON GEE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GEE is 2-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.359.
His team's record is 4-3 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.5 units)

TOMMY HANSON vs. NY METS since 1997
HANSON is 3-4 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.205.
His team's record is 4-4 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.6 units)

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SAN DIEGO (2 - 8) at COLORADO (4 - 5) - 8:40 PM
CORY LUEBKE (L) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 73-100 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 11-25 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 29-54 (-21.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 73-100 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 39-74 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 59-53 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 77-96 (-33.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 41-46 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 31-48 (-24.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 77-96 (-33.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 106-119 (-33.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 73-81 (-32.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CORY LUEBKE vs. COLORADO since 1997
LUEBKE is 1-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.476.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
GUTHRIE is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.625.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (3 - 6) at ARIZONA (6 - 3) - 9:40 PM
ERIK BEDARD (L) vs. JOE SAUNDERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 133-236 (-51.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 19-55 (-23.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 31-80 (-30.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 199-414 (-99.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ARIZONA is 103-75 (+29.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 57-31 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 103-75 (+29.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 76-52 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 63-40 (+23.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 57-36 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAUNDERS is 97-70 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 93-67 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 15-7 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ERIK BEDARD vs. ARIZONA since 1997
BEDARD is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JOE SAUNDERS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
SAUNDERS is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (4 - 5) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 5) - 10:15 PM
ROY HALLADAY (R) vs. TIM LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 155-96 (+57.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 850-704 (+107.2 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
HALLADAY is 21-4 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ROY HALLADAY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
HALLADAY is 1-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.97 and a WHIP of 1.453.
His team's record is 1-4 (-4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
LINCECUM is 5-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.61 and a WHIP of 1.013.
His team's record is 5-6 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+3.0 units)

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TAMPA BAY (4 - 5) at BOSTON (4 - 5) - 11:05AM
JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. DANIEL BARD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 438-534 (+22.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 46-26 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-37 (-17.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-32 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-0 (+3.1 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. BOSTON since 1997
SHIELDS is 7-14 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.51 and a WHIP of 1.288.
His team's record is 7-16 (-10.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-8. (+4.5 units)

DANIEL BARD vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

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MINNESOTA (2 - 7) at NY YANKEES (5 - 4) - 7:05 PM
CARL PAVANO (R) vs. FREDDY GARCIA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CARL PAVANO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PAVANO is 0-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.099.
His team's record is 3-4 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+4.0 units)

FREDDY GARCIA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
GARCIA is 10-7 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.251.
His team's record is 13-9 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-8. (+3.8 units)

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BALTIMORE (5 - 4) at CHI WHITE SOX (5 - 3) - 8:10 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. PHILIP HUMBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 38-46 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 40-48 (-19.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 38-46 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 24-32 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JAKE ARRIETA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
ARRIETA is 1-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 7.00 and a WHIP of 1.889.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

PHILIP HUMBER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HUMBER is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.231.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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DETROIT (6 - 3) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 6) - 8:10 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 107-77 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 52-24 (+23.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 15-1 (+13.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
VERLANDER is 13-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.39 and a WHIP of 1.072.
His team's record is 15-4 (+8.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-10. (-3.6 units)

DANNY DUFFY vs. DETROIT since 1997
DUFFY is 0-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.63 and a WHIP of 1.375.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

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OAKLAND (4 - 6) at LA ANGELS (3 - 6) - 10:05 PM
BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 73-92 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 92-124 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 41-73 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 24-32 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 618-532 (+68.4 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997.
WEAVER is 13-1 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 34-32 (+30.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MCCARTHY is 1-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.02 and a WHIP of 1.675.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

JERED WEAVER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
WEAVER is 6-7 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.152.
His team's record is 9-11 (-7.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-4. (+9.2 units)
 

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Washington 19-6 SU at home vs. NL Central opponents

NY Mets at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Gee: 12-6 TSR as an underdog
Hanson: 9-3 Under in April

San Diego at Colorado, 8:40 ET
Luebke: San Diego 6-18 SU off 4+ losses
Guthrie: 13-4 Over in home games

Pittsburgh at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Bedard: Pittsburgh 31-74 SU as a road underdog of +125 to +175
Saunders: Arizona 32-10 SU as a favorite of -125 to -175

Philadelphia at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Halladay: 21-4 TSR with a total of 7 runs or less
Lincecum: San Francisco 22-5 Under at home with a line of +125 to -125


American League

Tampa Bay at Boston, 11:05am ET

Shields: 8-1 TSR away in the first half of the season
Bard: Boston 17-7 Over as a home favorite of -150 or less

Minnesota at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET ESPN
Pavano: 3-13 TSR vs. AL East opponents
Garcia: 16-7 TSR pitching on 5 or 6 days rest

Baltimore at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Arrieta: 13-3 Over in night games
Humber: White Sox 6-15 SU at home off BB Unders

Detroit at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Verlander: 15-1 TSR vs. division opponents
Duffy: Kansas City 3-15 SU off a division loss by 6+ runs

Oakland at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
McCarthy: 5-0 TSR as an underdog of +175 to +250
Weaver: 20-4 Under as a favorite of -175 to -250
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 16


Hot pitchers
-- Strasburg is 3-0, 0.47 in his last three starts.
-- Halladay is 4-1, 1.22 in his last five starts.

