Thursday Late West Coast

Kevy · Apr 19, 2012

Still a few days away from going full time with the Totals.
But as I was messing around with my numbers today as
I have been doing this past week. The following jumped
out. It's a side that has some great value. Actually all the
late dogs have great value. But my numbers that I run when
doing my Totals pointed at this one.

CLEVELAND INDIANS ML +135
(Tomlin-Hernandez-Listed)

GLTA Thursday Late Games

Mobdeeper7239 · Apr 19, 2012

hellyeah let's get this jaunt! As long as it is not the Orioles(my team) or the Mariners(your team). GL buddy and thank you for taking the time to post today.

kidman232 · Apr 19, 2012

get it kevy

kidman232 · Apr 19, 2012

mob we got to get you to shave that thing grown on your face lol

Mobdeeper7239 · Apr 19, 2012

haha I got a pic for it. so it is under control. and the bitches love it about as much as they love my man Kevy!

moocow · Apr 19, 2012

What you got against the public Kevy? Ha j/k gl

brewerfan003 · Apr 19, 2012

I like it!
thanks Kevy!
good luck tonight!
I'll probably be on this one with you as well
thanks for the play!

zeenon53 · Apr 19, 2012

Hmmm...was thinking about hammering the mariners hard with King Felix on the mound and the mariners have been putting some runs on the board lately. Plus I already have them in a parlay with the yanks o9, tex, and angles. Why Cleveland? I might buy back some since the yanks over hit already and tex is up 4-1.

Kevy · Apr 19, 2012

moocow said:
What you got against the public Kevy? Ha j/k gl

Moo, I use the public as a tool/filter after I run my two sets of numbers. Example might be four totals are filtered out
just based on the projections. I will then eliminate/narrow my card down based on which of my projections the public
is on most heavy to least heavy. BUT.....I have played public sides and totals only when the projection is just too strong
to ignore. But by nature of my first criteria/filter.........the sides and totals in any selection are going to be contrarian by
nature.

Kevy · Apr 19, 2012

kidman232 said:
mob we got to get you to shave that thing grown on your face lol

+1

kidman232 · Apr 19, 2012

if the public won more often than not, there would be no vegas or offshore. public might win a battle, but not the war

Kevy · Apr 19, 2012

zeenon53 said:
Hmmm...was thinking about hammering the mariners hard with King Felix on the mound and the mariners have been putting some runs on the board lately. Plus I already have them in a parlay with the yanks o9, tex, and angles. Why Cleveland? I might buy back some since the yanks over hit already and tex is up 4-1.

This week I have been working on fine tuning/touching up the two sets of numbers I run for my selections. Had not planned on
doing anything other than Totals from here on out (and that is still the plan-here in just a few days). But I was just looking over
both sets and both projected Cleveland. The other two dogs tonight Pad's and A's were split on both sets. So based on my own
numbers the Cleveland dog was the strongest out of the three.

I had told a couple of the fellas, that if I played anything I would share. I just had no plans of doing anything other than Totals from
here on out. And that was going to be here in a few days after some more fine tuning. But when I noticed the Cleveland play jump
out........decided I would play and share for those who want to shade or fade.

Kevy · Apr 19, 2012

kidman232 said:
if the public won more often than not, there would be no vegas or offshore. public might win a battle, but not the war

A lot of the math guys who I'm cool with will rib me for using the public as a filter to narrow down my card.
They tend to be like 'kevy just play the strongest projections from your numbers regardless'. But I like a smaller
card. And it has worked for me personally as a filter/tool to use.

Kevy · Apr 19, 2012

Mobdeeper7239 said:
haha I got a pic for it. so it is under control. and the bitches love it about as much as they love my man Kevy!

Ditch the hat too..........just sayin..........extreme poster make-over........LOL

Kevy · Apr 19, 2012

Fellas, dinner time here. Good luck to everyone on the three late games.

zeenon53 · Apr 19, 2012

Thanks for the reply.

Kevy · Apr 19, 2012

zeenon53 said:
Thanks for the reply.

no problem.......gl tonight.

1osubucks · Apr 19, 2012

Good Luck to ya Kevy, I like the play. Lets cash it..

kiwiboy · Apr 19, 2012

Out of curiosity Kevy, how has the fine tuning been going on your picks? No need to give numbers, just a thumbs up and so so?

Kevy · Apr 20, 2012

kiwiboy said:
Out of curiosity Kevy, how has the fine tuning been going on your picks? No need to give numbers, just a thumbs up and so so?

Don't mind answering at all. There have been more plays (ml's and totals) matching up on both sets. Which was not the case
earlier this month. Which was more on me foolishly experimenting with starting my Bases season three to four weeks earlier
than I normally had done in the past. 2001 was probaly the last time I had played Bases before the third or fourth weekend
in April. I have also started as late as the first weekend in May on several different years/seasons.

Lesson learned on my part. Over the years I had thought maybe I was leaving money on the table and missing out on what
would be early season opportunities. But I think I learned the lesson that my numbers/projections are much better/sharper
the way I had been doing it.

Even though I've been doing this a long time. I always want to learn even more and experiment and not get complacent,
humble students in this industry tend to have the longevity and make money.

GL thursday wagers.....or is it saturday down there in New Zealand........LOL.......GL whatever day it is

Thursday Late West Coast

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