-- Arrieta is 1-0, 2.63 in his first two starts this season.
-- Verlander is 0-1, 2.20 in his first two starts this season. Duffy is 2-0, 4.50 in his last three starts.
-- Weaver is 3-1, 2.80 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- KWeiland is 0-4, 8.77 in his six major league starts.
-- Gee is 1-2, 6.12 in his last six starts. Hanson is 1-3, 5.68 in his last five outings.
-- Luebke is 1-4, 5.08 in his last seven starts. Guthrie has a 6.85 RA in his last four starts.
-- Saunders is 0-1, 3.52 in his last four starts. Bedard is 1-2, 4.18 in his last six starts, 0-2, 2.25 this season.
-- Lincecum allowed 11 runs in 7.2 IP in two starts this season.

-- Shields has a 5.49 RA in his last six starts. Bard allowed five runs in five IP in his first major league start, at Toronto.
-- FGarcia is 1-2, 7.31 in his last five starts. Pavano is 1-3, 4.64 in his last six starts.
-- Humber is 0-1, 5.84 in his last four starts.
-- McCarthy is 0-2, 3.55 in his last five starts.

Hot teams
-- Nationals won five of their last six games.
-- Atlanta won its last five games, after an 0-4 start. Mets won six of their first nine games.
-- Colorado is 3-2 in its last five home games.
-- Giants won four of their last six games.

-- Red Sox won their first three home games, scoring 31 runs.
-- Bronx won five of its last six games.
-- White Sox won five of their last seven games.

Cold teams
-- Astros lost four of their last five games.
-- Padres lost eight of their first ten games.
-- Pirates lost six of their last eight games. Arizona lost four of its last six games.
-- Phillies lost five of their last eight games.

-- Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.
-- Minnesota lost seven of its first nine games.
-- Orioles lost four of their last six games.
-- Tigers lost three of their last five games. Royals lost four of their last five games.
-- Oakland is 3-5 in its last eight games. Angels lost six of nine games.

Totals
-- Last six Houston games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Four of last six San Diego games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Pirate games this season.
-- Five of last seven Philly games went over the total.

-- Six of last eight Boston games went over the total
-- Five of last seven Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of eight White Sox games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Kansas City games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-3 in Angels' last eight games.
 

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Monday, April 16


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Trend Report
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11:05 AM
TAMPA BAY vs. BOSTON
Tampa Bay is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Washington's last 24 games when playing Houston
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
NY Yankees are 16-2 SU in their last 18 games when playing at home against Minnesota
NY Yankees are 15-6 SU in their last 21 games at home

7:10 PM
NY METS vs. ATLANTA
NY Mets are 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Baltimore is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore

8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games

8:40 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. COLORADO
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
San Diego is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Colorado's last 13 games when playing at home against San Diego

9:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ARIZONA
Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Arizona is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

10:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. LA ANGELS
Oakland is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Angels's last 12 games when playing at home against Oakland
LA Angels are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing at home against Oakland

10:15 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
 

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Monday, April 16


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Hot lines: Monday's best MLB bets
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Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox (-115, 9.5)

Don't ask us what subluxation of a shoulder means. We know it's bad and it's what put Red Sox outfielder Jacoby Ellsbury on the disabled list.

"We'll try to get him back as soon as possible with the best possible care known to man," manager Bobby Valentine told the Boston Globe. "I haven't heard the word 'surgery' mentioned, but I said, whatever the best possible care is, that's what he'll get."

Ellsbury was off to a modest start but he was arguably Boston's best player a year ago. Carl Crawford would be the guy to step in and bat leadoff with Ellsbury out, but the former Tampa Bay Ray is on the disabled list with a sore wrist.

Boston's offense needs a table setter, so this could be a lucky break for visiting Tampa Bay.

Pick: Rays


Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants (-105, 6)


Fear the beard no more. Brian Wilson is on the injury shelf, and the Giants aren't expecting to see their closer shutting the door in the ninth inning anytime soon.

The reports say that Wilson has structural damage in his right elbow. San Fran plans on getting another MRI done on the elbow this week but the early prognosis isn't good.

"He's a huge impact player," teammate Barry Zito said of Wilson, according to the San Francisco Chronicle. "He can change the whole dynamic of a team, both on and off the field. It's a huge blow."

It's unclear who'll replace Wilson as the club's closer. It is clear that Tim Lincecum will need to pitch much better than he has in his first two starts for the Giants to top the Phillies on Monday.

Pick: Phillies
 

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Dunkel


Oakland at LA Angels
The A's look to take advantage of an Angels team that is coming off an 11-5 loss to the Yankees and is 0-5 in its last 5 games after scoring 5 or more runs in the previous game. Oakland is the pick (+180) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+180). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, APRIL 16

Game 951-952: Houston at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Weiland) 15.540; Washington (Strasburg) 15.255
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-260); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+220); Over

Game 953-954: NY Mets at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 15.799; Atlanta (Hanson) 15.027
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+145); Under

Game 955-956: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Luebke) 14.217; Colorado (Guthrie) 15.326
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-135); Over

Game 957-958: Pittsburgh at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Bedard) 15.864; Arizona (Saunders) 14.561
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+120); Under

Game 959-960: Philadelphia at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Halladay) 14.521; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.696
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 5
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-105); Under

Game 961-962: Tampa Bay at Boston (11:05 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.645; Boston (Bard) 14.737
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+100); Over

Game 963-964: Minnesota at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 14.164; NY Yankees (Garcia) 15.798
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 965-966: Baltimore at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Arrieta) 15.848; White Sox (Humber) 15.155
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+105); Over

Game 967-968: Detroit at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.643; Kansas City (Duffy) 13.959
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-200); Under

Game 969-970: Oakland at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (McCarthy) 15.023; LA Angels (Weaver) 14.366
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-210); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+180); Over
 

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Long Sheet

Monday, April 16


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NEW ORLEANS (18 - 42) at CHARLOTTE (7 - 52) - 4/16/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-51 ATS (-28.1 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 39-58 ATS (-24.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
CHARLOTTE is 25-48 ATS (-27.8 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CHARLOTTE is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) after scoring 85 points or less this season.
CHARLOTTE is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (25 - 36) at INDIANA (38 - 22) - 4/16/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 151-191 ATS (-59.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
INDIANA is 122-86 ATS (+27.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (31 - 28) at ORLANDO (35 - 25) - 4/16/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ORLANDO is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 9-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 9-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (35 - 25) at TORONTO (22 - 39) - 4/16/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 8-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (42 - 17) at NEW JERSEY (22 - 39) - 4/16/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games after allowing 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 63-78 ATS (-22.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 84-105 ATS (-31.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (14 - 46) at CHICAGO (46 - 14) - 4/16/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-58 ATS (-28.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 69-90 ATS (-30.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-61 ATS (-25.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 35-25 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 82-55 ATS (+21.5 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (33 - 27) at HOUSTON (32 - 28) - 4/16/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 128-177 ATS (-66.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
HOUSTON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days this season.
HOUSTON is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (28 - 33) at PHOENIX (31 - 29) - 4/16/2012, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 8-6 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 8-7 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (34 - 27) at UTAH (31 - 30) - 4/16/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 90-71 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 8-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (42 - 16) at GOLDEN STATE (22 - 37) - 4/16/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 54-36 ATS (+14.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 295-245 ATS (+25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (44 - 16) at LA CLIPPERS (37 - 23) - 4/16/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 135-109 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 70-51 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 389-458 ATS (-114.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 267-319 ATS (-83.9 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 131-182 ATS (-69.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-5 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, April 16


New Orleans at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
New Orleans: 28-14 ATS away after playing as an underdog
Charlotte: 2-12 ATS at home in April

Minnesota at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Minnesota: 17-8 Over as a road underdog
Indiana: 7-21 ATS off BB ATS wins

Philadelphia at Orlando, 7:05 ET NBATV
Philadelphia: 22-11 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Orlando: 10-24 ATS off a road win by 10+ points

Atlanta at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Atlanta: 1-9 ATS off a loss by 10+ points as a favorite
Toronto: 22-9 ATS after losing 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

Miami at New Jersey, 7:35 ET
Miami: 12-2 ATS away after allowing 85 points or less
New Jersey: 4-12 ATS as a home underdog

Washington at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Washington: 7-18 ATS playing their third game in four days
Chicago: 21-10 ATS off an Over

Denver at Houston, 8:05 ET
Denver: 9-18 ATS after playing as a home favorite
Houston: 8-1 ATS at home off a road loss

(TC) Portland at Phoenix, 10:05 ET
Portland: 11-3 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Phoenix: 4-14 ATS revenging a road loss

Dallas at Utah, 9:05 ET
Dallas: 32-14 ATS as a road underdog
Utah: 10-22 ATS off BB road games

San Antonio at Golden State, 10:35 ET
San Antonio: 25-9 ATS in the second half of the season
Golden State: 2-10 ATS at home off an Over

Oklahoma City at LA Clippers, 10:35 ET NBATV
Oklahoma City: 13-2 ATS away playing with same-season revenge
LA Clippers: 4-15 ATS after scoring 110+ points

(TC) Time Change
 

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Staff Aces Accent Monday MLB Betting Schedule

Season debuts and the third-time through accent the starting pitching matchups as MLB segues from the end of Week 2 on Sunday to Monday's start to Week 3. But first, a look at some trends on the totals side of the baseball betting board as we continue to track early season returns.

Friday the 13th found the 'over' to be the lucky wager for a second straight week. Nine contests on the full 15-game card skipped above scoreboard hurdles a week after going 5-3-1 the previous Friday.

That leaves 'over' bettors a profitable 33-19-1 on Friday through Sunday, while Monday through Thursday are sporting a 36-18-3 showing on the 'under.' Though it is early, it's a trend that bears watching as the season continues to grind forward.

Three Hurlers Make 2012 Debuts On Sunday

Teams will be pressed into using their No. 5 arms more and more now that extra off days have petered out on the early slate. Among the three arms set to make their 2012 debuts on Sunday is Liam Hendriks who takes the mound for the Minnesota Twins in their 2:10 p.m. (ET) start at home vs. Neftali Feliz and the Texas Rangers.

Hendriks is in the Minnesota rotation in place of the injured Scott Baker who will undergo elbow surgery this week and miss the entire season. Hendriks got his first taste of the big leagues last September with four assignments, three of them going in the loss column for the Twins. The Aussie got into eight games this spring, four of them starts, and recorded a nice 2.84 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 25+ innings.

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Colorado Rockies will also be killing off a 3-game set with a Sunday matinee (3:10 p.m. ET) at Coors Field. Trevor Cahill is scheduled to toss for the Snakes while the Rocks send Drew Pomeranz to the mound for his first start of the year. Pomeranz was very impressive this spring with five exhibition outings in which he allowed just one run over 17 frames. The southpaw out of Ole Miss made four starts for Colorado last September with mixed results. Two of the starts came in the Mile High City where he totaled 10-2/3 innings and allowed just two runs on six hits.

Sunday is capped off with ESPN's Sunday evening broadcast from the Bronx where the New York Yankees and Los Angeles Angels conclude their weekend set (8:00 p.m. ET). Jerome Williams, who has been nursing a sore hammy to begin the campaign, will get the call for manager Mike Scioscia and the Halos. It's Williams' first start of the season, and he'll be opposed by Ivan Nova.

Williams made 10 appearances for the Angels last year, six in the starting role. Los Angeles won five of the six starts, and he ended the season 4-0 with a 3.68 ERA.

Aces Galore For Patriots Day

Ten games make up Monday's schedule, and 11 pitchers who earned opening day starts coming out of spring training are part of them. Two of the contests pit No. 1 starters, both of them late games in Anaheim and San Francisco.

Brandon McCarthy and the Oakland A's will be at the Big A for a 10:05 p.m. (ET) first pitch against Angels ace Jered Weaver. This will be McCarthy's fourth trip to the mound this season after he got the nod in Japan a few weeks back when the A's and Mariners played in Tokyo. The righty from just up I-5 in Glendale has posted a nice 2.50 ERA in the outings, but his offense and/or defense has let him down with the Athletics just 1-2 in those games.

Weaver hits the bump for the third time and coming off a rough performance in Minnesota on Wednesday when he allowed five runs in six innings. The Angels won four of his five starts vs. Oakland in 2011, Weaver fashioning a 1.42 ERA in 38 innings of work.

The final game on Monday's schedule is at AT&T Park where Roy Halladay and the Philadelphia Phillies open a 3-game series against Tim Lincecum and the San Francisco Giants. Halladay has been just about untouchable in his first two starts of the season, winning both outings while allowing just seven hits and a run in 15 innings. Lincecum has been throwing BP in his first two starts, meanwhile, giving up 11 runs in less than eight innings of work on the road at Arizona and Colorado. The Giants lost both tilts.

He could get back on track against a Phillies team that he's beaten in three of his last four assignments. That includes Game 1 of the 2010 NLCS when Lincecum bested Halladay in Philly, a 4-3 victory for San Fran.

Here's a quick look at the rest of the opening day pitchers who will be in action on Monday:
•James Shields gets the ball for the Rays in the annual Patriots Day contest at Fenway Park (11:05 a.m. ET). Shields is 1-6 with a 5.93 ERA in his last seven starts at the old park that is about to celebrate its 100th birthday, and will be opposed by Boston's Daniel Bard.
•Carl Pavano is slated to open a 3-game series for Minnesota at the New York Yankees. The game will be broadcast by ESPN (7:00 p.m. ET).
•Washington's Stephen Strasburg will begin a 4-game home series against the Houston Astros.
•Tommy Hanson and the Braves are home to face the New York Mets.
•Justin Verlander and the Detroit Tigers will start a 3-game series in Kansas City.
•Jeremy Guthrie and the Rockies begin a 3-game series at Coors Field opposite the San Diego Padres.
•Erik Bedard will make his third start of the campaign for the Pirates who continue a long 9-game trip out west with the first of three vs. Arizona.
 

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Diamond Trends - Monday

April 16, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Pirates are 0-12 since June 17, 2011 as a road dog when they are off a win in which they never trailed for a net profit of $1200 when playing against.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Twins are 11-0 OU since May 01, 2011 as a dog when they came back from a deficit to win in their starter’s last start for a net profit of $1100 when playing the over.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Angels are 12-0 since September 04, 2006 when Jered Weaver starts at home when he is off a start in which their team scored first and lost for a net profit of $1225

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


The Rays are 0-20 (-4.4 rpg) since 2006 when their line is within 20 cents of pickem and they are off a multiple-run loss in which they left ten or fewer men on base individually.

TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Rays are 7-0 since April 08, 2011 when James Shields starts in April for a net profit of $832.

The Braves are 6-0 since May 16, 2011 when Tommy Hanson starts after facing 25 or fewer hitters for a net profit of $640
 

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Hoop Trends - Monday

April 16, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Pacers are 15-0 ATS (11.8 ppg) since April 07, 1999 as a favorite after a road win in which they committed fewer than ten turnovers.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Pacers are 0-16 OU (-13.0 ppg) since January 24, 2003 as a home favorite with at least one day of rest after a win in which they committed fewer than ten turnovers.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Hawks are 0-10 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since February 28, 2007 on the road after losing the previous matchup at home in which Joe Johnson shot worse than 33% from the field.

CHOICE TREND:


The 76ers are 0-10 ATS (-6.2 ppg) since November 28, 2008 on the road after a home loss in which they scored less than 10% of their points from the three-point line.

TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Hornets are 0-9 ATS (-9.7 ppg) since December 28, 2008 as a favorite when they held their opponent to fewer than 80 points in their last game.

The Spurs are 0-11 ATS (-5.4 ppg) since January 15, 2007 on the road off a home win in which their leading scorer for that game had fewer than 20 points.

The League is 0-12 OU (-11.4 ppg) since December 06, 2010 after a double digit win in which less than 40% of their baskets were assisted. Active on Toronto.
 

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Halladay's Phils visit Lincecum's Giants Monday


PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (4-5)

at SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (4-5)


First pitch: Monday, 10:15 p.m. EDT
Line: Philadelphia -115, San Francisco +105, Total: 6

Two 4-5 squads will each look to move back to .500 with their ace toeing the rubber on Monday night when Roy Halladay and Tim Lincecum square off in the opener of a three-game set between the Phillies and Giants.

Lincecum has not looked like his usual dominant self to start the season. He has lasted a total of 7.2 innings in his two starts, allowing 11 earned runs on 14 hits. Although the Philadelphia bats have been inconsistent this season, scoring two runs or less in five of nine games, they broke out Sunday with an eight-run barrage facing a Mets bullpen that had been dominant to start the year. Halladay, on the other hand, was on the hill for Philadelphia’s first two wins of the season, allowing just one earned run and seven hits in 15 innings in 2012. He has his work cut out for him against a Giants lineup that has averaged 4.8 runs per game, but over the past two seasons, Halladay has led his team to a 21-4 record when he faces a strong mound opponent that helps puts the total at less than 7. Take PHILADELPHIA and Halladay in this matchup of aces.

This strong FoxSheets coaching trend also favors the Phillies:

CHARLIE MANUEL is 98-57 (63.2%, +32.6 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.3, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 2*).

A few Phillies in sore need of breaking out did just that against the Mets Sunday. Juan Pierre, who had been batting .250 on the season, upped that with a 3-for-4 performance. Ty Wigginton, batting just .222, came through with a four-RBI night, giving him five on the year. And others who had been playing well stayed hot, such as Jimmy Rollins (.351 BA) and Hunter Pence (.314 BA), who each added an RBI and two runs scored. All of this is a good sign for this offense that has needed players to step up in the absence of injured stars Ryan Howard (Achilles) and Chase Utley (knee). They might not need too much offensive support if Halladay continues to pitch as he has all season, but this confluence of good factors makes the Phillies the play here.

The Giants best hope for success in this game is that they continue their historical success against Halladay, even if it seems likely that the well will run dry eventually against such a dominant pitcher. In three regular-season starts against the Giants in his career, Halladay is 0-2 with a 7.23 ERA, with San Francisco hitters batting .313 against him. This inexplicable success may have to continue as Lincecum’s inexplicable woes have made him a dangerous bet, despite having a lineup that has scored at least four runs in all but one game this season. Halladay and Lincecum also met twice in the 2010 NLCS. Lincecum won the first matchup 4-3, as he allowed three runs on six hits in seven innings, and pitched even better in the second outing (7 IP, 4 H, 2 ER). But Halladay won that contest 4-2 as he allowed just two runs in six strong innings, the first time he allowed less than four runs in a start versus San Francisco.
 

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Yankees look to retain dominance over Twins Monday

MINNESOTA TWINS (2-7)

at NEW YORK YANKEES (5-4)


First pitch: Monday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: New York -180, Minnesota +170, Total: 10

After getting swept at home by the Rangers, things don’t get any easier for the slumping Twins when they begin a four-game series Monday in the Bronx against the surging Yankees.

After starting the season 0-3, New York has won five of its past six games, capped off by an 11-run explosion on Sunday night against the Angels. Minnesota has already lost seven times this year, scoring a total of just 12 runs in those defeats. The Twins are certainly capable of tacking on some runs against Freddy Garcia, but Monday’s starter, Carl Pavano, has never pitched well in the Bronx, posting a 6.12 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 13 starts at old Yankee Stadium. This will likely be a slugfest, and the Yankees certainly have the superior bats (5.1 runs per game, .343 OBP) to Minnesota (3.1 runs per game, .314 OBP) in this matchup. The pick here is with the chalk, NEW YORK to notch the series-opening victory, and improve to 10-2 versus the Twins in new Yankee Stadium.

This strong FoxSheets trend also favors the Yankees:

MINNESOTA is 34-71 (32.4%, -30.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MINNESOTA 3.6, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 2*).

The Twins were outscored 14-6 in their three losses to Texas. They cranked out 28 hits, but left 26 runners on base in the series. Minnesota is batting a dreadful .221 with runners in scoring position this season, and that number doesn’t expect to rise in the Bronx, where the team is a miserable 5-28 (.152) since 2002.

Pavano (0-1, 5.93 ERA) has pitched in new Yankee Stadium only once, back in 2009 with Cleveland, and did a nice job with 6 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB and 4 K. He hasn’t faced New York in the regular season since that matchup, but he is certainly no fan favorite with Yankees fans after an injury-riddled four seasons in New York where he won just nine games and posted a 5.01 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. He’s faced four Yankee hitters at least 10 times, baffling Andruw Jones (2-for-20, 1 HR, 3 K) and Curtis Granderson to a lesser extent (6-for-21, 7 K). But Derek Jeter and Raul Ibanez are a combined 7-for-20 (.350 BA) lifetime versus Pavano.

The Yankees have scored 5.7 runs per game during their 5-1 surge, batting .272 with 21 extra-base hits (13 doubles, eight homers). They saddled Pavano with a 4.15 ERA in two ALDS matchups, as the Yankees prevailed each time.

Garcia (0-0, 5.79 ERA) did not pitch well in his 2012 opener in Baltimore (4.2 IP, 4 H, 4 R, 3 ER, 3 BB, 3 K), but he has been decent against the Twins in his career, going 10-7 with a 4.04 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Other than Joe Mauer (13-for-31, 1.260 OPS), Garcia has handled the rest of Minnesota’s current roster pretty well (.246 BA, 2 HR in 65 AB).
 

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76ers visit injury-riddled Magic on Monday

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS (31-28)

at ORLANDO MAGIC (35-25)


Tip-off: Monday, 7:05 p.m. ET
Line: Philadelphia -5½, Total: 181½

If the Magic are going to continue their run of dominance over the 76ers, they are going to have to do it shorthanded when they host Philadelphia on Monday night.

Orlando actually won in Cleveland on Sunday night despite playing without superstar C Dwight Howard and losing his replacement, Glen Davis, to a knee injury in the first quarter. The Magic got by with seldom-used Daniel Orton as their only low-post presence for most of the game. Can the Magic win again without Howard? For the answer, connect to the NBA Three-at-Three Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day. The NBA Pass is an outstanding 24-11-1 ATS (69%) in April, including 8-0-1 ATS since Thursday.

The Sixers seem to have righted their ship with road wins at New Jersey and Toronto last week, though they still have some work to do to clinch a playoff spot. They followed up those two road wins at New Jersey and Toronto with a home loss to the Nets on Friday, their fifth SU defeat in seven games. Head coach Doug Collins continues to tweak his starting five, bringing SG Evan Turner (9.1 PPG, 5.8 RPG) and C Spencer Hawes (9.6 PPG, 7.6 RPG) off the bench the past three games in favor of SG Jodie Meeks (8.3 PPG) and rookie C Nikola Vucevic (5.9 PPG, 4.8 RPG). The switch has been more of a lateral move, with Turner going for 8.7 PPG on 50.0% FG over 23.0 MPG, Hawes getting 12.0 PPG and 7.3 RPG over 22.3 MPG, Meeks averaging 5.0 PPG on 25.0% FG over 25.0 MPG and Vucevic with 6.0 PPG and 6.0 RPG over 15.7 MPG.

Philadelphia is getting some excellent play from reserve PF Thaddeus Young (12.6 PPG, 5.2 RPG) of late though, as he’s averaged 16.3 PPG on 56.4% FG and 6.7 RPG over the past three games. Leading scorer Lou Williams (15.0 PPG) has shot a little bit better of late, averaging just 12.0 PPG, but shooting 48.6% FG over the past three games. This strong FoxSheets trend expects the 76ers to prevail:

Play Against - Home underdogs (ORLANDO) - good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's). (64-31 since 1996.) (67.4%, +29.9 units. Rating = 2*).

Orlando has won 12 of 14 SU (11-3 ATS) against Philly. With Howard (20.6 PPG, 57.3% FG, 49.1% FT, 14.5 RPG) out for a fourth straight game on Sunday, PG Jameer Nelson (11.6 PPG, 5.4 APG) stepped up with 21 points on 8-of-14 shooting and nine assists in a 100-84 win at Cleveland. But the Magic suffered another big loss when PF Glen Davis (8.9 PPG, 5.4 RPG), who had slid into Howard’s starting spot, went down with a knee injury in the first quarter. Davis had been averaging 18.7 PPG and 11.4 RPG over seven games since moving into the starting lineup on April 1.

In his absence, the Magic got a surprise performance from second-year C Orton. A developmental pick in the 2010 Draft who had made little progress bouncing between the D-League and Magic, Orton didn’t appear in an NBA game as a rookie and entered Sunday with six points on 1-for-8 FG and 10 rebounds in 44 minutes this season. Facing the Cavs’ undersized front line, he had 11 points (3-for-4 FG, 5-for-8 FT), four rebounds, five steals and three blocks in 29 minutes. This two-star FoxSheets trend sides with the Magic:

Play On - Home teams (ORLANDO) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, good rebounding team (+3 to +5.5 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game). (107-66 since 1996.) (61.8%, +34.4 units. Rating = 2*).
 

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Mavericks try to beat Jazz for 8th straight time Monday

DALLAS MAVERICKS (34-27)

at UTAH JAZZ (31-30)


Tip-off: Monday, 9:05 p.m. ET
Line: Utah -3½, Total: 192

The Mavs look to continue their dominance over the Jazz when the teams meet in Utah on Monday night.

Dallas has won seven in a row SU over the Jazz (6-1 ATS), including three straight, SU and ATS, in Salt Lake City. But the Mavericks expended a lot of energy in Sunday's overtime loss and Utah is a great home team, going 21-8 SU (17-11 ATS) this season. Can the Mavericks bounce back and earn a big road win? For the answer, connect to the NBA Three-at-Three Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day. The NBA Pass is an outstanding 24-11-1 ATS (69%) in April, including 8-0-1 ATS since Thursday.

The Mavs went for the win in L.A. on Sunday, burning four of their five starters for 38-plus minutes, including 43 for PF Dirk Nowitzki (21.3 PPG). Nowitzki scored 24 in the loss, but needed 28 shots to get them. But in the Mavs’ last meeting with Utah, Nowitzki had played 35 minutes in New Orleans the previous night, but still managed to torch the Jazz for 40 points on 14-for-21 FG in just 29 minutes.

Dallas is also getting better production out of its backcourt of late. Sixth man Jason Terry (15.0 PPG) scored 12 and hit 5-of-6 from three on Sunday. Delonte West (9.3 PPG) added 20 points on 9-for-15 shooting, which was his second straight 20-point game. He had 21 points on 10-of-17 FG in Portland on Friday. This strong FoxSheets trend expects the Mavericks to come out on top:

DALLAS is 19-6 ATS (76.0%, +12.4 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DALLAS 100.6, OPPONENT 94.8 - (Rating = 2*).

The Jazz are coming off back-to-back road losses on Friday and Saturday, at New Orleans and Memphis. C Al Jefferson (19.4 PPG, 9.3 RPG) continued to score around the rim in those games, going for 19.5 PPG on 60.0% FG, though he only grabbed 5.5 RPG. Dallas has held him in check for the most part in their meetings this season, as Jefferson has averaged 17.3 PPG, but shot only 42.9% FG.

Streaky second-year SF Gordon Hayward (11.6 PPG) has shot the ball well of late, including a 29-point performance to start off Utah’s three-game road swing in Houston on Wednesday. Hayward is averaging 18.0 PPG and hit 58.3% of his threes over the past three games. And PF Paul Millsap (16.6 PPG, 8.7 RPG) is having a strong run as well, scoring 20.8 PPG on 51.5% FG and 8.0 RPG over his past four games. Millsap averaged 22.0 PPG on 60.0% FG in the teams’ last two meetings, both in Dallas. This strong FoxSheets trend supports the Jazz:

UTAH is 51-30 ATS (63.0%, +18.0 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. The average score was UTAH 102.1, OPPONENT 98.9 - (Rating = 1*).
 

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Clippers try to stay hot hosting Thunder

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (44-16)

at LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (37-23)


Tip-off: MondaCy, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Oklahoma City -2½, Total: 198

Two teams peaking down the stretch meet in Los Angeles on Monday night when the Clippers host the Thunder.

Both teams are rolling, but L.A. is hotter, going 11-2 SU (9-4 ATS) in the past 13 games, which includes a win in Oklahoma City Wednesday. But the Thunder have won four of their past five contests. Which team will extend its win streak on Monday night? For the answer, connect to the NBA Three-at-Three Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day. The NBA Pass is an outstanding 24-11-1 ATS (69%) in April, including 8-0-1 ATS since Thursday.

Oklahoma City has won four of its past five games, including scoring exactly 115 points in each of its past two contests, both victories. The Thunder have been an excellent road team this year, going 19-10 SU (16-13 ATS) and scoring 100.3 PPG in opposing gyms. But Staples Center hasn’t been very kind to OKC recently, as it has lost by 15, six and 12 points in its past three visits in this series.

Although SF Kevin Durant (27.8 PPG, 7.9 RPG) and PG Russell Westbrook (24.3 PPG, 5.4 APG) combined to shoot 10-of-35 FG in Wednesday’s loss to the Clippers, both players have done just fine against them this season. Durant is averaging 30.0 PPG (50% FG, 47% 3-pt FG) and 10.3 RPG in the three meetings, while Westbrook has 23.3 PPG and 5.0 APG versus L.A. this season. SG James Harden (16.5 PPG), has not found the mark against the Clippers though, scoring just 11.3 PPG on 34.6% FG. He also threw up mostly bricks (1-for-11 FG, 0-for-8 threes) in Saturday’s 115-110 win at Minnesota, showing that he is still affected by his knee injury that kept him off the court during Friday’s win versus the Kings. PF Serge Ibaka (8.9 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 3.6 BPG) had a huge game defensively against the Wolves, grabbing 12 rebounds and blocking five shots in just 22 minutes of action. Ibaka is averaging a hefty 5.3 BPG in April. This two-star FoxSheets trend expects the Thunder to prevail:

Play Against - Underdogs (L.A. CLIPPERS) - off a home win scoring 110 or more points, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days. (91-50 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.5%, +36 units. Rating = 2*).

PG Chris Paul (19.5 PPG, 9.0 APG, 2.5 SPG) is having a strong season series against Oklahoma City, tallying 23.3 PPG (54% FG) and 9.3 APG, piling up 28 assists and just six turnovers. PF Blake Griffin (20.6 PPG, 10.9 RPG) has not dealt with Serge Ibaka and the other OKC interior defenders very well, as he is scoring just 15.0 PPG on 43% FG in three meetings this season. But in his past five games, Griffin has put up 20.2 PPG (61% FG) and 10.8 RPG. Unlike Griffin, SF Caron Butler (12.2 PPG) has shot the ball exceptionally well against the Thunder this year, scoring 15.5 PPG on 54% FG and 5-of-10 threes in two meetings. This strong FoxSheets trend favors the Clippers:

L.A. CLIPPERS are 15-5 ATS (75.0%, +9.5 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was L.A. CLIPPERS 95.8, OPPONENT 98.5 - (Rating = 1*).
 

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Monday's betting tips: Bruins at home on the road

Weather to watch

Fourteen mile-per-hour winds will be blowing out to right-center when the White Sox host the Orioles on Monday night. There will be clear skies, with temperatures in the high 40s.

Who’s hot

NBA: The Suns are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games.

NBA: The home team is 24-9-1 ATS in the last 34 Dallas-Utah games.

NHL: The Bruins are 5-0 in their last five road games.

NHL: The Rangers are 6-1 in their last seven games in Ottawa.

MLB: The under is 6-2 in Braves pitcher Tommy Hanson’s last eight starts vs. the Mets.

Who’s not

NBA: The T-Wolves are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games.

NBA: Philly is 0-5 ATS in its last five meetings with Orlando.

NHL: The over is 0-4-1 in the last five Blues-Sharks games.

NHL: St. Louis is 5-13 in its last 18 games in San Jose.

MLB: The White Sox are 2-9 in Philip Humber’s last 11 starts.

Key stat

132 – That’s how many penalty minutes San Jose and St. Louis racked up in the Blues’ 3-0 win in Game 2, including 88 minutes and 15 penalties as brawls erupted at the final whistle. With each team accusing the other of cheap shots, officials will do everything they can to avoid a repeat in Game 3 on Monday night.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Bruins defenseman Adam McQuaid, who was a plus-16 in the regular season, missed the first two games of the playoffs with an eye/head injury and did not make the trip to Washington for Game 3 on Monday. "Right now he's not ready to go on the ice and he's going to continue treatment,” coach Claude Julien said. “When he's ready to start working out with the team then we'll bring him with us." McQuaid has not played since April 5.

Game of the day

Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals (110, 5)

Notable quotable

"Are you kidding me? It's going to be tough without him the next couple weeks. A herniated disk? That's crazy. Dwight isn't playing, everybody has to step up. Everybody." – Orlando Magic C Glen Davis, reacting to the Orlando Sentinel about Dwight Howard’s anticipated two-week absence. Howard is trying to treat his back injury with rest and rehabilitation, and will be evaluated in 10 days. The Magic, 2-4 without Howard, hosts Philly on Monday.

Notes and tips

Blackhawks forward Andrew Shaw faces a hearing Monday for an incident with Phoenix goaltender Mike Smith in Chicago's 4-3 overtime win Saturday. Shaw was given a five-minute major for charging and a game misconduct after making contact with Smith behind the Phoenix net. Smith stayed down for several minutes but was able to finish the game. The NHL is expected to decide Shaw's fate Monday, in advance of Tuesday's Game 3 at the United Center. The series is tied 1-1.

Suns guard Steve Nash, who said his hip was "killing" him before Saturday's game against the Spurs, hopes that treatment and medicine will enable him to play Monday when Phoenix hosts Portland. Nash (12.7 ppg, 10.9 apg) is officially questionable.

Lakers star Kobe Bryant missed his fifth straight game Sunday with inflammation in his left shin. The team is in no hurry to rush the 16-year veteran back into the lineup, as coach Mike Brown wants Bryant healthy for the playoffs. L.A. hosts San Antonio on Tuesday, with Bryant’s status yet to be clarified.
 

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